Group 1 - The Southern Nonferrous Metals ETF (512400) opened down 0.36% at 1.945 yuan on March 26 [1][2] - Major holdings of the ETF include Zijin Mining down 0.42%, Luoyang Molybdenum up 0.06%, Northern Rare Earth down 0.98%, Huayou Cobalt down 0.41%, China Aluminum down 0.52%, Ganfeng Lithium down 0.37%, Shandong Gold down 0.20%, Yun Aluminum down 0.07%, Zhongjin Gold down 0.20%, and Cangge Mining down 0.10% [1][2] - The performance benchmark for the Southern Nonferrous Metals ETF is the CSI Shenwan Nonferrous Metals Index return, managed by Southern Fund Management Co., Ltd. The fund manager is Cui Lei, and since its establishment on August 3, 2017, it has returned 99.36%, with a recent one-month return of -16.78% [1][2]

浙江华友钴业股份有限公司 关于控股股东部分股份解除质押及质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 截至本公告日，浙江华友钴业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东 华友控股集团有限公司（以下简称"华友控股"）持有公司股份 308,664,701 股， 占公司总股本的 16.27%；其中已累计质押 138,866,994 股，占其所持公司股份总数 的 44.99%，占公司总股本的 7.32%。 截至本公告日，华友控股及其一致行动人陈雪华先生共计持有公司股份 391,169,847 股，占公司总股本的 20.62%；其中已累计质押 175,186,994 股，占其 所持公司股份总数的 44.79%，占公司总股本的 9.24%。 关于控股股东部分股份解除质押及质押的公告 股票代码：603799 股票简称：华友钴业 公告编号：2026-016 | 股东 | 是否为 控股股 | 本次质押 | 是否为 | 是否补 | 质押起始日 | 质押到期日 | 质权人 | 占其 所持 | 占公司总 | 质押融 资资 ...

Fixed Income Research - The overall yield of credit bonds has declined, with a significant decrease in the short to medium term, while the long end has mostly increased, with changes ranging from -2 BP to 1 BP [2] - The issuance scale of credit bonds continues to grow, remaining at historically high levels, with corporate bonds maintaining zero issuance and a decrease in the issuance amount of targeted tools [2] - The net financing amount of credit bonds has increased, with corporate bonds and company bonds seeing net financing growth, while medium-term notes, short-term financing bonds, and targeted tools have decreased [2] - The trading volume of credit bonds in the secondary market has increased, with a rise in most varieties except for corporate bonds [2] - The credit spread for short to medium-term notes and corporate bonds has narrowed, while the long-end spread has widened [2] - The demand for credit bonds is robust, suggesting a continuation of the recovery trend, although adjustments are expected due to various factors [2] Real Estate Policy - Continuous optimization of real estate policies by central and local governments is aimed at stabilizing the market, with a focus on controlling increments, reducing inventory, and improving supply [3] - The government work report emphasizes the goal of stabilizing the real estate market, indicating a shift from "breaking the problem" to "deepening" the new development model [3] - The recovery in sales will significantly impact bond valuations, and funds with higher risk tolerance may consider early positioning in companies showing improved financing and sales performance [3] Urban Investment Bonds - The likelihood of defaults in urban investment bonds is low, making them a key focus for credit bond allocation [4] - The reform of financing platforms is nearing completion, with a focus on resolving operational debt risks [4] Metal Industry Research - The steel industry is expected to see marginal improvements as the weather warms, but macroeconomic factors may still impact steel prices [6] - The copper market is currently influenced by limited industry fundamentals, with future attention on oil prices and geopolitical situations [6] - The aluminum market is affected by ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, impacting production and export, which in turn affects aluminum prices [6] - Gold prices are currently suppressed by high oil prices, but there is potential for a rebound if geopolitical tensions ease [6] - Lithium prices are adjusting due to economic outlook concerns, but demand recovery could support prices [6] - Rare earth prices are expected to fluctuate due to macroeconomic factors and weak demand [6] Investment Ratings - The steel industry and non-ferrous metals industry are rated as "positive," with specific companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongjin Gold, Huayou Cobalt, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum rated for "increased holdings" [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [1] Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector experienced a significant decline of 11.82% from March 16 to March 20, ranking last among all primary industries. The industrial metals segment saw a notable price correction due to the market pricing in the long-term high energy prices and potential interest rate hikes [1][14] - Precious metals prices have also significantly corrected, influenced by the market's anticipation of sustained high energy prices and