[Chongqing Iron & Steel Company Limited 2025 Semi-Annual Performance Forecast](index=1&type=section&id=%E9%87%8D%E5%BA%86%E9%92%A2%E9%93%81%E8%82%A1%E4%BB%BD%E6%9C%89%E9%99%90%E5%85%AC%E5%8F%B82025%E5%B9%B4%E5%8D%8A%E5%B9%B4%E5%BA%A6%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A) This report provides the company's preliminary semi-annual performance forecast for 2025, detailing the expected significant reduction in net loss, the underlying operational improvements, and associated risk disclosures [Summary of Performance Forecast](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%80%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) The company projects a significant reduction in net loss for H1 2025, with attributable net loss expected between RMB 120 million and RMB 140 million, representing a substantial year-on-year improvement Key Performance Indicators for H1 2025 Performance Forecast | Indicator | H1 2025 (Estimated, RMB) | H1 2024 (Prior Period, RMB) | Year-on-Year Change (RMB) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders | -140 million to -120 million | -689 million | Loss reduced by 549 million to 569 million | | Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders (Excluding Non-Recurring Items) | -150 million to -130 million | -691 million | Loss reduced by 541 million to 561 million | | Earnings Per Share | N/A | -0.08/share | N/A | - The data in this performance forecast has not been audited by an accounting firm[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Analysis of Performance Change Reasons](index=2&type=section&id=%E4%B8%89%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E5%8F%98%E5%8A%A8%E7%9A%84%E4%B8%BB%E8%A6%81%E5%8E%9F%E5%9B%A0) The substantial reduction in loss is primarily attributed to the company's effective strategies in procurement, sales, and stringent production cost control, leading to improved efficiency and market presence - Integrated procurement and sales transformation enhanced business capabilities: **significant cost reduction** achieved through localized procurement and seizing price reduction opportunities; sales achieved breakthroughs in new user development, market share, and special steel proportion through agile linkage, regional coordination, and product structure optimization[7](index=7&type=chunk) - **Significant cost control achievements**: The company maintained a consistent intensive production model, effectively reducing product manufacturing costs through refined scheduling and strict process control, and significantly improving key production indicators such as blast furnace utilization, smelting cycle, and hot charging rate[7](index=7&type=chunk) [Risk Warning and Other Disclosures](index=2&type=section&id=%E5%9B%9B%E3%80%81%E9%A3%8E%E9%99%A9%E6%8F%90%E7%A4%BA) The company confirms no material uncertainties affecting the forecast's accuracy, while reminding investors that the disclosed data is preliminary and subject to the final semi-annual report - The company declares no significant uncertain factors exist that would affect the accuracy of this performance forecast[8](index=8&type=chunk) - Investors are reminded that the forecast data represents preliminary accounting results, and the final accurate financial data will be based on the company's officially disclosed 2025 semi-annual report[9](index=9&type=chunk)

重庆钢铁（601005）公告，公司预计2025年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为-1.4亿元至-1.2 亿元，与上年同期相比，预计减亏5.49亿元至5.69亿元。预计2025年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的 扣除非经常性损益后的净利润预计为-1.5亿元至-1.3亿元，与上年同期相比，预计减亏5.41亿元至5.61亿 元。 ...

股票方面，截至上周末，多晶硅板块通威股份（600438）7月至今大涨逾两成，大全能源大涨近两成； 光伏玻璃亚玛顿（002623）大涨逾六成；钢铁股金岭矿业（000655）大涨逾四成，重庆钢铁（601005） 大涨16%。 深圳商报·读创客户端记者 陈燕青 随着"反内卷"政策信号持续释放，市场对行业格局优化的预期增强，近期多晶硅、黑色系商品期货持续 反弹。根据统计，截至7月11日，7月以来多晶硅主力合约大涨23.4%，焦煤主力合约上涨8.37%，玻璃 主力合约上涨6.68%，螺纹钢主力合约上涨4.12%。 业内普遍认为，"反内卷"背后，意在减少低效竞争，解决产能过剩和资源浪费问题。 对此，广发证券首席策略分析师刘晨明表示，从2023年底以来，"反内卷"在多个顶层会议被频繁提及， 自上而下推动的供给调节与需求刺激手段形成配合，目标是使得经济的物价水平重回稳定区间。本轮市 场对于"反内卷"的形式和力度也存在观望期，未来行情斜率的提升还需要看到进一步坚决推进的政策信 号。如果政策持续，单靠供给收缩可以实现相关行业的资产周转率上升、价格上涨、利润修复，构成结 构性机会。 根据统计，7月以来商品价格上涨较多的品类集中在新 ...

