Core Viewpoints - The company benefited from the simultaneous increase in gold and copper prices, achieving a revenue of 86.49 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.0% [1] - On September 30, 2025, Zijin Gold International successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, setting multiple records for mining company IPOs, allowing the company to share in the future growth and potentially enhance its overall market value through revaluation [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a gold production of 24 tons, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7%, while copper production decreased by 6% to 260,000 tons due to the flooding incident at the KK copper mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo [2][3] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a net profit of approximately 37.9 billion yuan, with gold and copper production increasing by 20% and 5% year-on-year, respectively [2] Price Trends - In Q3 2025, the sales price of gold ingots (excluding tax) was 746 yuan per gram, a year-on-year increase of 44%, while the sales price of copper concentrate was 60,900 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 8% [3] IPO Success - The successful listing of Zijin Gold International on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange raised approximately 28.7 billion HKD, marking the largest IPO in the global gold mining industry to date and the second-largest IPO globally in 2025 [4] - The gold business accounted for 40.4% of the company's gross profit in the first three quarters of 2025, significantly enhancing the company's performance [4] Future Outlook - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders to reach 50.4 billion yuan, 64.3 billion yuan, and 71.9 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15.64, 12.26, and 10.96 times [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 31 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.5 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1.4% year-on-year, primarily due to a significant drop in coal prices [1][2] - The profitability of the electrolytic aluminum segment is expected to improve in Q3 due to rising aluminum prices and decreasing electricity costs, with the average domestic aluminum price at 20,711 yuan per ton, up 6% year-on-year [1] - The coal segment shows signs of recovery, with the price of lean coal in Xuchang, Henan, at 1,009 yuan per ton, down 19% year-on-year but up 8% quarter-on-quarter [2] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve a net profit of 5.3 billion yuan, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 9.7 [3][4] - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 37.6 billion yuan in 2023 to 44.1 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 15% [4] - The net profit is forecasted to increase from 5.9 billion yuan in 2023 to 5.3 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 22.6% [4] Share Buyback and Market Confidence - The company has initiated a share buyback program with a total amount not less than 250 million yuan and not exceeding 450 million yuan, demonstrating confidence in its operations [2] - As of September 30, 2025, the company has repurchased 15.42 million shares, accounting for 0.686% of the total share capital [2]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing equity battle for China Baoan has intensified, with Shaoguan High-tech increasing its stake to 18%, closely trailing behind Shenzhen State-owned Assets, which holds 18.58% [2][4][6]. Group 1: Shareholding Changes - Shaoguan High-tech acquired 25,792,106 shares of China Baoan from September 12 to September 24, 2025, representing a 1.00% increase in total shareholding [3][6]. - Following this transaction, Shaoguan High-tech's total shareholding rose to 464,258,571 shares, accounting for 18.00% of the total share capital [5][6]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the share increase, China Baoan's stock price surged over 6%, bringing its market capitalization to 31.131 billion [2][6]. Group 3: Historical Context - The equity struggle for China Baoan began in 2020, with Shaoguan High-tech initially increasing its stake to 10% and later surpassing other shareholders to become the largest stakeholder by 2021 [4][7]. - The competition has evolved into a strategic battle between Shaoguan High-tech, backed by Guangdong's private investment platform, and Shenzhen State-owned Assets, which aims to maintain influence over local enterprises [7][8]. Group 4: Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, China Baoan reported total revenue of 10.839 billion, an increase of 8.07% year-on-year, and a net profit of 244 million, reflecting a 24.51% growth compared to the previous year [9].

