Core Viewpoint - ASMPT's adjusted net profit for Q3 decreased by 24% to HKD 100.6 million, falling short of market expectations of HKD 200.8 million, primarily due to a decline in gross margin [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The adjusted net profit for Q3 was HKD 100.6 million, a 24% decline compared to the previous quarter [1] - The reported profit was below market expectations of HKD 200.8 million [1] Group 2: Business Developments - The company's TCB business is progressing steadily, having secured its first HBM412H order from two global high-end memory manufacturers [1] - Mainstream business growth is benefiting from the demand driven by artificial intelligence [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - The target price has been raised from HKD 76.6 to HKD 95 based on higher price-to-book ratios [1] - The rating is maintained at "Outperform" [1]

Core Viewpoint - ASMPT's adjusted net profit for Q3 decreased by 24% to HKD 100.6 million, falling short of market expectations of HKD 200.8 million, primarily due to a decline in gross margin [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The adjusted net profit for Q3 was HKD 100.6 million, a 24% decline compared to the previous quarter [1] - The reported profit was below market expectations, which were set at HKD 200.8 million [1] Group 2: Business Developments - The company's TCB business is progressing steadily, having secured the industry's first HBM4 12H order from two global high-end memory manufacturers [1] - Mainstream business growth is benefiting from increased demand driven by artificial intelligence [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - The target price has been raised from HKD 76.6 to HKD 95, based on higher price-to-book ratios [1] - The company maintains an "outperform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The increasing importance of advanced packaging in integrated circuit production has led to an upgrade in ASMPT's target price and valuation metrics by Jianyin International, reflecting the company's strong position in the semiconductor packaging equipment sector [1] Group 1: Company Analysis - Jianyin International raised ASMPT's target price by 9%, from HKD 90 to HKD 98, and adjusted the target price-to-book ratio from 2.3x to 2.5x for 2026 [1] - ASMPT is recognized as a leading manufacturer of semiconductor packaging equipment with strong advanced packaging capabilities, making it a quality stock for long-term investment [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing criticality of advanced packaging for integrated circuit miniaturization [1] Group 2: Financial Forecasts - Due to a one-time project drag, the earnings per share (EPS) forecast for ASMPT in 2025 has been reduced by 89% [1] - The gross margin and operating expense assumptions have been adjusted conservatively, leading to a 33% and 10% downward revision of the 2026-2027 forecasts, respectively [1] - The book value per share (BVPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been lowered by 3% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported Q3 2025 earnings on October 28, 2025, with revenue of $468 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 10% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 8%, aligning with previous guidance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q3 revenue was $468 million, equivalent to 3.661 billion HKD, with a year-over-year growth of 10% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 8%, meeting the guidance range of $445 million to $505 million [1] - Semiconductor solutions business revenue was 1.88 billion HKD ($240 million), with a year-over-year increase of 5% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 7%, driven by AI infrastructure demand and strong electric vehicle demand in China [1] - SMT business revenue reached 1.78 billion HKD ($228 million), showing a year-over-year increase of 15% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 28%, benefiting from AI server demand and smartphone orders [1] - Q3 gross margin declined to 35.7%, with adjusted gross margin at 37.7%, down 330 basis points year-over-year and 203 basis points quarter-over-quarter, below the market expectation of 40.1% [1] - Net profit was -269 million HKD, but adjusted net profit was 102 million HKD, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 245% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 24% [1] Group 2: Order and Market Trends - Total new orders in Q3 amounted to $463 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 14% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 