Group 1 - The China Minmetals Import and Export Chamber announced a conference on March 25, 2026, to discuss export policies and market conditions for rare earth and rare metals, in response to stricter export controls imposed on dual-use items for Japan and other rare metals [1] - The conference aims to help member companies understand the new policies and export considerations, with officials from the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs expected to provide insights [1] - The meeting will also facilitate communication between government departments and enterprises regarding export challenges [1] Group 2 - As of February 12, 2026, the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) rose by 1.72%, with notable increases in stocks such as Shenghe Resources (up 7.33%) and Zhongtung High-tech (up 5.88%) [2] - The Penghua Industrial Nonferrous ETF (159162) also saw a rise of 1.93%, marking its fifth consecutive increase [2] - The CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index includes 30 large-cap companies involved in copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and rare metals, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 55.71% of the total index weight, including companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and China Aluminum [2]

Group 1 - The mining ETF (561330) opened at 2.280 yuan, experiencing a slight decline of 0.09% [1] - Major holdings in the mining ETF include Zijin Mining (+0.23%), Luoyang Molybdenum (-0.04%), Northern Rare Earth (+0.00%), Huayou Cobalt (+2.25%), China Aluminum (-0.45%), Ganfeng Lithium (+0.05%), Shandong Gold (-0.74%), Yun Aluminum (-0.19%), Zhongjin Gold (-0.72%), and Tianqi Lithium (-0.14%) [1] - The performance benchmark for the mining ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index return, managed by Guotai Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 127.98% since its establishment on October 19, 2022, and a 9.00% return over the past month [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, with the non-ferrous metal ETF fund (516650) rising by 1.36% and significant gains in individual stocks such as BaoTi Co., Ltd. (5.97%) and Shenghe Resources (5.87%) [1] - The non-ferrous metal ETF fund has seen a net inflow of funds for 15 out of the last 23 trading days, totaling 6.845 billion yuan, indicating a strong interest from leveraged funds [1] - Market analysts suggest that while there is a recovery in bullish sentiment, macroeconomic uncertainties remain, particularly influenced by U.S. economic data and policy expectations [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous metal ETF fund closely tracks the CSI sub-index for the non-ferrous metal industry, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 51.85% of the index as of January 30, 2026 [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal index include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and others, indicating a diversified portfolio within the sector [2] - The performance of individual stocks within the index shows varying degrees of increase, with Zijin Mining at 2.05% and Huayou Cobalt at 3.05%, reflecting the overall positive trend in the sector [3]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to show strong performance, with the popular ETF, Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876), experiencing a rise of 1.38% and recovering key moving averages, indicating a bullish trend in the market [1][3]. Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector is witnessing significant gains, with leading stocks such as Baotai Co. rising over 6%, and Shenghe Resources increasing by more than 4% [1][2]. - The global nickel market is affected by Indonesia's production limits, which could reduce nickel output to 2.6-2.7 million tons by 2026, potentially leading to a price recovery for nickel [2]. Macroeconomic Factors - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 130,000 in January, surpassing expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, the lowest since August 2025 [3]. - The strong labor market data has reduced the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, positively impacting the dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields [3]. Investment Outlook - Analysts from Zhongjin Securities and Huatai Securities express optimism about the non-ferrous metal sector, suggesting that the market has not yet reached its peak and may continue to rise after a short-term adjustment [3]. - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF covers a wide range of metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, making it an effective tool for investors looking to capitalize on the sector's performance [3].