Group 1 - Thailand's Ministry of Commerce initiated an anti-circumvention investigation on cold-rolled carbon steel products from mainland China, following requests from domestic companies [1] - The investigation aims to determine if the products have been slightly altered to circumvent existing anti-dumping measures [1] - Thailand previously imposed anti-dumping duties on cold-rolled carbon steel from mainland China, Taiwan, and Vietnam, with the current measures set to expire on January 24, 2024 [1] Group 2 - Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. and its five subsidiaries are involved in the investigation, including Baosteel Zhanjiang Iron and Steel Co., Ltd. and Wuhan Iron and Steel Co., Ltd. [2] - The Maanshan Group and its six subsidiaries, including Maanshan Iron and Steel Co., Ltd. and China BaoWu Steel Group Corporation Limited, are also implicated [2]

Group 1 - Hong Kong steel stocks experienced a significant rally, with Chongqing Steel rising over 15% [1] - Tian Gong International increased by 7%, while China Iron Titanium and Maanshan Steel both rose over 5% [1] - China Aluminum saw an increase of over 3% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The steel sector has experienced a significant surge, with companies like Anyang Iron & Steel (600569) hitting the daily limit up, and others such as Shengde Xintai (300881) rising over 6% [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Anyang Iron & Steel (600569) has reached a daily limit up, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in the stock [1] - Shengde Xintai (300881) has seen an increase of over 6%, reflecting positive market sentiment towards the steel industry [1] - Other companies in the sector, including Chongqing Steel (601005), Jiugang Hongxing (600307), and Shandong Steel (600022), have also experienced upward movement in their stock prices [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - Henan Steel Group has announced a shift away from low-end, low-price competition, signaling a strategic move towards higher value-added products [1] - The company plans to clarify the weight of special steel business in performance evaluations and profit contributions, indicating a focus on enhancing product quality and profitability [1] - A rigid incentive mechanism will be implemented to drive resources towards high value-added products, suggesting a long-term strategy for industry improvement [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The average stock price in the A-share market is 11.97 yuan, with 43 stocks priced below 2 yuan, the lowest being Hengli Tui at 0.15 yuan [1] Group 1: Market Overview - As of July 8, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3497.48 points, with a notable presence of low-priced stocks [1] - Among the low-priced stocks, 30 out of 43 showed an increase in price, with *ST Huifeng, Yabo Co., and Meibang Fashion leading the gains at 4.65%, 4.35%, and 3.83% respectively [1] Group 2: Low-Priced Stocks Details - The list of stocks priced below 2 yuan includes: - Hengli Tui (0.15 yuan), with a market-to-book ratio of 0.38 [1] - Tui Shi Jiu You (0.17 yuan), with a market-to-book ratio of 2.82 [1] - Zhong Cheng Tui (0.25 yuan), with a market-to-book ratio of 2.17 [1] - The low-priced stocks include 10 ST stocks, accounting for 23.26% of the total [1] Group 3: Performance of Specific Stocks - The top gainers among low-priced stocks include: - *ST Huifeng (1.80 yuan) with a daily increase of 4.65% [2] - Yabo Co. (1.68 yuan) with a daily increase of 4.35% [2] - Meibang Fashion (1.90 yuan) with a daily increase of 3.83% [2] - The top losers include: - Tui Shi Jin Gang (0.53 yuan) with a decrease of 7.02% [1] - Tui Shi Jiu You (0.17 yuan) with a decrease of 5.56% [1] - *ST Baoying (1.98 yuan) with a decrease of 1.00% [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The trade agreement between the US and Vietnam provides a sample for subsequent trade negotiations between other countries, leaving uncertainties for future China-US negotiations. China may face difficulties in countering the increased costs of re-export trade tariffs. Attention should be paid to trade agreement news before July 9. The non-farm payroll data released today is also a key focus [6][9][12]. - Due to the influence of news, the "anti-involution" seems to bring a new round of supply-side reform in cyclical industries, with traditional sectors rising. However, the sustainability of the rise in oversold sectors is questionable, and it is more likely to be a structural market. The index will fluctuate between 3400 - 3500 points. Given the intertwining of overseas tariffs, Fed rate cuts, and domestic