Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [4] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic factors such as monetary policy, macro expectations, geopolitical dynamics, and supply disruptions in influencing metal price trends [2] - The report highlights the need to focus on investment opportunities following stabilization in the market [8] Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a decline of 8.51% last week, underperforming major indices [14][16] 2. Metal Prices and Inventory - Copper prices decreased by 3.45% to 100,100 CNY/ton, while aluminum prices fell by 5.07% to 23,315 CNY/ton [24] - SHFE gold prices dropped by 8.92% to 1,090.12 CNY/gram, while COMEX gold rose by 5.13% to 4,988.60 USD/ounce [26] - SHFE silver prices decreased by 37.17% to 18,799 CNY/kg, with COMEX silver down by 1.28% to 77.53 USD/ounce [26] 3. Macro Data Tracking - The report tracks key macroeconomic indicators, including the U.S. CPI and PCE, which show a year-on-year increase of 2.7% and 2.79%, respectively [29][30] - China's CPI and PPI for December were reported at 0.8% and -1.9%, respectively [30] 4. Precious Metals: Low Inventory Disturbances - The report notes that low inventory levels continue to disrupt precious metal prices, with significant fluctuations observed in both gold and silver markets [52][53] 5. Copper: Price Fluctuations - The report indicates that copper prices are expected to fluctuate, with supply-side adjustments and demand dynamics playing crucial roles [65][72] 6. Aluminum: Price Adjustments - Aluminum prices are under pressure due to macroeconomic sentiment and seasonal demand fluctuations, with a noted decrease in processing rates [10][80] 7. Energy Metals: Strong Demand - The report highlights robust demand for energy metals, particularly lithium, despite some price pressures due to macroeconomic factors [89][92] 8. Rare Earths: Price Trends - Prices for rare earth elements, particularly praseodymium and neodymium oxides, continue to rise, supported by tight supply conditions [11]

Core Insights - The Chinese lithium battery industry is showing strong signals of emerging from a comprehensive recession cycle, with significant growth in revenue and profit across major companies [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In the first half of 2025, the total revenue from lithium battery businesses of listed companies in China reached approximately 537.995 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.95%, and a 35.16 percentage point improvement compared to the same period in 2024, which saw a decline of 20.21% [2]. - For the third quarter of 2025 (July to September), the combined operating revenue of major lithium battery listed companies was 374.252 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.62% year-on-year growth, while net profits totaled 34.397 billion yuan, up 67.18% year-on-year [2]. - The fourth quarter (October to December) is projected to see net profits for 68 lithium battery listed companies ranging from 7.568 billion yuan to 15.182 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 178.83% to 257.95% [2]. Group 2: Company Performance - In the third quarter, 26 lithium battery listed companies reported net profits exceeding 100 million yuan, with the top three being Salt Lake Industry (000792.SZ), Huayou Cobalt (603799.SH), and Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ) [3]. - Despite 27 companies reporting losses in the fourth quarter, this number has decreased by 21 compared to the previous year, with most companies experiencing reduced losses. Notably, 17 companies achieved profit growth, accounting for 62.96% of the total [2]. - Only 15 companies reported a decline in performance in the fourth quarter, representing just 22.06% of the total [2].

有色金属周报 20260208 情绪趋稳，商品价格筑底 glmszqdatemark 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | | | 601899.SH | 紫金矿业 | 37.19 | 1.21 | 2.00 | 2.71 | 31 | 19 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603993.SH | 洛阳钼业 | 21.99 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 35 | 25 | 17 | 推荐 | | 000807.SZ | 云铝股份 | 31.70 | 1.27 | 1.94 | 2.31 | 25 | 16 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603799.SH | 华友钴业 | 70.45 | 2.50 | 3.15 | 4.17 | 28 | 22 | 17 | 推荐 | | 00 ...

