2025.07. 21 以2004年"西气东输"全线贯通为发端，中国城市燃气行业经历了跑马圈地的黄金十年，到"十三五"末 形成以五大城燃、省燃气公司为龙头，数千家中小企业分散的格局。但随着"十四五"国内天然气市场 化改革加快、老旧管网改造安全监管力度加大，以及终端电气化激烈竞争，城燃行业进入深度调整 期，企业发展面临更多挑战。 不过国内"双碳"目标下正催生出新的机会，城燃企业也从此前的"卖气郎"悄然蜕变为综合能源服务 商，新一轮跑马圈地大幕徐徐拉开。 新业态下，早前城市燃气特许经营权的牌照限制被打破，企业在这一轮角逐中拼的将是什么？"双 碳"目标下，综合能源市场前景几何，企业如何评估项目投资收益，又将给行业转型带来哪些启示？ 城燃角色生变 在广东省肇庆市四会市一家纺织染整厂内，一条条彩色棉布从染缸中拉出，传输到足有两人高的定型 机中，导布辊滚动间烘干后的布匹便规整地堆叠在手推车上。整个印染过程鲜有人工干预，唯二常见 的是在厂房间运输布匹的染整厂工人，以及身穿黄色工服、操作智能一体机控制柜的新奥员工。 这家年产能3万多吨的墩煌纺织染整公司主要从事服装印花、加工、销售针织衣服务，是当地规模较 大的民企。由于印染行 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the natural gas industry is "Positive" (first-time rating) [4] Core Viewpoints - Natural gas is recognized as a clean, low-carbon, and flexible fossil energy source, serving as a crucial bridge for energy transition. It is expected to support global energy transformation for an extended period [4][7] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has shown significant achievements in supply-side development, with infrastructure construction accelerating. By the end of 2024, China's natural gas production is projected to reach 246.451 billion cubic meters, a 28% increase from 2020 [4][14] - The consumption growth rate of natural gas during the "14th Five-Year Plan" has slowed compared to the previous five years, but the price mechanism is gradually being rationalized. The apparent consumption of natural gas in China is expected to reach 426.05 billion cubic meters in 2024, an 8% year-on-year increase [4][36] - The report anticipates a continued downward trend in natural gas costs, with stable demand growth expected before 2030. The demand for LNG in the transportation sector is projected to reach 40-55 billion cubic meters by 2030 [4][14] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - Natural gas is positioned as a transitional energy source to achieve carbon peak goals by 2030, with a target of 15% of total energy consumption by that year [4][7] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes energy security, energy conservation, and carbon reduction, with a clear trend of increasing natural gas consumption in provincial plans [8] Supply and Infrastructure - Significant progress has been made in increasing domestic gas production, with a focus on conventional and unconventional gas sources. The total length of natural gas pipelines reached 126,000 kilometers by the end of 2023 [14][25] - By the end of 2024, 31 LNG receiving stations will be operational, with a total receiving capacity exceeding 15 million tons per year [25][26] Consumption Trends - The natural gas consumption structure includes urban gas, industrial fuel, power generation, and chemical use, with urban gas and industrial fuel maintaining stable proportions [36] - The report highlights the impact of geopolitical factors on gas prices, with a notable increase in the average import price of LNG in 2022 [4][19] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on upstream exploration companies like Xin Natural Gas, integrated companies like ENN Energy and Jiufeng Energy, and downstream city gas companies such as China Resources Gas and Kunlun Energy [4]