policies, the subsequent market is likely to continue with a structural trend. A dumbbell strategy should be adopted, and attention should be paid to the linkage between Hong Kong stocks and A-shares [2][4][12]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Views 1.1 Overseas Overnight - The US ADP employment change in June was -33,000, significantly lower than the expected 95,000 and the previous value of 29,000. This was the first employment contraction since March 2023, indicating weakness in the US labor market. As the employment data weakened, the market increased its bets on a Fed rate cut in July, with the probability rising from 20% to 27.4% [6]. - Trump announced a trade agreement with Vietnam. Vietnam will implement a 0% tariff on US imports, while Vietnamese goods exported to the US will face a 20% tariff, and goods deemed to be "transshipped through Vietnam" will be subject to a 40% tariff, targeting China. The previous agreement framework with China may face uncertainties. In the overnight market, although the US employment data was weak, the trade news had a greater impact. The US dollar index rose, US Treasury yields declined at both short and long ends, gold prices increased, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slightly fell, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 rose, the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index slightly increased, and the offshore RMB exchange rate remained basically flat. Attention should be paid to the US non-farm payroll data today, as the weak ADP data does not necessarily mean the non-farm payroll data will be weak [6]. 1.2 Domestic Market Review - On Wednesday, the broader market opened lower, fluctuated, and slightly declined by 0.09%. The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.61%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.13%. The market showed a differentiated adjustment trend. Although the broader market was supported by banks and did not decline, individual stocks tumbled. Similar to the previous rise of Guotai Junan International in Hong Kong stocks, Chongqing Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. in Hong Kong stocks soared by 91.11%, mainly affected by a 30% limit on sintering machines in Tangshan, which also drove up the A-share steel sector and other cyclical sectors. Cyclical industries seem to be starting a new round of supply-side reform, consistent with the "anti-involution" tone. However, the sustainability of the rise in oversold sectors may be problematic. Among sectors, steel, coal, building materials, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and banking rose, while electronics, communications, military, computer, and beauty care sectors led the decline. There were 1,943 rising stocks and 3,282 falling stocks in the entire market [2][7]. - The People's Bank of China issued the "Administrative Measures for Anti-Money Laundering and Anti-Terrorist Financing of Precious Metals and Gemstone Industry Institutions," requiring industry institutions to submit large transaction reports within 5 working days for transactions with a single or daily cumulative amount of over RMB 100,000 [7]. 1.3 Important News - Trump announced a trade agreement with Vietnam, where the Vietnamese market will fully open to the US. Vietnam will pay a 20% tariff on any goods entering US territory, and a 40% tariff will be imposed on transshipped goods. Vietnamese state media reported that the US will significantly reduce tariffs on various Vietnamese products [9]. - Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that there is currently no urgency to change policies [10]. - Vice Premier Zhang Guoqing conducted research in Hubei, emphasizing technology empowerment, accelerating industrial innovation, and continuously promoting high-quality development of the manufacturing industry [10]. - The National Development and Reform Commission allocated over RMB 300 billion to support the third batch of "two major" construction projects in 2025. So far, the RMB 800 billion list of "two major" construction projects for this year has been fully issued [10]. - European Commission President von der Leyen met with Wang Yi. Wang Yi said that the upcoming China-EU leaders' meeting is an important meeting at a critical juncture [10]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission stated that it will prevent and control risks in areas such as bond defaults and private funds in an orderly manner, and continuously optimize capital market mechanisms such as stock and bond financing and mergers and acquisitions to promote the efficient concentration of factors in the most promising areas [10]. - In the first half of this year, 12.6 million new A-share accounts were opened, a year-on-year increase of 32.77% [11]. - The China Passenger Car Association estimated that the wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles by manufacturers nationwide in June were 1.26 million, a year-on-year increase of 29% [11]. 