the possibility of interest rate increases, which could open up upward space for gold in the long term [1][4] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 3.38%, with the non-ferrous metals sector down 11.82%, underperforming the index by 8.44 percentage points. All sub-sectors within non-ferrous metals declined, with industrial metals down 13.30% and precious metals down 10.73% [14][1] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: LME copper prices fell to $11,835 per ton, down 7.07% week-on-week. Domestic smelting plants face increased export pressure, and the market anticipates a continued inventory build-up [2][32] - **Aluminum**: LME aluminum prices decreased to $3,192 per ton, down 7.18% week-on-week. Despite high domestic inventory levels, overseas supply risks are increasing, which may support future price increases [3][37] - **Zinc**: LME zinc prices fell to $3,056 per ton, down 7.21% week-on-week, with inventories rising significantly [39] - **Tin**: LME tin prices dropped to $42,840 per ton, down 11.27% week-on-week, driven by macroeconomic pressures and slight demand growth [41] Precious Metals - **Gold**: COMEX gold closed at $4,492 per ounce, down 10.57% week-on-week. The market is pricing in long-term inflation risks and potential interest rate hikes, which have pressured gold prices [4][44] - **Silver**: COMEX silver prices fell to $67.85 per ounce, down 15.94% week-on-week, reflecting similar pressures as gold [46]

关于控股股东部分股份质押的公告 关于控股股东部分股份质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 截至本公告日，浙江华友钴业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东 华友控股集团有限公司（以下简称"华友控股"）持有公司股份 308,664,701 股， 占公司总股本的 16.27%；其中已累计质押 139,366,994 股，占其所持公司股份总数 的 45.15%，占公司总股本的 7.35%。 截至本公告日，华友控股及其一致行动人陈雪华先生共计持有公司股份 391,169,847 股，占公司总股本的 20.62%；其中已累计质押 175,686,994 股，占其 所持公司股份总数的 44.91%，占公司总股本的 9.26%。 近日，公司收到控股股东华友控股的通知，华友控股办理了部分股份质押业 务，具体情况如下： 一、本次股份质押情况 股票代码：603799 股票简称：华友钴业 公告编号：2026-015 浙江华友钴业股份有限公司 | 股东 | 是否为控股 | 本次质押 | 是否为 | 是否补 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the steel industry and a "Positive" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, with "Buy" ratings for specific companies including Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongjin Gold, Huayou Cobalt, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [3][8]. Core Insights - The steel industry is expected to see marginal improvement in fundamentals as the weather warms up, indicating a potential recovery in demand [6][19]. - The copper market is under pressure due to geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns, with a focus on oil price trends and international developments [6][40]. - The aluminum sector is affected by ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, impacting energy and production, which may influence aluminum prices [6][45]. - Gold prices are currently suppressed by high oil prices, but there is potential for a rebound if geopolitical tensions ease [6][52]. - Lithium prices are adjusting due to economic outlook concerns, but demand recovery could support prices in the future [6][56]. Industry Data Summary Steel - Steel production increased to 8.3982 million tons as of March 20, 2026, a 2.30% increase from March 13, 2026, but a 2.96% decrease year-on-year [21][19]. - The total steel inventory decreased to 19.2485 million tons, a 1.33% decline from the previous week, but an 8.26% increase year-on-year [28][19]. - The capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces was 85.53%, up 2.61 percentage points from the previous week [23][19]. Copper - The LME copper price was $12,000 per ton, down 5.77% from March 13, 2026, while domestic copper inventory decreased [42][40]. - The copper smelting fee was reported at -$67.20 per dry ton, indicating tight supply conditions [41][40]. Aluminum - The LME aluminum price was $3,300 per ton, down 5.43% from March 13, 2026, with domestic aluminum inventory showing mixed trends [46][45]. - The average price of alumina was reported at 2,752.00 yuan per ton, a 2.00% increase from the previous week [46][45]. Precious Metals - Gold prices fell to $4,492.00 per ounce, a 10.57% decrease from March 13, 2026, influenced by high oil prices and geopolitical tensions [52][52]. - Silver prices also saw a significant drop, with COMEX silver at $67.81 per ounce, down 15.92% [52][52]. New Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate prices were reported at 152,500 yuan per ton, a 3.17% decrease, while lithium hydroxide was at 149,500 yuan per ton, down 0.66% [57][56]. Rare Earths and Minor Metals - Light rare earth prices, such as praseodymium-neodymium oxide, decreased to 702,500 yuan per ton, down 12.46% [63][63]. - Tungsten concentrate prices were reported at 1,023,000 yuan per ton, down 2.39% [68][67].

