渤海证券指出，供给端，受自由港印尼Grasberg矿和刚果（金）卡莫阿-卡库拉铜矿的事故影响，全球2026年铜矿供应预期 进一步收紧，将为铜价提供底部支撑，国内铜冶炼加工端的"反内卷"预期有望进一步改善行业竞争格局；需求端，铜是电 力电网、新能源汽车、AI服务器等领域重要原材料，在全球主要经济体进入降息周期背景下需求有望得到提振。 分析指出，锡价上涨主要由于矿端供应紧张和宏观经济预期影响。供应端上，缅甸锡矿复产进度缓慢，出口量维持低位。 此外，新兴领域需求增长亦为锡价提供强劲支撑。从需求端来看，当前锡的下游需求主要由新兴领域拉动，半导体与消费 电子是锡焊料的传统基本盘，今年以来全球半导体行业景气度上升，直接拉动锡焊料需求。 降息预期提振大宗商品整体价格，二级市场有色金属矿业大涨，12月4日开盘，矿业ETF（159690）跳涨2.49%，锡业股份 涨超8%，洛阳钼业、西部矿业、紫金矿业、江西铜业等跟涨。 商品价格方面，12月3日，沪铜期货主力合约站上9万元/吨大关，创历史新高。锡平均价达到30.97万元/吨，已连续5日处于 30万元上方。 宏观层面，根据CME"美联储观察"最新数据显示，美联储在12月议息会议降 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，12月4日，早盘有色板块震荡走强，铜方向领涨，洛阳钼业、藏格矿业涨超4%，均创历史 新高，盛屯矿业涨超8%，锡业股份、金诚信、西部矿业、江西铜业涨幅靠前。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant upward momentum, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, supply disruptions in key metals, and increased demand from the AI and clean energy sectors [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector opened actively, with notable gains: Tin Industry Co. rose over 8%, Jincheng Mining and Western Mining increased over 6%, and several others including Luoyang Molybdenum and Jiangxi Copper rose over 5% [1]. - Specific stock performances include: - Jincheng Mining at 70.19, up 6.95% with a year-to-date increase of 95.34% [2] - Western Mining at 25.76, up 6.89% with a year-to-date increase of 70.64% [2] - Luoyang Jiya at 18.64, up 5.79% with a year-to-date increase of 189.17% [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The London Metal Exchange (LME) reported a significant increase in copper delivery applications, reaching 56,875 tons, the largest increase since 2013 [3]. - LME metal futures closed higher, with copper rising by $342 to $11,488 per ton, marking a historical high, and tin increasing by 4.21% to $40,685 per ton [3]. - The semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors are the primary applications for tin, accounting for over 65% of consumption, which is driving demand due to a recovery in the semiconductor industry [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Morgan Stanley forecasts that supply disruptions and global inventory mismatches will push copper prices to $12,500 per ton by mid-2026 [3]. - The copper market is experiencing "strategic locking" of COMEX inventories, which reduces market liquidity and exacerbates regional shortages, acting as a catalyst for price increases [4]. - The industrial metals sector is facing ongoing supply-demand imbalances, with global copper mine supply disruptions and increased demand from the clean energy transition [4]. Group 4: Precious and Minor Metals - The precious metals sector is benefiting from rising expectations of interest rate cuts, with silver prices reaching historical highs and ongoing supply shortages [5]. - The small metals sector, particularly tin, is gaining attention due to its critical role in the electronics supply chain, with recent price increases reflecting a recovery in demand from semiconductor and AI device sectors [5].

银河证券发布研报称，矿冶博弈刺激铜价上涨。此外，美国后续仍有可能对铜加征关税的可能性下，美 铜"虹吸效应"导致的全球库存分布异化、非美地区库存低位，以及美联储在四季度持续的降息与可能的 停止缩表并开始扩表有望提升市场流动性，都有望带动铜价继续上涨。 消息面上，美国11月ADP就业人数意外减少3.2万，数据显示劳动力市场萎缩，使投资者增大了对美联 储将于下周降息的押注。根据CME FedWatch工具，市场目前预计美联储在下周三降息的可能性为 89%。此外，CSPT近期达成共识决定2026年度降低矿铜产能负荷10%以上，改善铜精矿供需基本面。 智通财经APP获悉，铜业股全线高开，截至发稿，江西铜业股份(00358)涨4.34%，报35.12港元；五矿资 源(01208)涨4.04%，报8.5港元；中国大冶有色金属(00661)涨3.77%，报0.11港元；中国有色矿业(01258) 涨3.16%，报17.29港元。 ...

