Group 1 - The stock of Zhongtian Service experienced a significant drop, hitting the daily limit down, with a decline of 9.1% to 6.79 yuan, and a trading volume of 675 million yuan [1] - Prior to this decline, the stock had seen consecutive limit-up days for three trading sessions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The year 2026 is projected to be a turning point for China's economy, moving away from low inflation and establishing a "new equilibrium" as per the consensus among major securities firms [1]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Growth and Price Recovery - Major securities firms, including China Merchants, Ping An, and West Securities, agree that the Chinese economy will emerge from the low inflation phase, with expectations of nominal GDP growth recovery driven by price factor improvements [1][5]. - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to limit supply, combined with the pig cycle bottoming out and PPI turning positive, which will be key in improving corporate profitability and nominal GDP [1][5][6]. Group 2: Structural Transition and New Growth Drivers - 2026 is seen as a critical juncture for the transition between old and new growth drivers, with real estate investment entering a bottoming phase while AI, data center energy demand, and high-end manufacturing are expected to become substantial growth engines [1][5][21]. - The consensus is that the economy will experience a "new-old relay" with significant changes in investment structures, particularly in manufacturing and real estate [1][21]. Group 3: Demand-Side Drivers - There is a divergence in views regarding demand-side drivers; some firms like Minsheng and Northeast Securities believe external demand will outperform internal demand, while others like West Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan predict a shift towards internal demand dominance [1][5][21]. Group 4: Asset Allocation and Market Style Predictions - Opinions on asset allocation and market style are highly varied, with Haitong International being the most optimistic, predicting a 40% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index based on "value re-evaluation" logic [2][50]. - China Merchants Securities anticipates a shift from "policy-driven" to "profit-driven" market dynamics, while others suggest a more balanced focus on both growth and cyclical opportunities [2][21]. Group 5: Key Predictions from Securities Firms - China Merchants Securities predicts a recovery in corporate profits and a shift in policy focus towards enhancing development quality, with manufacturing investment expected to grow by 5% and real estate investment's decline narrowing to -8% [5][10]. - Ping An Securities emphasizes the importance of price recovery, forecasting CPI to rise to 0.6% and PPI to narrow its decline significantly [16][18]. - West Securities expects nominal GDP growth to accelerate, driven by inflation recovery and the emergence of new growth forces [21][23]. Group 6: External Environment and Trade Dynamics - The external environment is expected to improve, with strong export performance contributing significantly to GDP growth, projected to be around 40%-50% from actual export growth [11][44]. - The report from Northeast Securities highlights that external demand will recover before internal demand, with exports expected to grow by approximately 7% [44][45].

A股三大股指集体高开，沪指涨0.09%，创业板指涨0.05%。盘面上，贵金属延续强势，招金黄金涨近 2%；福建、软件开发等板块跌幅居前。 中泰证券认为，12月上旬仍需对短期扰动保持谨慎。受制于美联储议息会议可能释放的偏鹰信号、机构 年底考核期的仓位保守倾向等因素，预计市场仍将维持震荡蓄势格局。在此阶段，市场关注的焦点或在 于中央经济工作会议的财政政策预期，若赤字率和财政支出力度如市场预期般进一步前置，中小市值、 弹性更高的可选消费领域(如文旅、线下零售等)有望获得阶段性交易机会。 东方证券：市场好转仍有赖于环境转暖和成交有效放大 东方证券认为，尽管市场近期关于房贷贴息政策和其他利好政策讨论增多，但行业整体仍处于调整期， 股价反转仍待时日。整体来看，短期市场仍处于日线级别调整过程中，沪综指围绕3900点震荡整固，局 部热点有仅集中在航天军工、海南福建等区域板块，市场好转仍有赖于环境转暖和成交有效放大。 本文转载自"腾讯自选股"，智通财经编辑：徐文强。 机构看后市 申万宏源：春季行情可能是小级别行情 申万宏源认为，春季行情的级别和定位判断不变，春季行情可能是小级别行情。对总体市场来说，春季 行情可能是高位震荡行情 ...

