Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Tianqi Lithium Industry (002466) has disclosed its shareholder information, indicating a total of 295,682 A-share shareholders as of December 31, 2025 [1] - Among the A-share shareholders, there are 5,181 institutional shareholders [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industry emphasizes its commitment to maintaining the long-term interests of the company and all shareholders while ensuring stable and sustainable product supply to customers [1] Group 1 - The company is actively engaging in communication and cooperation with customers and relevant parties [1] - Current production and operations of the company are reported to be normal [1] - The company is closely monitoring industry conditions and policy directions [1] Group 2 - The company adheres to principles of compliance, market-oriented cooperation, and long-term stable development [1] - The company promotes a philosophy of mutual benefit, equal cooperation, and long-termism with industry chain partners [1] - The company aims to contribute to the healthy development of the industry [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Tianqi Lithium Industries (002466) reported on an interactive platform that as of December 31, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders will be 295,682 [1]

Report Title - The report is titled "Carbonate Lithium Weekly Report (December 29, 2025 - December 31, 2025): High - level Volatility in the Carbonate Lithium Market, Game between Weakening Demand Expectations and Cost Support" [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report Core View - In the next 1 - 2 weeks, the price of carbonate lithium will maintain a high - level shock pattern under the cost support and weakening demand expectations, with the center of gravity possibly moving slightly downward [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Salt Market Conditions - **Carbonate Lithium Futures and Spot**: The average price of battery - grade carbonate lithium spot dropped to 117,250 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 2.62%. The futures price of carbonate lithium decreased from 130,520 yuan/ton to 121,580 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 6.85%. The futures were at a premium to the spot, and the basis was - 4,330 yuan/ton, narrowing by 57.21% week - on - week [2][4] - **Lithium Hydroxide Spot**: The prices of various types of lithium hydroxide spot all increased. The price of lithium hydroxide (electro - carbon, coarse particles) increased from 102,400 yuan/ton to 109,500 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 6.93%; the price of lithium hydroxide (electro - carbon, fine powder) increased from 107,600 yuan/ton to 114,700 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 6.60%; the price of lithium hydroxide (industrial carbon) increased from 97,100 yuan/ton to 104,200 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 7.31% [4] - **Carbonate Lithium Premium**: The weekly change in the premium of carbonate lithium from different raw materials and enterprises was 200 yuan/ton [7] Lithium Salt Fundamentals Supply - **Carbonate Lithium Production**: The domestic carbonate lithium capacity utilization rate remained at a high level of 83.52%, and the production in December was expected to increase. The capacity utilization rate of lithium hydroxide decreased by 2.56 percentage points to 38.0% week - on - week, indicating some production line conversions or overhauls [2] Demand - **Mid - and Downstream Consumption**: The demand side showed differentiation. The operating rate of energy - storage cells remained high, but many leading cathode material manufacturers announced overhaul plans for January, indicating that the downstream demand might decline significantly month - on - month, and procurement turned to rigid demand [2] Import and Export - **Lithium Ore Import**: The seasonal production reduction expectation of salt lakes constituted a potential supply disturbance, and the arrival of imported lithium concentrate at ports needed to be monitored [2] - **Lithium Ore Transportation Cost**: The transportation costs of lithium ore from South Africa, Zimbabwe, and Nigeria remained unchanged week - on - week [28] Inventory - **Carbonate Lithium Warehouse Receipt Inventory**: The exchange warehouse receipt inventory increased to 20,281 lots, a significant week - on - week increase of 13.55%. The inventory in major warehouses such as Shanghai Xiangyu Speed - Transfer Warehouse and COSCO Shipping Zhenjiang Warehouse increased significantly, showing inventory accumulation pressure [2][41] Cost and Profit - **Carbonate Lithium**: The production cost of externally purchased lithium concentrate was 