关于新疆天润乳业股份有限公司 2024 年年度股东大会的 法律意见书 国枫律股字[2025]A0195 号 致：新疆天润乳业股份有限公司（贵公司） 北京国枫律师事务所（以下简称"本所"）接受贵公司的委托，指派律师出席并见 证贵公司 2024 年年度股东大会（以下简称"本次会议"）。 北京市东城区建国门内大街 26 号新闻大厦 7 层、8 层 电话：010-88004488/66090088 传真：010-66090016 邮编：100005 北京国枫律师事务所 本所律师根据《中华人民共和国公司法》（以下简称"《公司法》"）、《中华人 民共和国证券法》（以下简称"《证券法》"）、《上市公司股东会规则》（以下简称 "《股东会规则》"）、《律师事务所从事证券法律业务管理办法》（以下简称"《证券法律 业务管理办法》"）、《律师事务所证券法律业务执业规则（试行）》（以下简称"《证券法 律业务执业规则》"）等相关法律、行政法规、规章、规范性文件及《新疆天润乳业股份 有限公司章程》（以下简称"《公司章程》"）的规定，就本次会议的召集与召开程序、召 集人资格、出席会议人员资格、会议表决程序及表决结果等事宜，出具本法律意见书。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage [2]. Core Views - The company is experiencing operational pressure and profit disturbances due to impairment issues, with a focus on the performance of Tianrun Dairy [3][4]. - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected at 2.804 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.33%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decline by 69.26% to 44 million yuan [5][8]. - The report highlights the company's strong performance in low-temperature dairy products compared to its room-temperature counterparts, driven by product innovation [5][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company is expected to achieve revenues of 13.59 billion yuan in the Xinjiang region, a decline of 6.31%, while revenues from outside Xinjiang are projected to grow by 9.25% to 13.65 billion yuan [5]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is forecasted to be 16.8%, down 2.35 percentage points year-on-year, with a further decline to 14.63% in Q1 2025 [5][8]. - The report anticipates a recovery in net profit, projecting 73 million yuan in 2025, a 66% increase, and further growth to 179 million yuan in 2026, representing a 146% increase [7][8]. Market Performance - As of May 13, 2025, the company's stock price is 9.48 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 6.74 to 11.87 yuan [4]. - The company has underperformed the CSI 300 index over the past month, with a decline of 14.7% compared to a 3.9% increase in the index [4]. Forecast and Valuation - The report provides a forecast for the company’s revenue growth of 4% in 2025, 6% in 2026, and 7% in 2027, with corresponding net profit growth rates of 66%, 146%, and 18% respectively [7][8]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are 0.23 yuan for 2025, 0.56 yuan for 2026, and 0.66 yuan for 2027, with price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 41.80, 16.96, and 14.41 respectively [7][9].

