风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 8月5日，港红利（520890）收盘涨1.19%，成交额755.56万元。 港股通红利低波ETF（520890）成立于2024年9月4日，基金全称为华泰柏瑞恒生港股通高股息低波动交 易型开放式指数证券投资基金，基金简称为港红利。该基金管理费率每年0.50%，托管费率每年 0.10%。港股通红利低波ETF（520890）业绩比较基准为恒生港股通高股息低波动指数收益率(使用估值 汇率折算)。 规模方面，截止8月4日，港股通红利低波ETF（520890）最新份额为5650.80万份，最新规模为8007.75 万元。回顾2024年12月31日，港股通红利低波ETF（520890）份额为1.23亿份，规模为1.46亿元。即该 基金今年以来份额减少54.06%，规模减少45.28%。 流动性方面，截止8月5日，港股通红利低波ETF（520890）近20个交易日累计成交金额1.40亿元，日均 成交金额700.48万 ...

必和必拓：2025财年铜产量达202万吨，同比增长8%，铁矿石产量为2.63亿吨，同比增长1%。 ...

必和必拓：预计2026财年铁矿石产量（以WAIO100%为基准）为2.84至2.96亿吨；预计2026财年的铜产 量为180至200万吨。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520890) has experienced a significant decline in both share count and total assets in 2024, indicating potential challenges in attracting investment [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Overview - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520890) was established on September 4, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of July 8, 2024, the fund had a total of 47.508 million shares and a total size of 66.131 million yuan, down from 123 million shares and 146 million yuan at the end of 2024, representing a 61.38% decrease in shares and a 54.81% decrease in size year-to-date [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Performance - The cumulative trading amount for the ETF over the last 20 trading days was 150 million yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 7.4938 million yuan [1]. - The current fund manager, Li Qian, has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 39.20% during her tenure [1]. Group 3: Top Holdings - The ETF's top holdings include Far East Horizon, Shougang Resources, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, VTECH Holdings, Kerry Properties, Minsheng Bank, Henderson Land, China Petroleum, Sinopec, and Fufeng Group, with respective holding percentages and market values detailed [2]. - The largest holding is Far East Horizon at 3.78%, followed closely by Shougang Resources at 3.72% [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the steel industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" policy has driven an increase in steel prices, leading to a positive outlook for value recovery in the steel sector [3][4]. - The steel sector outperformed the broader market, with a weekly increase of 5.27%, compared to a 1.54% rise in the CSI 300 index [11]. - The report highlights that while the steel industry faces supply-demand imbalances, the implementation of "stability growth" policies is expected to support steel demand, particularly in real estate and infrastructure [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The steel sector saw a weekly increase of 5.27%, outperforming the market, with specific segments like long products rising by 8.32% and flat products by 6.95% [3][11]. - The average daily pig iron production was 2.4085 million tons, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.44 tons but a year-on-year increase of 1.41 tons [3][26]. Supply Data - As of July 4, the capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces was 90.3%, down 0.54 percentage points week-on-week, while electric furnace utilization was at 51.1%, down 3.45 percentage points [3][26]. - The total production of five major steel products reached 7.734 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 3.06 thousand tons [3][26]. Demand Data - The consumption of five major steel products increased to 8.853 million tons, a week-on-week rise of 5.41 thousand tons [3][35]. - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders was 107 thousand tons, up 0.81 thousand tons week-on-week, reflecting an increase of 8.23% [3][35]. Inventory Levels - Social inventory of five major steel products rose to 9.161 million tons, an increase of 9.62 thousand tons week-on-week, but down 29.01% year-on-year [3][42]. - Factory inventory decreased to 4.238 million tons, down 9.72 thousand tons week-on-week, and down 13.43% year-on-year [3][42]. Price Trends - The comprehensive index for ordinary steel increased to 3,390.0 CNY/ton, a week-on-week rise of 45.42 CNY/ton [3][49]. - The comprehensive index for special steel decreased to 6,576.5 CNY/ton, down 14.61 CNY/ton week-on-week [3][49]. Profitability - The profit per ton for rebar was 187 CNY, an increase of 42.0 CNY/ton week-on-week [3][58]. - The average iron water cost was 2,148 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 10.0 CNY/ton [3][58]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on regional leaders with advanced equipment and environmental standards, as well as companies benefiting from the new energy cycle and high-margin special steel producers [4].

Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks surged today, with all three major indices rising over 2%. The Hang Seng Index increased by 2.3% or 532.38 points, closing at 23640.65 points, with a total turnover of 2228.41 million HKD [1] - The positive sentiment in the market is attributed to the unexpected progress in the first round of trade negotiations between China and the US, which is expected to continue in a constructive direction [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - JD Health (06618) saw a notable increase of 5.13%, closing at 39.95 HKD, contributing 3.56 points to the Hang Seng Index. The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 16.645 billion RMB, a year-on-year growth of 25.5%, and operating profit of 1.071 billion RMB, up 119.8% [2] - Other blue-chip stocks included China Life (02628) rising by 6.55% to 16.26 HKD, AIA (01299) up 5.15% to 65.3 HKD, while Link REIT (00823) fell by 1.34% to 40.45 HKD [2] Sector Performance - Large technology stocks collectively rose, with Baidu increasing over 4% and Alibaba and JD both rising over 3% [3] - Financial stocks experienced a significant rally, with China Pacific Insurance (02601) up 6.77% to 24.45 HKD, China Life (02628) up 6.55%, and GF Securities (01776) up 6.31% to 11.46 HKD [3] Shipping Sector - The shipping sector performed well, with Pacific Basin Shipping (02343) rising by 7.78% to 1.94 HKD and Seafront International (01308) up 6.51% to 22.9 HKD. The improvement is linked to the easing of tariff conflicts and a seasonal increase in container shipping demand [4][5] Automotive Sector - The automotive sector saw widespread gains, with Li Auto (02015) rising by 4.54% to 112.8 HKD and Xpeng Motors (09868) up 3.87% to 81.8 HKD. The retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 905,000 units in April, a year-on-year increase of 33.9% [6][5] Coal Sector - The coal sector showed positive movement, with China Coal Energy (01898) up 4.91% to 8.55 HKD. Despite recent price declines, analysts suggest that demand may improve as summer approaches [7] Notable Stock Movements - Tencent Music (01698) surged by 12.84% to 61.5 HKD, reporting Q1 2025 revenue of 7.36 billion RMB, with online music service revenue growing by 15.9% [8] - Smoore International (06969) reached a new high, increasing by 10.18% to 17.32 HKD, amid rising sales of new tobacco products [9] - MicroPort Scientific (02252) saw a decline of 8.12% to 16.52 HKD due to a share placement announcement [10] - Samsonite (01910) dropped by 8.58% to 14.06 HKD after reporting a 7.3% decrease in net sales for Q1 2025 [11]

Financial Performance - For the year ended December 31, 2024, the revenue decreased by 14% to HK$5,057 million compared to HK$5,891 million in 2023[20] - Gross profit for the same period fell by 25% to HK$2,588 million, with a gross profit margin of 51%, down from 59% in 2023[20] - Profit attributable to owners of the Company decreased by 21% to HK$1,494 million, compared to HK$1,889 million in 2023[20] - EBITDA for 2024 was HK$3,088 million, reflecting a 21% decline from HK$3,924 million in 2023[20] - The Group's net profit for 2024 was HK$1.81 billion, with net profit attributable to shareholders amounting to HK$1.49 billion, a decrease of 21% from the previous year[57] - Basic earnings per share decreased to HK30.12 cents, down approximately 20% YoY, consistent with the decrease in profit attributable to the owners[86] - The Group's net profit for the year was approximately HK$1,815 million, a decrease of approximately 21% YoY, primarily due to a drop in gross profit by approximately HK$878 million or 25% YoY[81] Assets and Liquidity - The total assets as of December 31, 2024, increased by 2% to HK$22,949 million from HK$22,492 million in 2023[22] - Cash and cash equivalents rose by 16% to HK$9,181 million, up from HK$7,945 million in 2023[22] - The current ratio improved by 7% to 4.25 times in 2024, compared to 3.97 times in 2023[22] - The Group maintained a healthy financial position with free bank balances and cash of approximately HK$9,181 million as of 31 December 2024, an increase from HK$7,945 million in the previous year[88] - The Group's current ratio was approximately 4.25 times, with cash and bank deposits totaling approximately HK$10.118 billion as of December 31, 2024[138] - The Group's free cash resources increased by 15% to approximately HK$9.196 billion as of December 31, 2024, compared to approximately HK$8.032 billion as of December 31, 2023[139] Production and Sales - For the year ended December 31, 2024, the Group produced approximately 4.96 million tonnes of raw coking