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2024年一季报点评:24Q1业绩维持稳健,海外市场有序推进
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-28 08:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.13 billion yuan in Q1 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 6.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 380 million yuan, an increase of 6.8% year-on-year. The revenue decline was attributed to the delivery cycle of certain projects [2] - The company is successfully expanding its overseas market, with a strong order backlog supporting its annual growth. In the Middle East, it has established long-term stable partnerships with strategic clients such as Saudi Aramco and Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, leading to an increasing market share for high-end equipment [2] - The gross margin remained stable at 35.7%, with a year-on-year increase of 0.4 percentage points. The net profit margin was 18.0%, up 2.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio decreased significantly to 13.5%, down 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The oil service industry is experiencing upward momentum, with a projected 5.7% year-on-year increase in global upstream exploration and development capital expenditure in 2024. The global oilfield service market is expected to reach 328 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 7.1% [2] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.13 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 380 million yuan, an increase of 6.8% year-on-year [2] - The company signed new contracts worth 13.96 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 9.7%, with a backlog of 7.55 billion yuan at the end of 2023 [2] - The projected net profit for 2024-2026 is 3.03 billion, 3.75 billion, and 4.24 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.96, 3.66, and 4.14 yuan [3] Market Outlook - The company is focusing on key countries and regions for overseas market expansion, with successful deliveries of high-end products in North America [2] - The demand for unconventional oil and gas development highlights the advantages of electric-driven technology, which significantly reduces operational costs [2] Valuation Metrics - The projected PE ratios for 2024-2026 are 11, 9, and 8 times, respectively, indicating a compound annual growth rate of 20% for net profit over the next three years [3]
2023年年报点评:毛利率快速提升,“海外+储能”打开成长性
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-28 08:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 21.50 CNY based on a 25x PE for 2024 [6][19]. Core Insights - The company has shown rapid improvement in gross margin, with a focus on "overseas + energy storage" driving growth potential [1][38]. - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 3.73 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 7.4%, and net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 0.51 billion CNY, growing by 11.5% [38]. - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 4.6 billion CNY, 5.5 billion CNY, and 6.4 billion CNY from 2024 to 2026, with net profit growth rates of 43.9%, 28%, and 20.9% respectively [38]. Financial Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for the company are as follows: - 2023A: Revenue of 3.73 billion CNY, net profit of 0.51 billion CNY - 2024E: Revenue of 4.58 billion CNY, net profit of 0.74 billion CNY - 2025E: Revenue of 5.47 billion CNY, net profit of 0.94 billion CNY - 2026E: Revenue of 6.44 billion CNY, net profit of 1.14 billion CNY [2][38]. - The gross margin for 2023 is reported at 32.9%, with a net profit margin of 13.7% [38]. Business Segments - The company has diversified its product offerings, with significant contributions from general frequency converters, integrated machines, and servo systems, showing growth in various application fields [38]. - The energy storage segment is expected to see substantial growth, with a projected order delivery growth rate of 100% in 2024, 50% in 2025, and 50% in 2026 [5][38]. - The overseas industrial control business has shown strong profitability, with a revenue increase of 42.4% in 2023, and a gross margin of 44.1% [38].
业绩符合预期,盈利能力大幅改善
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-28 07:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.003 billion yuan for the full year 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 54 million yuan, up 32.2% year-on-year [2]. - In Q1 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.533 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 134%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 101 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 505% [2]. - The company's gross margin improved to 14% in Q1 2024, up 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, driven by increased sales and a higher proportion of high-voltage wiring harnesses [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 4,002.75 million yuan and a net profit of 54.10 million yuan, with respective growth rates of 22.11% and 31.73% [5]. - The forecast for EPS from 2024 to 2026 is 1.05, 1.32, and 1.62 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 23, 19, and 15 [4][5]. Product and Market Development - The company has enhanced its production capabilities with automated high-voltage wiring harness production lines, which are now being utilized by major clients such as L Automotive and T Company [3]. - Sales of various wiring harness products have seen significant growth, with complete harness sales increasing by 25.4% year-on-year [3]. Industry Outlook - The shift towards electric vehicles is expected to increase the value of wiring harnesses per vehicle, with the average value for electric vehicles exceeding 5,000 yuan compared to 3,000 yuan for traditional fuel vehicles [10]. - The domestic market is witnessing a trend towards localization in automotive parts procurement, providing substantial opportunities for domestic wiring harness manufacturers [10].