Group 1 - LME metal futures closed higher, with LME copper rising by $58 to $13,166 per ton, LME aluminum up by $10 to $3,103 per ton, LME zinc increasing by $12 to $3,406 per ton, LME lead gaining $18 to $1,993 per ton, LME nickel up by $390 to $17,880 per ton, and LME tin rising by $352 to $49,635 per ton [1] - Ping An Securities analysis indicates that the domestic aluminum ingot long-term market in 2026 will exhibit characteristics of "stable prices with adjustments, declining signing willingness, and a tight supply-demand pattern," with a positive long-term outlook for aluminum prices supported by macro sentiment recovery and fundamental strengthening [1] - As of February 12, 2026, the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) surged by 1.18%, with component stocks such as Tungsten High-tech up by 6.70%, Dongyangguang up by 3.97%, and Huayou Cobalt up by 3.75%, while other stocks like Western Mining and Tongling Nonferrous also saw gains [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) include Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, China Aluminum, Xinyi Silver Tin, Yun Aluminum, Tongling Nonferrous, Jiangxi Copper, Xiamen Tungsten, Zhongjin Gold, and Western Mining, collectively accounting for 55.71% of the index [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Invesco ETF (560290) in the context of the metal industry, showing a slight opening decline of 0.72% to 0.964 yuan [1] - The major holdings of the Invesco ETF include Zijin Mining, which opened up by 0.23%, and other companies like China Aluminum and Ganfeng Lithium showing mixed performance [1] - The performance benchmark for the Invesco ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, with a return of -2.69% since its establishment on January 26, 2026 [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Metals & Mining - **Event**: GS Asia Commodity Corporate Day held from February 2-4, featuring 13 companies involved in various commodities including copper, aluminum, lithium, tungsten, nickel, cobalt, rare earths, gold, silver, graphite, potash, coal, and battery materials [1][2] Core Insights - **Positive Sentiment**: There is a generally positive outlook among miners and producers for most commodities, supported by solid supply and demand fundamentals [2] - **Supply Constraints**: Current supply constraints differ from past cycles, influenced by factors such as government-imposed controls (e.g., production quotas in China and Indonesia) and increased trade barriers [2] - **Long-term Value Appreciation**: Miners and producers are increasingly recognizing the long-term value of resources, particularly in copper, gold, lithium, and tungsten, with expectations of output growth ranging from 20% to 100% over the next 3-5 years [3] Company-Specific Insights China Qinfa Group (中国秦发) - **Key Commodities**: Focus on coal production, particularly in Indonesia [11] - **Government Regulations**: Increased supply discipline due to government regulations, including production quotas and potential export taxes [11] - **Production Capacity**: Anticipated production output of over 10 million tons of raw coal by 2026, with significant growth expected from underground mining operations [12][13] - **Cost Structure**: Current total unit cost is Rmb310 per ton, with expectations to reduce costs to Rmb200 per ton as operations ramp up [15] - **CAPEX Plans**: Future capital expenditures will focus on expanding mining operations, with an average cost of Rmb2.0-3.0 billion per pit [17] Additional Important Points - **Geographic Focus**: Preferred mining assets are primarily located in Africa, Central Asia, and domestic China [3] - **Market Dynamics**: The appreciation of resource values is occurring despite a broad macroeconomic downturn and trends toward de-dollarization [3] - **Production Growth Drivers**: The company is implementing strategies to improve production efficiency and reduce costs, including the use of advanced mining techniques and partnerships for coal chemical production [18] Conclusion The conference highlighted a robust outlook for the metals and mining industry, driven by strong demand fundamentals and strategic adaptations to supply constraints. Companies like China Qinfa Group are positioning themselves for significant growth through regulatory compliance and operational efficiencies.

Core Insights - The cobalt industry is expected to experience a significant price increase due to geopolitical factors and supply constraints, with prices likely reaching new highs by 2026 [2][4][10] - The Congo (DRC) quota system is driving the global cobalt market's pricing power, with supply constraints becoming more influential than simple supply-demand dynamics [4][6][10] Group 1: Overall Industry Outlook - The year 2025 marks a critical turning point for the cobalt industry, transitioning from a supply surplus to a structural shortage, which is expected to continue into 2026 [10][11] - The global cobalt supply is highly concentrated, with the DRC accounting for approximately 76% of global production, making the market sensitive to geopolitical and policy changes [41][50] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - The DRC's export quota for cobalt is set at 96,600 metric tons annually for 2026-2027, a 55% reduction from 2024 levels, leading to a structural supply gap of 91,000 and 112,000 metric tons in 2026 and 2027, respectively [6][10] - The supply of cobalt from artisanal mining is expected to remain limited due to government control and quota restrictions, impacting overall market supply [61] Group 3: Demand Projections - Battery applications dominate cobalt demand, accounting for 73% of total consumption, with electric vehicle batteries being the primary growth driver [4][19] - The demand for cobalt in the consumer electronics sector is also expected to recover, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5% over the next three years [4][19] Group 4: Price Outlook - The pricing mechanism for cobalt is shifting from a cost-based model to one driven by supply shortages and geopolitical risks, suggesting that cobalt prices will remain elevated in the long term [11][10] - Cobalt prices are projected to maintain high levels due to the structural supply-demand imbalance, with significant price increases observed following policy changes in the DRC [15][38] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Key investment targets include Huayou Cobalt, Luoyang Molybdenum, Tengyuan Cobalt, and Greeenme, all of which are positioned to benefit from the anticipated price increases and supply constraints in the cobalt market [4][6]