124,744 yuan/ton, a week - on - week decrease of 3.95%. The production profit was - 7,494 yuan/ton, and the loss increased by 20.91% week - on - week. The cost line provided some support for the current price [2] Lithium - battery Fundamentals - **Positive Electrode Materials**: Information on the market conditions, supply, demand, and cost - profit of positive electrode materials is included in the report, but specific data is not elaborated in the provided content [45][47][51][57] - **Lithium - battery Materials and Batteries Import and Export**: Information on the import and export of lithium - battery materials and batteries is included, but specific data is not elaborated [53][55] - **New Energy Vehicles**: Information on the production, sales, and other important data of new energy vehicles is included, but specific data is not elaborated [61][63] - **Lithium - battery Recycling**: Information on lithium - battery recycling is included, but specific data is not elaborated [59]

Group 1 - Lithium battery concept stocks experienced a broad increase in early trading, with notable gains from companies such as Zhongxin Innovation (up 5.13% to HKD 26.62), Tianneng Power (up 4.02% to HKD 7.51), Ganfeng Lithium (up 3.49% to HKD 57.9), and Tianqi Lithium (up 1.21% to HKD 54.35) [1][1][1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) announced a joint meeting on January 7 with the National Development and Reform Commission, the State Administration for Market Regulation, and the National Energy Administration to discuss the regulation of competition in the power and energy storage battery industry [1][1][1] - The meeting included 16 companies, comprising 13 power and energy storage battery firms and 3 system integrators, indicating a collaborative effort to address industry standards [1][1][1] - Industry organizations such as the China Automotive Power Battery Innovation Alliance and the China Chemical and Physical Power Industry Association participated in the meeting, advocating for self-regulation within the industry [1][1][1]

Core Viewpoint - Lithium battery concept stocks experienced a significant increase in early trading, indicating positive market sentiment towards the sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Zhong Chuang Innovation (03931) rose by 5.13%, trading at 26.62 HKD [1] - Tianneng Power (00819) increased by 4.02%, trading at 7.51 HKD [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) (01772) saw a rise of 3.49%, trading at 57.9 HKD [1] - Tianqi Lithium (002466) (09696) gained 1.21%, trading at 54.35 HKD [1] Group 2: Industry Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) announced a meeting on January 7, involving the MIIT, National Development and Reform Commission, State Administration for Market Regulation, and National Energy Administration to discuss the regulation of the power and energy storage battery industry [1] - The meeting included 16 companies, comprising 13 power and energy storage battery firms and 3 system integrators [1] - The China Automotive Power Battery Innovation Alliance and the China Chemical Physical Power Industry Association participated in the meeting, advocating for industry self-discipline [1]

Summary of Tianqi Lithium's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tianqi Lithium - **Industry**: Lithium production and processing Key Points Production and Capacity - Tianqi Lithium expects Talisman lithium concentrate production to increase in 2026, primarily due to the capacity release of the CGP 3 project, with a projected ramp-up rate of approximately 60% [2][3] - The initial product quality and impurity levels may fluctuate, but products will be blended with others to meet customer specifications [2] - The company plans to secure half of Talisman's total output, with a production budget for Wenfei not exceeding 1.8 million tons in 2026 [2][5] - The Kunana plant is still ramping up and is unlikely to reach full production by the end of 2026 [2][8] Market Dynamics - The company has not discussed adjustments to lithium concentrate pricing mechanisms with joint venture partners like Albemarle, and Albemarle's procurement volume may fall below the upper limit of 950,000 tons [2][5] - Other Australian projects that are currently inactive may consider resuming production if lithium prices stabilize above $1,200 per ton for 3-6 months [6] Supply Chain and Inventory - Domestic factories and the new lithium hydroxide plant in Suzhou are operating smoothly, with tight inventory levels [2][7] - The company anticipates further expansion plans to meet market demand and ensure supply chain stability [7] Environmental and Regulatory Challenges - The Yajiang Cuola project faces strict environmental regulations and local