Core Viewpoint - The four major urban gas companies in China have released their 2024 ESG reports, highlighting their greenhouse gas emissions and sustainability efforts, with a notable decrease in emissions across the board [1][3]. Emission Data Summary - Kunlun Energy has the highest total greenhouse gas emissions at 1.594 million tons of CO2 equivalent, a year-on-year decrease of 1.5%, with scope 1 emissions at 490,000 tons and scope 2 emissions at 1.104 million tons [3]. - New Hope Energy reported total emissions of 205,000 tons of CO2 equivalent, down 12.4% year-on-year, with scope 1 at 101,000 tons and scope 2 at 104,000 tons [3]. - China Resources Gas emitted 129,000 tons of CO2 equivalent, a decrease of 10.8% year-on-year, with scope 1 at 39,000 tons and scope 2 at 90,000 tons [3]. - Honghua Smart Energy had the lowest emissions at 77,000 tons of CO2 equivalent, with the largest reduction of 26% year-on-year, scope 1 at 48,000 tons and scope 2 at 29,000 tons [3]. Scope 3 Emissions - Kunlun Energy's scope 3 emissions exceeded 100 million tons, reaching 142 million tons of CO2 equivalent, with the highest contributions from "use of sold products" and "purchased goods and services" [7]. - New Hope Energy's scope 3 emissions were 60.2 million tons, primarily from the "use of sold products" category [8]. - Honghua Smart Energy reported scope 3 emissions of 11.7 million tons, with the majority from "use of sold products" [8]. Hazardous Waste and Environmental Investment - Honghua Smart Energy reported the highest hazardous waste at 25 tons, followed by New Hope Energy at 22.68 tons and China Resources Gas at 9.24 tons [11]. - Kunlun Energy disclosed hazardous solid waste of 756 tons and methane emissions of 6,863 tons, down 4% year-on-year [13]. Sustainability Initiatives - Urban gas companies are actively pursuing new growth avenues to align with carbon neutrality goals, focusing on "urban gas + new energy" strategies [14]. - Honghua Smart Energy has implemented 128 zero-carbon smart parks and has a total installed photovoltaic capacity of 2.3 GW [14]. - China Resources Gas is focusing on distributed photovoltaic energy, with a total signed installed capacity of 4 GW and operational capacity of 3.1 GW [14]. - Kunlun Energy is expanding its renewable energy projects, including distributed photovoltaic and wind energy [14][15]. - New Hope Energy aims to increase the share of renewable energy to 36% by 2030, with a current share of 23.5% [15][16].

Core Viewpoint - The successful issuance of the "Zero Carbon Smart Phase II Green Asset-Backed Special Plan (Carbon Neutral)" by Towngas Smart Energy reflects strong market recognition of the company's asset quality and comprehensive energy management capabilities, with a subscription multiple of 2.4 times [3]. Group 1: Financial Details - The issuance scale of the green asset-backed plan is 470 million RMB, with a priority interest rate of 2.2%, marking the second issuance within a 5 billion RMB shelf program [3]. - The renewable energy business segment is expected to see a significant increase in after-tax operating profit, projected to grow by 514% to 479 million HKD in 2024 [3]. Group 2: Business Strategy and Development - The company aims to become a leading green smart energy enterprise by creating a three-dimensional system of "investment + service + platform," which includes investments in distributed solar, energy storage, and value-added services such as smart microgrids and carbon trading [4]. - The funds raised will be directed towards renewable energy projects, specifically in high-quality solar and energy storage initiatives, contributing to the energy transition and carbon neutrality goals [4]. Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - As of the end of 2024, the company's photovoltaic grid-connected capacity reached 2.3 GW, positioning it as a leader in the distributed solar industry [3]. - The company has signed over 400 MWh of energy storage contracts in 2024, with expectations for new contracts in 2025 to exceed those of 2024, indicating a strong growth trajectory in the energy storage sector [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company aims to enhance liquidity by selling its entire stake in several wholly-owned subsidiaries engaged in rooftop photovoltaic power generation projects in China for approximately RMB 470 million [1] Group 1: Transaction Details - The company entered into an agreement on June 3, 2025, to sell its stake and outstanding loans related to the rooftop photovoltaic projects [1] - The total consideration for the sale is approximately RMB 470 million [1] - The company will also subscribe to part of the equity-level asset-backed securities issued under the second phase of the asset-backed special plan, amounting to RMB 24 million, which represents about 5.1% of the total principal amount of the asset-backed securities [1] Group 2: Use of Proceeds - The net proceeds from the sale will be used to invest in rooftop photovoltaic and energy storage projects, repay bank loans, and serve as general working capital [1]

Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of HKD 21,314 million for 2024, representing an increase from HKD 19,842 million in 2023, marking a growth of approximately 7.4%[36] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 1,606 million in 2024, slightly down from HKD 1,575 million in 2023, indicating a decrease of around 1.5%[36] - The group’s overall revenue increased by 7.4% to HKD 21.314 billion, while core business profit rose by 34.5% to HKD 1.601 billion (up 37.2% in RMB) [42] - The group’s revenue for 2024 was 19.626 billion RMB, up 9.6%, while revenue in HKD increased by 7.4% to 21.314 billion HKD[139] - Total operating expenses for 2024 amounted to 19.420 billion HKD, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.8%[141] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 rose by 2.0% to 1.606 billion HKD, while core business profit surged by 34.5% to 1.601 billion HKD (up 37.2% in RMB) before non-operating gains and losses[147] User and Project Growth - The number of users across all enterprises reached 1,606, an increase from 1,575 in 2023, reflecting a growth of about 2%[34] - The company has secured a total of 749 projects across 27 provincial regions in mainland China, up from 536 projects at the end of 2023, representing an increase of approximately 39.7%[32] - The total number of urban gas projects reached 191, with 4 new projects added during the year, covering 19 provincial regions, and the total customer base reached 17.64 million, with 870,000 new customers added[72] - In 2024, the group's overall gas sales volume increased by 5% to 17.201 billion cubic meters, with a total customer base reaching 17.64 million, adding 870,000 new customers during the year[138] Renewable Energy Initiatives - The company aims to enhance its renewable energy business, which accounted for 20% of gas consumption in 2024, up from 19% in 2023[35] - The renewable energy business achieved a net profit of HKD 479 million in the year, representing a fivefold increase year-on-year, with over 1,000 renewable energy projects constructed across 24 provinces[95] - The renewable energy business is expected to enter a growth phase in 2024, aligning with the national target of exceeding 1.5 billion tons of standard coal in renewable energy consumption by 2030[94] - The group is actively exploring the application of hydrogen blending in natural gas, with a goal to cover 100,000 household customers in the "Hydrogen into Ten Thousand Homes" project in Weifang, Shandong[90] - The group aims to develop biomass natural gas projects and explore hydrogen blending opportunities in natural gas pipelines by 2025[47] Financial Management and Investments - The group maintains a prudent financial management policy, ensuring adequate cash and credit levels to support operations and business development[148] - The financing cost for 2024 decreased by 5.4% to 729 million HKD, attributed to strict capital expenditure control and successful low-interest loans[146] - The group has issued medium-term notes totaling RMB 1.8 billion with an average interest rate of 4.2% and an average term of 4.4 years as of December 31, 2024[151] - The group raised a total of RMB 1.5 billion through the issuance of 1-year and 3-year panda bonds in June 2023, with an average interest rate of 3.27%[151] - The group successfully established and issued a green asset-backed securities program with an initial issuance scale of RMB 515 million, part of a total shelf of RMB 5 billion[169] Sustainability and ESG Efforts - The company has been recognized as one of the "Best 1%" Chinese enterprises in gas utilities by S&P Global CSA, highlighting its commitment to sustainability[11] - The group has received multiple awards for its ESG disclosures and sustainable practices, reinforcing its reputation in the industry[19] - The group has reduced greenhouse gas emissions by approximately 26% compared to 2023, demonstrating its commitment to sustainability[110] - The group has engaged over 5,000 participants in a biodiversity and new energy summit, highlighting the global focus on renewable energy and biodiversity issues[119] - The group has received recognition for its ESG efforts, maintaining a strong position in the S&P Global ESG ratings[46] Strategic Initiatives and Future Plans - The company plans to continue expanding its market presence and investing in new technologies to drive future growth[36] - The group plans to enhance its resource pool and strengthen international trade business, including the import of liquefied natural gas[48] - The group will continue to expand energy storage projects and actively promote Energy as a Service (EaaS) business development[48] - The group is focusing on the "Gas+" business model, targeting public institutions, industrial, and construction sectors to provide comprehensive energy services[47] - The group has initiated a strategic cooperation with national pipeline networks and major oil companies to ensure diverse and sufficient gas supply[45] Board and Management - Dr. Zheng Mu Zhi has been an independent non-executive director since May 2007 and is currently the chairman of the remuneration committee and a member of the audit and risk committee[55] - Mr. Li Min Bin has served as an independent non-executive director since May 2007 and is the co-CEO of East Asia Bank, overseeing overall operations and management[57] - Dr. Lu Gong Hui has been an independent non-executive director since April 2022 and is a member of multiple committees including audit and risk, nomination, and remuneration[59] - Mr. Liao Ji Li has been a non-executive director since November 2021, with over 20 years of experience in private equity investments across various sectors in Greater China[62] - Mr. Huang Wei Yi has been the executive director and CEO since March 2007, recognized as one of Forbes' "Best CEOs of Chinese Listed Companies" in 2012 and 2013[64]

燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报 证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·燃气Ⅱ 关税引发经济衰退担忧美国气价大跌，关税 暂缓欧洲气价回升，国内气价平稳 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] ◼ 风险提示：经济增速不及预期、极端天气、国际局势变化、安全经营风险。 2025 年 04 月 21 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 谷玥 执业证书：S0600524090002 guy@dwzq.com.cn 2025-04-14 《天气温暖&产量下降美国气价上 升，俄乌和谈推进欧洲气价下降；关 税影响有限》 2025-04-07 东吴证券研究所 1 / 13 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 价格跟踪：关税引发经济衰退担忧美国气价大跌，关税暂缓欧洲气价回升，国 内气价平稳。截至 2025/04/17,美国 HH/欧洲 TTF/东亚 JKM/中国 LNG 出厂/中 国 LNG 到岸价周环比变动-20.6%/+6.8%/-4.1%/-0.5%/+9.7%至 0.8/3/3.1/3.1/3.1 元/方 ...

3月14日，作为能源革命的践行者与引领者，港华智慧能源（01083）交出了一份年度高质量答卷，在营收规模、核心利 润增长等直观数据上均有不俗的表现。 智通财经APP观测到，从盘面来看，在财报发布下一交易日(3月17日)，港华智慧能源盘中一度涨超9%，后虽有所回 落，但全日涨幅仍达7.93%。若拉长时间来看，三月份以来，公司股价累计涨幅已达到近15%，股价的升势已充分反映 资本市场对这份财报的肯定。 与此同时，公司良好的业绩增长和值得期待的发展前景也受到了包括中金、花旗、华泰证券等境内外券商的看好，纷纷 于绩后出具分析报告，展现了各大券商分析师对于公司价值的认可。 | 券商/国际投行 | 投资评级 | 目标价(港元/股) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中金 | 跑赢行业 | | 3.8 | | 华泰证券 | 买入 | | 4 | | 建银国际 | 跑赢行业 | | 4.1 | | 花旗 | 买人 | | 3.85 | | 中银国际 | 买人 | | 4.99 | | 汇丰 | 维持买入 | | 3.8 | | 大和 | 跑赢行业 | | 3.45 | | 兴业证券 | 维持增持 ...

上 市 公 司 公 司 点 评 / 公 司 点 评 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 投资要点： | | --- | 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万港元） | 19,842 | 21,314 | 21,861 | 22,739 | 23,499 | | 同比增长率（%） | -1.2 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 3.3 | | 归母净利润（百万港元） | 1,575 | 1,606 | 1,809 | 1,928 | 2,029 | | 同比增长率（%） | 63.2 | 2.0 | 12.7 | 6.5 | 5.3 | | 每股收益（港元/股） | 0.48 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.55 | 0.58 | | 净资产收益率（%） | 6.89 | 6.85 | 6.86 | 6.98 | 7.01 | | 市盈率 | . | . | . | . | . | | 市净率 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 ...

上 市 公 司 公 司 点 评 / 公 司 点 公用事业 2025 年 03 月 17 日 港华智慧能源 (01083) ——核心利润大幅增长 光伏添成长动力 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 | 投资要点： | | --- | 财务数据及盈利预测 资料来源：Bloomberg 证券分析师 | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万港元） | 19,842 | 21,314 | 21,861 | 22,739 | 23,499 | | 同比增长率（%） | -1.2 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 3.3 | | 归母净利润（百万港元） | 1,575 | 1,606 | 1,809 | 1,928 | 2,029 | | 同比增长率（%） | 63.2 | 2.0 | 12.7 | 6.5 | 5.3 | | 每股收益（港元/股） | 0.48 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.55 | 0.58 | | 净资产收益率（%） | 6.89 | 6.85 | 6.86 ...