Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a half-day trading session on February 16, with all three major indices opening lower but recovering. The Hang Seng Index closed up 0.52% at 26,705.94 points, with a total turnover of 849.97 billion HKD. The Hang Seng Tech Index rose 0.13%, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 0.42% [1] - For the year of the Snake, the Hang Seng Index has gained over 32%, the Hang Seng Tech Index has risen over 13%, and the China Enterprises Index has increased by over 23% [1] Blue Chip Performance - Zijin Mining (02899) led the blue-chip stocks, rising 4.67% to 43.52 HKD, contributing 18.71 points to the Hang Seng Index. Citigroup raised its target prices for Zijin's A-shares and H-shares by over 30% due to increased gold and lithium price forecasts and higher gold sales [2] - Other notable blue-chip performers included China Hongqiao (01378) up 3.92%, CNOOC (00883) up 3.71%, while HSBC Holdings (00005) fell 1.11% [2] Sector Highlights - The technology sector showed mixed results, with Alibaba down 0.45%, Baidu up over 1%, and Tencent up 0.19%. The storage chip sector saw significant price increases, with companies like Lianqi Technology and Zhaoyi Innovation reaching new highs [3] - The storage chip price surge is expected to improve profitability across the NAND industry, with Kioxia projecting a 50% increase in average selling prices starting Q1 2026. Morgan Stanley estimates Kioxia's adjusted gross margin will reach 66% in Q1 [3] - The large model AI sector also saw significant gains, with MINIMAX (00100) up 24.56% and Zhipu AI (02513) up 4.74%. MINIMAX launched a new flagship programming model, while Zhipu announced a price increase for its AI programming subscription [4] Commodity and Energy Stocks - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced broad gains, with Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) up 6.35%, China Nonferrous Mining (01258) up 5.55%, and Zijin Mining (02899) also contributing to the sector's performance [4] - The oil and shipping sectors remained active, with rising sentiments among shipowners due to geopolitical tensions, leading to higher freight rates [10] Recent Developments - The Hang Seng Index Company announced its quarterly review results, with companies like CATL, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Laopuhuang being added to the Hang Seng Index, increasing the number of constituent stocks from 88 to 90 [7] - Haizhi Technology Group (02706) saw a significant rise of 29.59% on its second day of trading, attributed to its focus on AI solutions and rapid revenue growth [8] - Fubo Group (03738) also experienced an 8.22% increase, driven by the popularity of its new copyright management platform [9]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC expresses optimism about Zhipu's (02513) foundational model capability iteration and the realization of Coding scenarios, comparing its valuation to leading overseas large model companies, assigning an "outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 688, indicating a 42% upside potential from the current trading level [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhipu, established in 2019, is rooted in Tsinghua University's technological achievements, focusing on the development of the GLM series foundational models, enhancing core capabilities in Coding, reasoning, and Agentic models [2] - The latest foundational model, GLM-5, has achieved state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance in multiple benchmark scores, receiving widespread acclaim from both domestic and international users [2] Group 2: Revenue Growth and Market Potential - The company leverages its MaaS platform to deliver model capabilities, with projected revenue CAGR exceeding 130% from 2023 to 2027, driven primarily by API revenue, which is expected to approach RMB 600 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by early 2026, reflecting several-fold growth compared to the previous year [3] - The AI Coding total addressable market (TAM) is estimated to reach a trillion RMB scale, with Zhipu positioned to lead in this rapidly evolving sector, focusing on low hallucination rates, high stability, and strong reasoning and tool usage capabilities [4] - Zhipu's revenue projections for 2025-2028 are RMB 720 million, 1.75 billion, 3.67 billion, and 7.67 billion respectively, with a CAGR of 120% anticipated [4] Group 3: Catalysts for Growth - Potential catalysts for growth include the release of new generation models and significant increases in API and Coding ARR [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC is optimistic about Zhiyu (02513) due to its iterative capabilities in foundational models and the realization of value in coding scenarios, assigning an outperform rating and a target price of HKD 688, indicating a 42% upside potential from the current trading level [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhiyu was established in 2019, focusing on the development of the GLM series foundational models, enhancing core capabilities in coding, reasoning, and agentic models [2] - The latest foundational model, GLM-5, has achieved state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance in multiple benchmark scores and has received