Group 1 - Zhang Yidong, a prominent strategist, has joined Guotai Junan after leaving his previous position at Industrial Securities, where he served as the co-director of the Economic and Financial Research Institute and Global Chief Strategist [1][2] - His new role at Guotai Junan includes being a member of the Executive Committee of Haitong International Securities and overseeing the stock research and sales trading departments, focusing on cross-border integration of research operations [1] - Zhang has over 20 years of experience in sell-side research, covering A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and U.S. markets, and has received numerous accolades, including being the first New Fortune Platinum and Diamond Analyst in the total research field [2] Group 2 - Zhang expressed his desire to focus on overseas business and contribute to telling China's financial story to global investors, emphasizing the importance of seizing China's asset pricing power [3] - He believes that the Chinese stock market is entering a historic opportunity comparable to the real estate boom after 1998, driven by the need for high-quality economic development [3][4] - The revitalization of the asset side of the balance sheet is seen as crucial for unlocking economic potential and achieving high-quality development goals by 2035 and 2049 [4] Group 3 - The stock market is viewed as a key engine for economic growth, similar to the role of real estate post-1998, with state-owned enterprises and asset revaluation leading the way [4] - The consensus among local governments is shifting towards asset securitization and leveraging state-owned resources, with the stock market serving as a pivotal mechanism for this transformation [4] - Zhang's recent insights suggest that the Hong Kong stock market is expected to continue its bull run into 2026, driven by improving profitability and liquidity [5]

Group 1 - Zhang Yidong, a prominent strategist and chief economist, has officially joined Guotai Junan and will serve as a member of the executive committee of Haitong International Securities and head of the equity research department [1][2][3] - Zhang has over 24 years of experience in the industry and has been recognized multiple times as a leading analyst in overseas awards, making significant contributions to the development of sell-side research and overseas research business [3] - His recent research outlook for 2026 indicates strong confidence in China's macro economy, A-shares, and Hong Kong stocks, emphasizing the importance of structural opportunities and long-term development over short-term economic perceptions [4][6] Group 2 - Zhang's investment strategy for 2026 includes focusing on four key areas: AI investments, low-interest-rate opportunities in traditional sectors, value discovery in traditional industries, and strategic assets like gold and rare earths [5] - He highlights the importance of structural opportunities in China's economy, particularly in high-level technological self-reliance, domestic consumption, and the transformation of traditional industries [6] - Zhang notes a shift in capital flows, with passive ETF funds returning to China and an increase in foreign investment allocation, particularly in the context of the renminbi's appreciation [6]

Core Viewpoint - Zhang Yidong has joined Haitong International Securities Group as a member of the executive committee, head of the equity research department, and chief economist, marking a significant shift in his career after 24 years in the securities analysis industry [1][2]. Company Overview - Haitong International is an international financial institution based in Hong Kong, providing comprehensive financial services including wealth management, corporate financing, asset management, global markets, and investment services [3]. - The company has established a financial service network covering major capital markets globally, including Hong Kong, Singapore, New York, London, Tokyo, Mumbai, and Sydney [3]. Zhang Yidong's Background - Zhang Yidong has been recognized multiple times as the top analyst in various categories by New Fortune, including being the first platinum and diamond analyst in the total research field [2]. - His accolades include being ranked first in strategy research in 2011, 2013-2014, and 2022-2023, as well as in Hong Kong strategy research from 2017-2018 and overseas market research from 2019-2021 [2]. Market Outlook - For 2026, Zhang Yidong predicts that both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks will experience upward fluctuations, potentially reaching a high point not seen since September 2024 [3]. - He emphasizes that while positive factors will gradually materialize, challenges will persist, leading to a volatile market environment [3]. Investment Strategy - Zhang Yidong advises investors to maintain patience as capital market levels rise, focusing on alpha opportunities in both growth and value sectors [4]. - He suggests avoiding overexposure to popular consensus and instead recommends a strategic approach to identify structural opportunities [4]. Investment Focus Areas - The four main investment lines for 2026 include: 1. Growth direction, particularly in technology, as a key theme in the US-China industrial resonance [4]. 2. Dividend assets, with a focus on leading sectors such as insurance, public utilities, and quality banking stocks [4]. 3. Value discovery in traditional industry leaders, driven by supply chain restructuring and overseas expansion opportunities [4]. 4. Strategic asset allocation in commodities like gold, rare earths, and copper, with expectations for gold to stabilize in the first half of 2026 [5].