Group 1: Overall Market Performance - As of February 9, 2026, 271 companies on the Shanghai Stock Exchange have issued positive performance forecasts for 2025, with 168 expecting profit increases and 85 companies turning losses into profits [1] - In the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, 391 companies have disclosed their expected performance for 2025, with nearly 60% of these companies anticipating year-on-year net profit growth, including 39 companies expecting over 100% profit growth [1] - The year 2025 is seen as a pivotal year for the "14th Five-Year Plan," showcasing resilience and structural highlights in the operations of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] Group 2: Nonferrous Metals Industry - The nonferrous metals industry is projected to see an industrial added value growth of 6.9% in 2025, surpassing the national average by 1.0 percentage points, with production of ten major nonferrous metals exceeding 80 million tons for the first time [2] - The total profit of large-scale enterprises in the nonferrous metals sector is expected to reach 528.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, marking a historical high [2] - Leading companies in the nonferrous metals sector are exhibiting a "volume-price resonance" characteristic, with significant increases in production and prices of key minerals like gold, copper, cobalt, and lithium contributing to profit growth [2] Group 3: Key Companies in Nonferrous Metals - Zijin Mining is expected to achieve a net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62%, driven by rising prices of gold, silver, and copper [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum, the largest cobalt producer globally, anticipates a net profit of 20 to 20.8 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 47.80% to 53.71% [3] - Huayou Cobalt expects a net profit of 5.85 to 6.45 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 40.80% to 55.24%, benefiting from upstream resource production and recovering downstream material business [3] Group 4: Electronics Industry - The electronics industry is experiencing significant growth driven by AI, with smart hardware becoming a primary growth engine [4] - Huaqin Technology forecasts a revenue of 170 to 171.5 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.7% to 56.1%, and a net profit of 4 to 4.05 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 36.7% to 38.4% [4] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit of 3.25 to 3.45 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 87% to 98%, driven by strong demand in automotive electronics and AI servers [4] - Rockchip is expected to achieve a revenue of 4.387 to 4.427 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 1.023 to 1.103 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 71.97% to 85.42% [4]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced narrow range consolidation with mixed performance across the three major indices, as the trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets fell below 2 trillion yuan for the first time in 31 trading days, with over 3,200 stocks declining [1][19] - The market saw a return of funds to "price increase" themes, with prices of rare earths, tungsten, molybdenum, tin, and antimony rising [1][23] Sector Performance Non-ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) rose by 2.29%, with a trading volume of 89.8 million yuan, marking an 80% increase in trading activity [1][20] - Significant inflows into the non-ferrous metals sector, with over 13.7 billion yuan in main funds entering, making it the top sector in terms of capital inflow [22] - Key stocks in the small metals sector, such as Xiamen Tungsten and Jinchuan Group, saw gains exceeding 7% [22] Chemical Sector - The chemical ETF (516020) surged by 2.19%, with a peak increase of 3.02% during the trading session, reflecting strong market momentum [8][26] - The chemical sector attracted 13.8 billion yuan in main funds, ranking second among all sectors [11] - Notable stock performances included New Zhonbang, which surged by 8.16%, and Tongkun Co., which rose by 7.82% [9][26] Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market showed signs of recovery, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Automotive ETF Huabao (520780) gaining 1.6% for four consecutive days [1][21] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) rose nearly 1%, driven by the performance of major internet companies [1][21] Investment Insights - Analysts suggest that the recent adjustments have released certain risks, and upcoming events and the "Spring Festival effect" may create a favorable environment for market recovery [1][20] - Key investment themes include TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), high-end manufacturing, and price increase chains [1][20] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF is expected to highlight the value of AI core assets as new AI-related companies enter the market [2][21]