Core Viewpoint - Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Industry Co., Ltd. has reported significant declines in net profit, with a 69.24% drop in 2024 and a loss of 73.30 million yuan in Q1 2025, marking the lowest performance in nearly a decade [1][3][2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Tianrun Dairy's revenue was 625 million yuan, down 2.5% year-on-year, with a net profit loss of 73.30 million yuan, a staggering decline of 1713.36% [2] - For the full year 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.804 billion yuan, a 3.33% increase, but net profit fell to 43.66 million yuan, a 69.26% decrease [3] - The decline in net profit is attributed to increased culling of low-yield cows and inventory impairment provisions for milk powder [2][3] Market Conditions - The dairy and cattle farming industries are facing challenges, with a 3.5% year-on-year decrease in national cattle inventory and a 12.3% drop in fresh milk prices in major producing provinces [2] - The company is experiencing a phase of oversupply in milk sources and intensified market competition, prompting it to optimize its core herd and explore new sales channels [2][3] Acquisition Impact - The acquisition of Xinjiang New Agricultural Dairy Co., Ltd. has significantly impacted Tianrun Dairy's profits, with a reported loss of 95.35 million yuan attributed to this acquisition in 2023 [4][5] - New Agricultural Dairy's performance has been poor post-acquisition, with losses continuing into 2024, further straining Tianrun Dairy's financials [5][6] Strategic Focus - Despite challenges, Tianrun Dairy's revenue from markets outside Xinjiang has shown growth, with 2024 figures indicating a 9.25% increase in revenue from these markets [7][8] - The company aims to leverage its advantages in Xinjiang's milk sources to build a robust product matrix and industry system [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 2.8 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders fell to 40 million yuan, down 69.3% year-on-year [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 650 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.8%, with a net profit of 20 million yuan compared to zero in the same period last year [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.21 yuan per share (before tax) to all shareholders [1] - The revenue breakdown for 2024 shows that ambient dairy products generated 1.5 billion yuan (down 2%), low-temperature dairy products 1.12 billion yuan (up 3.5%), livestock products 90 million yuan (up 14.3%), and other products 10 million yuan (up 63.9%) [1] - Q4 2024 revenue growth rates for these categories were -3.4%, +2%, +51.2%, and +144% respectively [1] Market Performance - The company’s revenue from the Xinjiang region decreased by 6.3% to 1.36 billion yuan, while revenue from outside Xinjiang increased by 9.5% to 1.36 billion yuan [1] - The decline in the Xinjiang market was attributed to increased competition, while the expansion into external markets was successful, leading to a continuous increase in revenue share from these areas [1] Profitability and Cost Structure - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 18.1%, a decrease of 2.4 percentage points year-on-year, with Q4 gross margin at 12.2%, down 5.4 percentage points [2] - The increase in promotional activities, such as buy-gift promotions, contributed to the pressure on gross margins [2] - The company reported a net profit margin of 0.5% for 2024, down 4.6 percentage points year-on-year, while Q4 net profit margin improved by 2.8 percentage points to 1.9% [2] Product and Market Strategy - The company has a strong integrated dairy farming operation with high self-sufficiency and significant advantages in milk sourcing that are difficult to replicate [3] - The company is pursuing a dual-market strategy focusing on both Xinjiang and external markets, enhancing its presence in Xinjiang while expanding into external markets through targeted products like yogurt and milk [3] - Future profitability is expected to improve as milk prices stabilize in the second half of 2025 [3] Earnings Forecast - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.36 yuan, 0.45 yuan, and 0.56 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to dynamic price-to-earnings ratios of 31 times, 25 times, and 20 times respectively [3]

根据天润乳业2025年4月18日发布的《新疆天润乳业股份有限公司2024年年 度报告》，公司2024年业绩大幅下滑，其中营业利润由2023年的24,505.51万元下 滑至2024年的11,743.78万元，同比下降52.08%，针对此事项，保荐人对公司进行 了专项现场检查，具体情况如下： 一、本次专项现场检查的基本情况 2025 年 4 月 18 日，天润乳业公告了《新疆天润乳业股份有限公司 2024 年 年度报告》，保荐人在前次年度现场检查工作的基础上，结合 2024 年度持续督 导情况，于 2025 年 4 月 23 日-2025 年 4 月 25 日针对此次业绩下滑事项对公司 进行了进一步的专项现场检查。 在本次现场检查过程中，保荐人现场访谈了天润乳业管理层及核心人员，了 解公司业务开展情况；重点查阅了天润乳业 2024 年度的相关财务资料，对公司 2024 年度业务开展情况，各科目的财务数据变动情况、业绩变动原因进行详细 分析，并结合 2024 年行业发展形势等相关信息，对公司 2024 年度业绩大幅下滑 的原因进行分析。 二、公司2024年度业绩变动情况 根据天润乳业 2025 年 4 月 18 ...