widespread acclaim from both domestic and international users [2] Group 2: Revenue Growth and Market Potential - The company is expected to achieve a revenue CAGR of over 130% from 2023 to 2027, with API revenue projected to be a major growth driver [3] - By early 2026, the annual recurring revenue (ARR) related to APIs is estimated to approach CNY 600 million, reflecting several times growth compared to the same period last year [3] - The company serves various industries, including internet, software, and semiconductors, focusing on enhancing productivity through model capabilities [3] Group 3: AI Coding Market Opportunity - The total addressable market (TAM) for AI coding is projected to reach a trillion CNY, with Zhiyu positioned to lead in this rapidly evolving sector [4] - The company emphasizes its strengths in coding scenarios, including low hallucination rates, high stability, and strong reasoning and tool usage capabilities, which are expected to maintain its leadership [4] - Revenue projections for Zhiyu from 2025 to 2028 are estimated at CNY 720 million, 1.75 billion, 3.67 billion, and 7.67 billion, respectively, with a CAGR of 120% [4] Group 4: Potential Catalysts - Potential catalysts for growth include the release of new generation models and significant increases in API and coding ARR [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC is optimistic about Zhiyu (02513) due to its foundational model capability iteration and realization in the Coding scenario, positioning it against leading overseas large model companies. The company is given an "outperform" rating with a target price of HKD 688, indicating a 42% upside potential from the current trading level [1][5]. Group 1: Company Overview - Zhiyu was established in 2019, focusing on the GLM series foundational models, enhancing core capabilities in Coding, reasoning, and Agentic models. The latest model, GLM-5, has achieved state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance in multiple benchmark scores and has received widespread acclaim from both domestic and international users [6]. Group 2: Revenue Growth Potential - The company is expected to achieve a revenue CAGR of over 130% from 2023 to 2027, driven by its MaaS platform that outputs model capabilities. API revenue is projected to become the main growth engine, with an estimated annual recurring revenue (ARR) related to APIs nearing 600 million yuan by early 2026, reflecting a several-fold increase compared to the same period last year [7]. Group 3: Market Opportunity - The total addressable market (TAM) for AI Coding is estimated to reach one trillion yuan, with Zhiyu having a leading advantage in this space. The company focuses on refining the Coding scenario, boasting low hallucination rates, high stability, and strong reasoning and tool usage capabilities. This positions Zhiyu to lead in the Coding scenario and extend into more enterprise applications. Revenue projections for Zhiyu from 2025 to 2028 are estimated at 720 million, 1.75 billion, 3.67 billion, and 7.67 billion yuan, respectively, with a CAGR of 120% [8].

Market Overview - On February 16, the Hong Kong stock market opened slightly lower, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.25% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.14% [1] - The market saw strength in sectors such as precious metals, semiconductors, and oil, while sectors like defense, consumer discretionary, and hardware struggled [1] Technology Sector - The Hang Seng Tech Index has experienced significant declines recently, creating potential value for investors [9] - Recent market volatility is attributed to liquidity shocks, and the current situation is compared to market conditions in November 2025 [10] - Analysts recommend buying on dips and holding stocks through the holiday season [10] AI Application Stocks - AI application stocks in Hong Kong saw gains, with Zhiyu (智谱) opening up over 7% and later experiencing fluctuations [11] - Zhiyu's stock price has increased by 130% since February, with a total market capitalization exceeding 230 billion HKD [11] IPO Developments - Zhiyu has withdrawn its IPO guidance submitted in April 2025 and is now pursuing a new listing on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [13] - The company has changed its IPO advisory firms to Guotai Junan Securities and China International Capital Corporation [13] Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector showed strength, with stocks like Zhaoyi Innovation (兆易创新) rising over 17% [16] - A price increase in storage chips is expected, with Kioxia planning to raise average selling prices by approximately 50% starting in Q1 2026 [17] - Analysts predict significant improvements in profitability for the NAND industry, with Samsung's NAND business operating margin expected to rise to 37% and SK Hynix to 42% in Q1 2026 [18] Precious Metals Market - The precious metals sector is experiencing a boost, with gold prices expected to rise due to seasonal demand and investment interest [14] - ANZ analysts have raised their gold price forecast for Q2 from $5,400 to $5,800 per ounce [14]

香港恒生指数开盘跌0.25%，恒生科技指数跌0.19% ，阿里巴巴、百度、吉利汽车、蔚来跌超1%，网易、天齐锂业涨超1%。 港股AI应用股走强， 截至发稿，阜博集团(03738.HK)涨14.38%、海致科技集团(02706.HK)涨12.10%、智谱(02513.HK)涨7.63%、 MINIMAX-WP(00100.HK)涨2.94%。 ...

