Core Insights - The next-generation large models (Gemini 3.0/GPT-5) are significantly beneficial for complex reasoning scenarios, marking the AI industry’s transition to a phase of large-scale implementation [1] - The commercial model is evolving from AI project delivery to AI-enabled existing applications and functional AI applications, with overseas markets leading in technology, payment environment, business models, and market space compared to domestic markets [1][3] - The report emphasizes the potential for domestic companies to leverage their product and engineering capabilities, innovation, and iteration speed to expand into overseas AI application markets [1] AI Application Industry Trends - The AI application industry is moving from a technological singularity to a commercial singularity, with large-scale implementation officially commencing [1] - The first phase involves AI project delivery starting in 2023, focusing on exploratory and non-standard projects due to significant changes in large model capabilities [1][2] - The second phase, starting in 2025, will see accelerated upgrades of existing applications, with many companies initially offering free trials or pilot programs to increase AI module fees [2] - The third phase, expected to begin in 2026, will likely see a proliferation of independent AI products with a primary focus on independent charging models [2] Overseas Market Dynamics - The overseas market is experiencing substantial demand, with both consumer (C-end) and business (B-end) potential market spaces significantly larger than those in the domestic market [3] - Technological advancements are evident, with major models like ByteDance and Google showing significant increases in daily token usage, and a projected investment of $162.4 billion in AI server fields by major cloud service providers by 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 94% [3] - The payment environment in the domestic market lags behind due to user habits, market ecology, pricing strategies, and intellectual property protection issues [3] - The commercial model is evolving, with overseas SaaS companies increasingly developing towards B-end applications, enhancing user acceptance and profitability in high-value scenarios [3] Domestic AI Application Expansion - Domestic AI companies are positioned to capture global market share, driven by strong product and engineering capabilities [4] - The talent pool in China is substantial, with over 5 million STEM graduates expected by 2025, including more than 77,000 PhDs, providing a solid foundation for engineering capabilities [4] - Successful case studies, such as Kingsoft Office's competition with Microsoft Office, demonstrate the potential for domestic AI companies to leverage internet product capabilities and localized strategies for success [4] Company Performance Insights - Analysis of software companies within the CITIC Computer Index indicates that top AI application companies could achieve up to 90% of their revenue from overseas markets by 2024, with some experiencing growth rates exceeding tenfold [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that since Q2 2025, the mainstream storage prices have experienced significant absolute increases due to "supply optimization and AI-driven demand" [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The market has fully transitioned into a "seller's market" by Q4 2025, with steep price increases observed [1] - Despite the current seller's market, the industry is still in the early stages of a super cycle, suggesting continued growth potential [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - High visibility of shortages is expected over the next six months, supporting a positive outlook for mainstream storage DRAM/NAND and niche storage prices in the first half of 2026 [1] - Contract prices are anticipated to rise rapidly, aiming to catch up with the increases in spot prices, indicating sustained demand exceeding supply at least until the end of 2026 [1]

人民财讯12月4日电，中信证券表示，存储仍处于超级景气周期初期，目前未来半年缺货可见度高，合 约价涨价幅度在2026年一季度末之前有望扩大或维持，累计涨幅追赶现货价涨幅。预计行业供不应求至 少持续至2026年底，乐观看待本轮结构性周期景气的持续性。更贴近存储原厂的公司在上行周期受益程 度更大、盈利持续性更强，核心推荐1)利基型存储开启涨价；2)企业级存储进展快、涨价受益逻辑强的 公司；3)企业级SSD/内存配套芯片设计公司有望间接受益。 ...

人民财讯12月4日电，中信证券指出，11月以来国内低轨卫星组网加速催化，卫星载荷为实现卫星组网 通信功能的关键，其中"星间激光链路"负责星-星传输，为微波通信的升级技术，技术壁垒高，为太空 算力从概念走向实用的关键支撑。预计伴随卫星数量增加、单星算力提升、卫星网络复杂度提升，星间 激光的重要性将进一步提升，建议关注当前在载荷端卡位领先的企业。 ...

