新疆天润乳业股份有限公司 | | | 新疆天润乳业股份有限公司 一、可转债发行上市概况 （一）可转债发行情况 根据中国证券监督管理委员会《关于同意新疆天润乳业股份有限公司向不特 定对象发行可转换公司债券注册的批复》（证监许可〔2024〕899 号），新疆天 润乳业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 10 月 24 日向不特定对象 发行了 990.00 万张可转换公司债券，每张面值 100 元，发行总额 99,000.00 万元， 发行期限 6 年，票面利率为第一年 0.30%、第二年 0.50%、第三年 1.00%、第四 年 1.50%、第五年 1.80%、第六年 2.00%。 （二）可转债上市情况 经上海证券交易所自律监管决定书〔2024〕149 号文同意，公司本次发行的 99,000.00万元可转换公司债券于2024 年11月15日在上海证券交易所挂牌交易， 债券简称"天润转债"，债券代码"110097"。 （三）可转债转股价格调整情况 根据《新疆天润乳业股份有限公司向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券募集说 明书》（以下简称"《募集说明书》"）的约定，"天润转债"自 2025 年 4 月 1 新 ...

证券之星消息，8月4日饮料乳品板块较上一交易日上涨0.95%，东鹏饮料领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3583.31，上涨0.66%。深证成指报收于11041.56，上涨0.46%。饮料乳品板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 6655509 | 东鹏饮料 | 295.17 | 3.55% | 3.10万 | 9.11亿 | | 002946 | 新乳业 | 16.62 | 2.47% | 6.99万 | 1.15亿 | | 600419 | 天润乳业 | 10.77 | 1.41% | 4.73万 | 5083.80万 | | 600882 | 妙可蓝多 | 26.86 | 1.17% | - 3.84万 | 1.03亿 | | 002910 | 庄园牧场 | 10.06 | 0.60% | 8.35万 | 8328.28万 | | 603711 | 香飘飘 | 13.60 | 0.44% | 1.96万 | 2649.81万 | | 605300 | 佳木食品 | ...

证券之星消息，8月1日新疆国企改革板块较上一交易日上涨2.15%，天富能源领涨。当日上证指数报收 于3559.95，下跌0.37%。深证成指报收于10991.32，下跌0.17%。新疆国企改革板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600509 | 天富能源 | 6.59 | 2.01% | 34.42万 | 2.27亿 | | 002100 | 天康生物 | 6.43 | 0.63% | 18.19万 | + 1.17亿 | | 000972 | *ST中基 | 3.22 | 0.31% | 11.34万 | 3623.90万 | | 600359 | 新农开发 | 7.06 | 0.28% | 5.55万 | 3922.11万 | | 600197 | 伊力特 | 14.63 | 0.27% | 3.07万 | 4484.25万 | | 601069 | 西部黄金 | 19.07 | 0.26% | 9.56万 | 1.81亿 | | 002941 | 新疆交建 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The dairy industry in China is experiencing a structural adjustment due to declining milk prices and rising production costs, leading to increased losses among dairy farms and a reduction in the number of dairy cows [1][22][27] - The dairy product market is dominated by a few major players, with a notable performance in flavored milk and online sales channels, indicating potential growth areas despite overall consumption decline [2][42][61] - Tianjin is emerging as a significant urban dairy industry cluster, leveraging advanced DHI measurement technology to enhance milk production efficiency [3][67][76] Summary by Sections 1. China's Dairy Industry and Production Adjustments - Inner Mongolia is the largest milk-producing region, accounting for over 19% of national milk production in 2024 [1] - The average price of fresh milk has decreased by 11.75% year-on-year in the first half of 2024, leading to a cost-price inversion for dairy farms [22][25] - The number of dairy cows in China is projected to decrease by over 500,000 heads in 2024 compared to 2023 [27][36] 2. Dairy Product Market Dynamics - The production of dairy products from large-scale enterprises is expected to decline by 1.90% in 2024, with a total output of 29.62 million tons [2][42] - The market share of flavored milk products is increasing, with online sales channels showing significant growth potential [2][61] - The average per capita consumption of dairy products in China is only 40.5 kg/year, significantly lower than the recommended dietary intake and below levels in developed countries [54] 3. Tianjin's Dairy Industry Development - Tianjin's dairy industry has achieved an annual output value exceeding 11.68 billion yuan, with a slight increase in dairy cow inventory in 2024 [3][70] - The DHI measurement technology in Tianjin is leading nationally, with a full coverage of DHI testing for all dairy cows in the region [3][76] - The average milk yield per cow in Tianjin is significantly higher than the national average, showcasing the effectiveness of local dairy management practices [3][70]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 001318 | 阳光乳业 | 14.99 | 9.98% | 33.66万 | | 4.98亿 | | 832786 | 骑士乳业 | 11.64 | 5.05% | 56.84万 | | 7.15亿 | | 002570 | 贝因美 | 6.72 | 3.54% | 487.22万 | | 34.09亿 | | 002329 | 皇氏集团 | 3.94 | 2.07% | 122.57万 | | 4.93亿 | | 605388 | 均瑶健康 | 8.05 | 1.51% | 48.78万 | | 4.04亿 | | 605337 | 李子园 | 12.97 | 1.49% | 13.13万 | | 1.71亿 | | 300106 | 西部牧业 | 12.19 | 1.41% | 63.23万 | | 8.17亿 | | 300898 | 熊猫乳品 | 28.90 | 1.08% | 20.00万 | | 6.05亿 | | ...

