Key Points - The article discusses significant recent developments in the market, including new policies and strategies from various financial institutions and analysts regarding investment opportunities and risks in the current economic environment [1][10]. Group 1: Market Developments - Shenzhen has introduced ten measures to promote the high-quality development of the semiconductor and integrated circuit industry, including a total fund of 5 billion RMB to support the entire industry chain [3]. - The Ministry of Finance has announced measures for government procurement of medical devices imported from the EU, which will take effect on July 6, 2025, impacting procurement budgets over 45 million RMB [4]. - The People's Bank of China is seeking public opinion on the draft rules for the Renminbi Cross-Border Payment System, indicating ongoing improvements in financial infrastructure [5]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has approved the merger of China Shipbuilding and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, marking a significant consolidation in the industry [6]. Group 2: U.S. Economic Policies - President Trump signed the "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill, which has faced criticism for its impact on federal aid and long-term debt [7]. - Trump announced new tariffs set to take effect on August 1, with rates potentially reaching up to 70%, as part of ongoing trade negotiations [8]. Group 3: Brokerage Insights - CITIC Securities notes that the current market environment resembles late 2014, with improving investor sentiment and a focus on sectors like AI and innovative pharmaceuticals [11]. - CITIC Jiantou suggests that the market's upward trend may continue, with a focus on high-growth sectors such as electronics and new consumption [13][14]. - Huatai Securities raises concerns about external risks affecting the "anti-involution" trend, while still highlighting opportunities in banking and insurance [15]. - Guotai Junan emphasizes a shift towards real assets and the potential for improved capital returns in the context of global economic recovery [16]. - China Merchants Securities identifies "anti-involution" and AI as key drivers for market growth, with significant gains in sectors like steel and new energy [17]. - Bank of China anticipates increased volatility in overseas markets but maintains a positive outlook for A-shares due to ample liquidity [18][19]. - Shenwan Hongyuan differentiates between "de-capital expenditure," "de-capacity," and "de-output," suggesting a gradual shift in market dynamics [20]. - Cinda Securities highlights the limited short-term impact of de-capacity on profits, emphasizing the need for demand recovery to drive market performance [26].

要闻速递 【央行就《人民币跨境支付系统业务规则（征求意见稿）》公开征求意见】 中国人民银行就《人民币跨境支付系统业务规则（征求意见稿）》公开征求意见。《业务规则（征求意 见稿）》共六章三十一条。对参与者和运营机构账户开立、参与者结算资金归属、参与者流动性管理等 业务行为进行规范。明确参与者的业务类型，对报文权限申请、系统登录、业务种类填写、查询查复等 业务行为进行规范。 【商务部：7月5日起对原产于欧盟的进口相关白兰地征收反倾销税实施期限5年】 根据《中华人民共和国反倾销条例》第三十八条规定，商务部向国务院关税税则委员会提出征收反倾销 税的建议，国务院关税税则委员会根据商务部的建议作出决定，自2025年7月5日起，对原产于欧盟的进 口相关白兰地征收反倾销税。 【全国用电负荷超14亿千瓦创历史新高】 据国家能源局消息，近日，我国多地出现持续高温，带动用电负荷快速增长。7月4日，全国用电负荷创 出历史新高。统计数据显示，7月4日，全国最大电力负荷达到14.65亿千瓦，比6月底上升约2亿千瓦， 比去年同期增长接近1.5亿千瓦，创历史新高。其中，华东电网负荷达4.22亿千瓦，空调负荷占比约 37%。入夏以来，江苏、山 ...

