Core Viewpoint - The stock of Yihai International (01579) has seen a nearly 5% increase, reflecting positive market sentiment despite overall industry challenges in the restaurant supply sector [1] Industry Summary - The restaurant supply industry has faced pressure due to weak recovery in recent years, leading to intensified competition driven by market share demands [1] - Price competition has resulted in diminishing marginal benefits, prompting leading companies to advocate for rational competition [1] - The profit margins in the sector showed signs of recovery in Q3 2025, indicating a potential easing of competitive pressures as the industry approaches the peak season in Q4 2025 and January 2026 [1] - The outlook for 2026 hinges on demand-side changes; a lack of significant improvement in demand may prolong the bottoming period, while notable demand recovery could lead to substantial optimization [1] Company Summary - CICC forecasts Yihai International's revenue and net profit for 2025 to increase by 0.7% and 13.9% year-on-year, reaching 6.58 billion and 840 million respectively, with a stronger performance expected in the second half of 2025 [1] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue and net profit growth of 1.2% and 23.5% year-on-year in the second half of 2025, with profits likely exceeding market expectations due to improved efficiency [1] - Since July, the company has been enhancing supply chain efficiency, yielding significant results; adjustments in distributor settlement methods have also contributed to improved gross margins [1] - The expected gross margin increase of approximately 3 percentage points in the second half of 2025 is attributed to a combination of higher factory prices and lower promotional discount intensity [1]

中金发布研报称，预计颐海国际2025年收入/净利润同比+0.7%/13.9%至65.8亿元/8.4亿元，对应2H25收 入/净利润同比+1.2%/23.5%，利润或好于市场预期，主要由于2H25毛利率受益于效率提升好于预期。 该行指出，公司7月起持续推进供应链端效率精进，效果显著，另经销商结算方式亦有调整，调高出厂 价同时给予同等促销折扣，但实际执行过程中折扣力度低于出厂价调升幅度，利好毛利率，预计2H25 毛利率提升3ppt左右，关联方及第三方毛利率均有提升。 智通财经APP获悉，颐海国际(01579)午前涨近5%，截至发稿，涨4.19%，报14.91港元，成交额7504.13 万港元。 消息面上，国泰海通研报指出，近几年餐饮弱复苏下，餐供行业整体需求相对承压，份额诉求下的竞争 有所加剧。但当下价格竞争带来的边际效益已经显著递减，龙头公司也纷纷传递理性竞争观点，板块 25Q3的利润率触底反弹也证明此观点。进入25Q4及26年1月份的旺季，竞争延续趋缓。展望26年，板块 格局能否显著好转的核心仍在于需求侧，需求端变化不大则磨底期延长，显著好转则有望明显优化。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that CICC has raised the profit forecasts for Yihai International (01579) for 2025 and 2026 by 3% and 5% respectively, to RMB 840 million and RMB 930 million, and has introduced a profit forecast of RMB 1.01 billion for 2027 [1] - CICC maintains a target price of HKD 18 and an "outperform" rating for Yihai International, citing sufficient industry competition [1] - The firm expects Yihai International's revenue and net profit for 2025 to increase by 0.7% and 13.9% year-on-year, reaching RMB 6.58 billion and RMB 840 million respectively, with the second half of 2025 projected to see revenue and net profit growth of 1.2% and 23.5% year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The anticipated profit may exceed market expectations, primarily due to improved gross margins in the second half of 2025, benefiting from efficiency enhancements [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that CICC has raised the profit forecasts for Yihai International (01579) for 2025 and 2026 by 3% and 5% respectively, to RMB 840 million and RMB 930 million, and has introduced a profit forecast of RMB 1.01 billion for 2027 [1] - CICC expects Yihai International's revenue and net profit for 2025 to increase by 0.7% and 13.9% year-on-year, reaching RMB 6.58 billion and RMB 840 million respectively, with the second half of 2025 projected to see revenue and net profit growth of 1.2% and 23.5% [1] - The profit may exceed market expectations due to improved gross margins in the second half of 2025, attributed to efficiency enhancements [1] Group 2 - CICC maintains a target price of HKD 18 for Yihai International and a "outperform" rating, citing sufficient industry competition [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Cihai International is expected to see a revenue increase of 0.7% and a net profit increase of 13.9% in 2025, reaching 6.58 billion and 840 million respectively [1] - For the second half of 2025, revenue and net profit are projected to rise by 1.2% and 23.5% respectively, with profit potentially exceeding market expectations due to improved gross margins from efficiency gains [1] - The firm has revised its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 upwards by 3% and 5% to 840 million and 930 million respectively, and has introduced a profit forecast for 2027 of 1.01 billion [1] Group 2 - Due to intense industry competition, the firm maintains a target price of 18 HKD and an "outperform" rating for Cihai International [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [2][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights the return of the founder of Haidilao, which is expected to stabilize the related party business and continue rapid growth in the third-party business [3]. - The company anticipates that the related party business will recover in the second half of 2025, driven by improvements in Haidilao's operations and pricing adjustments [10]. - The overseas and B2B businesses are projected to drive the third-party business's growth, with overseas revenue expected to reach 266 million RMB in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.43% [10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 6,147.57 million RMB in 2023 to 8,118.23 million RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.99% [4]. - Net profit is expected to decrease from 852.70 million RMB in 2023 to 739.43 million RMB in 2024, before recovering to 962.06 million RMB by 2027 [4]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 13.04 in 2023 to 14.60 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation [4]. Business Performance - The related party business is expected to stabilize, with a low profit margin of around 13% in the first half of 2025, suggesting limited room for further decline [10]. - The overseas business is anticipated to maintain rapid growth, supported by the ramp-up of production capacity in Thailand and enhanced local supply chain capabilities [10]. - The B2B segment is expected to continue its rapid growth due to brand and cost advantages, as well as the establishment of a professional B2B team [10].