智谱在2月11日推出新一代旗舰模型GLM-5，内部评估显示，其在前端、后端等编程开发场景中平均性 能较上一代提升超20%。与此同时，智谱宣布旗下AI编程订阅套餐GLM Coding Plan涨价，套餐价格整 体涨幅自30%起。智谱官方GLM Coding Plan上线即售罄。国产AI编程模型的付费套餐被抢空，在行业 中较为罕见。 值得一提的是，近日，中国证监会官网更新了智谱公司的IPO辅导进展信息，智谱撤回了其于2025年4 月提交的辅导备案，并办理了新的辅导备案登记。最新辅导备案报告显示，智谱拟冲刺科创板。同时， 其IPO辅导机构变更为两家券商，由原来的中金公司变更为国泰海通证券和中金公司两家。 来源：新浪港股 智谱（02513）早盘高开逾7%，2月以来股价累涨1.3倍，总市值超2300亿港元。截至发稿，股价上涨 5.98%，现报514港元，成交额1.65亿港元。 ...

Group 1: Doubao 2.0 Release - ByteDance officially launched Doubao 2.0 on February 14, optimizing it for large-scale production environments to handle complex real-world tasks [1] - The Doubao 2.0 series includes Pro, Lite, Mini, and Code models, each tailored for different business scenarios, with Pro competing against GPT 5.2 and Gemini 3 Pro [1] - Doubao 2.0 Pro achieved top scores in IMO, CMO math competitions, and ICPC programming contests, surpassing Gemini 3 Pro in the Putnam benchmark test, indicating world-class mathematical and reasoning capabilities [1] Group 2: Seedance 2.0 Impact - Since February, ByteDance has released multiple large model products, including Seedance 2.0, which has garnered significant attention for its multimodal input and realistic generation effects [2] - Tim, founder of the film blog "Film Hurricane," praised Seedance 2.0 for its video generation quality, calling it a game-changer for the video industry [2] - Game Science CEO Feng Ji noted that the model's ability to understand and integrate multimodal information represents a significant leap, suggesting a transformation in video production costs and processes [2] Group 3: Industry Trends and Competitors - ByteDance's 2026 keyword is "climbing high peaks," emphasizing the importance of pursuing significant opportunities in the AI era, with a focus on Doubao/Dola assistant applications [3] - OpenRouter launched an anonymous model called "Pony Alpha," which has attracted developer interest due to its strong coding capabilities and deep optimization for agent workflows, speculated to be related to a new model from Zhiyu [4] - Zhiyu officially announced the release of GLM-5, which ranks fourth globally and first among open-source models, marking a strong entry into the competitive landscape [4] Group 4: Other Model Developments - Alibaba's Qwen introduced a new image generation model, Qwen-Image-2.0, on February 10, expanding its offerings in the AI space [5] - DeepSeek's upcoming AI model, DeepSeek V4, is expected to launch in February, boasting strong programming capabilities that may surpass current top models like Claude and GPT series [7] - DeepSeek is also testing a new long-text model structure supporting 1M context, indicating ongoing innovation in the AI model space [7]

Group 1 - Elon Musk claims that traditional coding will be obsolete by the end of 2026, as AI will generate binary programs directly, surpassing compiler efficiency [2] - Doubao 2.0 has been released, optimized for large-scale production environments, featuring three models: Pro, Lite, and Mini, with capabilities that compete with GPT 5.2 and Gemini 3 Pro [2] - Zhipu AI's GLM-5 has launched overseas with significant price increases for subscriptions and API calls, marking a notable price adjustment in the domestic large model market [3] Group 2 - DeepSeek is conducting gray testing for a context length of up to 1 million tokens, with its knowledge base updated to May 2025 [4] - MinerU has completed compatibility adaptations for over ten domestic AI chip manufacturers, achieving a 99% accuracy rate in document parsing [5] - Doubao's video generation model Seedance 2.0 has been officially launched, supporting synchronized audio-visual generation and multi-modal controllable outputs [6] Group 3 - Alibaba's Qwen-Image-2.0 has been released, capable of processing long text inputs and high-resolution images, achieving a score of 1029 in AI Arena evaluations [7] - Ant Group has open-sourced its multimodal model Ming-flash-omni 2.0, excelling in various benchmarks and being the first to generate unified audio across different formats [8] - Wall Street