Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Copper (600362) shares rose over 4%, reaching a new high of 28.18 HKD, driven by industry developments and company fundamentals [1] Industry Summary - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association Copper Branch held its fifth meeting on September 24, emphasizing the negative impact of "involution" competition in the copper smelting industry, which harms national and industry interests [1] - The global second-largest copper mine, Grasberg in Indonesia, announced a force majeure and halted production due to a landslide [1] Company Summary - Jiangxi Copper possesses abundant copper resources and clear cost advantages, with stable annual production of copper and by-product gold, providing a solid profit foundation [1] - Future overseas resource expansion may yield potential growth, with the company's stake in the First Quantum Panama copper mine expected to resume production, and the Afghan Aynak copper mine development anticipated to progress [1] - The company's stake in the Kazakhstan Bakuta tungsten mine is steadily increasing production, with these potential projects expected to contribute significantly to performance growth [1]

方正证券指出，江西铜业自有铜矿资源量丰富，成本优势明确，自产铜及副产金年产量稳定，为公司提 供了坚实的利润基础。未来公司海外资源布局或带来潜在增量，公司参股的第一量子巴拿马铜矿有望复 产，参股的阿富汗艾娜克铜矿有望推进开发，参股的哈萨克斯坦巴库塔钨矿产量稳步提升，以上潜在增 量项目预计为公司带来强劲的业绩增长来源。 智通财经APP获悉，江西铜业股份(00358)涨超4%，高见28.18港元创新高。截至发稿，涨4.04%，报27.8 港元，成交额2.32亿港元。 消息面上，中国有色金属工业协会铜业分会第三届理事会第五次会议9月24日在河北雄安新区召开中国 有色金属工业协会副会长陈学森在总结讲话中强调，铜冶炼行业"内卷式"竞争对行业影响大，损害了国 家和行业利益，与高质量发展导向存在偏差，铜行业企业要坚决反对铜冶炼行业"内卷式"竞争。另外， 此前，全球第二大铜矿——印尼格拉斯伯格矿区因泥石流事故宣布"不可抗力"而停产。 ...

Group 1: Market Impact - The closure of Freeport McMoRan's Grasberg mine due to a fatal landslide is expected to significantly disrupt global copper supply, potentially leading to a price increase and improved profitability for copper companies [1][2] - Analysts predict a loss of 500,000 tons of copper supply in the next 12 to 15 months, with possible further losses of 1 to 2 million tons, equating the impact to the simultaneous closure of three major copper mines [1][3] Group 2: Demand Dynamics - Copper is increasingly recognized as a critical material for green energy transition and digital economy development, with electric vehicles using four times more copper than traditional fuel vehicles [2] - Goldman Sachs forecasts that by 2030, data centers powering AI servers could consume an additional 1 million tons of copper, indicating strong future demand [2] Group 3: Price Forecasts - Goldman Sachs has adjusted its price forecast for copper, suggesting an upward risk to its previous estimate of $9,700 per ton for December 2025, now expecting prices to stabilize between $10,200 and $10,500 per ton [2] - The long-term outlook for copper prices remains bullish, with expectations of reaching $10,750 per ton by 2027 due to challenges such as increased mining depth and declining ore grades [2] Group 4: Company Performance - Jiangxi Copper Co. reported a revenue of approximately 256.03 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 4.97% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 19.78% to about 4.45 billion yuan [4] - Zijin Mining's copper production reached 566,853 tons in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.3%, with copper sales contributing 27.8% to total revenue [4] - Luoyang Molybdenum Co. achieved a copper production of 353,600 tons in the first half of 2025, with revenue from mining operations increasing by 29.05% to 31.446 billion yuan [4] - Minmetals Resources reported a total copper production of 140,368 tons in Q2 2025, a 54% increase year-on-year, driven by improved output from three copper mines [5]