中国经济网北京7月6日讯据上交所网站消息，上海证券交易所并购重组审核委员会2025年第8次审议会 议于2025年7月4日召开，审议结果显示，中国船舶工业股份有限公司(证券代码：600150，证券简称： 中国船舶)发行股份购买资产符合重组条件和信息披露要求。 重组委会议现场问询的主要问题 2025年6月28日，中国船舶发布的换股吸收合并中国船舶重工股份有限公司(证券代码：601989，证券简 称：中国重工)暨关联交易报告书(草案)(上会稿)显示，本次交易通过换股吸收合并的方式对中国船舶和 中国重工进行重组整合。本次交易的具体方式为：中国船舶以向中国重工全体换股股东发行A股股票的 方式换股吸收合并中国重工。 中国船舶为吸收合并方，中国重工为被吸收合并方，即中国船舶向中国重工的全体换股股东发行A股股 票，交换该等股东所持有的中国重工股票。本次合并完成后，中国重工终止上市并注销法人资格，中国 船舶将承继及承接中国重工的全部资产、负债、业务、人员、合同及其他一切权利与义务。中国船舶因 本次换股吸收合并所发行的A股股票将申请在上交所主板上市流通。 吸并方中国船舶的独立财务顾问是中信证券，财务顾问主办人是张明慧、胡锺峻、李 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends the shipping sector and highlights investment opportunities in leasing companies listed in Hong Kong [1][20]. Core Views - The new ship price index has stabilized, and the merger of China Shipbuilding and China State Shipbuilding Corporation has been approved, with a focus on verifying the synergistic advantages post-merger [20]. - The shipping sector's market capitalization to order ratio is at a historical low, indicating sufficient safety margins [20]. - The report continues to recommend high-dividend stocks in the transportation sector, including COSCO Shipping International, Shenzhen International, and MTR Corporation [20]. Summary by Sections Shipping and Shipbuilding - New ship prices have stabilized, with the index recorded at 187.11 points, a slight increase of 0.12% [25]. - VLCC rates fell by 18% to $24,444 per day, influenced by increased capacity in the Pacific market [20]. - Suez crude oil tanker rates decreased by 12% to $35,557 per day, while Aframax rates dropped by 11% to $32,167 per day [20]. Oil Transportation - The Pacific market's high freight rates attracted more capacity, leading to continued pressure on rates [20]. - OPEC+ is expected to discuss production increases in August, with actual production and export conditions being closely monitored [20]. Dry Bulk and Container Shipping - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) fell by 5.6% to 1,436 points, with Capesize rates under pressure due to seasonal factors [22]. - The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) dropped by 5.3% to 1,763.49 points, with the US West Coast route seeing a significant decline of 19% [24]. Air Transportation - The aviation sector is entering a peak season, with limited supply growth and natural increases in passenger volume expected to support airline revenues [38]. - Recommended stocks include Spring Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and China Southern Airlines [38]. Express Delivery - The express delivery industry maintains high growth rates, with May's business volume reaching 17.32 billion items, a year-on-year increase of 17.2% [41]. - Recommended companies include SF Holding, YTO Express, and ZTO Express [42].

据微信公众号"中国船舶报"消息，2025年7月4日，中国船舶工业股份有限公司（600150.SH，以下简称"中国船舶"）公告称，公司发行股份吸收合并中国 船舶重工股份有限公司（601989.SH，以下简称"中国重工"）的重大资产重组事项，获上海证券交易所并购重组审核委员会审议通过。这标志着中船集团 旗下两大船舶总装核心上市平台整合迎来重大进展。 关于换股比例与定价，中国船舶换股价格为37.84元/股，中国重工换股价格为5.05元/股，换股比例为1:0.1335。2024年度利润分配实施后，中国船舶换股 价格调整为37.59元/股，中国重工换股价格调整为5.032元/股，换股比例调整为1:0.1339。 1999年，原中国船舶工业总公司分拆，成立了中船集团和中船重工，在业内分别被称为"南船"和"北船"，此后二十年，"南船""北船"通过市场良性竞争提 升影响力，不断推进中国造船行业一步步走到世界第一的位置。 上交所公告截图 本次交易是我国船舶工业领域的国家队、主力军之间的整合升级，也被业内认为是积极响应国家发展战略性新兴产业"深海科技"号召，落实中央财经委 员会关于推动"海洋经济"高质量发展的战略部署，将军工、海 ...

"两船"合并，迎来重大进展！ 7月4日晚间，中国船舶公告称，当天，公司吸收合并中国重工事项获上交所审核通过。此次交易尚需中 国证监会予以注册以及其他可能涉及的必要批准、核准、备案或许可（如需）后方可正式实施。 此次重组完成后，存续公司中国船舶将成为全球最大造船上市公司，资产规模、营业收入规模、手持订 单数均领跑全球。 此次交易中，中国船舶为吸收合并方，中国重工为被吸收合并方。交易完成后，中国船舶实际控制人仍 为中国船舶集团有限公司、最终控制人仍为国务院国资委，未发生变更。 交易方案显示，中国船舶的换股价格按照定价基准日前120个交易日的股票交易均价确定为37.84元/ 股，中国重工的股票交易均价确定为5.05元/股，并由此确定中国重工与中国船舶的换股比例为 1:0.1335，即每1股中国重工股票可以换得0.1335股中国船舶股票。 审核通过 中国船舶（600150）7月4日晚公告，公司吸收合并中国重工事项获上交所审核通过。 中国船舶公告称，公司拟向中国重工全体换股股东发行A股股票的方式换股吸收合并中国重工。上交所 并购重组审核委员会于7月4日召开2025年第8次并购重组审核委员会审议会议，对公司本次交易的申请 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. Congress passed the "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill, which is controversial due to cuts in federal aid, increased long-term debt, and tax reductions for the wealthy and large corporations [2] - The new tariffs on goods entering the U.S. will range from 10% to 70%, effective August 1 [2] - India plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on the U.S. due to the impact of increased tariffs on automotive exports [2] Group 2 - The U.S. stock market was closed on July 4, with early closures for futures contracts on various commodities [3] - International oil prices saw a slight decline, with WTI crude oil futures at $66.49 per barrel, down 0.76%, and Brent crude at $68.51 per barrel, down 0.42% [3] - The cryptocurrency market weakened, with Bitcoin down over 1%, Ethereum nearly 3%, and Dogecoin over 5% [3] Group 3 - The Ministry of Commerce of China confirmed that the U.S. has taken actions to lift certain trade restrictions on China, including the export of EDA software and ethane [5] - The Ministry of Commerce announced a final ruling on anti-dumping investigations into brandy imports from the EU, with dumping margins identified between 27.7% and 34.9% [6] - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation's merger with China State Shipbuilding Corporation has been approved, creating the largest publicly listed shipbuilding company globally [8] Group 4 - CATL and Geely have signed a comprehensive strategic cooperation agreement focusing on battery technology and supply chain collaboration [9] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasized the importance of stabilizing the real estate market and implementing targeted policies [21] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China established a leadership group for general aviation and low-altitude economy development [22]

