智通财经APP获悉，海通国际发布研报称，近期，外卖及即时零售市场的激烈竞争，其核心是各大平台 围绕"即时零售"这一关键增长赛道展开的战略卡位。各方投入巨额补贴，其根本目的并不仅限于争夺外 卖订单，而是出于更深远的战略考量：抢占新流量入口，提升用户粘性与平台渗透率。而此次竞争的更 深层逻辑，在于将即时购物延伸为覆盖本地生活全场景的服务平台。预计到2025年末，美团/淘宝闪购 &饿了么/京东外卖的市场份额将呈现6∶3∶1的分布格局。 外卖单量&市占率展望 美团保持最大份额，而淘宝闪购&饿了么日订单量增幅最大。在补贴大战高峰之际，美团外卖日订单量 由突破1.5万亿，市场份额~60%；淘宝闪购&；饿了么日单量突破9,000万单，市场份额~30%；京东外 卖日单量突破2,500万单，市场份额~10%在三家平台补贴与竞争升级带动下，整个外卖+即时零售市场 日单量已由5月约1亿单飙升至当前的约2.5亿单，标志着"场景黏性"与"生态协同"将成为下半场竞争的 真正核心。 外卖及即时零售市场规模将继续快速增长。根据艾瑞咨询统计，截至2024年底，中国餐饮外卖市场规模 已由2015年的1,250亿元跃升至约1.5万亿元，年复合增长 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Haitong International emphasizes the structural opportunities arising from policy catalysts, highlighting the need to focus on industries benefiting from government policies while adhering to the principle of "high dividends + fundamental improvement" [1] Demand - In July, among the eight essential consumer sectors tracked, six maintained positive growth, while two experienced negative growth. The sectors with single-digit growth included dining (+4.4%), soft drinks (+2.7%), frozen foods (+1.7%), condiments (+1.1%), dairy products (+1.1%), and beer (+0.6%). The sectors with declines were high-end and above liquor (-4.0%) and mass-market liquor (-3.9%). Compared to the previous month, five sectors saw a deterioration in growth rates, while three improved [2] Pricing - In July, most liquor prices stabilized. The prices for Feitian (whole box, loose bottle, and Moutai 1935) were 1915, 1880, and 655 yuan, respectively, showing changes of -35, flat, and -20 yuan compared to the previous month, and -665, -500, and -155 yuan year-on-year. The price for Pu'er liquor was 930 yuan, up by 10 yuan from the previous month, remaining flat year-on-year. After significant adjustments in June, most liquor prices saw slight increases or remained stable in July, with only a few continuing to decline. The discounts for liquid milk and beer products decreased, while soft drink discounts increased, with prices for infant formula, convenience foods, and condiments remaining stable [3] Costs - In July, the spot cost index generally declined, while the futures cost index primarily increased. The spot cost indices for dairy products, soft drinks, frozen foods, beer, instant noodles, and condiments changed by -2.92%, -2.46%, -1.88%, -1.78%, -1.58%, and -1.29%, respectively. The futures cost indices changed by -1.52%, +1.64%, -1.77%, +3.57%, +0.84%, and +2.89%. In terms of packaging materials, the prices for aluminum cans, glass, plastic, and paper changed by +3.67%, -0.08%, -0.82%, and -1.20% month-on-month, and year-on-year changes were +6.78%, -21.18%, -15.60%, and -4.11%. The prices for direct raw materials, such as palm oil, increased by +5.33% month-on-month and +13.13% year-on-year, while fresh milk prices slightly dropped to 3.03 yuan/kg [4] Funds - By the end of July, net inflows from Hong Kong Stock Connect amounted to 124.1 billion yuan (up from 73.45 billion yuan the previous month), with the essential consumer sector's market capitalization accounting for 5.05%, an increase of 0.17 percentage points from the previous month. The market share of the food additives sector in Hong Kong Stock Connect was 12.7%, down by 0.52 percentage points, while dairy products saw an increase of 0.6% to 11.6%. In terms of holding ratios, Qingdao Beer (600600) had the highest at 40.0%, followed by Huabao International at 19.8%. As of the end of June, the market capitalization share of food and beverage in the A-share market was 4.56%, down by 0.22 percentage points from Q1 2025, with Yili (600887) having the highest holding ratio at 10.7%, followed by Dongpeng Beverage (605499) at 9.9% [5] Valuation - At the end of July, the historical PE ratio for the food and beverage sector was at the 16th percentile (20.2x), unchanged from the end of the previous month. The sub-sectors with lower percentiles included beer (3%, 23.8x) and liquor (11%, 17.9x). The median valuation for leading A-share companies was 20x, down by 1x from the previous month. The historical PE ratio for the essential consumer sector in H-shares was at the 54th percentile (20.0x), an increase of 10 percentage points from the previous month (44%, 19.4x). The sub-sectors with lower percentiles included packaged foods (6%, 10.7x) and alcoholic beverages (7%, 17.6x). The median valuation for leading food and beverage companies in H-shares was 21x, up by 1x from the previous month [6]