4% [2] - Semiconductor solutions business saw new orders of $208 million, down 12% year-over-year and 2% quarter-over-quarter, with low current orders due to customer AI technology timelines [2] - SMT business new orders reached $255 million, up 52% year-over-year but down 5% quarter-over-quarter, driven by AI server and electric vehicle demand [2] - The company expects Q4 2025 revenue guidance of $470 million to $530 million, indicating a year-over-year increase of 14% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 7%, exceeding market expectations [2] Group 3: Strategic Developments - The company is deepening its focus on TCB and HBM, with expectations for accelerated shipments in Q4 2025 and 2026 [3] - TCB business is expected to gain significant orders from leading wafer foundry customers, with HBM4 showing early advantages [3] - The voluntary liquidation of the Shenzhen subsidiary AEC resulted in restructuring costs but is expected to improve long-term profitability by saving 128 million HKD annually [3] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are revised to 203 million HKD, 1.351 billion HKD, and 1.935 billion HKD, reflecting significant growth in 2026 [3]

Core Viewpoint - ASMPT reported a revenue of HKD 36.6 billion for Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.6% [1] - The company anticipates optimistic revenue guidance for Q4, projecting between USD 4.70 billion and USD 5.30 billion, with a median growth of 14.3% year-on-year and 6.8% quarter-on-quarter [1] Business Performance - SMT business showed strong revenue growth, reaching HKD 17.8 billion, with year-on-year growth of 14.6% and quarter-on-quarter growth of 28.0%, driven by demand from AI servers and electric vehicles in Asia [1] - SEMI business revenue was HKD 18.8 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, primarily due to strong demand for power management applications [1] Orders and Market Trends - The order amount for Q3 was HKD 36.2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.2% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.5% [1] - SMT orders increased by 51.8% year-on-year to HKD 19.9 billion, driven by strong momentum in telecommunications and electric vehicles, although there was a quarter-on-quarter decline of 5.0% due to high base effects from Q2 smartphone orders [1] Advanced Packaging Developments - The company secured multiple orders for the HBM4 12H TCB solution, maintaining its position as a major supplier [3] - The C2W TCB solution has successfully passed final verification and is preparing for mass production [3] - Advanced packaging demand is expected to remain strong, particularly in the storage sector, with significant contributions anticipated in 2026 [3] Investment Recommendations - The target price has been raised to HKD 103.6, maintaining a "buy" rating, reflecting confidence in SMT order recovery and advanced packaging demand [4] - Adjustments were made to the 2025 estimated net profit, down by 28% to HKD 3.4 billion, while revenue estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 were increased by 2%, 3%, and 3% respectively [4]

证券研究报告 先进封装：TCB 获 HBM4 订单，C2W 方案进入量产准备 先进封装进展方面，集团 TCB 方案在存储领域凭借更优良率获得竞争优势。 3Q25，HBM4 12H TCB 方案率先获多家 HBM 厂商订单，有望保持主要供 应商地位。公司专有 AOR 技术也为 HBM16H 及以上提供了可扩展性。逻 辑领域，C2S 方案继续赢得客户 POR 订单，有望获领先晶圆代工厂 OSAT 伙伴的大量后续订单。用于 C2W 的 TCB 方案已成功通过一家领先晶圆代 工厂的最终验证，准备进入量产。混合键合方面，集团 3Q25 继续出货 HB 工具，第二代方案具备竞争力，并正与关键客户合作评估。CPO 领域，集 团继续主导 800G 收发器市场，并参与 1.6T 方案的合作。SMT 的 AP 方案 Q3 订单增长强劲，获 IDM 和 OSAT 用于基站 RF 模块的 SiP 订单。此外， SMT 也获得来自领先晶圆代工厂和 OSAT 的智能手机相关订单。我们认为 先进封装在大客户中进展顺利，相关业务需求 2026 年或将持续保持强劲， 看好 2026 年 C2W 产品量产以及存储领域的产品交付持续贡献收入增量。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for ASMPT (00522), highlighting strong AI demand and a recovery in mainstream business and SMT, with expectations for accelerated shipments in Q4 2025 and 2026, despite one-time costs from restructuring [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 2.03 billion, HKD 13.51 billion, and HKD 19.35 billion, reflecting changes of -66%, +42%, and +41% respectively compared to previous estimates [1] - Year-on-year changes are projected at -41.2%, +565.2%, and +43.2% for the respective years [1] Group 2: Business Developments - The company is deepening its focus on TCB and HB, with expectations for accelerated shipments in Q4 2025 and 2026 [1] - In TCB, the company has validated HBM4 with major clients, anticipating orders from leading wafer foundry customers and preparing for mass production [1] - In the storage sector, the company has secured multiple orders for HBM4-12H, with one being a primary supplier [1] - The company continues to deliver HB in Q3, with several projects at different evaluation stages [1] Group 3: Restructuring Impact - The voluntary liquidation of the Shenzhen subsidiary AEC resulted in a short-term loss for the company, but is expected to improve long-term profitability [2] - The restructuring and inventory write-off in Q3 incurred costs of HKD 3.55 billion, but is projected to enhance gross margins and save HKD 1.28 billion annually [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that ASMPT (00522) maintains a "Buy" rating due to strong AI demand, recovery in mainstream business and SMT, and expected acceleration in TCB shipments in Q4 2025 and 2026, despite one-time costs from restructuring [1] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 2.03 billion, HKD 13.51 billion, and HKD 19.35 billion, reflecting changes of -66%, +42%, and +41% respectively compared to previous estimates, with year-on-year changes of -41.2%, +565.2%, and +43.2% [1] - The report highlights that the company is making significant progress in TCB and HB equipment, with expectations for large-scale shipments to leading foundry customers, and the launch of HBM4 and 16-layer HBM is anticipated to further boost TCB demand, indicating a positive long-term outlook for advanced packaging business performance and valuation [1] Group 2 - The voluntary liquidation of the Shenzhen subsidiary AEC has led to a short-term loss for the company, but is expected to improve long-term profitability [2] - In Q3 2025, the company incurred restructuring and inventory write-off costs totaling HKD 3.55 billion due to the liquidation, but this is expected to enhance gross margin and save costs of HKD 1.28 billion annually post-completion [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Everbright Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for ASMPT (00522), highlighting strong AI demand and a recovery in mainstream business and SMT, with expectations for accelerated shipments in TCB by Q4 2025 and in 2026, despite one-time costs from restructuring [1] Group 1: Financial Forecasts - The company adjusted its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to HKD 2.03 billion, HKD 13.51 billion, and HKD 19.35 billion, reflecting changes of -66%, +42%, and +41% respectively compared to previous estimates [1] - Year-on-year changes in net profit are projected at -41.2% for 2025, +565.2% for 2026, and +43.2% for 2027 [1] Group 2: Business Developments - The company is deepening its focus on TCB and HB, with expectations for accelerated shipments in Q4 2025 and 2026 [1] - In TCB, the company has validated HBM4 with key customers in the logic sector, anticipating orders from leading foundry clients starting in Q4 2025 [1] - In the storage sector, the company has secured multiple orders for HBM4-12H, with one major client as a primary supplier [1] - The company is also progressing in HB, with ongoing deliveries and multiple projects at different evaluation stages [1] Group 3: Restructuring Impact - The voluntary liquidation of the Shenzhen subsidiary AEC resulted in a short-term loss for the company, but is expected to improve long-term profitability [2] - The restructuring and inventory write-off in Q3 incurred costs of HKD 3.55 billion, but is projected to enhance gross margins and save HKD 1.28 billion annually [2]

Core Viewpoint - ASMPT reported a significant decline in stock price following the release of its Q3 2025 financial results, indicating challenges despite revenue growth [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved sales revenue of HKD 3.66 billion for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.5% [1] - Total new orders amounted to HKD 3.621 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.2% [1] - The company reported a loss attributable to shareholders of HKD 268.6 million, marking a shift from profit to loss compared to the previous year [1] Loss Drivers - The net loss of HKD 269 million was primarily due to restructuring costs and inventory write-offs associated with the voluntary liquidation of its subsidiary, Advanced Semiconductor Equipment (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. (AEC), which incurred expenses of HKD 371 million [1] Future Outlook - The company anticipates Q4 sales revenue to be between USD 470 million and USD 530 million, with a median estimate indicating a quarter-on-quarter growth of 6.8% and a year-on-year growth of 14.3% [1] - Huatai Securities expressed optimism regarding the company's Q4 revenue guidance and the ongoing advancement of advanced packaging products in 2026 [1]