该行基于基本面改善，上调对腾讯业绩预测。第三季游戏、广告、金融科技与企业服务收入预测各上调 5%、1%及3%，料分别同比增长19%、21%及8%。全年相关收入预测各上调3%、1%及3%，料分别同比 增长20%、20%及8%。第三季及全年经营溢利预测各上调10%及6%，料分别同比增长22%及21%。 海通国际发布研报称，腾讯控股(00700)第二季收入同比升15%至1,845亿元人民币，较预期胜3%，各业 务线表现超预期。经营溢利同比升18%至692亿元人民币，胜预期3%。经调整经营溢利同比升1.3个百分 点至37.5%符预期，扣除其他利润及亏损后的经调整经营溢利率较预期高2个百分点。海通国际对腾讯 目标价由620港元上调至700港元，评级跑赢大市。 ...

Core Insights - Tencent Holdings (00700) reported a 15% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q2, reaching 184.5 billion RMB, exceeding expectations by 3% [1] - Operating profit rose by 18% year-on-year to 69.2 billion RMB, also surpassing expectations by 3% [1] - Adjusted operating profit margin increased by 1.3 percentage points year-on-year to 37.5%, aligning with expectations, while the adjusted operating profit margin excluding other profits and losses was 2 percentage points higher than anticipated [1] Revenue Forecast Adjustments - Haidong International raised its revenue forecasts for Tencent based on improved fundamentals, with Q3 revenue predictions for gaming, advertising, and fintech & enterprise services increased by 5%, 1%, and 3% respectively, expected to grow year-on-year by 19%, 21%, and 8% [1] - Full-year revenue forecasts were also raised by 3%, 1%, and 3% for the same segments, with expected year-on-year growth of 20%, 20%, and 8% [1] Operating Profit Forecast Adjustments - Q3 and full-year operating profit forecasts were increased by 10% and 6% respectively, with expected year-on-year growth of 22% and 21% [1] - Haidong International adjusted its target price for Tencent from 620 HKD to 700 HKD, maintaining an outperform rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Haidong International reported that Tencent's Q2 revenue increased by 15% year-on-year to 184.5 billion yuan, exceeding expectations by 3% [1] - Operating profit rose by 18% year-on-year to 69.2 billion yuan, also surpassing expectations by 3% [1] - Adjusted operating profit margin increased by 1.3 percentage points to 37.5%, aligning with expectations, while the adjusted operating profit margin excluding other profits and losses was 2 percentage points higher than anticipated [1] Revenue Forecast Adjustments - Based on fundamental improvements, the firm raised its revenue forecasts for Tencent's Q3 in gaming, advertising, fintech, and enterprise services by 5%, 1%, and 3% respectively, expecting year-on-year growth of 19%, 21%, and 8% [1] - For the full year, revenue forecasts were increased by 3%, 1%, and 3%, with expected year-on-year growth of 20%, 20%, and 8% respectively [1] Operating Profit Forecast Adjustments - The firm raised its operating profit forecasts for Q3 and the full year by 10% and 6% respectively, anticipating year-on-year growth of 22% and 21% [1] Target Price and Rating - The target price for Tencent was raised from 620 HKD to 700 HKD, with a rating of "outperform" [1]

Group 1 - The market is expected to enter a period of consolidation to build momentum for future gains, with the Hong Kong stock market maintaining a fluctuating pattern since July 25, while the A-share market has seen significant inflows driven by retail and leveraged funds [1] - The margin trading balance in mainland China increased by 45.7 billion RMB in the first four trading days of the week, with a total inflow of 170 billion RMB over the past month, indicating strong buying interest in A-shares [1] - The low deposit rates and bond yields, combined with the ongoing profitability of the stock market, suggest a continued trend of funds moving from deposits to equities [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong stock market has underperformed compared to A-shares due to a lack of foreign capital inflow, with foreign investors waiting for improvements in China's economic fundamentals [2] - The recent macroeconomic data from China indicates a slowdown, with weak credit demand from households and businesses, necessitating stronger policy measures to stimulate demand [2] - The upcoming Jackson Hole central bank meeting is a critical observation point, as it may influence market sentiment and policy direction, especially in light of external uncertainties such as tariffs on steel and aluminum products [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Haitong International indicates that the revenue of China Literature Group decreased by 24% year-on-year to 3.2 billion yuan, which is still 1.5% higher than market expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Online reading and IP business revenues reached 2 billion yuan and 1.2 billion yuan respectively, both slightly above expectations [1] - Adjusted net profit margin decreased by 1 percentage point year-on-year to 15.9%, which is 5 percentage points higher than market expectations [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company is expected to capitalize on the rise of the IP industry, with steady growth anticipated in TV drama IP, IP derivative products, and short drama businesses [1] - New Classics Media is projected to contribute more in the second half of the year, while online reading business is expected to maintain stable performance [1] - Forecasts for total revenue in the second half and for the full year are set at 4 billion yuan and 7.2 billion yuan respectively, with a maintained "outperform" rating and a target price raised to 38 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International's report indicates that China Literature Group (00772) achieved a revenue of 3.2 billion RMB in the first half of the year, exceeding market expectations by 1.5% [1] Financial Performance - Online reading and IP business revenues reached 2 billion RMB and 1.2 billion RMB respectively, both slightly above expectations [1] - Adjusted net profit margin stood at 15.9%, surpassing market expectations by 5 percentage points [1] Growth Prospects - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the rise of the IP industry, with expectations for steady growth in TV drama IP, IP derivative products, and short drama businesses [1] - New Classics Media is anticipated to contribute more in the second half of the year [1] Revenue Forecast - The forecast for total revenue in the second half and for the full year is set at 4 billion RMB and 7.2 billion RMB respectively [1] - The rating is maintained at "outperform" with a target price raised to 38 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International's report indicates that China Literature Group (00772) achieved a revenue of 3.2 billion RMB in the first half of the year, exceeding market expectations by 1.5% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Online reading and IP business revenues reached 2 billion RMB and 1.2 billion RMB respectively, both slightly above expectations [1] - Adjusted net profit margin stood at 15.9%, surpassing market expectations by 5 percentage points [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the rise of the IP industry, with expectations for steady growth in TV drama IP, IP derivative products, and short drama businesses [1] - New Classics Media is anticipated to contribute more in the second half of the year, with stable performance in online reading [1] - Forecasts for total revenue in the second half and for the full year are set at 4 billion RMB and 7.2 billion RMB respectively [1] - The rating is maintained at "outperform" with a target price raised to 38 HKD [1]

