Market Overview - The aviation equipment sector experienced a decline of 1.87% on January 20, with Filihua leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the aviation equipment sector included: - Hangya Technology (688510) with a closing price of 39.50, up 10.37% and a trading volume of 320,300 shares, totaling 1.217 billion yuan [1] - Hangfa Technology (600391) closed at 46.22, up 10.00% with a trading volume of 161,700 shares, totaling 747.1 million yuan [1] - Beimo Gaoke (002985) closed at 38.88, up 5.14% with a trading volume of 418,800 shares, totaling 1.616 billion yuan [1] - Conversely, significant decliners included: - Filihua (300395) closed at 91.20, down 7.74% with a trading volume of 341,400 shares, totaling 3.177 billion yuan [2] - Guanglian Aviation (300900) closed at 33.20, down 7.26% with a trading volume of 370,300 shares, totaling 1.250 billion yuan [2] - Paike New Materials (605123) closed at 109.30, down 6.05% with a trading volume of 90,000 shares, totaling 1.006 billion yuan [2] Capital Flow - The aviation equipment sector saw a net outflow of 2.896 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net inflow of 1.655 billion yuan [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks indicated: - Hangfa Technology (600391) had a net inflow of 2.19 billion yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 1.39 billion yuan from retail investors [3] - Beimo Gaoke (002985) had a net inflow of 21.52 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 11.56 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Hangya Technology (688510) had a net inflow of 18.67 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 16.47 million yuan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The aerospace and defense sector in China is experiencing significant fluctuations, with a notable decline in major indices and specific stocks, while the aerospace ETF shows positive net inflows and growth potential in the commercial space sector by 2026 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 20, the three major indices collectively declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.31%, the Shenzhen Component down 1.47%, and the ChiNext Index down 2.36% [1]. - The CN5082 Aerospace and Defense Industry Index fell by 3.86%, with significant declines in stocks such as Aerospace Development and China Satellite approaching their daily limit down [1]. Group 2: ETF Activity - The Tianhong Aerospace ETF (159241) had a trading volume of 132 million yuan, with a net subscription of 13 million shares during the session [1]. - The ETF saw a net inflow of over 21 million yuan on the previous trading day (January 19), with a current circulation of 531 million shares and a total market size of 814 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The Tianhong Aerospace ETF closely tracks the CN5082 index, which encompasses various sectors including aerospace equipment, military electronics, and emerging technologies like satellite internet and low-altitude economy [1]. - According to Open Source Securities, the domestic commercial space sector is expected to experience a "triple resonance" of policy, technology, and capital by 2026, highlighting the importance of the rocket and satellite industry chains [1]. - Guotai Junan Securities noted that the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation has announced plans to focus on reusable rocket technology and the development of commercial space by 2026, indicating a significant acceleration in the commercial space sector [2].

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a collective decline on January 20, with the aerospace sector undergoing a correction. The Aerospace ETF (159227) fell by 2.77%, with a trading volume of 410 million yuan, maintaining its position as the leading fund in its category [1] - Aerospace ETF has reached a latest scale of 3.034 billion yuan, solidifying its status as the largest in its category [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) announced that the commercial aerospace company, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, has completed its counseling work and entered the acceptance phase, marking a significant IPO progress for the company [1] Group 2 - According to Open Source Securities, under supportive policies, the pace of listings for private rocket companies is accelerating, with expectations for a "policy + technology + capital" triple resonance in the domestic commercial aerospace sector by 2026 [1] - The aerospace ETF closely tracks the National Aerospace Index, covering leading companies across the entire industry chain, including fighter jets, aircraft engines, rockets, missiles, satellites, and radars, aligning perfectly with the strategic direction of "integrated air and space" [1] - The top ten holdings of the aerospace ETF include industry leaders such as Aerospace Development, China Satellite, Aerospace Electronics, AVIC Aircraft, and AVIC High-Tech, with a high commercial aerospace content of 70.19% [1]

