Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, with the non-ferrous metal ETF fund (516650) rising by 1.36% and significant gains in individual stocks such as BaoTi Co., Ltd. (5.97%) and Shenghe Resources (5.87%) [1] - The non-ferrous metal ETF fund has seen a net inflow of funds for 15 out of the last 23 trading days, totaling 6.845 billion yuan, indicating a strong interest from leveraged funds [1] - Market analysts suggest that while there is a recovery in bullish sentiment, macroeconomic uncertainties remain, particularly influenced by U.S. economic data and policy expectations [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous metal ETF fund closely tracks the CSI sub-index for the non-ferrous metal industry, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 51.85% of the index as of January 30, 2026 [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal index include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and others, indicating a diversified portfolio within the sector [2] - The performance of individual stocks within the index shows varying degrees of increase, with Zijin Mining at 2.05% and Huayou Cobalt at 3.05%, reflecting the overall positive trend in the sector [3]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector continues to show strong performance, with the popular ETF, Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876), experiencing a rise of 1.38% and recovering key moving averages, indicating a bullish trend in the market [1][3]. Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector is witnessing significant gains, with leading stocks such as Baotai Co. rising over 6%, and Shenghe Resources increasing by more than 4% [1][2]. - The global nickel market is affected by Indonesia's production limits, which could reduce nickel output to 2.6-2.7 million tons by 2026, potentially leading to a price recovery for nickel [2]. Macroeconomic Factors - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 130,000 in January, surpassing expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, the lowest since August 2025 [3]. - The strong labor market data has reduced the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, positively impacting the dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields [3]. Investment Outlook - Analysts from Zhongjin Securities and Huatai Securities express optimism about the non-ferrous metal sector, suggesting that the market has not yet reached its peak and may continue to rise after a short-term adjustment [3]. - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF covers a wide range of metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, making it an effective tool for investors looking to capitalize on the sector's performance [3].

Group 1 - LME metal futures closed higher, with LME copper rising by $58 to $13,166 per ton, LME aluminum up by $10 to $3,103 per ton, LME zinc increasing by $12 to $3,406 per ton, LME lead gaining $18 to $1,993 per ton, LME nickel up by $390 to $17,880 per ton, and LME tin rising by $352 to $49,635 per ton [1] - Ping An Securities analysis indicates that the domestic aluminum ingot long-term market in 2026 will exhibit characteristics of "stable prices with adjustments, declining signing willingness, and a tight supply-demand pattern," with a positive long-term outlook for aluminum prices supported by macro sentiment recovery and fundamental strengthening [1] - As of February 12, 2026, the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) surged by 1.18%, with component stocks such as Tungsten High-tech up by 6.70%, Dongyangguang up by 3.97%, and Huayou Cobalt up by 3.75%, while other stocks like Western Mining and Tongling Nonferrous also saw gains [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) include Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, China Aluminum, Xinyi Silver Tin, Yun Aluminum, Tongling Nonferrous, Jiangxi Copper, Xiamen Tungsten, Zhongjin Gold, and Western Mining, collectively accounting for 55.71% of the index [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Invesco ETF (560290) in the context of the metal industry, showing a slight opening decline of 0.72% to 0.964 yuan [1] - The major holdings of the Invesco ETF include Zijin Mining, which opened up by 0.23%, and other companies like China Aluminum and Ganfeng Lithium showing mixed performance [1] - The performance benchmark for the Invesco ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, with a return of -2.69% since its establishment on January 26, 2026 [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Metals & Mining - **Event**: GS Asia Commodity Corporate Day held from February 2-4, featuring 13 companies involved in various commodities including copper, aluminum, lithium, tungsten, nickel, cobalt, rare earths, gold, silver, graphite, potash, coal, and battery materials [1][2] Core Insights - **Positive Sentiment**: There is a generally positive outlook among