government restrictions, with unclear timelines and budgets for construction [4][10] - The estimated total expenditure for the project is between 2-3 billion RMB [10] Strategic Initiatives - Tianqi Lithium has a long-term contract order ratio of about 70%, with pricing based on ASM prices and adjustments for spot orders according to market conditions [4][17] - The company is actively involved in solid-state battery materials and plans to establish a research and innovation center in Hong Kong [4][24] Financial Outlook - The company has a positive outlook on capital expenditures for 2026, maintaining an open attitude unless faced with significant losses or liquidity issues [20][21] - Tianqi Lithium is focusing on expanding capacity while controlling costs, although it acknowledges limited room for cost reduction [23] Future Prospects - The company is optimistic about the lithium price trend and suggests that investors pay attention to the investment opportunities arising from this market dynamic [25] Legal Matters - Tianqi Lithium is involved in an administrative lawsuit with the Chilean Financial Management Authority regarding SQM's transactions, which could impact future operations [11] Resource Acquisition Strategy - The company remains cautious about new resource acquisitions, evaluating hundreds of projects annually but facing challenges due to high valuations and geopolitical risks [12][14] Production from Other Projects - The Zabuye Salt Lake project, in which Tianqi holds a 20% stake, is producing several thousand tons of lithium carbonate annually, with plans for expansion [15] Conclusion - Tianqi Lithium is positioned to benefit from rising lithium prices and is focused on expanding production capacity while navigating environmental challenges and strategic partnerships [25]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2026, due to high - speed consumption growth, lithium carbonate is expected to shift from an oversupply situation to a tight - balance pattern. The smooth release of supply is likely under high - profit conditions, and attention should be paid to the actual realization of consumption [4][55]. - If the consumption end exceeds expectations and the supply end encounters force majeure, the short - term supply - demand may be tight. There is a high possibility of inventory accumulation in the first half of next year. If consumption fails to meet expectations, the price may correct and return to the cost - pricing model. If consumption continues to exceed expectations and supply - side production falls short of expectations in the second half of the year, the lithium carbonate price is expected to strengthen further [4][55]. - It is expected that the lithium carbonate futures price will range from 80,000 to 150,000 yuan per ton in 2026. As the overall industry oversupply narrows, the price center may rise, and the overall fluctuation range remains large [4][55]. Group 3: Summary by Directory Chapter 1: Review of Lithium Carbonate Trends in 2025 - In 2025, lithium carbonate first declined and then rose. Before the mid - year, the price hit a low of 58,000 yuan per ton. After the mid - year, with the "anti - involution" policy and unexpected demand growth, the price accelerated upwards and reached 120,000 yuan per ton at the end of the year [7]. - From March to May, after the Spring Festival, the resumption of production at the Jiaxiaowo Mine, the decline in overseas Australian ore guide costs, and weak consumption led to inventory accumulation and bottom - building of the futures price [7]. - From May to July, under the "anti - involution" background, policies from the State Council and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology drove the futures price out of the bottom [8]. - In mid - and early August, the shutdown of the Jiaxiaowo Mine and the mining license issues of 8 mines in Jiangxi disturbed the market, causing the futures price to soar [8]. - From late August to mid - October, inventory gradually decreased, but high inventory suppressed the price, and trading sentiment faded [8]. - From late October to the end of the year, supply disruptions and a surge in energy - storage demand led to a significant shortage in supply - demand, and the futures price exceeded 120,000 yuan per ton [9]. Chapter 2: Outlook for the Domestic Macroeconomic Situation 2.1 The Beginning of the 15th Five - Year Plan: Stabilize Growth and Expand Domestic Demand - In 2026, economic growth will be emphasized more. Policy strength is expected to be between that after September 2024 and that from July 2025 to the present [15]. 