Industry and Company Analysis Summary Industry Overview - The large aircraft industry, particularly the C919, is experiencing significant acceleration, marking a turning point in a trillion-yuan market. This is evidenced by a collective surge in stock prices within the large aircraft and aviation sectors, indicating a strong market response to recent developments in China's civil aviation and aerospace industries [1][2]. Key Developments 1. The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has completed compliance flight tests for the C919, providing a core evaluation of "good performance and safety reliability," which signifies the entry of the domestically produced large aircraft into the global market [3]. 2. The successful completion of national energy bureau evaluations for several gas turbine innovation development demonstration projects, including the "Taihang 7," "Taihang 15," and "Taihang 110," indicates progress in China's gas turbine technology [3]. 3. The C919 has reportedly accumulated over 1,000 orders, translating to a market scale exceeding 650 billion yuan based on the Eastern Airlines procurement price of 653 million yuan. Including the maintenance and spare parts market, the total lifecycle market potential approaches one trillion yuan [3]. 4. The CJ-1000A domestic aircraft engine is expected to begin mass installation in 2027, which will alleviate supply chain bottlenecks and accelerate performance realization [3]. 5. Siemens Energy, a leading overseas gas turbine manufacturer, plans to increase its capacity from 17 GW in 2024 to over 30 GW by 2028-2030, reflecting robust global growth in the gas turbine industry [3]. Investment Recommendations 1. **Large Aircraft Sector**: Companies benefiting from the accelerated delivery of the C909 and C919, particularly those with high domestic production rates in structural components, include AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, Hongdu Aviation Industry Group, Triangle Defense, Runbei Aerospace Technology, and Quanzhi Co., Ltd. [4]. 2. **Domestic Engine/Gas Turbine Sector**: Companies poised to benefit from the accelerated industrialization of domestic engines and gas turbines include AVIC Power, AVIC Control, AVIC Technology, Hangya Technology, Tunang Co., Ltd., Yingliu Technology, AVIC Aerospace, AVIC Materials, Parker New Materials, and Lian Ce Technology [4]. Risk Factors - Potential risks include the possibility of aircraft deliveries not meeting expectations and the slower-than-anticipated industrialization progress of domestic aviation engines and gas turbines [4].

Core Viewpoint - The large aircraft concept stocks are experiencing significant gains, with multiple companies reaching their daily price limits [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Aviation Power Control and AVIC Aircraft are hitting the daily limit up [1] - Previously, Beimo High-Tech and Aviation Power Technology also reached their daily limit up [1] - Hangya Technology has increased by over 10% [1] - Other companies such as Aviation Power Dynamics, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft, and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft are also seeing upward movement [1]

Market Overview - Major stock indices in the Asia-Pacific region showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4100 points, while Hong Kong's main indices were in the red [1] - The South Korean Composite Index broke through 4900 points for the first time, with Hyundai and Kia Motors both rising over 12% [1] - A-shares experienced a contraction in trading volume, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.29% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.09%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.7% [1][2] Trading Volume and Stock Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.73 trillion yuan, a decrease of 324.3 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - Over 3500 stocks in the market rose, with 103 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Sector Performance - The electric grid equipment sector showed strong performance throughout the day, with stocks like China West Electric, Dalian Electric Porcelain, and Guangdian Electric all hitting the daily limit [3] - The AVIC index opened high and saw all constituent stocks in the green, with AVIC Aircraft, AVIC Power, AVIC Control, and AVIC Technology all hitting the daily limit, while Hongdu Aviation rose nearly 9% [4][5] Hong Kong Market - The three major indices in Hong Kong collectively declined, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index both dropping over 1%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down over 0.8% [6] - Most tech stocks in Hong Kong fell, with Bilibili down over 7%, Alibaba and Alibaba Health down over 3%, and other companies like Kuaishou and JD Health down over 2% [6] Commodity Performance - Gold and silver prices reached new highs, with spot gold nearing $4700 and silver up over 3.6%, marking a year-to-date increase of over 30% [7] - The cryptocurrency market continued to decline, with Bitcoin dropping nearly 3% and over 250,000 individuals facing liquidation, totaling approximately $871 million [7]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.09%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.7% [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a significant surge, with companies like Aviation Power and Aviation Technology hitting the daily limit, and Aerospace Nanhu rising over 8% [1] - The electrical and grid equipment sector also performed strongly, with stocks such as TBEA, China Western Power, and Baobian Electric reaching the daily limit [1] Group 2: Sector Declines - The optical module and semiconductor sectors faced notable declines, with Cambridge Technology hitting the daily limit down, Ruijie Networks dropping over 10%, and