新疆天润乳业股份有限公司 关于获得政府补助的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者 重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： 获得补助金额：736.27 万元 对当期损益的影响：为与收益相关的政府补助，将计入损益或冲减相关 成本费用，并对公司 2025 年度损益产生积极影响，具体的会计处理以及对公司 损益的影响最终以审计机构年度审计确认后的结果为准。 一、获得补助的基本情况 新疆天润乳业股份有限公司 证券代码：600419 证券简称：天润乳业 公告编号：临 2025-018 债券代码：110097 债券简称：天润转债 公司按照《企业会计准则第 16 号——政府补助》的相关规定，确认上述事 1 新疆天润乳业股份有限公司 项并划分补助的类型为与收益相关的政府补助，公司直接计入损益或冲减相关成 本费用，预计将对公司 2025 年度损益产生积极影响。上述政府补助未经审计， 具体的会计处理以及对公司损益的影响最终以审计机构年度审计确认后的结果 为准。敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 特此公告。 新疆天润乳业股份有限公司董事会 2025年5月7日 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tianrun Dairy (600419.SH) [6] Core Views - Tianrun Dairy's 2024 annual revenue reached 2.804 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.33%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders dropped by 69.26% to 43.66 million yuan [1] - The company faced challenges in the first quarter of 2025, with a revenue of 625 million yuan, a decrease of 2.50% year-on-year, and a net loss of 73.30 million yuan [1][4] - The report highlights the impact of cattle impairment on short-term profits, with a projected recovery in profitability expected as the company normalizes its cattle culling rate [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Tianrun Dairy's revenue was 2.804 billion yuan, with a net profit of 43.66 million yuan, and a significant decline in net profit margin to 1.56% [1][3] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 625 million yuan, with a net loss of 73.30 million yuan, indicating a challenging market environment [1][4] Product Categories - The revenue breakdown for Q1 2025 showed that the revenue from ambient dairy products, low-temperature dairy products, and livestock products were 347 million yuan, 239 million yuan, and 17 million yuan respectively, with low-temperature products being relatively stable [2] Profitability and Costs - The gross margin for 2024 was 16.76%, with a decline in Q1 2025 to 14.63% due to increased promotional activities [3] - Selling expense ratio increased to 6.87% in Q1 2025, attributed to promotional discounts [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 108 million yuan and 195 million yuan, respectively, with an introduction of a 2027 forecast of 247 million yuan [4] - The report indicates that the current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 29x for 2025, 16x for 2026, and 13x for 2027, reflecting the company's differentiated product advantages and growth potential in external markets [4]

公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [天Ta润bl乳e_业Sto(c6k0A0n4d1Ra9n)k] | 投资评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 上次评级 | 买入 | 赵 雷 食品饮料行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524100003 邮 箱：zhaolei@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 金隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 淘汰牛只扰动利润，业绩有望先抑后扬 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 4 日 [T事ab件le：_S公um司ma发ry布] 2025 年一季报。25Q1，公司实现营业收入 6.25 亿元，同 比-2.50%；归母净利润-7330 万元，同比-1713.36%；实现扣非归母净利润 -103 万元，同比-104.54%。 点评： 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_Author] 乳业消费乏力，Q1 收入略降。行业角度看，乳制品 Q1 仍然呈现供给 端过剩 ...

[Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [天Ta润bl乳e_业Sto(c6k0A0n4d1Ra9n)k] | 投资评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 上次评级 | 买入 | 赵 雷 食品饮料行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524100003 邮 箱：zhaolei@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 金隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 公司研究 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 淘汰牛只扰动利润，业绩有望先抑后扬 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 4 日 [T事ab件le：_S公um司ma发ry布] 2025 年一季报。25Q1，公司实现营业收入 6.25 亿元，同 比-2.50%；归母净利润-7330 万元，同比-1713.36%；实现扣非归母净利润 -103 万元，同比-104.54%。 点评： 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 1 [Table_Author] 乳业消费乏力，Q1 收入略降。行业角度看，乳制品 Q1 仍然呈现供给 端过剩 ...

盈利预测与投资评级：牛只淘汰有望大幅降速，业绩有望先抑后扬。公 信达证券股份有限公司赵雷近期对天润乳业进行研究并发布了研究报告《淘汰牛只扰动利润，业绩有望先 抑后扬》，给予天润乳业买入评级。 天润乳业(600419) 事件：公司发布2025年一季报。25Q1，公司实现营业收入6.25亿元，同比-2.50%；归母净利润-7330万 元，同比-1713.36%；实现扣非归母净利润-103万元，同比-104.54%。 点评： 乳业消费乏力，Q1收入略降。行业角度看，乳制品Q1仍然呈现供给端过剩，需求端乏力的景象，奶价同 环比继续下行，一季度全国牛存栏量同比-3.5%，乳制品产量同比-2.4%。在此背景下，公司Q1收入略有下 降，分产品看，常温乳制品、低温乳制品和畜牧业产品分别实现收入3.47亿元、2.39亿元和1732万元，同 比分别-4.38%、-0.64%和-44.27%。分区域看，疆内和疆外分别实现收入3.55亿元和2.51亿元，同比分 别-4.40%和-5.87%。 毛利率略降，淘汰牛只导致利润亏损。公司Q1毛利率为14.63%，同比-1.80pct，主要系公司短期部分产品 促销所致。费用端看，整体费用率相 ...