新疆天润乳业股份有限公司 证券代码：600419 证券简称：天润乳业 公告编号：临 2025-036 债券代码：110097 债券简称：天润转债 获得补助金额：466.02 万元 对当期损益的影响：为与收益相关的政府补助，将计入损益或冲减相关 成本费用，并对公司 2025 年度损益产生积极影响，具体的会计处理以及对公司 损益的影响最终以审计机构年度审计确认后的结果为准。 新疆天润乳业股份有限公司 新疆天润乳业股份有限公司 关于获得政府补助的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者 重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： 一、获得补助的基本情况 2025 年 7 月 25 日，新疆天润乳业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）收到 政府补助 466.02 万元，为与收益相关的政府补助，占公司 2024 年度经审计归属 于上市公司股东的净利润的 10.67%。 二、补助的类型及其对上市公司的影响 公司按照《企业会计准则第 16 号——政府补助》的相关规定，确认上述事 项并划分补助的类型为与收益相关的政府补助，公司直接计入损益或冲减相关成 本费 ...

Group 1 - The company Tianrun Dairy received a government subsidy of 4.6602 million yuan on July 25, 2025 [1] - This subsidy accounts for 10.67% of the company's audited net profit attributable to shareholders for the fiscal year 2024 [1] - The subsidy is classified as a revenue-related government grant, which will be directly included in profit or used to offset related costs and expenses, positively impacting the company's financial results for the fiscal year 2025 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the food and beverage industry, particularly highlighting opportunities in the liquor sector and food products [1] Core Insights - The liquor industry is undergoing extreme pressure testing, with a significant focus on inventory clearance and bottoming out of financial reports. The second quarter has shown weak demand due to seasonal factors and regulatory impacts, leading to a notable decline in sales and pricing pressures [5][10] - High-end liquor brands like Moutai are expected to maintain growth, while mid-tier brands face challenges with declining revenues and profits. The overall industry is in a deep clearance phase, with potential for recovery as regulations stabilize [5][12] - The consumer goods sector shows mixed performance, with snacks and beverages remaining strong, while other segments like frozen foods and chain restaurants face ongoing demand pressures [20][25] Summary by Sections 1. Liquor Sector - The liquor industry is experiencing extreme pressure, with weak demand in the second quarter and significant inventory levels. Major brands like Moutai and Wuliangye are expected to show modest growth, while others like Yanghe and Luzhou Laojiao are facing declines [5][11][12] - Moutai's revenue is projected to grow by 7% in Q2, while Wuliangye is expected to see a 1% increase. In contrast, brands like Yanghe and Luzhou Laojiao are forecasted to decline by 35% and 8% respectively [11][12] 2. Consumer Goods - The overall demand for consumer goods remains weak, but segments like snacks and beverages are performing well. For instance, East Peak is expected to see a 33% increase in revenue, while other snack brands are also showing positive trends [20][25] - The beverage sector is projected to see positive growth, with major brands like Qingdao Beer and Yanjing expected to report increases in revenue and profit [25][26] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-performing stocks in the short term while considering long-term investments in liquor brands that are currently at their bottom. Brands like Moutai and Gujing are recommended for their lower risk profiles [7][8] - For consumer goods, companies like Anqi and East Peak are highlighted for their growth potential, while traditional dairy brands like Yili and Mengniu are suggested for a bundled investment approach [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [6] Core Insights - The current state of China's raw milk and beef industries is at the bottom of the cycle, with the dairy industry gradually clearing capacity towards a balance in supply and demand [1] - The beef industry has seen a price recovery, with live cattle prices rebounding since February 2025, driven by reduced imports and a tightening supply [2] - The report indicates that the dairy cycle's darkest moment is expected to end within 1.5 years, with signs of marginal improvement in the first half of 2025 [1] Summary by Sections Raw Milk Industry - As of July 10, 2024, the price of fresh milk is 3.04 CNY/kg, down 6.17% year-on-year, with over 90% of the dairy industry experiencing losses [1] - The China Dairy Association forecasts a 4.5% year-on-year decrease in dairy cow inventory for 2024, with further price declines expected in 2025 [1] - There are indications of a narrowing decline in raw milk prices in the first half of 2025, with a significant reduction in milk powder spray volume [1] Beef Industry - The beef industry is entering a replenishment phase, with a 2.9% growth in cattle inventory in 2023, but a projected 4.4% decline in 2024 [2] - Live cattle prices and market averages have increased by 8.3% and 7.4% respectively since February 2025 [2] - The industry is experiencing a culling cycle for breeding cows, leading to a decrease in the number of calves born [2] Company Performance YouRan Agriculture - In 2024, YouRan achieved revenue of 20.1 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 7.5%, with fresh milk production rising by 24.1% to 3.747 million tons [3] - Despite a decrease in average selling price of fresh milk to 4.1 CNY/kg, the company managed to improve its gross margin [3] - The company reported a loss of 690 million CNY for the year due to declining raw milk and beef prices [3] Modern Farming - Modern Farming's revenue decreased by 1.5% year-on-year to 13.25 billion CNY, with fresh milk production increasing by 13.6% [4] - The average selling price of fresh milk fell by 10.3% to 3.6 CNY/kg, resulting in a loss of 1.47 billion CNY for the year [4] - Future price increases in milk and beef are expected to positively impact the company's core business [4] China Shengmu - China Shengmu reported a revenue decline of 7.6% to 3.13 billion CNY in 2024, with fresh milk sales price down by 6.1% [7] - The company is positioned to benefit from the rising beef prices due to its dual focus on dairy and beef production [7] Tianrun Dairy - Tianrun's revenue for 2024 is projected at 2.8 billion CNY, a 3.3% increase, but net profit is expected to drop by 69.3% due to losses from cattle disposal [8] - The company is expected to improve its operations as it reduces cattle disposals in subsequent quarters [8]

Core Viewpoint - Despite facing challenges such as declining raw milk prices, oversupply of milk sources, and intensified market competition, Tianrun Dairy's performance remains under pressure, with a projected net loss for the first half of 2025 [1] Financial Performance - Tianrun Dairy expects a net loss of between 26 million to 18 million yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to increased disposal of low-yield dairy cows, losses from bulk milk powder sales, and impairment provisions for biological assets [1] - In the first quarter of 2025, the company's revenue decreased by 2.5% year-on-year to 625 million yuan, with a net profit turning into a loss of 73.3 million yuan, a decline of 1713.36% [2] - The company reported a non-recurring net profit of between 46 million to 67 million yuan for the first half of 2025, indicating potential recovery in profitability starting from the second quarter [1] Inventory and Impairment - Tianrun Dairy has faced significant inventory impairment pressures, particularly related to milk powder, leading to multiple impairment provisions totaling approximately 10.7 million yuan over various periods [3][4] - The company has been actively reducing its dairy cow population, with the number of cows culled in the first quarter of 2025 reaching 8,500, averaging about 94.4 cows disposed of daily [5] Market Strategy and Sales - Despite a decline in revenue from main products, overall sales volume increased by 12.37% year-on-year to 74,500 tons in the first quarter of 2025, attributed to increased marketing expenditures [6] - Tianrun Dairy aims to achieve a sales target of 310,000 tons of dairy products and set a revenue goal of 3 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting cautious optimism amid ongoing industry challenges [7] Acquisition Impact - The acquisition of Xin Nong Dairy for 326 million yuan has not yielded the expected benefits, with the subsidiary contributing a loss of 95.35 million yuan to Tianrun Dairy's profits in 2023 [8] - Xin Nong Dairy's performance has been disappointing, with a net loss of 81.36 million yuan in 2024, attributed to inventory impairments and cow disposal issues [8] Future Outlook - The company faces significant uncertainty regarding its ongoing projects, including the expansion of dairy farms, which have been delayed, leading to an impairment provision of approximately 1.03 million yuan [10]