Saiwei Electronics falling over 9% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The aviation sector, particularly the large aircraft concept, has seen significant stock price increases, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market for related companies [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Major companies in the aviation sector, such as航发控制, 航发动力, 中航机载, 万泽股份, and 五洲新春, experienced a surge in stock prices, with several reaching the daily limit up [1]. - 航亚科技 saw a notable increase of over 15%, while 中航西飞, 航宇科技, and 洪都航空 also reported gains [1]. Group 2: Detailed Stock Data - The following companies reported significant stock price increases: - 图南胶价: +16.13%, total amount 7.13 billion, market cap 153.8 billion, current price 38.92 [2] - 航亚科技: +15.20%, total amount 7.07 billion, market cap 93.04 billion, current price 35.85 [2] - 超捷股份: +14.49%, total amount 38.77 million, market cap 289.9 billion, current price 216.04 [2] - 航发动力: +10.01%, total amount 34.147 million, market cap 1190 billion, current price 44.63 [2] - 航发控制: +10.00%, total amount 12.59 million, market cap 309.6 billion, current price 23.54 [2] - 洪都航空: +9.97%, total amount 16.02 million, market cap 308.4 billion, current price 43.00 [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Hangfa Technology (航发科技) has reached its daily limit up, indicating strong market interest and positive sentiment towards the company's strategic transformation and governance improvements [2] - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation as an aerospace engine component manufacturer, enhancing its governance structure and management mechanisms, which has led to a significant increase in revenue by 117.41% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [2] - The aerospace engine industry is a key focus for national development, with increasing demand for aerospace engines driven by the growth of China's aviation sector, contributing to the stock's performance and market interest [2] Group 2 - The company has established 12 technical teams focused on core areas, achieving international advanced levels in aerospace engine component manufacturing, and plans to increase fixed asset investment from 290 million to 330 million yuan for research and production line development [2] - Recent trading activity shows significant institutional interest, with net purchases exceeding 50 million yuan over two days, and a notable 55% of the buying coming from institutional investors, indicating strong capital inflow [2] - Technical indicators such as the MACD have shown positive signals, with the stock price breaking through short-term resistance levels, suggesting a bullish trend in the market [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the aerospace and defense sector [9]. Core Insights - The report indicates that during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, the production pace of domestic commercial aircraft and the self-sufficiency of commercial aviation engines are expected to accelerate, becoming significant growth drivers for the military aviation sector. This is anticipated to lead to a revaluation of related stocks in the aviation sector [3]. - Over the next 20 years, the global commercial aviation market is projected to reach approximately 48.5 trillion yuan, averaging about 2.4 trillion yuan annually. The Chinese market is expected to accumulate around 10 trillion yuan, averaging over 500 billion yuan per year [6]. - By 2029, China's civil aviation fleet is expected to require more than 400 new commercial aircraft annually, with a cumulative need for nearly 2,000 aircraft during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [6][18]. Summary by Sections Domestic Commercial Aircraft - The domestic commercial aircraft market is expected to break the oligopoly of Airbus and Boeing, which currently hold over 90% of the global market share. The C919 aircraft has various models, including the basic, extended, and plateau versions, with plans for an extended version to enhance market coverage [6][25][33]. - The structure of the C919 aircraft is primarily produced by domestic manufacturers, achieving basic localization. The body structure accounts for approximately 30%-35% of the total value, while the engine and onboard systems account for 20%-25% and 25%-30%, respectively [38][39]. Domestic Commercial Aviation Engines - The domestic commercial aviation engine market is projected to exceed 2.9 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with an expected demand for over 900 engines annually by 2029. Currently, the market is dominated by foreign manufacturers, with no domestic engines in operation as of 2024 [7][46][49]. - The report highlights that the domestic engine manufacturer, AVIC Engine, is making strides towards self-sufficiency, with products like the CJ1000 and CJ2000 engines showing technological maturity [7][46]. Commercial Aviation Industry Chain - The commercial aviation industry chain consists of three main segments: aircraft body, onboard systems, and engines. Key players include AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group, AVIC Heavy Machinery, and others, which are positioned to benefit from the growth of the domestic aircraft market [8][9]. - The report emphasizes the importance of achieving self-sufficiency in the aviation engine sector, as it is currently a critical bottleneck for domestic aircraft production [7][46].