重要提示 （一） 本公司董事會、監事會及董事、監事、高級管理人員保證半年度報告內容的真實性、準確性、 完整性，不存在虛假記載、誤導性陳述或重大遺漏，並承擔個別和連帶的法律責任。 （二） 全體董事均出席批准（其中包括）報告期之中期業績之董事會會議。 （三） 本集團之中期財務報告未經審計，但按國際財務報告準則編製的中期財務資料已經安永會計師 事務所審閱並經審計委員會審閱通過。 （四） 公司負責人鄭高清、主管會計工作負責人喻旻昕及會計機構負責人（會計主管人員）鮑嘯鳴聲明： 保證半年度報告中財務報告的真實、準確、完整。 （五） 董事會決議通過的報告期利潤分配預案或公積金轉增股本預案：董事會已建議向全體股東派發 二零二五年中期股息，每股人民幣0.40元（含稅）。董事會未建議用資本公積金轉增資本或送股。 （六） 前瞻性陳述的風險聲明：本半年度報告中所涉及的未來計劃、發展戰略等前瞻性描述不構成公 司對投資者的實質承諾，敬請投資者注意投資風險。 （七） 本集團不存在被控股股東及其他關連方非經營性佔用資金情況。 （八） 本集團不存在違反規定決策程序對外提供擔保的情況。 目錄 | 釋義 | 2 | | --- | --- | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The copper metal sector in Hong Kong and A-shares has experienced significant gains due to a supply disruption at the Grasberg mine, which is expected to impact global copper supply and prices substantially [4][5][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - On September 25, copper-related stocks in Hong Kong surged, with China Nonferrous Mining (01258.HK) up 11.9%, Minmetals Resources (01208.HK) up 9.93%, and Jiangxi Copper (00358.HK) up 8.71% [2][3]. - A-share market also saw similar gains, with Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) hitting the daily limit, and Northern Copper (000737.SZ) rising 8.77% [3]. Group 2: Copper Price Movement - Futures markets showed a strong upward trend, with Shanghai copper futures reaching a high of 82,920 yuan/ton, marking a 3.28% increase [4]. - The price of copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) rose by 3.46% to $10,320 per ton on September 24, reaching $10,328.5 per ton on September 25, the highest level since June 2024 [5]. Group 3: Supply Disruption Details - The Grasberg mine, operated by Freeport-McMoRan, experienced a fatal landslide on September 8, leading to a complete production halt and an expected 35% drop in copper output for 2026 [5][6]. - The mine accounts for 3.2% of global copper supply and over 70% of Freeport's total copper production, indicating a significant impact on the overall market [5][6]. Group 4: Demand Outlook - The demand for copper is expected to remain strong due to its essential role in electric vehicles, power infrastructure, and AI data centers, with projections indicating that global data centers will consume over 4.3 million tons of copper in the next decade [7]. - Increased defense spending globally is also anticipated to drive copper demand, as it is required for various military applications [7]. Group 5: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The copper sector has seen heightened interest in capital markets, with the Hong Kong copper index up 167.5% and the corresponding A-share index up 62.12% [7]. - Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on copper prices, citing ongoing supply disruptions and favorable macroeconomic conditions as key factors [7].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market saw a significant rise in non-ferrous metal stocks, with notable increases in companies such as China Daye Nonferrous Metals, which rose over 12%, and Luoyang Molybdenum, which reached a historical high with an increase of over 11% [1][2]. Company Performance - **China Daye Nonferrous Metals**: Increased by 12.50%, latest price at 0.063, market cap at 1.127 billion, year-to-date increase of 31.25% [2]. - **Luoyang Molybdenum**: Increased by 11.01%, latest price at 13.910, market cap at 297.595 billion, year-to-date increase of 179.76% [2]. - **Jiangxi Copper**: Increased by 7.98%, latest price at 26.780, market cap at 92.732 billion, year-to-date increase of 128.95% [2]. - **Jinli Permanent Magnet**: Increased by 5.71%, latest price at 22.200, market cap at 30.38 billion, year-to-date increase of 189.09% [2]. - **Zijin Mining**: Increased by 4.59%, latest price at 31.000, market cap at 823.905 billion, year-to-date increase of 128.01% [2]. - **Ganfeng Lithium**: Increased by 3.35%, latest price at 38.860, market cap at 79.94377 billion, year-to-date increase of 94.93% [2]. Market Dynamics - Freeport McMoRan announced a force majeure on its Grasberg mine contract in Indonesia, which has raised concerns about copper supply, pushing LME copper futures to a new high in over a year [2]. - The Grasberg mine accounts for 3.2% of global copper supply and over 70% of Freeport's total copper production, with expected supply disruptions potentially affecting over 6% of global copper output [2].