Core Viewpoint - Zhang Yidong has joined Haitong International Securities as the Chief Economist and Head of the Equity Research Department, focusing on integrating domestic and international research and institutional sales [1][2]. Group 1: Zhang Yidong's Role and Responsibilities - Zhang Yidong is responsible for enhancing Haitong International's research capabilities and implementing the group's strategy for integrated research operations domestically and internationally [2]. - He aims to leverage the group's resources to capitalize on the dual opportunities of "Investing in China" and "Chinese Investment" [2]. - Zhang plans to strengthen the role of "Chinese experts" to better serve overseas clients and attract foreign capital back to the Chinese stock market [2]. Group 2: Background and Career Transition - Zhang Yidong left his position at Industrial Securities at the end of December 2022, citing career transition and family considerations [3]. - He has nearly 20 years of experience at Industrial Securities, where he held various significant roles, including Global Chief Strategist [4]. - Zhang holds degrees from Fudan University and Shanghai Jiao Tong University, and has been involved in both academic and practical finance roles [3][4]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Investment Strategy - Zhang Yidong maintains a strong confidence in both A-shares and H-shares, emphasizing the importance of structural highlights and long-term development in investment strategies [4]. - For 2026, he anticipates improvements in nominal GDP growth and moderate inflation, suggesting a focus on four key investment opportunities: AI, military industry, energy technology, and innovative pharmaceuticals [4]. - He also highlights the potential of stable high-yield assets in a low-interest-rate environment and traditional industries benefiting from supply chain restructuring [4].

Group 1 - Zhang Yidong, former Chief Strategist of Industrial Securities and Chief Economist of Everbright Securities International, has joined Haitong International at the beginning of this month [2][4] - This transition occurred just one month after he announced his departure from Industrial Securities via his personal public account at the end of last year [2][4]

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International's report indicates that AIA Group is expected to achieve a 14% growth in new business value by the end of Q4 2025, driven by improved agent productivity, diversified channels, and better performance in Hong Kong and mainland markets [1] Group 1 - The forecast for the new business value growth trajectory is projected to remain healthy and sustainable at 15% to 17% over the next two years [1] - The new business value predictions for AIA from 2025 to 2027 have been revised upward by 0% to 7% [1] - The target price for AIA has been increased from HKD 99.5 to HKD 108.5, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that New Oriental-S (09901) reported a 15% year-on-year increase in total revenue for Q2 of the 2026 fiscal year, reaching $1.191 billion, surpassing market expectations by 3% and exceeding the company's previous guidance of 9% to 12% [1] - Non-GAAP operating profit surged by 223% year-on-year to $89 million, exceeding consensus expectations by 62%, with a corresponding Non-GAAP operating profit margin of 7.5%, which is an increase of 2.8 percentage points over the consensus estimate of 4.7% [1] - Haitong International raised the target price for New Oriental from HKD 49 to HKD 52 based on the upward revision of performance expectations, maintaining an outperform rating [1] Group 2 - The company has been able to capture market share despite a generally sluggish study abroad industry, achieving a 1% year-on-year growth in Q2 of the 2026 fiscal year, with expectations for this trend to continue into the next quarter [1] - The company is taking a conservative stance on Q4 performance due to the strong seasonal characteristics of the study abroad consulting business, anticipating a decline in study abroad revenue next year due to the overall industry situation and the merger of its exam preparation and study abroad consulting businesses [1] - Haitong International noted that the company's cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures are showing continued effectiveness, with progress in optimizing teacher allocation and diversifying product offerings, indicating sustainable growth in the K12 business [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Haitong International indicates that New Oriental-S (09901) has exceeded market expectations with a 15% year-on-year revenue growth to $1.191 billion for Q2 of FY2026, surpassing the company's previous guidance of 9% to 12% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Non-GAAP operating profit increased significantly by 223% year-on-year to $89 million, exceeding consensus expectations by 62%, resulting in a Non-GAAP operating profit margin of 7.5%, which is 2.8 percentage points higher than the consensus estimate of 4.7% [1] - Haitong International has raised the target price for New Oriental from HKD 49 to HKD 52 based on the upward revision of performance expectations, maintaining an outperform rating [1] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Despite a generally sluggish study abroad industry due to ongoing macroeconomic and international uncertainties, the company has managed to capture market share with a 1% year-on-year growth in Q2 of FY2026, a trend expected to continue into the next quarter [1] - The company is implementing cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures, with progress noted in optimizing teacher allocation and diversifying product offerings, which include OMO, 1V1, small classes, and subject expansion [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company holds a cautious outlook for Q4 of FY2026 due to the strong seasonality of the study abroad consulting business, and anticipates a decline in study abroad revenue next year due to the overall industry situation and the merger of its exam preparation and study abroad consulting businesses [1] - The management has shown a strong commitment to improving profitability in the study abroad segment, despite current revenue growth being maintained at a low double-digit rate [2]