miners and producers for most commodities, supported by solid supply and demand fundamentals [2] - **Supply Constraints**: Current supply constraints differ from past cycles, influenced by factors such as government-imposed controls (e.g., production quotas in China and Indonesia) and increased trade barriers [2] - **Long-term Value Appreciation**: Miners and producers are increasingly recognizing the long-term value of resources, particularly in copper, gold, lithium, and tungsten, with expectations of output growth ranging from 20% to 100% over the next 3-5 years [3] Company-Specific Insights China Qinfa Group (中国秦发) - **Key Commodities**: Focus on coal production, particularly in Indonesia [11] - **Government Regulations**: Increased supply discipline due to government regulations, including production quotas and potential export taxes [11] - **Production Capacity**: Anticipated production output of over 10 million tons of raw coal by 2026, with significant growth expected from underground mining operations [12][13] - **Cost Structure**: Current total unit cost is Rmb310 per ton, with expectations to reduce costs to Rmb200 per ton as operations ramp up [15] - **CAPEX Plans**: Future capital expenditures will focus on expanding mining operations, with an average cost of Rmb2.0-3.0 billion per pit [17] Additional Important Points - **Geographic Focus**: Preferred mining assets are primarily located in Africa, Central Asia, and domestic China [3] - **Market Dynamics**: The appreciation of resource values is occurring despite a broad macroeconomic downturn and trends toward de-dollarization [3] - **Production Growth Drivers**: The company is implementing strategies to improve production efficiency and reduce costs, including the use of advanced mining techniques and partnerships for coal chemical production [18] Conclusion The conference highlighted a robust outlook for the metals and mining industry, driven by strong demand fundamentals and strategic adaptations to supply constraints. Companies like China Qinfa Group are positioning themselves for significant growth through regulatory compliance and operational efficiencies.

Core Insights - The cobalt industry is expected to experience a significant price increase due to geopolitical factors and supply constraints, with prices likely reaching new highs by 2026 [2][4][10] - The Congo (DRC) quota system is driving the global cobalt market's pricing power, with supply constraints becoming more influential than simple supply-demand dynamics [4][6][10] Group 1: Overall Industry Outlook - The year 2025 marks a critical turning point for the cobalt industry, transitioning from a supply surplus to a structural shortage, which is expected to continue into 2026 [10][11] - The global cobalt supply is highly concentrated, with the DRC accounting for approximately 76% of global production, making the market sensitive to geopolitical and policy changes [41][50] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - The DRC's export quota for cobalt is set at 96,600 metric tons annually for 2026-2027, a 55% reduction from 2024 levels, leading to a structural supply gap of 91,000 and 112,000 metric tons in 2026 and 2027, respectively [6][10] - The supply of cobalt from artisanal mining is expected to remain limited due to government control and quota restrictions, impacting overall market supply [61] Group 3: Demand Projections - Battery applications dominate cobalt demand, accounting for 73% of total consumption, with electric vehicle batteries being the primary growth driver [4][19] - The demand for cobalt in the consumer electronics sector is also expected to recover, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5% over the next three years [4][19] Group 4: Price Outlook - The pricing mechanism for cobalt is shifting from a cost-based model to one driven by supply shortages and geopolitical risks, suggesting that cobalt prices will remain elevated in the long term [11][10] - Cobalt prices are projected to maintain high levels due to the structural supply-demand imbalance, with significant price increases observed following policy changes in the DRC [15][38] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Key investment targets include Huayou Cobalt, Luoyang Molybdenum, Tengyuan Cobalt, and Greeenme, all of which are positioned to benefit from the anticipated price increases and supply constraints in the cobalt market [4][6]