Core Insights - The next-generation large models (Gemini 3.0/GPT-5) are significantly beneficial for complex reasoning scenarios, indicating that the AI industry is entering a phase of large-scale implementation [1] - The business model is evolving from AI project delivery to AI-enabled existing applications and functional AI applications [1] - Compared to the domestic market, the overseas market is ahead in terms of technological advancement, payment environment, business models, and market space [1] Industry Trends - Overseas AI application Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) data is continuously growing and accelerating in implementation [1] - Companies with over 10% of their revenue from overseas and a 50% increase in overseas revenue can see an overall revenue growth increase of 5%, potentially raising the growth rate to 20% when combined with an existing 15% organic growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that despite entering a "seller's market" in Q4 2025, the industry is still in the early stages of a super cycle, with high visibility of shortages in the next six months [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The main storage segments, including DRAM and NAND, are expected to see price increases in the first half of 2026 [1] - Contract prices are anticipated to rise rapidly, catching up with the increases in spot prices [1] - The industry is expected to experience a supply-demand imbalance that will last at least until the end of 2026 [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The current cycle's prosperity is viewed optimistically, suggesting a sustained period of growth in the storage market [1]

中信证券研报表示，亨斯迈海外MDI装置意外停车，叠加国内主要企业MDI（二苯基甲烷二异氰酸酯） 和TDI（甲苯二异氰酸酯）计划检修，MDI与TDI行业短期供给明显收紧。叠加行业库存处于历史低 位，产品价格已呈现上涨态势，且后续仍有上行空间。龙头企业凭借领先的成本控制能力、自主技术及 持续扩张的规模优势，有望充分受益于价格上涨，获得显著的业绩弹性。长期来看，行业需求平稳、集 中度高，头部企业优势稳固。 （文章来源：第一财经） ...

中信证券研报表示，11月以来国内低轨卫星组网加速催化，北京发布了太空数据中心建设规划方案，计 划到2030年建成首个太空数据中心，到2035年建成大规模太空数据中心；此前，国防科工局成立商业航 天司+四中全会提及"航天强国"；根据根据上海证券报消息，可回收火箭"长征十二号"/"朱雀三号"首发 在即。卫星载荷为实现卫星组网通信功能的关键，其中"星间激光链路"负责星-星传输，为微波通信的 升级技术，技术壁垒高，为太空算力从概念走向实用的关键支撑。我们预计伴随卫星数量增加、单星算 力提升、卫星网络复杂度提升，星间激光的重要性将进一步提升，建议关注当前在载荷端卡位领先的企 业。 （文章来源：第一财经） ...

每经AI快讯，12月4日，中信证券研报认为，下一代大模型(Gemini3.0/GPT5)实质利好复杂推理类场 景，AI产业正走向规模化落地阶段，商业模式逐步从AI项目交付、AI赋能存量应用、AI功能性应用演 进。相较国内市场，海外市场在技术进展、付费环境、商业模式和市场空间等维度均领先于国内，海外 AI应用ARR数据持续增长，正在加速落地。我们重视AI应用公司海外收入增长带来的投资机遇：例如 有10%以上海外收入占比的公司，海外收入增长50%以上，那么对公司整体收入的增速能上提5%，配合 原本15%左右的内生增长，增速就有望提升至20%，实现系统性价值提升。 ...

（文章来源：第一财经） 中信证券研报表示，下一代大模型（Gemini 3.0/GPT5）实质利好复杂推理类场景，AI产业正走向规模 化落地阶段，商业模式逐步从AI项目交付、AI赋能存量应用、AI功能性应用演进。相较国内市场，海 外市场在技术进展、付费环境、商业模式和市场空间等维度均领先于国内，海外AI应用ARR数据持续 增长，正在加速落地。我们重视AI应用公司海外收入增长带来的投资机遇：例如有10%以上海外收入占 比的公司，海外收入增长50%以上，那么对公司整体收入的增速能上提5%，配合原本15%左右的内生增 长，增速就有望提升至20%，实现系统性价值提升。 ...