有色金属周报 20260208 情绪趋稳，商品价格筑底 glmszqdatemark 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | | | 601899.SH | 紫金矿业 | 37.19 | 1.21 | 2.00 | 2.71 | 31 | 19 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603993.SH | 洛阳钼业 | 21.99 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 35 | 25 | 17 | 推荐 | | 000807.SZ | 云铝股份 | 31.70 | 1.27 | 1.94 | 2.31 | 25 | 16 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603799.SH | 华友钴业 | 70.45 | 2.50 | 3.15 | 4.17 | 28 | 22 | 17 | 推荐 | | 00 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is poised for a significant growth cycle in 2026, characterized by strong demand recovery, accelerated global expansion, and disruptive technological advancements, leading to a "spiral rise" in both volume and price [3]. Group 1: Market Predictions - Global lithium battery production is expected to reach 2297 GWh by 2025, with a growth rate of 34.6% in 2026. The shipment growth rate for energy storage cells is projected to be as high as 70%, driven by both domestic and international demand [5]. - There is a notable supply gap in the effective production capacity of battery cells and various materials, making supply chain stability and efficiency crucial for capitalizing on this growth opportunity [5]. Group 2: Conference Details - The 2026 Lithium Key Materials and Applications Market Summit will be held on March 19-20, 2026, in Changzhou, Jiangsu, organized by Xinluo Information [4]. - The summit will focus on two main topics: in-depth discussions on cutting-edge technologies and market supply-demand dynamics, and B2B procurement matchmaking to connect top battery manufacturers and material suppliers [6]. Group 3: Key Topics and Speakers - The conference will feature discussions on lithium carbonate futures and options, market volatility responses from lithium battery companies, and the potential of global lithium resources in 2026 [7][8]. - Other topics include the strategic resource competition in nickel and cobalt supply, the development opportunities presented by solid-state batteries, and the current market trends for various battery materials [8][9].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant decline in the performance of the non-ferrous metal mining ETF, with a drop of 3.81% on February 6, 2023, closing at 2.120 yuan [1] - Major holdings within the non-ferrous mining ETF experienced notable declines, including Zijin Mining down 5.07%, Luoyang Molybdenum down 5.28%, and Northern Rare Earth down 2.71% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, managed by China Merchants Fund Management Co., with a return of 120.70% since its inception on June 21, 2023, and a monthly return of 9.84% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector shows positive momentum, with significant inflows into ETFs and optimistic forecasts for future demand driven by high-tech industries and geopolitical factors [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 6, 2026, the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index (930632) increased by 0.67%, with notable gains from stocks such as Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry (+7.10%) and Northern Rare Earth (+4.07%) [1]. - The Rare Metals ETF (561800) also saw a rise of 0.56% [1]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index account for 59.71% of the index, with companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Northern Rare Earth leading the list [1]. Group 2: Fund Inflows - As of February 5, 2026, the Rare Metals ETF experienced a net inflow of 4.832 million yuan, with a total of 21.017 million yuan net inflow over the past ten trading days [1]. - Six out of the last ten trading days recorded net inflows, indicating strong investor interest [1]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The fund manager of the Huafu Rare Metals ETF remains optimistic about the sector, citing three main reasons: 1. Rare metals are crucial for high-tech industries and are increasingly controlled by nations amid rising geopolitical tensions [1]. 2. The downstream demand for rare metals remains robust, particularly in sectors like new energy vehicles and wind power [1]. 3. Recent price increases across various rare metal segments and positive earnings forecasts from key companies support a strong fundamental outlook [1]. Group 4: Investment Tool - The Rare Metals ETF (561800) tracks the CS Rare Metals Index, which has a high lithium content of 30%-40%, making it an excellent investment tool for market participants looking to gain exposure to the rare metals industry [2].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant decline in the performance of the Penghua Nonferrous ETF (159880), which opened down by 5.31% at 2.070 yuan on February 6 [1] - Major holdings within the Penghua Nonferrous ETF experienced notable drops, including Zijin Mining down 5.07%, Luoyang Molybdenum down 5.28%, and Northern Rare Earth down 2.71% [1] - The performance benchmark for the Penghua Nonferrous ETF is the National Index of Nonferrous Metals Industry, managed by Penghua Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 118.31% since its inception on March 8, 2021, and a recent one-month return of 9.33% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of the Silver Hua ETF (159871) and its major holdings, highlighting a significant decline in share prices on February 6, 2023 [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Silver Hua ETF (159871) opened down by 4.35%, priced at 2.067 yuan [1] - Since its inception on March 10, 2021, the fund has achieved a return of 116.34%, with a one-month return of 8.68% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - Major holdings in the ETF experienced notable declines, including: - Zijin Mining down by 5.07% - Luoyang Molybdenum down by 5.28% - Northern Rare Earth down by 2.71% - Huayou Cobalt down by 3.31% - China Aluminum down by 3.64% - Ganfeng Lithium down by 3.04% - Shandong Gold down by 3.97% - Yun Aluminum down by 1.78% - Zhongjin Gold down by 6.08% - Zhongmin Resources down by 1.79% [1]

股票代码：603799 股票简称：华友钴业 公告编号：2026-008 浙江华友钴业股份有限公司 2026年度第三期超短期融资券发行结果公告 特此公告。 浙江华友钴业股份有限公司董事会 2026年2月6日 浙江华友钴业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）分别于2025年4月17日召开的第六届董事会第二十九次 会议和2025年5月9日召开的2024年年度股东大会审议通过了《关于公司及子公司2025年度发行非金融企 业债务融资工具的议案》，同意公司及子公司可以发行的债务融资工具类型包括但不限于公司债、企业 债、短期融资券、超短期融资券、中期票据、永续债、定向工具（PPN）、境外债券、北金所债权融资 计划等在内的本外币债务融资工具，发行方式包括公开发行和非公开定向发行。 公司已于近日完成了浙江华友钴业股份有限公司2026年度第三期超短期融资券（债券简称：26华友钴业 SCP003，以下简称"本期债券"）的发行。本期债券发行额为10亿元人民币，期限为260天，单位面值为 100元人民币，发行利率为2.24%。 本期债券由中信银行股份有限公司为主承销商组织承销团，通过簿记建档、集中配售的方式在全国银行 间债券市场公开发行。 ...