2023年报点评:产品盈利能力提升,业绩大幅改善
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-28 06:30
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 28.31 yuan over the next six months [13][17]. Core Insights - The company's main products have significantly improved profitability, leading to substantial performance enhancement in 2023. The revenue for casting materials reached 710 million yuan, up 6.7% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 27.5%, an increase of 5.1 percentage points. The company also reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 140 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 88.8% year-on-year [2][13][55]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved total revenue of 1.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 140 million yuan, up 88.8% year-on-year, with a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 1.3 yuan, an increase of 89.6% [13][50][55]. - The gross margin improved to 25.1% in 2023, recovering from a decline in previous years due to rising raw material costs and market conditions [25][55]. Market Position and Product Development - The company is a leader in the domestic casting sand market, particularly known for its environmentally friendly products. It has developed a mature business model for recycling casting waste sand and has established a strong market presence [9][19]. - The full subsidiary has obtained mining rights for quartz sand, enhancing the company's raw material supply capabilities, which is crucial for sustainable development [3][19]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates steady growth in revenue, projecting 1.134 billion yuan in 2024, 1.276 billion yuan in 2025, and 1.438 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding net profits of 159 million yuan, 182 million yuan, and 222 million yuan [15][33][45]. - The automotive parts and oil and gas extraction industries are expected to drive demand for the company's products, with significant growth in the automotive sector and a historical high in domestic oil and gas production [14][30].
养殖成绩持续改善,2024Q1扭亏为盈
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-28 06:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 26.10 CNY for the next 6 months [14][22]. Core Views - The company has shown continuous improvement in breeding performance, achieving profitability in Q1 2024 after a loss in 2023. The significant decline in profit in 2023 was primarily due to low prices for yellow feathered chickens and pigs [14][21]. - The company is the second-largest yellow feathered chicken breeding enterprise in China, with a market share of approximately 12.71% in 2023. The expected growth rates for yellow chicken output from 2024 to 2026 are 10%/8%/5% [21][22]. - The overall industry is expected to maintain high profitability due to low production capacity and strong demand for yellow feathered chickens, which are expected to support price increases [14][21]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company's revenue was 15.35 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 6.28%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -0.44 billion CNY, compared to 0.89 billion CNY in 2022 [14][16]. - For Q1 2024, the revenue was 3.66 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 7.34%, with a net profit of 0.08 billion CNY, marking a return to profitability [14][16]. Business Segments - The company sold 457 million meat chickens in 2023, exceeding its target and achieving a year-on-year growth of 12.16%. The total number of pigs sold in 2023 was 850,000, a year-on-year increase of approximately 50% [14][21]. - The average economic cost of yellow feathered chickens decreased to 6.3 CNY per jin, and the total cost of pig farming fell below 16 CNY per kilogram [14][21]. Future Outlook - The company aims to increase its pig output to 1-1.2 million heads in 2024 and 2 million heads by 2025, supported by a breeding stock of approximately 60,000 sows as of March 2024 [14][21]. - The expected gross profit margins for the chicken segment from 2024 to 2026 are projected to be 13%/14%/12%, while for the pig segment, they are expected to be 6%/8%/8% [14][21].