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a significant decline in construction revenue while maintaining stable growth in operational business and a rapid increase in heating supply. The dividend per share (DPS) is steadily increasing, indicating potential for future dividend growth and company value reassessment [1][2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of HKD 14.304 billion, a year-on-year decline of 8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 2.207 billion, down 10% year-on-year due to a significant drop in construction revenue and foreign exchange losses [2]. - Operational service revenue increased by 5% to HKD 9.943 billion, with specific growth in environmental energy (6%), environmental water (13%), and green environmental services (1%) [2]. - Construction service revenue decreased by 49% to HKD 1.844 billion, accounting for 13% of total revenue, with notable declines in environmental energy (70%), environmental water (17%), and green construction services (74%) [2]. Group 2: Profitability and Efficiency - The increase in operational service revenue contributed to an overall gross margin improvement of 5.53 percentage points to 44.26%, and the net profit margin improved by 0.84 percentage points to 19.44% [2]. - The company's asset-liability ratio decreased by 0.97 percentage points to 63.30%, indicating improved financial stability [2]. - The volume of municipal solid waste processed increased by 2% to 28.57 million tons, and the steam supply volume grew by 39%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency [2]. Group 3: Dividend and Cash Flow - The DPS for H1 2025 is HKD 0.15, up 7% from HKD 0.14 in the same period of 2024, with a payout ratio of 41.76% [3]. - The company is maintaining a trend of increasing total dividends despite declining performance, signaling optimism for future dividend potential [3]. - Capital expenditures are being reduced due to the significant drop in construction revenue, leading to an improvement in free cash flow [3].

Core Viewpoint - Kunlun Energy reported a revenue of 97.5 billion yuan for 1H25, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.0%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.16 billion yuan, down 4.4% year-on-year, which was below the forecast of 3.41 billion yuan by Huatai Securities [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The retail gas volume for 1H25 increased by 2.2% year-on-year to 16.67 billion cubic meters, with industrial gas volume growing by 8.0%, while commercial and residential gas volumes decreased by 1.5% and 3.6% respectively [2] - The average selling price difference for 1H25 decreased by 1 cent year-on-year to 0.44 yuan, influenced by changes in sales gas structure and rising contract gas prices in Q2 [2] - The tax pre-profit for the natural gas sales segment decreased by 10.6% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in distribution and connection gross profit [2] Group 2: LNG Segment - The LNG factory achieved a tax pre-profit of 140 million yuan in 1H25, marking a historical high, with an average processing load rate of 57.1% across 14 operational factories [3] - The average load rate for LNG receiving stations was 86.8% in 1H25, an increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, with expectations for the load rate to remain around 90% from 2025 to 2027 [2][3] - The company is constructing a 3 million tons/year LNG receiving station in Fujian, expected to contribute profit increments post-2027, and the Jiangsu LNG receiving station's third phase is anticipated to add 6.25 million tons/year of unloading capacity by 2029 [3] Group 3: Future Projections and Valuation - The profit forecast for Kunlun Energy's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 has been revised down by 8.0%, 10.4%, and 13.2% to 6.15 billion, 6.49 billion, and 6.84 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.71, 0.75, and 0.79 yuan [3] - The target price has been adjusted to 8.58 HKD from a previous value of 9.21 HKD, based on an 11x PE for 2025E, which is higher than the three-year average of 7.6x PE [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company reported lower-than-expected performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue of 97.5 billion yuan (up 5.0% year-on-year) and net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.16 billion yuan (down 4.4% year-on-year) [1][4] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 0.166 yuan per share, representing a payout ratio of 45.5% [1] - The long-term value reassessment of the company is viewed positively, with expectations for dual growth in earnings and dividends [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's natural gas retail volume increased by 2.2% year-on-year to 16.67 billion cubic meters, with industrial volume up 8.0% but commercial and residential volumes down by 1.5% and 3.6% respectively [2] - The average selling price difference for natural gas decreased by 1 cent year-on-year to 0.44 yuan, influenced by changes in sales structure and rising contract gas prices in Q2 [2] - The tax pre-profit for the natural gas sales segment decreased by 10.6% year-on-year, primarily due to declining distribution and connection gross margins [2] LNG Segment - The company's LNG receiving station average load factor was 86.8% (up 1.4 percentage points year-on-year) in 1H25, with expectations to maintain an average load factor of 90% from 2025 to 2027 [3] - The LNG segment achieved a tax pre-profit of 140 million yuan in 1H25, with expectations for a year-on-year profit increase of 5.6% in 2025 [3] Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downwards, with net profit estimates reduced by 8.0%, 10.4%, and 13.2% to 6.15 billion, 6.49 billion, and 6.84 billion yuan respectively [4] - The target price has been lowered to 8.58 HKD from a previous 9.21 HKD, based on an 11x PE for 2025E [4]

Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao (1378.HK) is optimistic about long-term aluminum prices and plans to enhance its asset value through a significant acquisition and restructuring strategy [1][2] Group 1: Acquisition and Restructuring - Hongchuang Holdings, a subsidiary of China Hongqiao, intends to acquire 100% of Hongtuo Industrial for approximately 63.518 billion yuan, which will dilute the company's shareholding from 95.30% to about 88.99% [1] - The acquisition targets Hongtuo Industrial, which has an electrolytic aluminum production capacity of 6.46 million tons and an approved alumina production capacity of 19 million tons [1] - The restructuring is expected to enhance the company's asset securitization level and market influence, alongside a significant increase in dividend payout ratio to over 60% in 2024 [1] Group 2: Cost Reduction and Production Contributions - The decline in coal prices is expected to lower the company's electricity costs, with the average coal price at Qinhuangdao Port being 703 yuan/ton in the first five months of 2025, down from 872 yuan/ton in 2024 [1] - The Simandou iron ore project in Guinea, in which the company has a stake, is expected to commence production by the end of 2025, contributing significantly to the company's performance [2] Group 3: Market Outlook and Profit Forecast - Despite potential short-term demand fluctuations in electrolytic aluminum, the supply side is constrained, and demand from sectors like new energy vehicles remains strong, leading to a tight supply-demand balance [2] - The company maintains a profit forecast of 16.129 billion yuan, 17.751 billion yuan, and 21.285 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively, with a target price of 15.37 HKD based on an 8.5x PE valuation for 2025 [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company is optimistic about long-term aluminum prices and highlights its strong dividend attributes, maintaining a leading position in the aluminum industry [1][2] - A significant asset restructuring is underway, with the company planning to acquire 100% of Hongtuo Industrial for approximately 63.518 billion RMB, which is expected to enhance the company's market influence and asset securitization [2] - The decline in energy prices is anticipated to reduce the company's costs, particularly in the Shandong region, where self-supplied power is prevalent [3] - The company expects to see profit expansion in the electrolytic aluminum segment from the second half of 2025 to 2026, despite short-term demand fluctuations [4] Financial Projections - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 16.129 billion RMB, 17.751 billion RMB, and 21.285 billion RMB respectively [5] - The report estimates a target price of 15.37 HKD based on a PE ratio of 8.5 for 2025, reflecting an increase in the dividend payout ratio to over 60% [5][9] - Revenue projections for 2025 are set at 138.58 billion RMB, with a slight decline expected compared to 2024 [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company is optimistic about long-term aluminum prices and has a strong dividend profile, which supports the investment thesis [1][2] - The planned acquisition of 100% equity in Hongtuo Industrial by the holding company Hongchuang Holdings is expected to enhance the company's market influence and asset securitization level [2] - The decline in energy prices is anticipated to reduce costs, while the upcoming production of the Simandou iron ore project is expected to contribute positively to the company's performance [3] Summary by Sections Acquisition and Restructuring - Hongchuang Holdings plans to issue shares to acquire 100% of Hongtuo Industrial for approximately 635.18 billion RMB, which will slightly dilute the company's shareholding from 95.30% to about 88.99% [2] Cost and Production Outlook - The average coal price at Qinhuangdao Port for the first five months of 2025 was 703 RMB/ton, down from 872 RMB/ton in 2024, which is expected to lower electricity costs in Shandong [3] - The Simandou iron ore project is expected to commence production by the end of 2025, with a designed capacity of 60 million tons per year [3] Aluminum Price and Profitability - Short-term demand for electrolytic aluminum may face seasonal declines, but supply constraints and high demand in sectors like new energy vehicles are expected to keep prices stable [4] - The company forecasts a gradual increase in aluminum prices from 2025 to 2026, with a projected net profit of 161.29 billion RMB in 2025 [5] Financial Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 161.29 billion RMB, 177.51 billion RMB, and 212.85 billion RMB respectively [5] - The target price is set at 15.37 HKD, with a historical average PE ratio of 7.03X since 2017 [5][9]