2.2 Policy: Fiscal Policy as the Mainstay and Monetary Policy as a Supplement - Fiscal policy will continue to be "more proactive", with a deficit rate of about 4% and a deficit scale of about 5.9 trillion yuan. Special bond quotas are expected to be set at 4.5 - 5 trillion yuan. Fiscal policy will shift from "scale expansion" to "efficiency improvement" [17]. - Monetary policy will maintain a "moderately loose" tone but be more cautious in operation. There will be at least one round of reserve - requirement ratio cuts and interest - rate cuts in 2026, with a reserve - requirement ratio cut of 0.25 - 0.5 percentage points and an interest - rate cut of 10 - 20 BP [17]. 2.3 The Possibility of Spill - over Risks in the Real Estate Market Has Significantly Decreased - In 2025, there were no strong national real - estate policies. The change in policy statements may indicate a shift in policy priorities and a change in risk positioning for the real - estate market [21]. 2.4 The "Anti - Involution" Policy May Enter the Implementation Stage - The "anti - involution" policy may enter the implementation stage in 2026, but the public - opinion enthusiasm may decrease, and policies will have priorities [23]. Chapter 3: Sufficient Production Capacity, and the Rising Lithium Price Center Stimulates Supply Elasticity 3.1 Lithium Carbonate Production Capacity Remains Sufficient - In 2025, the overseas supply structure was significantly differentiated. Global lithium carbonate production - capacity layout is accelerating towards Western Australia, South America, and Africa. By the end of 2025, global lithium carbonate smelting capacity exceeded 2 million tons, with domestic capacity exceeding 1.5 million tons [25][26]. - In 2026, it is expected to be the last peak of this round of production - capacity expansion cycle, with new and upcoming projects having a total capacity of over 160,000 tons. Global lithium resource supply is expected to grow by about 30% [24]. 3.2 Slight Increase in Imports, with Significant Growth in Argentina This Year - In October 2025, China's lithium carbonate import volume was 23,800 tons, a month - on - month increase of 21.9% and a year - on - year increase of 3.0%. From January to October, the import volume was 196,900 tons, a year - on - year increase of 4.9%. Imports from Argentina increased significantly [32]. 3.3 The Continuous Growth of Domestic Production Is Mainly Driven by Spodumene - In October 2025, China's lithium carbonate production was 92,300 tons, a month - on - month increase of 5.7% and a year - on - year increase of 54.6%. From January to October, the cumulative output was 776,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 43.2%. The main driving force for production growth was spodumene [35]. 3.4 The Growth Rate of Lithium Ore Imports Is Slow, while Domestic Ore Production Continues to Increase Significantly - In September 2025, China's lithium concentrate import volume was 521,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 10.6% and a year - on - year increase of 38%. From January to September, the import volume was 4.37 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.4%. In October, China's lithium ore production was 20,050 tons LCE, a month - on - month increase of 0.5% and a year - on - year increase of 20.2% [37][38]. Chapter 4: Strong Consumption Expectations, Attention to Realization 4.1 Strong Domestic Consumption Demand, with a Faster Energy - Transition Pace than the Global Average - In 2025, China's total lithium carbonate consumption was about 520,000 tons LCE, accounting for 76% of global demand. The Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta, and the Chengdu - Chongqing Economic Circle were the main consumption areas [41]. - In the domestic lithium carbonate consumption structure in 2025, power batteries accounted for about 74%, and energy - storage accounted for 18%, indicating a faster energy - transition pace than the global average [42]. 4.2 Power Batteries Remain Dominant, and the Proportion of Energy - Storage Continues to Increase - In 2025, in the global lithium carbonate demand structure, power batteries remained dominant, but the proportion of energy - storage and other emerging fields continued to increase. The demand for lithium carbonate from power batteries decreased from 82% in 2023 to 78% in 2025, while the energy - storage proportion increased from 11% to 15% [45]. 