Core Insights - The sales of new energy heavy trucks in China reached a record high of 45,300 units in December 2025, marking a 198% year-on-year increase and a 62% month-on-month increase [3][31] - The sales of charging heavy trucks alone reached 29,300 units in December, representing a 228% year-on-year growth and a 47% month-on-month increase, continuing a trend of doubling sales for 24 consecutive months [3][31] Sales Performance - In December 2025, pure electric heavy trucks accounted for 90.09% of total sales, with charging heavy trucks making up 71.83% of pure electric heavy truck sales [4][6] - The average monthly sales of charging heavy trucks in 2025 exceeded 10,000 units, with the last seven months of the year being the highest sales months to date [7][31] Market Segmentation - The main types of charging heavy trucks sold in 2025 were tractors, dump trucks, and concrete mixers, with sales of 111,200 units, 18,800 units, and 16,900 units respectively, accounting for 71.8%, 12.2%, and 10.9% of total sales [9][23] - The number of cities with registered charging heavy trucks reached 328, with 199 cities registering over 100 units, indicating widespread adoption across various regions [11] Competitive Landscape - In December 2025, 17 companies sold over 100 units of charging heavy trucks, with SANY leading the sales with 5,466 units, followed by China National Heavy Duty Truck Group with 4,575 units [13][15] - The total number of participants in the charging heavy truck market increased from 27 in 2024 to 32 in 2025, with total sales reaching 154,900 units, a 220% increase year-on-year [19][21] Market Share Analysis - In 2025, five companies achieved market shares exceeding 10%, with SANY, XCMG, FAW Jiefang, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, and Shaanxi Automobile holding shares of 20.1%, 15.4%, 14.9%, 12.4%, and 11.5% respectively [21][23] - The market share of Shaanxi Automobile and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group saw significant increases of 4.6 and 3.4 percentage points compared to 2024 [21] Yearly Growth Trends - The sales of charging tractors increased by 269% year-on-year, while sales of charging dump trucks grew by 146%, indicating strong demand in these segments [23][27] - The top three companies in charging tractor sales for 2025 were SANY, FAW Jiefang, and XCMG, each selling over 18,000 units [25][29]

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa has reassessed its A+H share valuation premium strategy, which involves selecting A+H shares with a minimum premium of 10% to construct a monthly A-share investment portfolio, indicating that this strategy typically yields strong returns when the overall A+H premium narrows rapidly [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy Performance - The latest results show that even when the valuation gap widens or the A-share market outperforms the H-share market, the investment strategy has performed well, with cumulative relative returns increasing from approximately 90% to 107.5% over the past two months [1] - The primary drivers of this performance are attributed to the rise in global metal prices and the recent renewal cycle in China's construction machinery sector, benefiting companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum (603993), Zijin Mining (601899), Sany Heavy Industry (600031), and Weichai Power (000338) [1] Group 2: Foreign Investment Trends - There is a sustained interest from overseas investors in Chinese technology companies; however, due to geopolitical concerns, investors generally prefer holding H-shares [1] - It is anticipated that the repatriation of foreign capital will drive the market capitalization of H-shares, which are significantly lower than their A-share counterparts, including Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750), leading to a potential rapid increase in stock prices post dual listing, which may create re-rating opportunities for their A-shares [1]

Group 1 - JPMorgan Chase & Co. reduced its stake in Sany Heavy Industry (06031.HK) by selling 457,500 shares at an average price of HKD 24.2006 per share, amounting to approximately HKD 11.072 million [2] - Following the reduction, JPMorgan's total holdings in Sany Heavy Industry decreased to 79,245,999 shares, representing a reduction in ownership from 11.06% to 10.99% [2]

Group 1 - JPMorgan Chase & Co. reduced its holdings in SANY Heavy Industry (06031.HK) by 457,492 shares at an average price of HKD 24.2006 per share, amounting to approximately HKD 11.072 million [1] - After the reduction, JPMorgan's total holdings in SANY Heavy Industry are now 79,245,999 shares, representing a decrease in ownership percentage from 11.06% to 10.99% [1][3]