Group 1 - A-shares experienced significant adjustments on March 23, while the new energy sector saw an increase, with the New Energy Vehicle ETF (515030) rising by 1.10% and achieving a trading volume of 4.57 billion yuan by 10:01 AM [1] - The rise in international oil prices, with Brent crude reaching $104.41 per barrel and WTI at $98.09 per barrel, is attributed to the ongoing Middle East tensions, leading to increased domestic fuel prices and a growth in energy substitution logic [1] - Citic Securities reports that the prolonged conflict between the US and Iran, along with the "blockade" of the Strait of Hormuz, is driving oil prices higher, which enhances the competitiveness of pure electric and low-emission hybrid vehicles globally, potentially benefiting Chinese automakers [1] Group 2 - The New Energy Vehicle ETF (515030) is currently the largest in the market, tracking the CSI New Energy Vehicle Index (399976) and including stocks from companies involved in lithium batteries, charging stations, and new energy vehicles [1] - The top ten constituent stocks of the ETF include industry leaders such as BYD, CATL, and Huichuan Technology, with battery-related stocks accounting for 46% of the weight in the Shenwan secondary industry classification [1]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - The report highlights that rising oil prices and ongoing market panic are suppressing non-ferrous metals, but there is optimism for a comprehensive market for key metals in the future [27] - Nickel prices may find bottom support due to slow approval progress of RKAB quotas in Indonesia and supply uncertainties [1] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to tight supply expectations from the Democratic Republic of Congo [2] - Antimony prices are anticipated to remain strong due to supply contraction [6] - Lithium demand is expected to increase against a backdrop of high oil prices, despite recent price declines [7] - The rare earth sector is facing tightening supply expectations, supporting prices [9] - Tin prices are supported by uncertainties in overseas supply [11] - Tungsten prices are expected to rise further due to tightening domestic supply [13] - Uranium prices are supported by ongoing supply tightness [15] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry - As of March 20, LME nickel spot price was $16,770 per ton, down 3.29% from March 13, with total LME nickel inventory at 283,512 tons, a decrease of 0.40% [1] - The approval of nickel mining quotas in Indonesia is lagging, which may lead to short-term supply tightness [1] - Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to supply tightness from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with the current price of electrolytic cobalt at 432,000 yuan per ton [2] Antimony Industry - Antimony prices have remained stable, with average prices for antimony ingots at 167,500 yuan per ton [6] - Supply is expected to remain tight due to production cuts and regulatory measures [6] Lithium Industry - Domestic lithium carbonate futures closed at 143,900 yuan per ton, down 5.41% [7] - Supply tightness is expected to continue, with a focus on the impact of high oil prices on lithium demand [7] Rare Earth Industry - Prices for praseodymium and neodymium are under upward pressure due to stable demand and supply constraints [9] - The global rare earth supply chain remains heavily reliant on China, which dominates production [10] Tin Industry - LME tin spot price was $43,700 per ton, down 8.86% from March 13, with ongoing uncertainties in overseas supply affecting prices [11] - Supply concerns from Myanmar and the Democratic Republic of Congo continue to impact the market [12] Tungsten Industry - Domestic tungsten prices are expected to rise due to tightening supply, with white tungsten concentrate prices at 1,021,000 yuan per ton [13] - The overall supply situation remains tight, with limited new production expected [13] Uranium Industry - Global uranium prices remain high, with a market price of $69.71 per pound, supported by supply tightness and geopolitical factors [15] - The supply-demand gap for uranium is expected to persist in the medium to long term [24]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights that the rising oil prices and ongoing market panic are suppressing non-ferrous metals, but there is optimism for a comprehensive market for key metals in the future [27] - Nickel prices are expected to find support due to supply uncertainties from Indonesia, particularly with the slow approval process for nickel mining quotas [1] - Cobalt prices are anticipated to continue rising due to tight supply expectations stemming from export approval delays in the Democratic Republic of Congo [2] - The report indicates that antimony prices are expected to remain strong due to supply constraints [6] - Lithium prices are projected to maintain a strong performance supported by demand amid high oil prices [7] - The rare earth sector is facing tightening supply expectations, with stable demand from downstream industries [9] - Tin prices are supported by uncertainties in overseas supply chains [11] - Tungsten prices are expected to rise