1.4 Today's Strategy - The trade agreement between the US and Vietnam provides a sample for subsequent trade negotiations between other countries, leaving uncertainties for future China-US negotiations. China may face difficulties in countering the increased costs of re-export trade tariffs. Attention should be paid to trade agreement news before July 9. The non-farm payroll data released today is also a key focus. In the A-share market, due to the influence of news, the "anti-involution" seems to bring a new round of supply-side reform in cyclical industries, with traditional sectors rising. However, the sustainability of the rise in oversold sectors is questionable, and it is more likely to be a structural market. The index will fluctuate between 3400 - 3500 points. Given the intertwining of overseas tariffs, Fed rate cuts, and domestic policies, the subsequent market is likely to continue with a structural trend. A dumbbell strategy should be adopted, and attention should be paid to the linkage between Hong Kong stocks and A-shares [12]. 2. Futures Market Tracking - The report provides detailed data on the performance, trading volume, and open interest of various stock index futures contracts, including the Shanghai 50 Index, CSI 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, and CSI 1000 Index, as well as their corresponding futures contracts such as IH2507, IF2507, IC2507, and IM2507 [14][15]. 3. Spot Market Tracking - The report presents data on the performance of the spot market, including the trading volume, current points, daily, weekly, and monthly returns of major indices such as the Wind All A Index, Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, Shanghai 50 Index, CSI 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, and CSI 1000 Index, as well as the performance of various sectors [39]. - It also analyzes the impact of market styles (cyclical, consumer, growth, financial, and stable) on the performance of major indices [40][41]. - Additionally, the report shows the valuation levels of important indices and Shenwan sectors, as well as data on market trading volume, turnover rate, the number of rising and falling stocks, index trading volume changes, stock-bond relative returns, Hong Kong Stock Connect, margin trading balance, and net margin trading purchases [43][47][49]. 4. Liquidity Tracking - The report provides data on central bank open market operations and Shibor interest rate levels to track market liquidity [54][55][56].

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.18% on July 3, with 24 out of the 28 sectors experiencing gains. The leading sectors were electronics and electrical equipment, with increases of 1.69% and 1.38% respectively [1] - Conversely, the coal and transportation sectors saw declines of 1.16% and 0.28%, with the steel industry ranking third in terms of decline [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The main funds in the two markets experienced a net outflow of 4.511 billion yuan throughout the day. Nine sectors saw net inflows, with the electronics sector leading at a net inflow of 7.820 billion yuan and a daily increase of 1.69%. The pharmaceutical and biological sector followed with a 1.35% increase and a net inflow of 1.382 billion yuan [1] - In contrast, 22 sectors experienced net outflows, with the machinery equipment sector leading at a net outflow of 2.317 billion yuan, followed by the basic chemical sector with a net outflow of 1.908 billion yuan. Other sectors with significant outflows included defense and military, media, and electrical equipment [1] Steel Industry Performance - The steel industry saw a decline of 0.13% with a net outflow of 666 million yuan. Out of 44 stocks in this sector, 15 rose, including one that hit the daily limit, while 28 fell [2] - The stocks with the highest net inflows included Baosteel Co., Ltd. with a net inflow of 42.3547 million yuan, followed by Yongjin Co. and New China Casting with net inflows of 20.8219 million yuan and 11.5805 million yuan respectively [2] - The stocks with the highest net outflows included Chongqing Steel with a net outflow of 109.2709 million yuan, New Steel Co. with 95.6172 million yuan, and Liugang Co. with 63.7315 million yuan [2][3]

暗盘资金正涌入这些股票，点击速看>>> 钢铁板块探底回升，柳钢股份（601003）触及涨停，重庆钢铁（601005）涨超9%，安阳钢铁 （600569）、凌钢股份（600231）、八一钢铁（600581）跟涨。 ...