疆内品牌势能强劲,产品结构升级显著
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-28 06:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][2] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from consumption upgrades within the region and a national market expansion strategy, indicating strong long-term growth potential [2][9] - The company achieved significant revenue growth in 2023, with total revenue reaching 22.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.5%, and a net profit of 3.4 billion yuan, up 105.4% [12][9] - The report highlights a notable improvement in product structure, with high-end liquor revenue increasing by 46.6% to 14.7 billion yuan, contributing to an overall price increase of 10.2% to 97,000 yuan per ton [12][9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 28.77 billion yuan, 36.16 billion yuan, and 44.04 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 28.96%, 25.66%, and 21.81% [12][22] - The company anticipates net profit growth to 3.81 billion yuan in 2024, 5.19 billion yuan in 2025, and 6.78 billion yuan in 2026, with growth rates of 11.97%, 36.45%, and 30.51% respectively [12][22] Product Segmentation - The low-end liquor series is expected to see sales growth of 20.0%, 15.0%, and 10.0% from 2024 to 2026, with price increases of 8.0%, 6.0%, and 5.0% respectively [7][18] - The high-end liquor series is projected to grow by 30.0%, 25.0%, and 20.0% in sales volume from 2024 to 2026, with price increases of 5.0% each year [33][18] Market Expansion - The company is focusing on brand building and product structure upgrades, with a clear strategy for national expansion and increased marketing efforts [12][9] - Significant growth is expected in the domestic market, with revenue from the region increasing by 50.3% to 17.0 billion yuan, while external market revenue grew by 5.2% to 4.9 billion yuan [12][9]
24Q1利润超预期,洞藏高增势能延续
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-28 06:00
[Table_StockInfo] 买入 2024年 04月 25日 (维持) 证券研究报告•23年报及 24年一季报点评 当前价: 65.75元 迎驾贡酒(603198) 食品饮料 目标价: ——元(6个月) 24Q1 利润超预期,洞藏高增势能延续 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 [T ab事le件_S:u公mm司a2ry0]2 3年实现收入67.2亿元,同比+22.1%,归母净利润22.9亿元, [分Ta析bl师e_:Au朱th会or振] 同比+34.2%;其中 23单 Q4实现收入 19.2亿元,同比+18.8%,归母净利润 执业证号:S1250513110001 6.3亿元,同比+26.0%,同时公司拟每10股派发现金红利13元(含税)。24Q1 电话:023-63786049 实现收入23.2亿元,同比+21.3%,归母净利润9.1亿元,同比+30.4%;24Q1 邮箱:zhz@swsc.com.cn 收入端符合预期,利润端超市场预期。 分析师:王书龙  洞藏占比稳步提升,省内增速表现亮眼。1、分产品看,23 年/24Q1 中高档白 酒分别实现收入50.2/18.8亿元,分别同比+27.8%/+ ...
2024年一季报点评:关注数通领域PCB增长与ABF项目释放节奏
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-28 02:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 108.92 CNY over the next six months [1][3]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 3.96 billion CNY in Q1 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 42.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 380 million CNY, up 83.9% year-on-year [2][11]. - The gross margin for Q1 2024 was 25.2%, an increase of 2.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved by 2.2 percentage points to 9.6% [2][14]. - The report highlights the recovery in PCB orders in the communications sector and the price recovery in BT substrates as key drivers for profit growth [2][20]. Summary by Sections Performance Summary - In Q1 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.96 billion CNY, a 42.2% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 380 million CNY, an 83.9% increase year-on-year [2][11]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 25.2%, and the net margin increased to 9.6% [2][14]. - The sales expense ratio decreased to 1.7%, while the R&D expense ratio increased to 8.5% [2][14]. Business Outlook - The report anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% for net profit attributable to shareholders from 2024 to 2026, with expected EPS of 3.89 CNY, 4.47 CNY, and 4.94 CNY for the respective years [3][19]. - The PCB business is expected to remain stable, while the IC substrate business shows strong growth potential [3][20]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 16.70 billion CNY, 18.86 billion CNY, and 20.96 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.00 billion CNY, 2.29 billion CNY, and 2.53 billion CNY [19][22]. - The report estimates a PE ratio of 28 for 2024, reflecting the company's strong market position and growth prospects [3][20].
