Core Viewpoint - The cobalt and nickel sector is experiencing a strong performance, with several stocks reaching their daily limit up, indicating positive market sentiment and potential investment opportunities in this industry [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Baichuan Co., Ltd. and Greeenmei have hit the daily limit up, showcasing significant investor interest [1]. - Other notable stocks with substantial gains include Zhongwei New Materials, Guocheng Mining, Huayou Cobalt, Hanrui Cobalt, and Tengyuan Cobalt, reflecting a broader upward trend in the sector [1].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced fluctuations on February 11, with the non-ferrous sector showing resilience, particularly the ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652), which rose by 1.84% [1]. Non-Ferrous Sector Performance - The ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) saw most of its constituent stocks rise, with Huayou Cobalt increasing over 3%, Luoyang Molybdenum up over 2%, and Zijin Mining and Northern Rare Earth both rising over 1% [2][3]. - The top ten constituent stocks of the ETF include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, with respective weightings of 15.07%, 7.81%, and 4.38% [4]. International Precious Metals Market - On February 11, international precious metal prices increased, with spot gold reaching $5,050 per ounce and silver rising over 1% [5]. - The unexpected stagnation in U.S. retail sales data has fueled bets on potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields [5]. Company Developments - Xiamen Tungsten announced plans to acquire a 39% stake in Jiujiang Dadi Mining, aiming to enhance its tungsten and molybdenum resource security [5]. - Luoyang Molybdenum completed the acquisition of a Brazilian gold mine for $1.015 billion, with plans to increase gold production significantly by 2030 [6]. Long-term Trends in Precious Metals - The trend of central banks purchasing gold is strengthening, with gold surpassing U.S. Treasuries as the largest reserve asset globally for the first time in 30 years [8]. - The expansion of fiscal policies and sovereign debt is injecting new momentum into the precious metals market, with gold's monetary properties expected to strengthen further [9]. Copper Market Outlook - The long-term outlook for copper prices remains optimistic due to supply constraints and increasing demand from AI data centers and energy storage [10][11]. - The anticipated supply disruptions in global copper mines could support a long-term upward trend in copper prices [11]. Investment Opportunities - The non-ferrous sector is highlighted as having significant investment value, driven by monetary easing, supply rigidity, and new demand dynamics [11]. - The ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) is positioned to benefit from the super cycle in non-ferrous metals, with a high gold and copper content of 49% [13].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Invesco ETF (560290) in the non-ferrous metals sector, with a current opening price of 0.948 yuan and a 0.00% change [1] - The major holdings of the Invesco ETF include Zijin Mining, which opened up by 0.91%, and other companies like China Aluminum and Shandong Gold, which also showed positive movements [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, and since its establishment on January 26, 2026, it has recorded a return of -5.23% [1] Group 2 - The fund is managed by Invesco Great Wall Fund Management Co., with the fund manager being Gong Lili [1] - The article provides a detailed list of the opening price changes for various stocks within the ETF, indicating a mixed performance among the holdings [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the steel industry and the non-ferrous metals industry, with "Buy" ratings for specific companies including Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongjin Gold, Huayou Cobalt, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [8]. Core Insights - The steel market is expected to weaken due to seasonal factors, with a focus on demand recovery after the Spring Festival [19][20]. - Copper prices may rise if demand improves post-holiday, despite current inventory accumulation [40]. - The aluminum sector is influenced by macroeconomic sentiment, with a focus on demand recovery after the Spring Festival [46]. - Gold prices are supported by geopolitical risks, with potential upward pressure from U.S. Federal Reserve policies [52]. - The rare earth market is expected to maintain tight supply conditions, supporting prices for praseodymium and neodymium [66]. Summary by Sections Steel Industry - Steel production is declining as companies prepare for the Spring Festival, with total inventory increasing [19][21]. - As of February 6, the total steel inventory was 13.39 million tons, up 4.36% week-on-week, but down 19.42% year-on-year [28]. - The average price index for steel on February 6 was 3,414.24 yuan/ton, down 0.39% from the previous week [37]. Copper Industry - Copper prices have decreased, but new orders are increasing, indicating seasonal demand characteristics [40]. - As of February 6, LME copper prices were $12,800/ton, down 3.96% from January 30 [43]. Aluminum Industry - Domestic bauxite supply is sufficient, but aluminum processing companies are reducing production due to price volatility and regulatory pressures [46]. - As of February 6, LME aluminum prices were $3,000/ton, down 2.09% from January 30 [47]. Precious Metals - Geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic data are influencing gold prices, which are expected to find support from these factors [52]. - As of February 6, COMEX gold prices were $4,988.60/oz, up 1.65% from January 30 [52]. Rare Earths - The supply of praseodymium and neodymium is expected to remain tight, supporting price stability [66]. - As of February 6, the price of praseodymium oxide was 757,500 yuan/ton, up 1.20% from January 30 [66].