Core Insights - The 2025 Wind "Gold Analyst" awards were announced on December 10, recognizing outstanding research teams based on the number of report reads from buy-side institutions [1]. Group 1: Award Winners - The awards included 33 individual research field awards and 4 institutional awards, with participation from over 600 teams from 38 research institutions [1]. - Notable winners in various categories include: - Strategy Research: - First: Galaxy Securities - Second: Guosen Securities - Third: Zheshang Securities [3] - Fixed Income: - First: Zheshang Securities - Second: Huachuang Securities - Third: Dongwu Securities [3] - ESG Research: - First: Guosen Securities - Second: Galaxy Securities - Third: Zheshang Securities [5] - Restaurant and Tourism: - First: Guosen Securities - Second: Kaiyuan Securities - Third: Dantan Haidao [6] - Media: - First: Dongwu Securities - Second: Guohai Securities - Third: Kaiyuan Securities [7] Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - In the Electric Power and Utilities sector: - First: Dongwu Securities - Second: Guosen Securities - Third: Tianfeng Securities [8] - In the Real Estate sector: - First: Kaiyuan Securities - Second: Everbright Securities - Third: Zhongxin Jian Investment [11] - In the Automotive sector: - First: Dongwu Securities - Second: Minsheng Securities - Third: Guosen Securities [31] - In the Non-Bank Financial sector: - First: Zhongxin Jian Investment - Second: Kaiyuan Securities - Third: Dongwu Securities [21] Group 3: Overall Trends - The awards reflect a competitive landscape among research institutions, with a significant number of teams participating and a diverse range of sectors represented [1][3]. - The methodology for the awards was based on objective metrics, specifically the reading counts of research reports by buy-side institutions, ensuring a transparent evaluation process [1].

本周三大指数，上证指数涨0.37%，深证成指涨1.26%，创业板指涨1.86%。后市将如何发展？看看机构 怎么说。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 中信证券：当前市场震荡可能是基本面超预期变化出现前的常态 当前的市场震荡可能是基本面超预期变化出现前的常态，债市的调整导致股债平衡型策略在当下遭遇一 定挑战，对控制持仓波动率可能有更高的要求，也间接影响到股票配置策略。未来人民币的潜在升值压 力可能会带来超预期的货币宽松，这可能是超预期变化的来源并打破震荡格局，在此之前，配置上延续 资源/传统制造业定价权的重估和企业出海两个方向。 光大证券：国内外利好共振 市场有所回暖 市场大方向或仍处在牛市中，不过短期或进入宽幅震荡阶段。与往年牛市相比，当前指数仍然有相当大 的上涨空间，但是在国家对于"慢牛"的政策指引之下，牛市持续的时间或许要比涨幅更加重要。不过短 期来看，市场可能缺乏强力催化，叠加年末部分投资者在行为上可能趋于稳健，股市短期或以震荡蓄势 为主。 华金证券：春季行情开启了吗？ 当前来看，明年春季行情可能于今年12 月中下旬提前开启。（1）短期政策和外部事件可能偏积极。一 ...

Core Points - The 2025 Fifth "21st Century Gold Medal Analyst" awards were announced, covering 33 industry analyst awards and 8 special awards, reflecting trends in traditional and emerging sectors like banking, non-bank finance, real estate, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] - The special awards recognize institutions and individuals for their significant contributions in areas such as financial research, think tank studies, ESG research, overseas research, and influential brokerage research [1] Industry Awards - The awards included categories for various sectors, with notable winners such as: - **Banking**: First place went to GF Securities, followed by Zheshang Securities and Dongwu Securities [3][5] - **Strategy Research**: First place awarded to GF Securities, with Guotai Junan Securities and Tianfeng Securities following [3] - **Fixed Income**: Top honors went to Huachuang Securities, with Caitong Securities and Industrial Securities in the next positions [4] - **Real Estate and Construction**: GF Securities ranked first, followed by Shenwan Hongyuan and Changjiang Securities [8] Special Awards - The special awards recognized: - **Best Research Institution for Financial Articles**: Shenwan Hongyuan Research [16] - **Best Think Tank Research Institution**: Guotai Junan Securities Research Institute [17] - **Best ESG Research Institution**: Nanhua Futures Research Institute [17] - **Best Overseas Research Institution**: CITIC Securities Research Development Department [17] Individual Awards - Individual awards included: - **Influential Brokerage Research Institute Director**: Long River Securities [16] - **Best Chief Economist for High-Quality Development**: Li Xunlei from Zhongtai Securities [15] - **Growth Analyst**: Multiple analysts from various firms recognized [15]