家电客户持续拓展,汽零定点逐步落地
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-28 01:30
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 04 月 25 日 证券研究报告•2023年报及 2024 年一季报点评 持有(维持) 当前价:20.08 元 德昌股份(605555)家用电器 目标价:——元(6 个月) [Table_Summary 事件:公司发布] 2023年年报及 2024年一季报,2023年公司实现营收 27.8亿 元,同比增长 43.2%;实现归母净利润 3.2亿元,同比增长 7.9%;实现扣非净 利润 3.1亿元,同比增长 8.9%。单季度来看,Q4公司实现营收 6.5亿元,同比 增长 60%;实现归母净利润 0.6 亿元,同比增长 64.9%;实现扣非后归母净利 润 0.6亿,同比增长 45.3%。2023年公司现金分红 1.3 亿元,现金分红比例同 比下滑 4pp至 40.5%。2024年 Q1公司实现营收 8.2亿元,同比增长 46.1%; 实现归母净利润 0.9亿元,同比增长 102.3%;实现扣非净利润 0.8亿元,同比 增长 101.1%。 家电业务需求回暖,汽零业务逐步落地。分产品来看,2023年公司吸尘器/小家 电/EPS 电机销量分别为 635.2 万台/1 ...
Q1收入增长良好,持续发力应用落地
Southwest Securities· 2024-04-28 01:30
Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 revenue growth is strong, with continued focus on application deployment [2] - B-end business shows robust growth, with open platform and consumer business performing well [2] - The company is making significant investments in R&D, particularly in large model development, which is expected to strengthen its competitive advantage [2] - The "Spark" large model is continuously iterating, with the V3.5 version approaching the latest level of GPT-4 Turbo in various capabilities [2] - The company is expected to see a performance inflection point, with significant growth potential in AI and multiple application scenarios [2] Financial Performance - 2023 revenue: 19.65 billion yuan, up 4.4% YoY [2] - 2023 net profit attributable to parent company: 657.31 million yuan, up 17.12% YoY [1] - 2024 Q1 revenue: 3.65 billion yuan, up 26.3% YoY [2] - 2024 Q1 net profit attributable to parent company: -300 million yuan, down 419% YoY [2] - 2024-2026 EPS forecast: 0.36 yuan, 0.49 yuan, 0.68 yuan [2] Business Segments - **Open Platform & Consumer Business**: Revenue of 3.94 billion yuan in 2023, up 41.6% YoY, accounting for over 30% of total revenue [2] - **Smart Hardware**: Revenue of 1.52 billion yuan in 2023, up 22.4% YoY, with GMV growth of 84% for products like office books and recording pens [2] - **Smart Automotive**: Revenue of 700 million yuan in 2023, up 49.7% YoY, with breakthroughs in products like sound effects, cockpit, and intelligent driving [2] - **Smart Healthcare**: Revenue of 540 million yuan in 2023, up 15.4% YoY [2] - **Smart Finance**: Revenue of 290 million yuan in 2023, up 23% YoY [2] Future Growth Drivers - **Education Sector**: Expected revenue growth of 10%, 14.8%, and 14.8% for 2024-2026, driven by the integration of the Spark large model into educational products [7] - **Open Platform**: Expected revenue growth of 30%, 25%, and 25% for 2024-2026, with the launch of the open-source Spark 13B model attracting more developers [7] - **Consumer Business**: Expected revenue growth of 20%, 20%, and 20% for 2024-2026, with enhanced product capabilities and improved sales channels [7] - **Smart Automotive**: Expected revenue growth of 40%, 40%, and 35% for 2024-2026, with the full upgrade of automotive product solutions based on the Spark large model [7] - **Smart City, Healthcare, and Finance**: The Spark large model is expected to rewrite the underlying logic of these industries, opening up new growth opportunities [7] Financial Forecasts - 2024-2026 revenue forecast: 22.57 billion yuan, 26.4 billion yuan, 31.15 billion yuan [1] - 2024-2026 net profit forecast: 826.12 million yuan, 1.14 billion yuan, 1.57 billion yuan [1] - 2024-2026 ROE forecast: 4.19%, 5.51%, 7.16% [1] - 2024-2026 PE forecast: 122, 88, 64 [1]