Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs forecasts that Yihai International (01579) will achieve a 2% sales growth and an 8% net profit growth by 2025, with significant acceleration in the second half of the year driven by price increases and operational efficiencies [1] Group 1: Sales and Profit Growth - Yihai International's sales are expected to grow by 3% in the second half of 2025, while net profit growth is projected to accelerate to 13% [1] - The growth is primarily driven by the price increase of 2C products, operational leverage, and improved efficiency in direct sales channels [1] Group 2: Factors Driving Profit Growth - The acceleration in net profit growth in the second half is attributed to several factors, including a low single-digit percentage increase in the factory price of third-party 2C products, which is partially offset by increased distributor channel rebates [1] - Direct sales to key customers have facilitated new product launches, customized product development, and operational efficiencies from scaled logistics [1] - A normalization of the effective tax rate is expected to provide one-time benefits, with a projected rate of 35% in the second half of 2024 and 28% in the second half of 2025 [1] - Streamlining the product line and improving pricing has reduced the contribution of low-margin convenience foods [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs forecasts a 2% sales growth for Yihai International in 2025, with net profit growth reaching 8% [1] Sales and Profit Growth - Sales growth in the second half of the year is expected to be 3%, while net profit growth is projected to accelerate to 13% [1] - Growth drivers include price increases for 2C products, operational leverage, and efficiency improvements in direct sales channels such as Pandonglai, Sam's Club, and discount snack stores [1] Future Outlook - The firm has raised its net sales forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 0.4% to 0.8% due to effective price increases in the 2C business and a potential recovery in consumer demand benefiting the 2B business [1] - Net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been increased by 4% to 6% owing to improved gross and operating profit margins [1] Target Price Adjustment - Based on updated earnings forecasts, Goldman Sachs has raised the target price for Yihai International from HKD 14.1 to HKD 15.4, maintaining a "Neutral" rating [1]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index opened lower but managed to close up by 0.14% [1] - The geopolitical situation remains stable, with Iran set to negotiate nuclear issues with the U.S. on February 6 [1] - Gold and silver prices fell significantly, with silver dropping over 14% and gold falling more than 2% to below $4,900 per ounce [1] International Relations - Russian President Putin plans to visit China in the first half of 2026 following a video call with Chinese leaders [2] - U.S. and Chinese leaders had a positive discussion regarding regional issues and economic cooperation, with a planned visit by Trump to China in April [2] - China has requested state-owned enterprises to pause new investment projects in Panama [2] Technology Sector - Despite declines in U.S. tech stocks, some Chinese tech companies like Naxin Micro (02676) reported strong earnings and plan to raise product prices by 10%-25% [3] - Baidu (09888) announced a stock buyback plan of up to $5 billion and plans to introduce a dividend policy by 2026, leading to a nearly 3% increase in its stock price [3] - Xiaomi (01810) repurchased shares worth HKD 146 million, also seeing a nearly 3% rise [3] - Tencent (00700) is expected to maintain double-digit growth in its gaming business by 2026, with advertising revenue projected to grow around 20% [3] Consumer Sector - Kweichow Moutai (600519.SH) has shown strong performance, boosting consumer valuations [4] - Oriental Selection (01797) surged over 10% due to its unique brand and membership model [4] - Pop Mart (09992) reported significant demand for its new products, with resale prices on secondary markets showing substantial premiums [4] Restaurant Sector - Yum China (09987) reported total revenue of $11.797 billion for 2025, a 4% increase year-on-year, with net profit rising by 2% [5] - Haidilao (06862) is seeing positive impacts from the return of its founder, with plans for expansion and new brand growth [5] - Brainstorm Aurora-B (06681) announced a strategic partnership to promote digital health products in Southeast Asia, with a significant stock price increase of over 15% [6] Energy Sector - The U.S. is experiencing a surge in natural gas power generation capacity, with over 29 GW under construction, but many projects may face delays due to a lack of available gas turbines [7] - Companies like Eagle Precision (01286) and Dongfang Electric (01072) are positioned to benefit from this trend, with expectations of increased demand for gas turbine components [7] Aviation Sector - Cirrus Aircraft (02507) launched the new G3 Vision Jet, enhancing its product line and expected to improve profit margins [8] - The new jet model is designed for private and corporate users, featuring significant upgrades in safety and comfort [8] - Cirrus is projected to deliver approximately 800 aircraft in 2025, with new orders expected to reach around 600 units [9]