Core Viewpoint - Different groups have submitted listing applications to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with Haitong International and CITIC Securities acting as joint sponsors [1] Group 1: Listing Applications - Multiple groups are actively seeking to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, indicating a robust interest in capital markets [1] - The involvement of prominent sponsors such as Haitong International and CITIC Securities suggests a strong backing for these applications [1]

Core Viewpoint - The privatization of Haitong International Securities Group Limited by its parent company Haitong Securities is a strategic move in response to significant financial losses and market pressures, with a proposed buyout price reflecting a substantial premium over its recent trading price [1][2][3]. Group 1: Privatization Details - Haitong International's privatization offer is set at HKD 1.52 per share, representing a premium of approximately 114% over its last closing price of HKD 0.71 before suspension [2][3]. - The total cash consideration for the privatization is estimated to be around HKD 34.70 billion, covering approximately 2.283 billion shares [2][3]. - The privatization plan will result in Haitong International being delisted from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [2][3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Haitong International has faced significant financial challenges, with projected net losses of approximately HKD 64 billion to HKD 66 billion for 2022, attributed to market volatility and declining commission revenues [3][4]. - The company's net profit has declined sharply from HKD 30.29 billion in 2017 to a loss of HKD 65.41 billion in 2022, indicating a downward trend in profitability since 2021 [3][4]. - The financial difficulties have impacted the company's ability to raise funds, leading to increased scrutiny from the market regarding its financial health [4]. Group 3: Parent Company Stability - Haitong Securities, the parent company, reported a robust financial position with a revenue of HKD 169.68 billion and a net profit of HKD 38.3 billion for the first half of 2023 [5][6]. - The company's total assets were reported at HKD 762.39 billion, with a net asset value of HKD 167.02 billion as of June 30, 2023 [6]. - Haitong Securities' liquidity ratios are well above regulatory requirements, indicating a strong capacity to manage financial risks associated with the privatization [6]. Group 4: Market Context - The trend of privatization in the Hong Kong market has been notable, with over five companies successfully completing privatization this year, including notable names like Dali Foods and Yashili [6]. - Industry analysts suggest that privatization decisions are often driven by strategic considerations, including cost savings, competition avoidance, and addressing low stock liquidity and valuation issues [6].

2023年6月，中国证券业协会印发《证券公司网络和信息安全三年提升计划(2023-2025)》，鼓励经营机 构信息技术平均投入金额不少于2023年至2025年平均净利润的10%或平均营业收入的7%。根据统计， 2024年信息技术投入金额排名前十的证券公司，其信息技术投入金额占净利润比例均超过了10%，其中 比例排名前三的分别为国投证券、海通国际公司和华泰证券；占营业收入比例方面，投入前十的证券公 司中，除银河证券和申万宏源的信息技术投入占营业收入比例低于7%外，其余证券公司该比例均在7% 以上。 《证券公司网络和信息安全三年提升计划(2023-2025)》鼓励有条件的证券公司结合自身实际情况逐步提 升信息科技专业人员比例至企业员工总数的 7%。据统计，2024年信息技术投入前十的的证券公司中， 有七家披露了信息技术人员数量，其中四家信息技术人员占员工总数比例超过了7%，依次为招商证券 (16.3%)、申万宏源(8.6%)、海通国际公司(7.4%)、广发证券(7.1%)；三家证券公司信息技术人员占比未 达7%，分别为中信建投(6.8%)、国信证券(5.9%)、银河证券(5.5%)。 风险提示：证券公司信息技术投 ...