Summary of the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Metals & Mining - **Event**: GS Asia Commodity Corporate Day held from February 2-4, featuring 13 companies involved in various commodities including copper, aluminum, lithium, tungsten, nickel, cobalt, rare earths, gold, silver, graphite, potash, coal, and battery materials [1][2] Key Insights - **Market Sentiment**: Positive outlook from miners and producers across most commodities, supported by solid supply and demand fundamentals. However, supply constraints are more pronounced compared to previous cycles due to factors like government controls and trade barriers [2][3] - **Supply Constraints**: Ongoing resource degradation, lack of large expansions, and government-imposed production quotas (e.g., in China and Indonesia) are significant challenges. The concentration of assets geographically and in technical expertise further complicates the supply landscape [2][3] - **Long-term Value Appreciation**: There is a growing recognition of the long-term value of resources, particularly in copper, gold, lithium, and tungsten, with companies expecting output growth of 20-100% over the next 3-5 years [3] Company-Specific Insights China Qinfa Group (中国秦发) - **Key Commodities**: Coal - **Production Outlook**: Management anticipates production output to exceed 10 million tons of raw coal by 2026, with significant growth expected from underground mining operations [11][12][13] - **Government Regulations**: Increased supply discipline due to government regulations, including production quotas and potential export taxes, is expected to impact pricing and production strategies [11][12] - **Cost Structure**: Current total unit cost is Rmb310 per ton, with expectations to reduce costs to Rmb200 per ton as production ramps up [15] - **CAPEX Plans**: Future capital expenditures will focus on expanding mining operations, with each new pit expected to cost Rmb2.0-3.0 billion, primarily funded through equity [17] Other Companies Mentioned - **CMOC Group (洛阳钼业)**: Rated as a "Buy" with a target price of HK$27.0/Rmb28.0 [8] - **Huayou Cobalt (华友钴业)**: Rated as a "Sell" with a target price of Rmb45.0 [8] - **Zijin Mining Group (紫金矿业)**: Rated as a "Buy" with a target price of HK$52.0/Rmb50.0 [8] Additional Considerations - **Geographic Focus**: Preferred mining assets are primarily located in Africa, Central Asia, and domestic China, indicating a strategic shift towards regions with favorable mining conditions [3] - **Technological Advancements**: Companies are exploring new technologies and processes to improve efficiency and reduce costs, such as the use of wet jigging processes to enhance washing yields [18] Conclusion The conference highlighted a generally optimistic outlook for the metals and mining sector, driven by strong demand and strategic adjustments to supply constraints. Companies are positioning themselves for significant growth in the coming years, particularly in coal production, while navigating regulatory challenges and cost management strategies.

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the long-term logic of the precious metals bull market remains solid, with gold's role shifting from an inflation hedge to a geopolitical risk and dollar credit weakening hedge [1][22]. - As of the end of January, China's official gold reserves reached 74.19 million ounces, an increase of 40,000 ounces compared to December 2025, marking the 15th consecutive month of gold accumulation by the People's Bank of China [1][17]. - The precious metals market is influenced by factors such as global central bank gold purchases, a weakening dollar, and the restructuring of the global monetary system [1][22]. Group 2 - The non-ferrous mining ETF tracks the upstream mining segment of the non-ferrous metal industry, showing strong price elasticity and higher beta values, particularly in commodity bull markets or inflationary environments [2]. - The non-ferrous mining index has achieved a cumulative increase of 279.71% over the past decade, outperforming mainstream non-ferrous indices [2][12]. - The index's annualized return over the past decade is 14.71%, with a volatility of 30.04% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.63, indicating a favorable risk-adjusted return [15]. Group 3 - The non-ferrous mining index is heavily weighted towards copper, gold, and aluminum, which together account for over 58% of the index [7]. - Key components of the index include Zijin Mining (9.44% weight), Luoyang Molybdenum (9.25% weight), and Northern Rare Earth (5.69% weight) [10]. - The index's performance is characterized by higher elasticity compared to similar indices, reflecting its strategic significance in both industrial development and financial markets [12][15].