Market Overview - The current market is in a phase of upward trend with periodic fluctuations, emphasizing a balanced allocation between technology and value sectors, focusing on structural aspects rather than short-term index movements [1] - The market is expected to stabilize and rise before the Spring Festival, driven by fundamental and liquidity factors, with significant political and economic catalysts anticipated [1] Investment Strategy - Focus on sectors benefiting from the Spring Festival effect and macroeconomic catalysts in February, particularly in technology and value assets [1][3] - Maintain value assets as a core holding while increasing exposure to cyclical industry leaders showing improved sentiment [3] Sector Highlights - AI applications are gaining traction, with major tech companies competing for market share during the Spring Festival, including initiatives from Tencent, Baidu, and Alibaba [2] - High-performing technology manufacturing sectors include AI hardware, energy storage, and pharmaceuticals [2] - Future industries of interest include defense, domestic computing power, and controlled nuclear fusion [2] Liquidity and Market Data - The dollar index experienced significant fluctuations, impacting market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's policies [5] - A notable outflow of approximately 370 billion yuan from broad-based ETFs, while sector-specific ETFs saw inflows, particularly in metals and semiconductors [5] - In the Hong Kong market, short-selling activity has returned to historical averages, with net inflows from southbound funds decreasing [6] ETF Holdings Summary - Significant reductions in holdings of major ETFs, with the CSI 300 seeing a decrease of 5,644 million yuan, leaving a remaining share of 42% [7] - Other ETFs also experienced notable reductions, indicating a shift in investment strategies among institutional investors [7]

该行指，观察到公司的降本增效措施持续生效，同时通过渠道调研发现，公司在师资配置优化、产品多 样性丰富方面均有进展，涵盖OMO、1V1、小班课及科目拓展等维度。该行认为公司K12业务的稳健增 长具备可持续性，留学业务虽营收承压，但公司有明确的提升该板块利润率的决心。尽管目前公司营收 维持低双位数增速，建议投资者更多关注利润端的增长表现，因为公司管理层已展现出为投资者创造回 报的坚定决心。 海通国际发表研报指，新东方2026财年次季总营收年增15%至11.91亿美元，超出市场一致预期3%，且 突破公司此前9%至12%的指引上限；Non-Gaap营业利润按年大增223%至8,900万美元，超出一致预期 62%，对应Non-Gaap营业利润率为7.5%，较一致预期的4.7%提升2.8个百分点。展望明年，受行业整体 局势尚未复苏、以及公司考培与留学咨询业务合并的影响，预计留学业务营收将出现下滑。基于业绩预 期上修，该行将其目标价由49港元上调至52港元，评级"优于大市"。 ...