Core Viewpoint - The restaurant supply industry is experiencing a gradual easing of competition, with a consensus forming around this trend. The key to significant improvement in the sector in 2026 will depend on demand-side changes, with a prolonged bottoming period expected if demand remains stagnant [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Competition - Recent years have seen a weak recovery in the restaurant sector, leading to increased competition under pressure for market share. However, the marginal benefits from price competition have significantly decreased, and leading companies are advocating for rational competition. The profit margins in the sector rebounded in Q3 2025, indicating this shift [1][3]. - As the peak season approaches in Q4 2025 and January 2026, competition continues to ease, with companies like Anjijia adjusting promotional policies for certain products [1][3]. Group 2: New Growth Opportunities - Leading companies are actively seeking new growth through new products, channels, and markets. Anjijia is focusing on new product development and has adjusted its strategy to embrace supermarket customization, becoming a supplier for major retailers like Walmart and Sam's Club. The company is also planning to enter the halal market, which presents significant potential [2]. - Baoli Foods is enhancing its B2B business by tapping into existing customers and attracting new ones, while also maintaining a steady pace of new product launches in the C-end market [2]. - Babbi Foods has received positive feedback for its new store model, which is performing at 2-3 times the efficiency of traditional takeout stores, indicating potential for exceeding store opening expectations [2]. - Yihai International is expected to maintain robust growth in its B2B and overseas businesses, with a gradual stabilization anticipated for its related parties [2]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The market consensus is optimistic about the easing competition in the industry, with key uncertainties revolving around demand recovery, sustained improvement in market structure, and the potential for new products/channels/markets to generate significant incremental growth. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is rising, which may restore consumer confidence, and there is anticipation for more domestic demand stimulus policies [3]. - The current low valuation of the sector suggests potential for a "Davis Double," where earnings exceed expectations, leading to a significant price increase [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The restaurant supply sector has passed its worst operational phase, with competition becoming more rational. Leading companies are making strides in new products, channels, and markets. Given the low valuations, the sector is expected to show elasticity, and a positive outlook is maintained. Key investment recommendations include Anjijia Foods, Baoli Foods, Lihai Foods, Babbi Foods, and Yihai International [4].