Core Viewpoint - Huayou Cobalt's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.02% and a total market capitalization of 131.82 billion yuan as of February 10 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Year-to-date, Huayou Cobalt's stock price has increased by 1.82%, but it has decreased by 1.73% over the last five trading days and by 7.51% over the last 20 days [2] - The stock has seen a 5.93% increase over the last 60 days [2] Group 2: Company Overview - Huayou Cobalt, established on May 22, 2002, and listed on January 29, 2015, is located in Tongxiang Economic Development Zone, Zhejiang Province [2] - The company's main business involves the research and manufacturing of new energy lithium battery materials and cobalt new materials [2] - Revenue composition includes nickel products (34.54%), cathode materials (16.28%), trade and others (15.55%), nickel intermediates (14.91%), copper products (5.95%), ternary precursors (5.25%), lithium products (4.18%), and cobalt products (3.33%) [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Huayou Cobalt achieved a revenue of 58.941 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 29.57% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.216 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.59% [2] Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of Huayou Cobalt shareholders was 257,100, an increase of 31.78% from the previous period [2] - The average circulating shares per person decreased by 15.22% to 7,328 shares [2] Group 5: Dividend Information - Huayou Cobalt has distributed a total of 3.876 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.835 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3] Group 6: Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 148 million shares, a decrease of 1.6723 million shares from the previous period [3] - Other notable institutional shareholders include Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF, E Fund CSI 300 ETF, and GF National Standard New Energy Vehicle Battery ETF, with varying changes in their holdings [3]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery supply chain has experienced significant price increases from 2020 to 2022, driven by strong demand and a smooth transmission of price hikes across the industry [2][3]. Group 1: Price Trends - Electrolyte prices started at 70,000 CNY/ton in September 2020, rising to 100,000 CNY/ton by the end of the year, and reaching a peak of 580,000 CNY/ton in February 2022, with long-term contract prices stabilizing between 200,000 to 300,000 CNY/ton [2][3]. - Iron lithium cathode prices, including phosphoric acid iron and processing fees, doubled in 2021, peaking at over 40,000 CNY/ton by the end of that year [2][3]. - Anode prices began to rise in Q3 2021 due to graphite production constraints, increasing from 12,000 CNY/ton to a high of 25,000 to 28,000 CNY/ton by Q2 2022 [2][3]. Group 2: Supply Chain Dynamics - Lithium carbonate prices rebounded from a low of 40,000 CNY/ton at the end of 2020 to 50,000 CNY/ton in early 2021, and surged to 300,000 CNY/ton by the end of 2021, eventually reaching 520,000 CNY/ton by February 2022 [2][3]. - The battery sector has effectively transmitted raw material price increases, with battery prices rising by 1 cent/wh in Q1 2021 and accelerating to 2-3 cents/wh in Q1 and Q2 of 2022, reaching over 1 CNY/wh [2][3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Current market conditions resemble Q4 2020, with expectations for continued price increases due to strong demand and low profitability levels compared to previous years [3]. - The industry's expansion willingness is significantly lower than in 2021, with limited new supply expected by 2026, suggesting a more stable price environment [3]. - The anticipated price increases are not expected to be as dramatic as in 2021, with supply-demand tightness projected to be lower, particularly for hexafluorophosphate and lithium carbonate [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The current valuation of leading companies is considered reasonable, with expected industry growth of 20% in 2027, suggesting potential for investment in the battery sector, including companies like CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and others [4]. - Material leaders such as Keda Lithium and others are also highlighted as strong investment opportunities, alongside companies in the lithium carbonate sector [4]. - The solid-state battery sector is recommended for investment, particularly with catalysts expected to materialize in Q4 2025 [4].

证券日报网讯2月9日，华友钴业（603799）发布公告称，截至2026年1月31日，公司对外担保余额为9， 518，440.24万元人民币，其中公司及子公司为控股子公司提供担保的余额为9，345，342.75万元人民 币，对参股公司提供担保的余额为173，097.49万元人民币。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Non-ferrous Metals ETF Fund (516650), which opened with a gain of 1.90% at 2.145 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the Non-ferrous Metals ETF include Zijin Mining, which rose by 3.50%, and other companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Huayou Cobalt, which also experienced gains [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the CSI Sub-Industry Non-ferrous Metals Theme Index return, managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., with a return of 110.83% since its inception on June 9, 2021, and a 4.15% return over the past month [1]