coal, a year-on-year decrease of 6% from 5.25 million tonnes in 2023[70] - The production of clean coking coal was approximately 3.16 million tonnes, representing a year-on-year decrease of 3% from 3.25 million tonnes in 2023[70] - The sales volume of clean coking coal increased by 1% year-on-year, with both 2024 and 2023 fiscal years accounting for 100% of the Group's revenue[74] - The average selling price of clean coking coal decreased by 14% to RMB1,666 per tonne[57] - The average realized selling price of clean coking coal decreased by 14% year-on-year to RMB 1,666 per tonne, down from RMB 1,932 per tonne in 2023[75] - The sales volume of low-sulfur clean coking coal dropped significantly by 95% year-on-year, while medium-high sulfur clean coking coal accounted for 99% of total clean coking coal sales volume[75] Market Conditions - The coking coal market faced weak demand and loose supply conditions in FY 2024, leading to a decline in coal prices to the lowest levels in four years, negatively impacting financial performance[168] - Coking coal prices showed a volatile downward trend, particularly in the latter half of the year, due to sluggish steel demand and low inventory strategies adopted by steel companies[183] - The steel industry achieved a 22.7% year-on-year export growth, helping to mitigate domestic demand shortfalls[182] - China's crude steel output in 2024 was 1.005 billion tonnes, a 1.7% year-on-year decline, while pig iron production fell to 852 million tonnes, down 2.3%[53] - The average selling price of clean coking coal was RMB 1,666 per tonne, down 14% from RMB 1,932 per tonne in the previous year[78] Strategic Initiatives - The Group aims to enhance production management and cost control while increasing production capacity and resources through acquisitions to improve profitability[177] - The Group plans to accelerate the construction of intelligent coal mines and explore innovative applications of AI technology in coal production and operations[64] - The Group aims to deepen strategic initiatives, including technological upgrades, digital management, and smart mine construction to improve production and safety standards[189] - The company plans to shift its production focus from hard coking coal to semi-hard coking coal starting in 2024[37] Dividends and Shareholder Returns - The proposed final dividend per share for 2024 is HK$21.0 cents, an increase of 7% from HK$18.0 cents in 2023[20] - The Group paid total cash dividends of approximately HK$1,396 million during the year, down from approximately HK$2,031 million in the previous year[88] - The Group has proposed a final dividend of 21 Hong Kong cents per ordinary share for 2024, reflecting its commitment to providing stable returns to shareholders[66] Economic Environment - The Chinese economy achieved a GDP growth target of 5.0% in 2024, supported by proactive fiscal and monetary policies[50] - The global economic environment remains challenging, with rising protectionism and tariff barriers likely to depress overall demand in the steel industry[184] - The Chinese government has set a GDP growth target of 5% for 2025, with plans to expand local government special bonds to CNY 4.4 trillion, focusing on infrastructure and resolving local government debts[187] Compliance and Governance - The company has complied with relevant laws and regulations in both the PRC and Hong Kong throughout the reporting period[164] - The Group emphasizes its commitment to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) responsibilities, reflecting its proactive performance in sustainable development[194] - The company was rated Grade A in the "2024 Hong Kong Stock Exchange Listed Companies Energy Sector ESG Performance TOP 10," ranking sixth overall[154]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shougang Resources, with a target price of HKD 3.19, indicating an expected performance that exceeds the local market index by over 15% [7][8]. Core Views - The significant increase in the sales proportion of high-sulfur coking coal has impacted sales prices, but the pressure is expected to ease in the first half of 2025. The company is projected to maintain a 100% dividend payout ratio for 2024, supported by strong cash flow [2][8]. - The company experienced a decline in total revenue for 2024, amounting to HKD 5.057 billion, a decrease of 14% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 21% to HKD 1.494 billion. This decline is attributed to changes in sales structure, falling coking coal prices, and currency exchange rate impacts [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue and Profit Trends: - Revenue for 2021 was HKD 7,075.82 million, increasing to HKD 8,214.72 million in 2022, before dropping to HKD 5,891.07 million in 2023 and further to HKD 5,057 million in 2024, reflecting a 14.2% decrease [6]. - Net profit followed a similar trend, with HKD 2,538.50 million in 2021, HKD 2,715.37 million in 2022, HKD 1,889.25 million in 2023, and HKD 1,494.07 million in 2024, marking a 20.9% decline [6]. - Production and Sales: - The company anticipates a raw coking coal production of approximately 4.96 million tons in 2024, a decrease of 6%, while the production of premium coking coal is expected to be around 3.16 million tons, down 3% [8]. - The average selling price of premium coking coal is projected to be HKD 1,666 per ton in 2024, a decline of 14% year-on-year [8]. - Dividend and Cash Flow: - The company expects to distribute profits amounting to HKD 1.512 billion in cash for 2024, with a dividend payout ratio of 100%, an increase from 73% in 2023 [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 3.40 [6][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 5.06 billion for 2024, a decrease of 14.2% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in average selling prices and increased production costs [1][2]. - Despite the revenue decline, the company declared a total dividend of HKD 0.30 per share, an increase of 7.1% year-on-year, with a dividend payout ratio reaching 100% [1][3]. - The company has a strong asset base and stable operations, which supports its high dividend yield of 11.5% [1][3]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved a net profit of HKD 1.49 billion in 2024, down 20.9% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 51.2% [5][12]. - The average selling price of premium coking coal fell by 13.8% to HKD 1,666 per ton, which was more significant than the market average decline [2][3]. Production and Costs - The company produced 4.96 million tons of raw coking coal in 2024, a decrease of 5.5% year-on-year, while premium coking coal production was 3.16 million tons, down 2.8% year-on-year [2][3]. - Production costs for raw coal increased by 7% to HKD 429 per ton, influenced by various cost factors including resource taxes and labor [3][20]. Financial Forecasts - The forecast for net profit for 2025 is adjusted to HKD 1.05 billion, reflecting a 39% decrease from previous estimates [4][11]. - The company is expected to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 80% from 2025 to 2035, with a perpetual growth rate assumption of 0% [4][13]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 12.37 for 2025, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to be 0.75 [5][20]. - The target price of HKD 3.40 represents a 6.3% increase from the previous target price of HKD 3.20 [11][20].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 3.40 [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 5.06 billion for 2024, a decrease of 14.2% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in average selling prices and increased production costs [1][2]. - Despite the revenue decline, the company declared a total dividend of HKD 0.30 per share, an increase of 7.1% year-on-year, with a dividend payout ratio reaching 100% [1][2]. - The company has a strong asset base and stable operations, which supports its high dividend yield of 11.5% [1]. Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved a net profit of HKD 1.49 billion in 2024, down 20.9% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 51.2% [5][13]. - The average selling price of premium coking coal decreased by 13.8% year-on-year, which was more significant than the market average decline [2][3]. Production and Cost Management - The company produced 4.96 million tons of raw coking coal in 2024, a decrease of 5.5% year-on-year, but production is expected to recover in the second half of 2024 [2][3]. - The production cost of raw coal increased by 7% year-on-year to HKD 429 per ton, influenced by various cost factors including resource taxes and labor [3][4]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is adjusted to HKD 1.05 billion, reflecting a 39% decrease from previous estimates [4][12]. - The valuation method has been adjusted to a Dividend Discount Model (DDM), with a conservative assumption of an 80% dividend payout ratio and a target price of HKD 3.40 [4][12]. Key Financial Metrics - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at HKD 0.30, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 8.67 [5][21]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline to 9.12% in 2024, down from 11.43% in 2023 [5][21].