责任编辑：卢昱君 客户端 铜业股早盘全线高开，截至发稿，江西铜业股份（00358）上涨4.34%，报35.12港元；五矿资源 （01208）上涨4.04%，报8.5港元；中国大冶有色金属（00661）上涨3.77%，报0.11港元；中国有色矿 业（01258）上涨3.16%，报17.29港元。 业（01258）上涨3.16%，报17.29港元。 客户端 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 铜业股早盘全线高开，截至发稿，江西铜业股份（00358）上涨4.34%，报35.12港元；五矿资源 （01208）上涨4.04%，报8.5港元；中国大冶有色金属（00661）上涨3.77%，报0.11港元；中国有色矿 责任编辑：卢昱君 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling 1.28% to close at 25,760.73 points, marking a loss of 334.32 points. The total trading volume was 164.36 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped 1.68% to 9,028.55 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.58% to 5,534.92 points [1] Blue Chip Performance - Techtronic Industries (00669) led the blue-chip stocks, rising 3.15% to 94.9 HKD, contributing 6.66 points to the Hang Seng Index. Citigroup initiated a 30-day positive catalyst observation for the company [2] - Other notable blue-chip movements included WH Group (00288) up 1.8% to 8.47 HKD, while China Life (02628) fell 3.59% to 26.32 HKD, dragging the index down by 11.43 points [2] Sector Highlights - Precious metals and copper-aluminum sectors saw gains amid rising expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Bitcoin reached a two-week high, boosting some cryptocurrency stocks [3] - The automotive sector continued to decline, with companies like XPeng Motors (09868) down 4.25% and GAC Group (02238) down 2.35%, reflecting weak market demand [4] Cryptocurrency Stocks - Several cryptocurrency-related stocks rose, including Boyaa Interactive (00434) up 5.19% and New Horizon Health (01611) up 2.3%, driven by increasing Bitcoin prices and a shift in institutional attitudes towards cryptocurrency [4] New Listings - Two new stocks debuted, with Lemo Technology (02539) surging 36.25% to 54.5 HKD, and Jinyan Kaolin New Materials (02693) rising 2.19% to 7.46 HKD. Lemo Technology is ranked first in the Chinese massage service market by transaction volume [5][6] Notable Corporate Announcements - Longpan Technology (02465) saw a significant increase of 12.21% to 16.54 HKD after announcing a long-term procurement agreement with Sunwoda for lithium iron phosphate cathode materials, expected to generate sales of approximately 4.5 to 5.5 billion CNY [7] - China Pacific Insurance (02328) continued to decline, down 4% to 17.04 HKD, amid rumors regarding the status of its executives [9]

Core Viewpoint - Copper stocks continue to rise in the afternoon session, reflecting a sustained upward trend in recent trading [1][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Minmetals Resources (01208) increased by 3.78%, reaching HKD 8.23 [1][3]. - China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals (00661) rose by 3.96%, trading at HKD 0.105 [1][3]. - Jiangxi Copper Company (00358) saw a 2.10% increase, with shares priced at HKD 34 [1][3]. - China Nonferrous Mining (01258) experienced a 1.57% rise, with a share price of HKD 16.78 [1][3].

Core Viewpoint - Copper industry stocks continue to rise, driven by supply-demand dynamics and strategic decisions by key industry players [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Minmetals Resources (01208) increased by 3.78%, reaching HKD 8.24 - China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals (00661) rose by 2.97%, reaching HKD 0.104 - Jiangxi Copper (00358) saw a 1.98% increase, reaching HKD 33.94 - China Nonferrous Mining (01258) grew by 0.97%, reaching HKD 16.68 [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - The China Copper Raw Materials Joint Negotiation Group (CSPT) has agreed to reduce copper concentrate production capacity by over 10% in 2026 to improve the supply-demand fundamentals [1] - CSPT aims to maintain the Benchmark system and strengthen direct cooperation with mines while resisting unreasonable pricing models from traders [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - According to a report from Galaxy Securities, the tight supply of copper ore and potential production cuts from smelting companies may lead to a more acute shortage of refined copper in 2026 [1] - If production cuts occur at the smelting level, it could further tighten refined copper supply and stimulate price increases [1]

Group 1 - Copper industry stocks continue their recent upward trend, with significant gains observed in various companies [1] - Minmetals Resources (01208.HK) increased by 3.78%, reaching HKD 8.24 [1] - China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals (00661.HK) rose by 2.97%, trading at HKD 0.104 [1] - Jiangxi Copper (00358.HK) saw a rise of 1.98%, priced at HKD 33.94 [1] - China Nonferrous Mining (01258.HK) experienced a gain of 0.97%, with shares at HKD 16.68 [1]

Group 1 - Copper stocks continue to rise, with significant increases in share prices for companies such as Minmetals Resources (+3.78% to HKD 8.24), China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals (+2.97% to HKD 0.104), Jiangxi Copper (+1.98% to HKD 33.94), and China Nonferrous Mining (+0.97% to HKD 16.68) [1][1][1] - The China Copper Raw Materials Joint Negotiation Group (CSPT) has reached a consensus to reduce copper concentrate production capacity by over 10% in 2026, aiming to improve the supply-demand fundamentals of copper concentrate [1][1][1] - A report from Galaxy Securities indicates that the tight supply of copper ore and potential production cuts from smelting companies may lead to a more pronounced shortage of refined copper in 2026, which could further drive up copper prices [1][1][1]