Core Viewpoint - Wenzhi Traditional Chinese Medicine has submitted its listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with Haitong International as its sole sponsor [1] Group 1: Market Position - Wenzhi Traditional Chinese Medicine is projected to be the largest AI-assisted traditional Chinese medicine service provider in mainland China in 2023 and 2024, with market shares of 1.5% and 1.3% respectively [1] Group 2: Product and Service Offerings - The company has developed "Traditional Chinese Medicine Brain," which is the first and only AI-assisted diagnostic system for traditional Chinese medicine in mainland China, validated through clinical consistency studies and expert reviews from top-tier hospitals [1] - Wenzhi generates revenue through traditional Chinese medicine services, wellness and knowledge products, and subscription services for the TCM Brain [1] Group 3: Community Engagement - The establishment of "Jingyi Academy" has resulted in the largest registered TCM community in mainland China, promoting TCM culture and knowledge sharing, while also accumulating potential customers for the company's business [1]

智通财经APP获悉，海通国际发布研报称，2025至2027年小菜园(00999)营收各65.4亿、79.3亿及94.3亿 元人民币，同比各增25%、21%及19%，经调净利润各7.4亿、9.2亿及11亿元人民币，同比各增27%、 24%及19%。基于小菜园处于品牌上升期且门店拓展提速，给予2025年20倍市盈率，对应合理市值159 亿港元，目标价13.5港元，首次覆盖给予"优于大市"评级。 该行称，小菜园是大众便民中式餐饮领导 者。2024年截至8月，公司的门店层面经营利润率为17.8%。该行预计，得益于门店面积优化缩减固定 成本、炒菜机器人投入提升人效、规模效应显现推动原材料端成本进一步摊薄，以及品牌力增强带来的 租金议价权提升，2025年门店经营利润率有望回升至20%以上。开店空间方面，经测算小菜园开店空间 广阔，预计门店数量可超2500家。 该信息由智通财经网提供 ...

展望2025财年全年，该行预计快手总收入为1,415亿元，同比增长12%，非通用会计准则(non-GAAP)净 利润为200亿元，同比增长14%，对应净利润率为14%。其中，直播、在线广告和电商收入分别预计为 380亿、825亿及210亿元。 智通财经APP获悉，海通国际发布研报称，在快手-W(01024)稳健的传统业务和可灵AI快速崛起的背景 下，对其2025年non-GAAP净利润200亿元应用18倍市盈率(此前为12倍)，目标价相应由原先62港元大幅 上调47%至91港元。考虑到可灵AI的领先地位和主营业务的健康增长，维持"优于大市"评级。 海通国际料快手次季总收入为346亿元人民币(下同)，同比增长12%。其中，直播收入预计同比增长 5%，线上广告收入同比增长13%，电商GMV同比增长15%，对应收入为34亿元。盈利能力方面，次季 调整后净利润预计为50亿元，对应净利润率为15%。 该行表示，快手主营业务收入保持稳健，盈利能力持续改善。线上广告、直播和电商增长速度仍快于行 业平均水平，同时费用得到严格控制。海外业务在2025年第一季已实现盈利，预计第二季亦将如此。人 工智能投资对利润率的影响为1至2个 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent personnel changes at Guotai Junan (国泰海通) include the appointment of Lin Yong as a senior researcher in the Policy and Industry Research Institute and Sun Tong as a mid-level deputy in the Digital Transformation Office, indicating a strategic shift within the company [1][2]. Group 1: Personnel Changes - Lin Yong has been appointed as a senior researcher in the Policy and Industry Research Institute, which is a first-level department under the Research and Institutional Business Committee [1][2]. - Sun Tong has been appointed as a mid-level deputy in the Digital Transformation Office, also a first-level department [1][2]. - Lin Yong previously served as the CEO of Haitong International, with a peak annual salary exceeding 18 million yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Background of Lin Yong - Lin Yong joined Haitong Securities in December 1996 and held various senior positions, including Deputy General Manager of the Investment Banking Department [3]. - He served as the CEO of Haitong International from 2011 until his resignation in 2023, following significant financial losses at the company [3][4]. - Haitong International reported a net loss of 65.41 billion HKD in 2022 and a cumulative loss exceeding 170 billion HKD from 2022 to 2024, marking it as the largest loss case for a Chinese brokerage in Hong Kong [7]. Group 3: Background of Sun Tong - Sun Tong has a long history with Haitong, having joined in 2000 and served in various roles, including Executive Director of Haitong International [5][6]. - He was appointed as Chief Investment Officer of Haitong International in September 2017 and has held significant responsibilities in frontline business operations [5][6]. Group 4: Implications of Personnel Changes - The transition of Lin Yong from a management role to a research position raises questions about the future direction of the company and its strategic focus [7]. - The significant losses at Haitong International may have influenced the decision to restructure leadership roles within Guotai Junan [7].