is showing strong interest in Chinese AI stocks, with Zhipu and MiniMax experiencing significant stock price increases following positive ratings from JPMorgan [13] Group 4 - ByteDance is reportedly developing its own AI chips and negotiating with Samsung for manufacturing, aiming to produce at least 100,000 chips for AI inference tasks by the end of March [14] - The Shenzhen government has proposed an action plan to strengthen the semiconductor industry by leveraging AI technology in key areas [18] - Meta is investing over $10 billion to build a data center in Indiana, expected to create 300 long-term jobs and support local infrastructure improvements [37] Group 5 - Cisco reported a 10% revenue increase to $15.3 billion, with a notable 21% growth in core networking business revenue, but stock fell 7% due to a lackluster outlook [44] - Alphabet's century bond issuance received nearly ten times the subscription, part of a broader financing strategy totaling around $32 billion [45] - Runway has completed a $315 million Series E funding round, nearly doubling its valuation to approximately $5.3 billion [46]

Core Findings - In January 2026, a total of 22 Chinese companies successfully completed IPOs across A-shares, Hong Kong, and US markets, raising a total of 42.839 billion yuan, with A-share IPO numbers halving compared to the previous month [7][8] - The number of IPOs decreased by 26.67% year-on-year and by 50% month-on-month, while the total amount raised increased by 2.17 times year-on-year but decreased by 21% month-on-month [8] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange led in both the number of IPOs (12 companies) and the amount raised (33.717 billion yuan) [8] A-share Market Analysis - In January 2026, 9 Chinese companies went public in the A-share market, with a 25% year-on-year decrease and a 50% month-on-month decrease in IPO numbers [16] - The total amount raised in the A-share market was 9.053 billion yuan, reflecting a 27.47% year-on-year increase but a 71.18% month-on-month decrease [16] - The highest fundraising in the A-share market was achieved by Zhenstone Co., Ltd., which raised 2.919 billion yuan [16] Hong Kong Market Analysis - The Hong Kong market saw 12 IPOs in January 2026, with a 50% year-on-year increase but a 52% month-on-month decrease [18] - The total amount raised in Hong Kong was 33.717 billion yuan, marking a 5.62 times year-on-year increase and a 48.49% month-on-month increase [18] - The presence of AI-related companies in the IPOs indicates a significant investment interest from VC/PE institutions in the sector [18] US Market Analysis - Only 1 Chinese company completed an IPO in the US market in January 2026, representing a 90% year-on-year decrease [21] - The amount raised in the US was 0.07 billion yuan, a 94.71% year-on-year decrease [21] - Recent SEC policy changes are expected to further impact small companies' ability to go public in the US [21] VC/PE Exit Analysis - In January 2026, 13 companies with VC/PE backing went public, a 13.33% year-on-year decrease and a 62.86% month-on-month decrease [26] - The total exit return for VC/PE institutions was 109.455 billion yuan, a 15.3 times year-on-year increase [26] - The electronic information sector had the highest exit returns, with notable contributions from companies like Zhiyuan and Biran Technology [26] Industry and Regional Analysis - The electronic information sector led in both the number of IPOs and the amount raised, with 7 companies raising a total of 26.595 billion yuan [34] - Shanghai had the highest number of IPOs (5 companies) and the highest amount raised (18.384 billion yuan) [40] - The fundraising amount from Shanghai increased by 165.61 billion yuan year-on-year, the largest increase among regions [40] Key IPO Cases - The top fundraising companies included Biran Technology (5.017 billion yuan), MiniMax (4.318 billion yuan), and Haowei Group (4.297 billion yuan) [48] - The highest market capitalization on the first day was recorded by Haowei Group at 150.833 billion yuan [49]