Core Viewpoint - Yihai International (01579) has seen its stock price increase by over 6%, with a year-to-date gain of nearly 30% as of the report date, trading at HKD 16.93 with a transaction volume of HKD 587 million [1] Group 1: Management Changes - On January 13, Haidilao announced that founder Zhang Yong has replaced Gou Yiqun as CEO, effective immediately [1] - Yihai International and Haidilao are considered brother companies, with Zhang Yong and his wife being major shareholders of Yihai International [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Forecast - Guotai Junan Securities released a report indicating that the management adjustment at Haidilao sends a positive signal, with the founder's return expected to accelerate operational improvements at Haidilao, which may directly benefit Yihai's related business [1] - The current profit margins of related businesses are already low, suggesting limited room for further decline [1]

Core Viewpoint - Yihai International (01579) has seen its stock price increase by over 6%, with a year-to-date gain of nearly 30% as of the report date [1] Group 1: Company Developments - On January 13, Haidilao announced that founder Zhang Yong has replaced Gou Yiqun as CEO, effective immediately [1] - Yihai International and Haidilao are brother companies, with Zhang Yong and his wife being major shareholders of Yihai International [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - Industrial Securities indicated that the management team adjustment at Haidilao sends a positive signal, with the founder's return expected to accelerate operational improvements at Haidilao, which may directly benefit Yihai's related business [1] - Guotai Junan Securities reported that the current profit margins of related businesses are already low, suggesting limited room for further decline [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent management changes at Haidilao, with founder Zhang Yong returning as CEO, have positively impacted the stock performance of Yihai International, which saw a rise of over 5% [1] Group 1: Management Changes - Zhang Yong has resumed the position of CEO at Haidilao, which is expected to boost employee morale and internal management [1] - Four experienced young executives have been appointed as executive directors at Haidilao [1] Group 2: Relationship Between Companies - Yihai International and Haidilao are brother companies, with Zhang Yong and his wife being major shareholders of Yihai International [1] - The management teams of both companies operate independently despite their close relationship [1] Group 3: Future Prospects - The return of Zhang Yong is anticipated to enhance the "Red Pomegranate" plan, creating additional growth opportunities [1] - Yihai International is expected to benefit from the growth of new brands incubated by Haidilao, as its seasoning products are primarily supplied by Yihai [1] - Haidilao's stricter quality management will likely lead to Yihai providing higher quality products, fostering a win-win situation for both companies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent management changes at Haidilao, with founder Zhang Yong returning as CEO, have positively impacted the stock performance of Yihai International, which saw a rise of over 5% [1] Group 1: Management Changes - Zhang Yong has resumed the position of CEO at Haidilao, which is expected to boost employee morale and internal management [1] - Four experienced young executives have been appointed as executive directors at Haidilao [1] Group 2: Relationship Between Companies - Yihai International and Haidilao are brother companies, with Zhang Yong and his wife being major shareholders of Yihai International [1] - The management teams of both companies operate independently despite their close relationship [1] Group 3: Future Prospects - The return of Zhang Yong is anticipated to enhance the Red Pomegranate plan, creating additional growth opportunities [1] - Yihai International is expected to benefit from the growth of new brands incubated by Haidilao, as its seasoning products are primarily supplied by Yihai [1] - Haidilao's stricter quality management will likely lead to Yihai providing higher quality products, fostering a win-win situation for both companies [1]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 頤海國際控股有限公司 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01579 | 說明 | 不適用 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.00001 USD | | 50,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.00001 USD | | 50,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： USD 50,000 FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 ...

