Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation (601888 SH/01880 HK) with a target price of 79 82 RMB for A-shares and 61 87 HKD for H-shares [5][24] Core Views - The company reported a 15 4% YoY decline in revenue to 430 2 billion RMB and a 24 7% YoY drop in net profit to 39 2 billion RMB for the first three quarters of 2024 [1] - Despite the overall decline, the company saw a significant recovery in outbound and inbound duty-free sales, with Beijing airport duty-free store revenue growing over 140% and Shanghai airport duty-free store revenue increasing nearly 60% [2] - Hainan duty-free sales remained weak due to factors such as consumer spending pressure and the impact of Typhoon Muji, with a 38 4% YoY decline in September 2024 [19] Financial Performance - The company's gross margin improved by 1 4 percentage points YoY to 33 1% for the first three quarters of 2024, driven by operational improvements and tighter discounts [2] - However, the net profit margin declined by 1 1 percentage points YoY to 9 1% for the same period [2] - For Q3 2024, the company's revenue was 117 6 billion RMB, down 21 5% YoY, with a net profit of 6 4 billion RMB, a 52 5% YoY decline [1] Business Segments - Duty-free business: Expected to generate revenue of 413 1 billion RMB in 2024, a 6 6% YoY decline, but projected to grow by 13 8% and 10 5% in 2025 and 2026, respectively [20] - Taxable business: Expected to generate revenue of 184 2 billion RMB in 2024, a 17 6% YoY decline, with a recovery projected in 2025 and 2026 [20] - Other businesses: Expected to remain stable, with revenue of 10 6 billion RMB in 2024, growing at a 10% annual rate [21] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of international passenger traffic and the potential growth of urban duty-free stores [2] - Hainan duty-free sales are expected to bottom out and recover in Q4 2024, driven by the peak season and macroeconomic recovery [24] - The company's leading position in the industry and competitive advantages are expected to support its performance recovery [24] Valuation and Peer Comparison - The company's 2024E PE ratio is 28 5x, with a projected PE of 22 8x and 19 7x for 2025 and 2026, respectively [3] - Compared to peers such as Wangfujing and Tianhong, the company's valuation is considered reasonable given its industry leadership and growth potential [25]

证券代码：601888 证券简称：中国中免 公告编号：临 2024-036 中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 会议召开时间：2024 年 11 月 21 日（星期四）13:00-14:00 会 议 召 开 地 点 ： 上 海 证 券 交 易 所 上 证 路 演 中 心 （ 网 址 ： https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 投资者可于 2024 年 11 月 14 日（星期四）至 11 月 20 日（星期三）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或通过公司邮箱 cdfir@ctg.cn 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行回答。 （二）会议召开地点：上证路演中心 （三）会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 三、参加人员 公司董事、总经理兼董事会秘书常筑军先生，独立董事葛明先生，财务部 负责人丁丽女士（如有特殊情况，参会人员可能进 ...

Investment Rating - Buy rating maintained for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp (601888 SH) [1][2] Core Views - Consumer demand pressure fully reflected, current stock price still trading on expectations [1][2] - Revenue and profit declined due to weak consumption demand [2] - Future consumption expectations may improve with macro policy support, benefiting the company [2] Financial Performance - 24Q1-Q3 revenue: 43021 million yuan, down 15 38% YoY [2] - 24Q1-Q3 net profit: 3919 million yuan, down 24 72% YoY [2] - 24Q3 revenue: 11756 million yuan, down 21 52% YoY [2] - 24Q3 net profit: 636 million yuan, down 52 53% YoY [2] - 24Q3 gross margin: 32 0%, down 1 9pct QoQ and 2 5pct YoY [2] - 24Q3 inventory: 18690 million yuan, down 330 million yuan QoQ [2] Business Operations - Hainan duty-free sales July-Sept 2024: 5549 million yuan, down 35 6% YoY [2] - Hainan duty-free shoppers July-Sept 2024: 11 million, down 27 2% YoY [2] - Hainan duty-free average spending July-Sept 2024: 5023 yuan, down 11 6% YoY [2] - Qingdao airport duty-free city project signed on Nov 1, 2024 [2] Financial Forecasts - 2024E revenue: 56475 million yuan, down 16 4% YoY [1][2] - 2025E revenue: 68290 million yuan, up 20 9% YoY [1][2] - 2026E revenue: 79790 million yuan, up 16 8% YoY [1][2] - 2024E net profit: 5146 million yuan, down 23 4% YoY [1][2] - 2025E net profit: 6280 million yuan, up 22 0% YoY [1][2] - 2026E net profit: 7617 million yuan, up 21 3% YoY [1][2] Valuation Metrics - 2024E P/E: 30 5x [1][2] - 2025E P/E: 25 0x [1][2] - 2026E P/E: 20 6x [1][2] - 2024E P/B: 2 7x [1][2] - 2025E P/B: 2 5x [1][2] - 2026E P/B: 2 2x [1][2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation (601888) [1] Core Views - The company's 2024-2026 net profit is forecasted to be 5,201, 6,646, and 7,429 million yuan respectively, representing a YoY change of -22.5%, +27.8%, and +11.8% [6] - EPS for 2024-2026 is projected at 2.51, 3.21, and 3.59 yuan respectively [6] - The report suggests a reasonable value range of 87.85-100.40 yuan per share based on 35-40x 2024 PE [6] Financial Performance - Q3 2024 revenue was 11.756 billion yuan, down 21.5% YoY [4] - Net profit attributable to parent company in Q3 2024 was 636 million yuan, down 52.5% YoY [4] - Gross profit margin for main business in first three quarters of 2024 was 32.6%, up 1.1 percentage points YoY [4] - Sales/management/financial expense ratios for first three quarters of 2024 were 15.8%/3.3%/-1.5%, with YoY changes of +2.1/+0.3/-0.4 percentage points [4] Market Performance - Stock price range over 52 weeks: 53.52-97.22 yuan [1] - Total market capitalization: 156.82 billion yuan [1] - Stock price as of November 8, 2024: 75.80 yuan [1] Industry Trends - Hainan offshore duty-free sales in Q3 2024 were 5.549 billion yuan, down 35.6% YoY [5] - Number of duty-free shoppers in Hainan decreased 27.2% YoY to 1.105 million [5] - Average spending per customer in Hainan duty-free shops was 5,021.69 yuan, down 11.6% YoY [5] - Beijing airport duty-free stores saw revenue growth exceeding 140% [5] - Shanghai airport duty-free stores achieved nearly 60% revenue growth [5] Financial Projections - 2024-2026 revenue forecast: 57.288, 67.852, and 74.028 billion yuan [7] - 2024-2026 gross margin forecast: 31.9%, 33.7%, and 34.6% [7] - 2024-2026 ROE forecast: 9.4%, 11.3%, and 11.9% [7] - 2024-2026 EPS forecast: 2.51, 3.21, and 3.59 yuan [7] Valuation Comparison - 2024E PE ratio: 19.8x for China Resources Mixc, 48.6x for Hermes, 22.1x for Prada, 22.0x for LVMH, 35.6x for Estée Lauder [9] - Average 2024E PE for comparable companies: 29.6x [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][3] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 43.021 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 15.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.919 billion yuan, down 24.72% year-on-year [2] - The decline in performance is attributed to lower-than-expected tourism in Hainan affecting offshore duty-free sales, along with a decrease in gross margin due to increased discounts and a lower proportion of offshore duty-free sales [2] - The company has introduced 165 new product brands in the first three quarters, with over 40% being domestic brands, contributing to sales growth [2] - The company’s duty-free sales at entry and exit points have seen significant growth due to the expansion of visa-free countries and the optimization of transit visa policies, with sales at Beijing airports increasing by over 140% year-on-year and Shanghai airports by nearly 60% [2] Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 55.949 billion yuan, 66.659 billion yuan, and 77.411 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits of 5.341 billion yuan, 6.410 billion yuan, and 7.737 billion yuan for the same years [3][4] - Corresponding PE ratios are projected to be 28.1, 23.5, and 19.4 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3][4] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve, with a forecasted gross margin of 35.1% in 2024, increasing to 36.5% in 2025 and 36.9% in 2026 [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Hold" [6][11]. Core Views - The company experienced a significant decline in both revenue and net profit in Q3 2024, with revenue at 43.021 billion yuan, down 15.4% year-on-year, and net profit at 3.92 billion yuan, down 24.7% year-on-year [2]. - The gross margin decreased to 32.0%, a year-on-year decline of 2.4%, while sales expenses increased, indicating a higher overall investment in marketing and management [3]. - The company is benefiting from a strong performance in port duty-free sales, with significant revenue growth in duty-free stores at Beijing and Shanghai airports, exceeding 140% and nearly 60% year-on-year, respectively [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 430.21 billion yuan, with a net profit of 39.2 billion yuan [2]. - In Q3 2024, the company’s revenue was 117.56 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 21.5%, and the net profit was 6.36 billion yuan, down 52.5% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s gross margin for Q3 2024 was 32.0%, down from the previous year, while the sales expense ratio increased to 18.4% [3]. Market Trends and Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual recovery of the duty-free market and the implementation of favorable policies in urban areas, which may enhance its competitive advantage [11]. - The company plans to continue expanding its product offerings, having introduced 165 new brands in the first three quarters of 2024, with over 40% being domestic brands [4]. - Revenue projections for 2024 to 2026 are estimated at 587.8 billion yuan, 650.1 billion yuan, and 725.7 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 59 billion yuan, 71 billion yuan, and 77 billion yuan [11].