4.3 Lithium Iron Phosphate Has Become the Main Source of Growth in Lithium Carbonate Consumption - In 2025, lithium iron phosphate accounted for 82% of the demand in the downstream material structure of lithium carbonate, becoming the main source of growth in lithium carbonate consumption. The demand proportion of ternary materials decreased to 13%, and the combined proportion of lithium manganate and lithium cobaltate was less than 5% [48]. Chapter 5: The Marginal Impact of Cost Reduction Weakens, and the Price Gradually Moves Away from the Bottom - The cost range of lithium carbonate is large. The cost of using salt - lake production is the lowest, at 30,000 - 50,000 yuan per ton. The cash cost of self - owned mine enterprises is 40,000 - 60,000 yuan per ton, and the cost of externally purchased ore is about 60,000 - 80,000 yuan per ton. The cost of the recycling end is the highest, about 100,000 - 200,000 yuan per ton [50]. - In 2026, the global lithium ore market is still in an oversupply situation, but the degree of oversupply has narrowed. The industry cycle is expected to shift from oversupply to tight - balance, and the price of lithium ore is unlikely to fall to the 2025 low [50]. Chapter 6: Outlook for the Lithium Carbonate Price Trend in 2026 - In 2026, due to high - speed consumption growth, lithium carbonate is expected to shift from an oversupply pattern to a tight - balance pattern. The smooth release of supply is likely under high - profit conditions. Attention should be paid to the actual realization of consumption [4][55]. - If consumption exceeds expectations and supply encounters force majeure, short - term supply - demand may be tight. There is a high possibility of inventory accumulation in the first half of the year. If consumption fails to meet expectations, the price may correct. If consumption continues to exceed expectations and supply - side production falls short of expectations in the second half of the year, the price is expected to strengthen [4][55]. - It is expected that the lithium carbonate futures price will range from 80,000 to 150,000 yuan per ton in 2026, with a rising price center and large fluctuations [4][55].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Natural Resources reports significant achievements in China's mineral exploration strategy during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a focus on key mineral types and the discovery of new large oil and gas fields [1] Group 1: Mineral Discovery Achievements - During the 14th Five-Year Plan, China discovered 10 large oil fields and 19 large gas fields, with substantial increases in uranium, copper, gold, lithium, and potassium salt resources [1] - The Dadonggou gold mine in Liaoning has a proven resource of 1,444.49 tons [1] Group 2: Future Plans and Regulations - In 2026, China will continue a new round of mineral exploration strategy actions and implement a special rectification for "circle but not explore" practices, cracking down on illegal mining of strategic mineral resources [1] - The 15th Five-Year Plan will focus on improving the coordination of exploration, production, supply, reserve, and sales of strategic mineral resources, enhancing safety risk monitoring and early warning systems [1] Group 3: Market Performance - Since the end of the New Year holiday, the non-ferrous metal sector has seen a significant rise, with the industry index increasing by 6.98% over two trading days [1] - 16 stocks, including Tianli Composite, Hunan Silver, and China Aluminum, have recorded cumulative gains of over 10% [1] - As of December 2025, the non-ferrous metal industry has seen a net financing inflow of 10.97 billion yuan, ranking fourth among all industries [1] - Major companies such as Zijin Mining, Ganfeng Lithium, Western Materials, China Uranium, Tianqi Lithium, and Xingye Silver Tin have each received net financing inflows exceeding 500 million yuan [1]

Group 1 - Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc. experienced a 5% increase in stock price, reaching 59.85 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 4.035 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 4.65%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 98.226 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on October 16, 1995, and listed on August 31, 2010, is located in Chengdu, Sichuan Province, and specializes in the production and sales of lithium concentrate products and lithium compounds and their derivatives [1] - The revenue composition of Tianqi Lithium is as follows: lithium compounds and derivatives account for 50.54%, lithium ore for 49.25%, and others for 0.21% [1] Group 2 - Huatai-PB Asset Management's Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (510300) is among the top ten circulating shareholders of Tianqi Lithium, having reduced its holdings by 816,800 shares to a total of 17.58 million shares, representing 1.07% of circulating shares [2] - The ETF has generated an estimated floating profit of approximately 50.1029 million CNY today [2] - The Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF was established on May 4, 2012, with a current scale of 425.581 billion CNY, achieving a year-to-date return of 1.9% and a one-year return of 28.32% [2]