Group 1 - JPMorgan Chase & Co. reduced its stake in SANY Heavy Industry (06031.HK) by selling 457,492 shares at an average price of HKD 24.2006 per share, amounting to approximately HKD 11.072 million [1] - Following the sale, JPMorgan's total holdings in SANY Heavy Industry decreased to 79,245,999 shares, representing a reduction in ownership from 11.06% to 10.99% [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - Sany Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. has won a procurement project from Hudong Zhonghua Shipbuilding (Group) Co., Ltd. with a bid amount of 3.04 million yuan, as announced on January 19, 2026 [1][2] Financial Performance - In 2024, Sany Heavy Industry's operating revenue is projected to be 78.383 billion yuan, with a revenue growth rate of 5.90% and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 5.975 billion yuan, reflecting a net profit growth rate of 31.98% and a return on equity of 8.54% [1][2] - For the first half of 2025, the company reported an operating revenue of 44.780 billion yuan, with a revenue growth rate of 14.64% and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 5.216 billion yuan, indicating a net profit growth rate of 46.00% [1][2] Industry and Product Composition - The company operates in the industrial sector, primarily focusing on heavy construction machinery [1][2] - The main product composition for 2024 includes: excavators (38.75%), others (18.93%), concrete machinery (18.33%), cranes (16.73%), road machinery (3.83%), pile machinery (2.65%), and other businesses (0.78%) [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - The escalating trade tensions between the US and EU, particularly regarding tariffs on goods, are destabilizing global supply chains and creating opportunities for the Chinese construction machinery industry [1][9]. Group 1: Impact on European and American Markets - European manufacturers are facing direct impacts, with a projected 19% drop in sales for 2024, and the US being their largest export market, accounting for over 25% of their exports [4][11]. - The imposition of US tariffs could lead to a cost increase of 15% to 50% for European products, significantly reducing their competitiveness [4][11]. - Conversely, the EU's countermeasures will also raise sales and operational costs for American brands in Europe, indicating a mutual weakening of both markets [12]. Group 2: Opportunities for Chinese Construction Machinery - Chinese construction machinery is well-positioned with three key advantages: 1. Exceptional cost-performance ratio, particularly in the electrification sector, making it an attractive option for budget-conscious European customers [5][13]. 2. A robust compliance system that has been tested through multiple trade disputes, allowing Chinese firms to navigate regulatory challenges effectively [5][13]. 3. A deep localization strategy, with leading companies like XCMG and SANY establishing comprehensive value chains overseas, enhancing their responsiveness to local markets [5][13]. Group 3: Strategic Approaches - In Europe, the focus should be on targeting small to medium-sized rental companies and contractors most affected by the tariff conflict, while aligning with the EU's green infrastructure investment plans [6][14]. - In the US, opportunities may arise from market segments vacated by European brands due to rising costs, as well as from the potential for supply chain replacements, leveraging China's efficient component supply chains [6][14]. - Establishing a strong foothold in South America, particularly through Brazil's significant investment plans, is crucial for mitigating fluctuations in the US and European markets [6][14]. Group 4: Overall Market Dynamics - The current geopolitical tensions are not merely a chance for opportunistic gains but serve as a stress test for the global competitiveness and strategic resilience of the Chinese construction machinery sector [7][15]. - The market's vulnerabilities will favor well-prepared and capable entrants, as Chinese equipment with unmatched cost-performance and integrated service ecosystems can become the optimal solution for clients facing challenges [7][15].

Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan has reduced its stake in Sany Heavy Industry (600031) by selling 457,492 shares at an average price of HKD 24.2006 per share, totaling approximately HKD 11.0716 million, resulting in a new holding of about 79.246 million shares, representing 10.99% of the company [1] Group 1 - JPMorgan sold 457,492 shares of Sany Heavy Industry on January 14 [1] - The average selling price was HKD 24.2006 per share [1] - The total amount from the sale was approximately HKD 11.0716 million [1] Group 2 - After the reduction, JPMorgan's remaining shares in Sany Heavy Industry are approximately 79.246 million [1] - The new holding percentage is 10.99% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that JPMorgan has reduced its stake in Sany Heavy Industry by selling 457,492 shares at an average price of 24.2006 HKD per share, totaling approximately 11.0716 million HKD [1] - After the reduction, JPMorgan's remaining shareholding in Sany Heavy Industry is approximately 79.246 million shares, representing a holding percentage of 10.99% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the mechanical industry, with a focus on mining equipment, AI devices, and consumables [1]. Core Insights - The mechanical industry is expected to enter a new recovery cycle driven by monetary and fiscal policies, with significant capital expenditure anticipated in mining due to rising prices of non-ferrous metals [6][8]. - The AI sector is experiencing rapid growth, leading to increased demand for high-performance servers, GPUs, and advanced PCBs, which are critical for AI applications [6][20]. - The report highlights key companies in various segments, including industrial control, robotics, machine tools, and testing industries, suggesting a broad range of investment opportunities [6][8]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The mechanical industry comprises 636 listed companies with a total market capitalization of approximately 70,956.73 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 58,998.75 billion yuan [3]. Company Profit Forecasts and Valuations - Several companies are highlighted with strong profit forecasts and investment ratings, including: - Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ): EPS forecasted at 2.11 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Falan Technology (603966.SH): EPS forecasted at 0.60 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Xinjie Electric (603416.SH): EPS forecasted at 1.83 yuan for 2025, with a strong buy rating [2]. - Other notable mentions include companies like Anhui Heli (600761.SH) and Sany Heavy Industry (600031.SH), both receiving strong buy ratings [2]. Market Performance - The mechanical sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.4% increase in the index, while the overall market performance varied across different indices [10][13]. - The 3C equipment segment experienced the highest growth at 14.4%, indicating strong demand in this area [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that are well-positioned to benefit from the AI wave, such as: - Dingtai High-Tech and Zhongtung High-Tech in the consumables sector [20][21]. - Dazhu CNC and Xinqi Micro-Assembly in the equipment sector [20]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high-end equipment and consumables in the PCB market, projecting significant growth in this area [20][21]. Key Data Tracking - The report includes macroeconomic indicators and industry-specific data, such as the manufacturing PMI and fixed asset investment growth rates, which are crucial for understanding the industry's health [32][36].