Company Movements - Douyin has launched a new regulation prohibiting minors under 16 years old from live streaming, and those aged 16 to 18 must obtain written consent from parents or guardians to broadcast [5] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's M&A Review Committee approved China Shipbuilding's share swap merger with China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, marking the completion of the largest absorption merger in A-shares in nearly a decade before the registration with the CSRC [5] - Ping An Life announced it continues to increase its stake in Postal Savings Bank's H-shares, surpassing 13% ownership [6] - Saily Medical reported significant uncertainty regarding the success of its therapeutic hypertension vaccine project trial [6] - Jilin Jin Kong and its concerted actions plan to acquire all issued shares of Jilin's first rural commercial bank, which intends to delist from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [6] Industry News - The second batch of new floating rate funds has been officially submitted, with multiple fund companies including E Fund, Huatai-PB, and others applying for both market-wide and industry-specific products [4] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges revised the ETF risk management guidelines, requiring fund managers to enhance the management of ETF subscription and redemption lists [4] - New regulations for algorithmic trading will take effect on July 7, with recent rumors about high-frequency trading frequency changes being denied by several quantitative private equity firms [4] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has established a leadership group for general aviation and low-altitude economy, focusing on development planning, market regulation, and safety supervision [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting on the photovoltaic industry to address low-price competition and guide capacity optimization, with industry leaders supporting policy directions [2]

"两船"合并，迎来重大进展！ 7月4日晚间，中国船舶公告称，当天，公司吸收合并中国重工事项获上交所审核通过。此次交易尚需中国证监 会予以注册以及其他可能涉及的必要批准、核准、备案或许可（如需）后方可正式实施。 此次重组完成后，存续公司中国船舶将成为全球最大造船上市公司，资产规模、营业收入规模、手持订单数均 领跑全球。 审核通过 中国船舶（600150）7月4日晚公告，公司吸收合并中国重工事项获上交所审核通过。 中国船舶公告称，公司拟向中国重工全体换股股东发行A股股票的方式换股吸收合并中国重工。上交所并购重 组审核委员会于7月4日召开2025年第8次并购重组审核委员会审议会议，对公司本次交易的申请进行了审议。 根据上交所并购重组审核委员会发布的会议结果公告，本次会议的审议结果为：本次交易符合重组条件和信息 披露要求。 "两船"合并的影响有多大？ 截至7月4日收盘，中国船舶市值达到1467亿元，中国重工市值为1056亿元。两家千亿级企业换股吸收合并，受 到市场高度关注。依据中国船舶及中国重工2024年度的财务数据测算，重组完成后，中国船舶作为存续公司， 总资产将超过4000亿元，营业收入将逾1300亿元。 据悉， ...

上海证券交易所（以下简称"上交所"）并购重组审核委员会于 2025 年 7 月 4 日召开 2025 年第 8 次并购重组审核委员会审议会议，对本次交易的申请进 行了审议。根据上交所并购重组审核委员会发布的《上海证券交易所并购重组 审核委员会 2025 年第 8 次审议会议结果公告》，本次会议的审议结果为：本次 交易符合重组条件和信息披露要求。 中国船舶重工股份有限公司 关于中国船舶工业股份有限公司吸收合并中国船舶重工 股份有限公司暨关联交易事项获得上海证券交易所 并购重组审核委员会审核通过的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 中国船舶工业股份有限公司（以下简称"中国船舶"）拟以向中国船舶重工 股份有限公司（以下简称"中国重工"或"公司"）全体换股股东发行 A 股股 票的方式换股吸收合并中国重工（以下简称"本次交易"）。 证券代码：601989 证券简称：中国重工 公告编号：临 2025-039 本次交易尚需中国证券监督管理委员会予以注册以及相关法律法规所要求 的其他可能涉及的必要批准、核准、备案或许可（ ...