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2024年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國旅遊集團中免股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2024年11月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01880 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 11.756 billion RMB in Q3 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 21.52%, and a net profit of 636 million RMB, down 52.53% year-on-year [3] - The decline in offshore duty-free sales is attributed to a decrease in domestic island tourism and increased competition from Southeast Asia [3] - The recovery of international travelers has positively impacted sales at airport duty-free stores, with significant revenue growth reported at major airports [3] - The implementation of new policies for city duty-free stores is expected to contribute to revenue growth, with plans for new store openings and renovations [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 43.021 billion RMB, a decrease of 15.38% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.919 billion RMB, down 24.72% year-on-year [3][4] - Q3 2024 results were in line with expectations, with a revenue of 11.756 billion RMB and a net profit of 636 million RMB [3] Market Dynamics - The report highlights the challenges faced in the offshore duty-free segment due to declining tourism and increased competition [3] - Conversely, the airport duty-free sales have shown a strong recovery, benefiting from the expansion of visa-free travel and increased international flights [3] Future Outlook - The report suggests that the new city duty-free policies, effective from October 1, 2024, will provide growth opportunities, with ongoing projects to expand the company's presence in northern markets [3] - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024-2026 are 2.55, 3.25, and 3.76 RMB, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 27.5, 21.6, and 18.7 [4][5]

证券时报e公司讯，青岛免税业态将迎"巨无霸"项目。 11月1日下午，青岛胶东临空经济示范区管委会与中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司（简称：中国中免） 举行战略合作协议签约仪式，双方就在青岛临空经济区建设免税城项目达成意向。 据了解，此次签约的免税城项目是上合自贸空港的核心项目、上海合作组织旅游和文化之都的龙头项 目、上合示范区综合改革的重点支撑项目。 将依托上合示范区、中国中免的核心优势，打造集免税商业、高端酒店、文旅等多业态于一体的旅游零 售综合体，为完善推进高质量共建"一带一路"机制贡献力量。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance aligns with forecast values, with Q3 revenue at 11.756 billion yuan, down 22% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 636 million yuan, down 53% year-on-year [2] - Hainan's offshore duty-free sales continue to face pressure, with Q3 sales amounting to 5.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 36% year-on-year [2] - The implementation of the city duty-free store policy is expected to benefit the company, as it is positioned to take advantage of market expansion driven by new city stores [3] - The company's market position remains solid, and it is expected to benefit from the gradual recovery of outbound tourism and the city duty-free store policy [3] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 43.021 billion yuan, down 15% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.919 billion yuan, down 25% year-on-year [1] - Q3 gross margin was 32.0%, a decrease of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 5.4%, down 3.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company's earnings forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted, with net profits projected at 5.088 billion yuan, 6.021 billion yuan, and 6.973 billion yuan respectively [3] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 67.90 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 140.48 billion yuan [5] - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) based on the latest diluted earnings per share is projected to be 27.61 for 2024, 23.33 for 2025, and 20.15 for 2026 [3][10]