Group 1 - The core message of the meeting emphasizes the need for the new leadership of the China Securities Association to enhance member recognition, cohesion, and participation to improve collaborative governance and shared effectiveness [1] - The eighth member congress of the China Securities Association elected new leadership, including Zhu Jian as the president and several other industry representatives as executive vice presidents and directors [2] - The newly elected leadership includes prominent figures from various securities firms, indicating a diverse representation within the association [2][3] Group 2 - The meeting highlighted the importance of the association's role in promoting high-quality development in the capital market through a first-class investment banking and investment institution framework [1] - The election results reflect a strategic move towards strengthening the association's governance structure by involving industry representatives in key positions [2] - The new leadership aims to foster a collaborative environment among members to enhance the overall effectiveness of the association [1][2]

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed a rebound after an initial decline, with the Hang Seng Index successfully returning to the 26,000-point mark, significantly boosting market sentiment [1] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,085.08 points, up 149.18 points, a gain of 0.58% [2] - The Hang Seng Tech Index performed even better, closing at 5,662.46 points, up 47.03 points, a gain of 0.84% [3] Sector Performance - There was a clear divergence among sectors, with the large financial sector being the core driver of the afternoon market rally. Insurance stocks performed particularly well, with China Ping An (HK02318) rising over 6% and China Taiping (HK00966) increasing over 7% [5] - Brokerage stocks also saw gains, with Huatai Securities (HK06886), Shenwan Hongyuan Hong Kong (HK00218), and Hongye Futures (HK03678) all rising over 3% [5] - The tech sector saw broad gains, with Baidu Group-SW (HK09888) up over 5% and Kuaishou-W (HK01024) up over 2% [5] - The non-ferrous metals sector showed strong performance in the morning, with Jiangxi Copper (HK00358) rising over 6% [5] New Listings - Two new stocks were listed today: Tianyu Semiconductor (HK02658) and Yujian Xiaomian (HK02408), both of which saw significant declines of 30.17% and 27.84%, respectively, falling below their issue prices [5] Market Outlook - Hong Kong Yongfeng Financial Group noted that many investors are reluctant to engage in the market as the year-end approaches, with some investors looking to take profits after substantial gains throughout the year [7] - The outlook for the Hong Kong stock market in the first half of 2026 is optimistic, with potential catalysts including reassessment of China's economic growth momentum, currency exchange rates, price trends, and corporate earnings prospects [9] - Key events such as the Central Economic Work Conference in mid-December and the upcoming local and central meetings in the first quarter will serve as important observation windows for new policies [9]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2025年11月30日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 申萬宏源(香港)有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2025年12月1日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00218 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 1,561,138,689 | | 0 | | 1,561,138,689 | | 增加 ...

Core Insights - The 2025 Analyst Conference and the 7th Sina Finance "Golden Unicorn" Best Analyst Award Ceremony took place on November 28, gathering over 300 authoritative scholars, public and private fund leaders, listed company chairpersons, top fund managers, and chief analysts in Shanghai to discuss future opportunities in the Chinese capital market [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The event highlighted the future opportunities in the Chinese capital market [1] - The results of the 7th Sina Finance Golden Unicorn Outstanding Research Institution evaluation were announced [1] Group 2: Award Results - The top ten best research institutions were recognized, with Changjiang Securities taking first place, followed by GF Securities and Guotai Junan Securities in second and third respectively [1] - The complete ranking of the top ten institutions is as follows: 1. Changjiang Securities 2. GF Securities 3. Guotai Junan Securities 4. Industrial Securities 5. Tianfeng Securities 6. Shenwan Hongyuan Securities 7. Zheshang Securities 8. CITIC Securities 9. Guosheng Securities 10. Guoxin Securities [1]