further due to tightening domestic supply [13] - Uranium prices are supported by ongoing supply tightness and geopolitical factors [15] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt - As of March 20, LME nickel spot price was $16,770 per ton, down 3.29% from March 13, with total LME nickel inventory at 283,512 tons, a decrease of 0.40% [1] - The Indonesian nickel mining association has set the 2026 production quota at 260-270 million tons, significantly reduced from the previous year's quota [16] - Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to ongoing supply tightness, with the Democratic Republic of Congo's export processes still facing delays [2][17] Antimony - Antimony prices have remained stable, with average prices for antimony ingots at 167,500 RMB per ton as of March 19 [6] - Supply constraints are expected to provide a bottom support for antimony prices [19] Lithium - Domestic lithium carbonate futures closed at 143,900 RMB per ton as of March 20, down 5.41% from March 13 [7] - The report notes that the Zimbabwean government has suspended all raw material and lithium concentrate exports, impacting supply [20] - Demand for lithium is expected to be supported by adjustments in export tax policies for battery products [20] Rare Earths - The average price of praseodymium oxide was 785 RMB per kilogram as of March 20, down 9.77% from March 13 [9] - Supply constraints are expected to persist due to regulatory measures and stable demand from the magnetic materials sector [21] Tin - The LME tin spot price was $43,700 per ton as of March 20, down 8.86% from March 13 [11] - Supply uncertainties from Myanmar and the Democratic Republic of Congo are expected to support tin prices [12][22] Tungsten - Domestic tungsten prices are under pressure due to tightening supply, with white tungsten concentrate prices at 1,021,000 RMB per ton as of March 20 [13] - The report anticipates further price increases due to ongoing supply constraints [23] Uranium - Global uranium prices remain high, with the market price at $69.71 per pound as of January [15] - Supply tightness is expected to continue due to geopolitical factors and production delays [24]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, China Gold International, and Shandong Gold [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights ongoing inflationary pressures due to geopolitical tensions, particularly the US-Iran conflict, which has led to a significant drop in gold prices, marking the largest weekly decline in 43 years. However, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to central bank purchases and weakening US dollar credit [2]. - The report emphasizes the dichotomy in the gold market between short-term panic and mid-term opportunities, suggesting that the demand for safe-haven assets will likely support gold prices in the future [2]. - Industrial demand for silver may continue to be impacted by the trend of cheap metalization in photovoltaic materials, which could lead to increased costs for silver paste and a potential upward shift in the gold-silver ratio [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Company Performance - The report notes a significant decline in the SW Non-ferrous Index, which fell by 12.29% during the week, alongside a 10.57% drop in COMEX gold and a 15.92% drop in COMEX silver [10]. - Industrial metal prices for aluminum, copper, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin experienced declines of -7.18%, -7.07%, -7.21%, -0.74%, -2.51%, and -11.27% respectively [10]. 2. Base Metals 2.1 Price and Stock Correlation Review - The report provides a detailed analysis of price movements and stock correlations for various base metals, indicating a complex interplay of macroeconomic factors affecting valuations [20]. 2.2 Industrial Metals - Aluminum prices are under pressure due to geopolitical tensions and a strong US dollar, with domestic demand showing signs of recovery as downstream processing rates increase [27]. - Copper prices are experiencing downward pressure from reduced interest rate expectations and geopolitical risks, but there is a notable increase in downstream purchasing activity as prices decline [46]. - Zinc prices are fluctuating due to geopolitical uncertainties and inventory levels, with domestic consumption gradually improving [58]. 3. Precious Metals and Minor Metals 3.1 Precious Metals - The report indicates that gold prices are facing downward pressure due to liquidity risks and inflation expectations, but the long-term outlook remains bullish due to central bank buying [2]. - Silver prices are also under pressure, with industrial demand potentially affected by changes in photovoltaic material production [2]. 3.2 Energy Metals - Lithium prices are expected to remain stable in the short term, while cobalt supply may tighten due to export controls in the Democratic Republic of Congo [10]. - Nickel prices are supported by supply uncertainties in Indonesia, but demand remains cautious due to high prices [10]. 4. Rare Earths - The report does not provide specific insights on rare earths in this section, focusing instead on the broader trends in the non-ferrous metals market [12].