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International maintains a target valuation of 35 times the price-to-earnings ratio for Pop Mart (09992) by 2025, raising the target price by 60% to HKD 316.7, while keeping an "outperform" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Pop Mart's performance in the first half of the year exceeded expectations, with significant year-on-year growth attributed to the global recognition of its IPs and a diverse range of product categories driving rapid revenue growth across regions [1] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of RMB 35.1 billion, RMB 53.5 billion, and RMB 69.1 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 169%, 53%, and 29% respectively [2] - Adjusted net profits are projected to be RMB 11.2 billion, RMB 17.8 billion, and RMB 23.8 billion for the same years, with year-on-year growth rates of 229%, 58%, and 34% respectively [2] Group 2: Operational Insights - The increase in overseas revenue proportion and changes in revenue structure positively impacted both gross and net profit margins, alongside enhanced economies of scale [1] - The company has successfully diversified its IP portfolio from reliance on a single product (MOLLY) to multiple successful IPs like PUCKY, DIMOO, SKULLPANDA, and more recently, THE MONSTERS and CRYBABY, reducing risks associated with dependence on a few IPs [1] - The long-term operational capability of Pop Mart's IPs has been validated, ensuring a higher sustainability of performance [1]

Core Insights - Chinese securities firms have made significant progress in Hong Kong's capital market by being selected as the first distributors for the Integrated Fund Platform (IFP) launched by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) [1][2] - The IFP aims to enhance the efficiency of the fund distribution ecosystem by integrating order processing for subscriptions and redemptions, thereby improving communication between fund distributors and registered agents [1][2] Industry Developments - The HKEX announced the launch of order transmission services on the IFP, which will streamline the processing of fund orders and enhance collaboration among participants in the fund distribution ecosystem [1][2] - The first batch of distributors includes 12 Chinese securities firms, which are expected to leverage their technological and asset allocation advantages to strengthen their roles in connecting mainland China and Hong Kong's capital markets [2] Company Strategies - Selected Chinese securities firms plan to enhance their service offerings and expand their wealth management business by providing a wider range of fund products and improving the transparency of investment information [1][3] - Companies like CITIC Securities and China Galaxy International are focusing on optimizing their service platforms and integrating digital order transmission to improve efficiency in fund subscription and redemption processes [3][4] - Guangfa Securities (Hong Kong) aims to leverage Hong Kong's position as an international asset and wealth management center by continuously innovating its wealth management services [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has launched the Integrated Fund Platform (IFP) order transmission service, enhancing the efficiency of fund distribution and providing a broader range of investment options for investors [1][3]. Group 1: Platform Overview - The IFP includes 33 companies, with 17 fund distributors, including 12 Chinese brokers, and aims to streamline the fund distribution process [1][4]. - The platform is designed to cover the entire distribution cycle of retail funds in Hong Kong, lowering entry barriers for the fund industry and improving market efficiency [3][7]. - The new order transmission service integrates subscription and redemption processes, facilitating smoother operations between fund distributors and registered agents [3][9]. Group 2: Participating Institutions - The 12 Chinese brokers participating in the IFP include notable firms such as China Galaxy International and CITIC Securities, all of which have cross-border wealth management qualifications [2][8]. - Other distributors include major banks like Bank of China (Hong Kong) and China Construction Bank (Asia), indicating a diverse range of institutions involved [4][6]. - The platform also includes six registered agents, enhancing the operational framework of the fund distribution network [5]. Group 3: Impact on Wealth Management - The launch of the IFP is expected to significantly benefit wealth management businesses, particularly for brokers qualified for cross-border wealth management [10][11]. - As of May 2025, the cross-border wealth management program has seen participation from 157,900 investors, indicating a growing market for these services [10]. - Brokers have expressed optimism about the platform's potential to enhance service capabilities and expand the range of fund products available to clients [11]. Group 4: Future Developments - Future phases of the IFP will include agent services and improvements in payment and settlement processes, with ongoing collaboration between HKEX, regulators, and industry stakeholders [12].

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International projects that Xiaomi's YU7 may achieve monthly deliveries exceeding 40,000 units by the end of the year, despite a slight decline in June sales [1] Industry Summary - Major automakers in China are launching promotional discounts to capture market share as they report June sales figures [1] - The competitive landscape is expected to shift towards service upgrades, quality and price balance, and technological advancements as regulatory pressures increase [1] Company Summary - Xiaomi's automobile sales in June surpassed 25,000 units, reflecting a month-over-month decline of approximately 3,000 units [1] - The YU7 model was launched on June 26, securing over 240,000 orders within 18 hours, indicating strong market interest [1] - The main challenge for Xiaomi lies in the delivery process, with the pace of the factory's second-phase capacity release being a critical variable [1]