Group 1: Overall Market Performance - As of February 9, 2026, 271 companies on the Shanghai Stock Exchange have issued positive performance forecasts for 2025, with 168 expecting profit increases and 85 companies turning losses into profits [1] - In the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, 391 companies have disclosed their expected performance for 2025, with nearly 60% of these companies anticipating year-on-year net profit growth, including 39 companies expecting over 100% profit growth [1] - The year 2025 is seen as a pivotal year for the "14th Five-Year Plan," showcasing resilience and structural highlights in the operations of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] Group 2: Nonferrous Metals Industry - The nonferrous metals industry is projected to see an industrial added value growth of 6.9% in 2025, surpassing the national average by 1.0 percentage points, with production of ten major nonferrous metals exceeding 80 million tons for the first time [2] - The total profit of large-scale enterprises in the nonferrous metals sector is expected to reach 528.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, marking a historical high [2] - Leading companies in the nonferrous metals sector are exhibiting a "volume-price resonance" characteristic, with significant increases in production and prices of key minerals like gold, copper, cobalt, and lithium contributing to profit growth [2] Group 3: Key Companies in Nonferrous Metals - Zijin Mining is expected to achieve a net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62%, driven by rising prices of gold, silver, and copper [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum, the largest cobalt producer globally, anticipates a net profit of 20 to 20.8 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 47.80% to 53.71% [3] - Huayou Cobalt expects a net profit of 5.85 to 6.45 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 40.80% to 55.24%, benefiting from upstream resource production and recovering downstream material business [3] Group 4: Electronics Industry - The electronics industry is experiencing significant growth driven by AI, with smart hardware becoming a primary growth engine [4] - Huaqin Technology forecasts a revenue of 170 to 171.5 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.7% to 56.1%, and a net profit of 4 to 4.05 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 36.7% to 38.4% [4] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit of 3.25 to 3.45 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 87% to 98%, driven by strong demand in automotive electronics and AI servers [4] - Rockchip is expected to achieve a revenue of 4.387 to 4.427 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 1.023 to 1.103 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 71.97% to 85.42% [4]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced narrow range consolidation with mixed performance across the three major indices, as the trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets fell below 2 trillion yuan for the first time in 31 trading days, with over 3,200 stocks declining [1][19] - The market saw a return of funds to "price increase" themes, with prices of rare earths, tungsten, molybdenum, tin, and antimony rising [1][23] Sector Performance Non-ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) rose by 2.29%, with a trading volume of 89.8 million yuan, marking an 80% increase in trading activity [1][20] - Significant inflows into the non-ferrous metals sector, with over 13.7 billion yuan in main funds entering, making it the top sector in terms of capital inflow [22] - Key stocks in the small metals sector, such as Xiamen Tungsten and Jinchuan Group, saw gains exceeding 7% [22] Chemical Sector - The chemical ETF (516020) surged by 2.19%, with a peak increase of 3.02% during the trading session, reflecting strong market momentum [8][26] - The chemical sector attracted 13.8 billion yuan in main funds, ranking second among all sectors [11] - Notable stock performances included New Zhonbang, which surged by 8.16%, and Tongkun Co., which rose by 7.82% [9][26] Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market showed signs of recovery, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect Automotive ETF Huabao (520780) gaining 1.6% for four consecutive days [1][21] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) rose nearly 1%, driven by the performance of major internet companies [1][21] Investment Insights - Analysts suggest that the recent adjustments have released certain risks, and upcoming events and the "Spring Festival effect" may create a favorable environment for market recovery [1][20] - Key investment themes include TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), high-end manufacturing, and price increase chains [1][20] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF is expected to highlight the value of AI core assets as new AI-related companies enter the market [2][21]