格隆汇9月25日｜港股市场有色金属概念股全线上涨，其中，中国大冶有色金属涨超12%，洛阳钼业涨 超11%创历史新高，江西铜业股份涨近8%，金力永磁涨超5%，紫金矿业涨超4%，赣锋锂业涨超3%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | 年初至今涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00661 | 中国大冶有色金属 | 12.50% | 0.063 | 11.27亿 | 31.25% | | 03993 | 洛阳铝业 | 11.01% | 13.910 | 2975.95 Z | 179.76% | | 00358 | 江西铜业股份 | 7.98% | 26.780 | 927.32 Z | 128.95% | | 06680 | 金力永磁 | 5.71% | 22.200 | 303.8亿 | 189.09% | | 02899 | 紫金矿业 | 4.59% | 31.000 | 8239.05亿 | 128.01% | | 01772 | 赣锋锂V | 3.35% | 38.860 | 799.4377 | 94.93% | | 09 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market saw a significant rise in the non-ferrous metal sector, with China Daye Nonferrous Metals up over 12%, Luoyang Molybdenum up over 11% reaching a historical high, Jiangxi Copper up nearly 8%, Jinchuan Group up over 5%, Zijin Mining up over 4%, and Ganfeng Lithium up over 3% [1] - Freeport McMoran announced a force majeure on its Grasberg mine in Indonesia, which has reignited market concerns over supply, pushing LME copper futures to a one-year high [1] - The Grasberg mine accounts for 3.2% of global copper supply and over 70% of Freeport's total copper production, with unexpected supply disruptions expected to impact over 6% of global copper output [1] Group 2 - The stock performance of key companies in the non-ferrous metal sector includes: - China Daye Nonferrous Metals: up 12.50%, latest price at 0.063, market cap at 1.127 billion, year-to-date increase of 31.25% [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum: up 11.01%, latest price at 13.910, market cap at 29.7595 billion, year-to-date increase of 179.76% [2] - Jiangxi Copper: up 7.98%, latest price at 26.780, market cap at 9.2732 billion, year-to-date increase of 128.95% [2] - Jinchuan Group: up 5.71%, latest price at 22.200, market cap at 303.8 million, year-to-date increase of 189.09% [2] - Zijin Mining: up 4.59%, latest price at 31.000, market cap at 82.3905 billion, year-to-date increase of 128.01% [2] - Ganfeng Lithium: up 3.35%, latest price at 38.860, market cap at 799.43 million, year-to-date increase of 94.93% [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that copper concept stocks in the Hong Kong market opened higher, driven by supply disruptions at Freeport's Grasberg mine, which is expected to impact global copper supply and support copper prices [1] - Jiangxi Copper Co. saw an increase of over 8%, while China Nonferrous Mining and Minmetals Resources rose over 7% and 6% respectively, indicating strong market performance in the copper sector [1][2] - Freeport's Grasberg mine accounts for approximately 3% of global copper supply, and the total loss in Q4 is projected to affect global supply by 3%, with a cumulative impact of 1% by 2026 [1] Group 2 - Jiangxi Copper Co. reported a price increase of 8.47%, with a latest price of 26.900 and a total market capitalization of 931.47 billion, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 129.98% [2] - China Nonferrous Mining experienced a 7.44% rise, with a latest price of 13.000 and a market cap of 507.26 billion, showing a year-to-date increase of 165.13% [2] - Minmetals Resources increased by 6.27%, with a latest price of 6.100 and a market cap of 740.57 billion, marking a year-to-date increase of 138.28% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The gold concept sector leads the market with a rise of 2.69%, indicating strong investor interest and potential growth in this area [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Northern Copper Industry increased by 10.01%, showcasing significant gains and investor confidence [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum Industry rose by 9.27%, reflecting positive market sentiment [1] - Jiangxi Copper Industry saw an increase of 7.64%, contributing to the overall sector performance [1] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals and Feinan Resources both experienced gains exceeding 6%, indicating a broader trend of growth within the sector [1] - Yunnan Copper Industry also reported a rise of over 6%, further supporting the bullish outlook for the gold concept sector [1]