Summary of Yi Hai International Conference Call Company Overview - Yi Hai International started as a supplier for Hai Di Lao and has developed independently since its establishment in 2013 and listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2016, benefiting from Hai Di Lao's growth and new product launches [2][4] Industry Insights - The compound seasoning industry in China has experienced a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14% from 2011 to 2023, driven by increased per capita meat consumption and the popularity of kitchen appliances [2][6] - Despite the growth, the penetration rate and per capita consumption of compound seasonings remain significantly lower than in the US and Japan, indicating substantial growth potential [2][6] Key Points and Arguments - Yi Hai has undergone several adjustments in channel management, shifting from aggressive strategies to a more refined approach, including the introduction of a profit increment assessment system to enhance sales quality and profitability [2][7] - The company has expanded its product matrix from a single focus on hot pot base ingredients to include various categories such as compound seasonings and convenient meals [3][5] - Yi Hai's future development will focus on expanding the small and medium B-end market and overseas markets, leveraging its partner system and validated products to attract small B customers [4][10] Financial Projections - Yi Hai is expected to stabilize its revenue in 2026, with compound seasonings projected to achieve double-digit growth. However, growth in supermarket channels may be limited, and the fast-food business could decline due to industry competition [2][9] - The company anticipates a profit of approximately 840 million yuan in 2025, with potential for valuation improvement if revenue and profit growth reach mid-to-high single digits in 2026 [4][9] Sales Strategy Adjustments - Yi Hai plans to integrate B-end restaurant resources and enhance online traffic to develop small B customers, while continuing to reform supermarket channels to increase contribution [11] Additional Important Insights - The introduction of new product lines catering to health demands and the establishment of domestic production bases and global supply chains have been significant changes for Yi Hai [3][4] - The company has successfully launched new flavors in hot pot seasonings and continues to adapt its pricing strategy for convenient meals based on market demand [8][10]

Investment Rating - The report provides various investment ratings for companies in the consumer staples sector, with several companies rated as "Outperform" and one as "Neutral" [1]. Core Insights - The report indicates that price hikes in the consumer staples sector are weaker than expected, while costs remain low [1]. - The monitored spot cost indices for six consumer goods categories have declined, while futures cost indices have primarily increased [34]. Summary by Category Beer - The spot cost index decreased by 1.87% month-on-month, while the futures index increased by 3.15%. Year-to-date, the spot index has changed by -0.6% and the futures index by +1.81% [35]. - Glass prices have shown a month-on-month decrease of 1.2% for spot prices and an increase of 3.4% for futures prices [35]. Condiments - The spot cost index decreased by 1.37% month-on-month, while the futures index increased by 3.03%. Year-to-date changes are -0.42% for spot and +2.23% for futures [36]. - Soybean prices have decreased by 2.4% month-on-month for spot prices, while futures prices increased by 6.7% [36]. Dairy Products - The spot cost index decreased by 1.93% month-on-month, while the futures index increased by 1.58%. Year-to-date changes are -0.43% for spot and +1.68% for futures [37]. - Fresh milk prices rose to 3.04 yuan/kg, with corn prices increasing by 0.4% month-on-month [37]. Instant Noodles - The spot cost index decreased by 0.51% month-on-month, while the futures index increased by 3.31%. Year-to-date changes are +0.79% for spot and +3.46% for futures [38]. - Palm oil prices increased by 9.6% month-on-month for spot prices [38]. Frozen Food - The spot cost index decreased by 1.74% month-on-month, while the futures index decreased by 0.61%. Year-to-date changes are -1.44% for spot and -0.14% for futures [39]. - Vegetable prices fell by 1.8% month-on-month [39]. Soft Drinks - The spot cost index decreased by 3.71% month-on-month, while the futures index remained unchanged. Year-to-date changes are -1.12% for spot and -0.19% for futures [40]. - PET chip prices increased by 5.4% month-on-month [40].