Core Viewpoint - The articles highlight the strong performance and growth potential of various companies in the tungsten industry, driven by rising tungsten prices and increasing demand across multiple sectors such as aerospace, military, and renewable energy. Company Summaries - **China Tungsten High-Tech (000657)**: A leading player in the tungsten industry with a complete value chain from mining to manufacturing, benefiting from high self-sufficiency and significant profit elasticity due to rising tungsten prices. The company is positioned well in high-end manufacturing and military applications [1]. - **Xiamen Tungsten (600549)**: A comprehensive new materials leader with a strong presence in tungsten, rare earths, and lithium battery materials. The company is a major APT producer and benefits from dual market demand in tungsten and rare earths, with a clear long-term growth trajectory [2]. - **Zhangyuan Tungsten (002378)**: A private sector leader in the tungsten industry with a complete production system and high resource self-sufficiency. The company is well-positioned in high-end tungsten markets and is expected to see steady profit growth due to rising demand and supply constraints [3]. - **Xianglu Tungsten (002842)**: Focused on deep processing of tungsten, the company has a strong customer base and benefits from rising processing fees alongside tungsten prices. Future growth is expected through technological upgrades and high utilization rates [4]. - **Luoyang Molybdenum (603993)**: A global mining leader with significant tungsten operations, benefiting from high-quality overseas resources and a diversified metal portfolio. The company is expected to see profit growth as tungsten supply-demand dynamics improve [5]. - **Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals (600259)**: A state-owned enterprise with a focus on tungsten and rare earths, benefiting from dual price increases and strong resource integration capabilities. Future growth is anticipated through expanding resource reserves and high-end applications [6][7]. - **Hunan Gold (002155)**: A key mining platform in Hunan with a stable tungsten production and high resource self-sufficiency. The company benefits from rising prices across multiple metals, providing a unique advantage in the small metals sector [8]. - **Antai Technology (000969)**: A leader in high-end refractory metals, focusing on high-value tungsten products for semiconductor and aerospace applications. The company is expected to grow through increased domestic demand and technological advancements [9]. - **Jinmo Co., Ltd. (601958)**: A leading player in the molybdenum industry with significant tungsten operations, benefiting from low-cost resources and a complete production chain. The company is expected to see profit elasticity as tungsten prices rise [10]. - **Dongfang Tantalum (000962)**: A leader in rare metals with a strong tungsten processing capability, benefiting from stable demand in military and aerospace sectors. Future growth is expected from increasing domestic production of high-end tungsten products [11]. - **Xingye Mining (000426)**: A multi-metal mining company with significant tungsten resources, benefiting from price increases and a diversified portfolio that mitigates risks [12]. - **Zhuye Group (600961)**: A veteran in non-ferrous metal smelting with advantages in tungsten recycling and processing. The company is expected to see profit improvements through expanded processing capacity and technological upgrades [13]. - **Zhongkuang Resources (002738)**: A leader in lithium and rare metals with stable tungsten production, benefiting from price increases and a diversified business model [14]. - **Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240)**: A lithium leader with significant tungsten resources, providing stable profits and enhancing resilience against market fluctuations [15]. - **Huayou Cobalt (603799)**: A global leader in cobalt and lithium materials, with a strong tungsten business that supports overall profitability through market synergies [16]. - **Hanrui Cobalt (300618)**: Focused on cobalt and tungsten processing, benefiting from rising demand in high-end manufacturing and renewable energy sectors [17]. - **Xiamen Xinda (000701)**: Engaged in tungsten product trading and supply chain services, benefiting from price increases and a mature supply chain system [18]. - **Aluminum Corporation of China (601600)**: A leader in the non-ferrous sector with a focus on tungsten resource development, benefiting from market dynamics and resource value reassessment [19]. - **Tin Industry Co., Ltd. (000960)**: A global leader in tin with a strong tungsten portfolio, benefiting from price increases and a comprehensive multi-metal strategy [20]. - **Nanshan Aluminum (600219)**: A leading aluminum processor with a focus on tungsten-related materials, expected to grow through high-end manufacturing demand [21].

在机构看来，小金属价格的集体上涨，核心在于供给偏紧而需求爆发导致的。拿领涨品种钨来说，江海 证券表示，国内因资源开发环境日趋严苛，环保标准提升与运营成本攀升共同制约了产能释放，国外新 增项目推进普遍迟缓，全球范围内具备规模潜力的新建钨矿项目极为有限，导致全球钨矿产量增长极为 乏力。2024年全球钨矿产量约为8.28万吨，即便考虑到现有项目的稳产与小幅扩能，2026年产量预计仅 微增至8.55万吨，年均复合增长率不足2%。 消息面上，节前备货叠加产业链挺价，长单价格再度大涨。本周钨价继续上涨，根据SMM，崇义等钨 企业发布新一轮长单价格，其中崇义某钨企业2月上半月55%钨精矿长单采购价格环比上调14.7万元/标 吨至66.9~67万元/标吨，APT环比上调30万元执行97万元/标吨，长单价格大幅上调再度引爆市场。 在券商看来，战略小金属储量有限、开采难度大且供给弹性不足，同时新能源、半导体、军工等下游需 求快速增长，供需矛盾加剧。在资源稀缺性持续凸显、需求结构升级及政策调控下，未来稀有金属价格 有望延续上行趋势，具备资源储量优势、技术壁垒及合规出口渠道的企业将持续受益。 2月11日，三大指数涨跌不一，创业板指、 ...