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to gradually refocus on the consumer sector due to the recovery of high-end consumption and certain mass-market products, along with the implementation of national subsidy policies and funding demands for "high-cut low" strategies [1] Group 1: Market Trends - High-end consumption, including luxury goods and gambling, shows improvement in demand, while some mass consumer goods like beer and dairy products are experiencing governance and structural enhancements [3] - The long-term policy encouragement and low interest rate environment are expected to boost equity allocation dynamics, particularly in high-dividend, stable performance stocks with valuation advantages [1][2] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Companies with strong global competitive power, particularly in the white goods sector, are enhancing their operational models and supply chains, which is expected to positively impact overall performance [2] - The selected consumer sector stocks have an average dividend yield of over 5% and a projected PE ratio of 13X for 2026, indicating potential for long-term investment [4]

Company and Industry Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Yihai International - **Industry**: Food and Seasoning Industry Key Points Business Performance and Growth - **Third-party business growth** is expected to slow down in 2025, but significant growth is anticipated in overseas and other B-end businesses, aligning with previous expectations. Overall operations remain stable, with a reduction in the decline of related party business to single digits [2][4] - **B-end business** is the main growth driver, with large B customers achieving **100% growth**. Small B customers, despite changes in statistical criteria, contributed several million yuan throughout the year, with expectations for rapid growth in the future [2][6] - **Overseas market** gross margins are higher than domestic, but net profits are lower due to costs. The goal is to achieve profit margins comparable to domestic levels by around 2027 through increased capacity utilization and market expansion [2][9] Product Development and Market Strategy - The company is entering the **fast food market** through B-end channels, developing new products using existing production lines. However, overall revenue growth is limited by pricing factors, with seasoning growth primarily coming from B-end channels [2][12] - The company is focusing on **customized cooperation** with key accounts (KA) like Hema and Pang Donglai to optimize channel matching and improve gross and expense ratios, although short-term impacts on net profit are not significant [2][19] - **Online investments** are being reduced, with the channel being repositioned as a promotional tool rather than a revenue source. The company is deepening cooperation with snack wholesale channels to enhance product pricing and specifications [2][25] Cost Management and Profitability - **Raw material price fluctuations** are expected to have minimal impact due to advance price locking and self-owned factories. Cost stability is anticipated for 2025-2026, with profit growth expected to outpace revenue growth, potentially achieving double-digit growth [3][29] - The company aims to enhance **product layers** and local flavor acceptance while strengthening channel cooperation to increase market coverage and achieve significant growth in new regions [10][12] Market Trends and Consumer Demand - **Terminal demand** in December showed no significant improvement, with growth driven mainly by B-end and overseas markets. Domestic B-end performance is strong due to price and quality advantages, but no acceleration was observed in the fourth quarter [5][8] - The **C-end market** remains stable, with no major new products introduced, leading to consistent growth [5][15] Future Outlook - For 2025, profit growth is expected to exceed revenue growth, with a projected double-digit increase. The tax rate is expected to normalize, positively impacting profits [38] - For 2026, while no specific targets are provided, overseas market growth is anticipated to reach **20%-30%**, with domestic markets still having opportunities for high growth despite high bases [38] Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a **two-position strategy** to optimize KA channel matching and improve consumer loyalty while reducing intermediary costs. This strategy aims to enhance gross margins and expense ratios [19][24] - The **small B business** is not setting specific performance targets but is expected to grow rapidly due to its smaller base. However, it may not surpass large B in scale in the short term [7][34] Challenges and Adaptations - The company faces challenges in **product matching** for small B clients due to regional taste differences. Customization is key to meeting diverse client needs [31][32] - The company is gradually reducing support for distributors as it builds its own team to directly engage with small B clients, ensuring effective supply and feedback [33] Conclusion Yihai International is strategically positioned for growth in the food and seasoning industry, focusing on B-end markets and overseas expansion while managing costs effectively. The company is adapting to market demands and consumer preferences, with a clear outlook for profitability and revenue growth in the coming years.

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 頤海國際控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年1月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01579 | 說明 | 不適用 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.00001 USD | | 50,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 5,000,000,000 | USD | | 0.00001 USD | | 50,000 | 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： USD 50, ...