Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum's 2025 mid-year report indicates a decline in revenue but a significant increase in profit, showcasing a mixed performance in the first half of the year [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 94.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.83% - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 8.671 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 60.07% [1] - The net profit margin improved from 6.16% in the first half of 2024 to 10.39% in 2025 - The gross profit margin increased from 18.38% to 21.15% - Return on equity (ROE) reached 11.70%, up by 2.88 percentage points year-on-year [3] Operational Efficiency - Inventory turnover days increased to 70.45 days, up by 2.57 days compared to the first half of 2024, indicating a need for better inventory management - The net cash flow from operating activities was 12.009 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.29% - The debt-to-asset ratio stood at 50.15%, a decrease of 9.01 percentage points year-on-year, suggesting a lighter debt burden and a more robust financial structure [5] Institutional Holdings - As of the first half of 2025, the number of institutions holding Luoyang Molybdenum shares decreased to 213, down from 1,149 in the same period of 2024, indicating a decline in institutional investor confidence - The company's current market capitalization is 237.691 billion yuan, with a year-to-date stock price increase of 72.25% [7]

证券研究报告 有色金属 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 08 月 24 日 证券分析师 田源 SAC：S1350524030001 tianyuan@huayuanstock.com 张明磊 SAC：S1350525010001 zhangminglei@huayuanstock.com 郑嘉伟 SAC：S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 田庆争 SAC：S1350524050001 tianqingzheng@huayuanstock.com 陈轩 chenxuan01@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 美联储 9 月降息预期抬升，铜价有望上行 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——有色金属 大宗金属周报（2025/8/18-2025/8/22） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 铜：美联储 9 月降息预期抬升，铜价有望上行。本周伦铜/沪铜/美铜涨跌幅为 -0.05%/-0.47%/-0.62%。本周铜价整体维持震荡，周五晚鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔会议上讲 话偏鸽，释放 9 月降息信号，美联储 9 月降息预期抬升， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Shandong Gold, Zijin Mining, and others [7][8]. Core Views - The Federal Reserve's dovish stance is expected to drive a bullish outlook for precious metals, with gold prices likely to reach new highs due to anticipated interest rate cuts and inflationary pressures [1][38]. - The copper market is supported by both macroeconomic factors and supply-side constraints, leading to a strong price outlook [2]. - Lithium prices are rebounding due to ongoing supply disruptions, while the market remains tight with a strong demand forecast [3]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The Federal Reserve's shift to a dovish tone has increased expectations for interest rate cuts, with a 90% probability for a September rate cut [1]. - Gold prices are projected to rise, with optimistic scenarios suggesting silver could reach $70 per ounce if the gold-silver ratio normalizes [1]. - Key companies to watch include Xinyi Silver, Shengda Resources, and Zijin Mining [1]. Industrial Metals - Copper prices are expected to strengthen due to macroeconomic support and supply disruptions, with domestic smelting capacity facing maintenance [2]. - Aluminum prices are predicted to fluctuate in the short term, influenced by macroeconomic sentiment and supply adjustments across regions [2]. - Companies of interest include Luoyang Molybdenum, Nanshan Aluminum, and China Hongqiao [2]. Energy Metals - Lithium prices are experiencing a strong rebound, with industrial-grade lithium carbonate priced at 84,000 yuan per ton, reflecting a 1.5% weekly increase [3]. - The market remains tight with a forecasted increase in demand for electric vehicles, supporting a bullish outlook for lithium [3]. - Companies to monitor include Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, and others [3]. Market Trends - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown a general upward trend, with the sector index rising by 1.3% recently [19]. - Specific sub-sectors like small metals have seen significant gains, with a 10.5% increase noted [19]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring inventory levels and price movements across various metals to gauge market health [35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, highlighting potential price increases for various metals due to rising demand and favorable macroeconomic conditions [2][4]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, combined with improving seasonal demand, is likely to drive up industrial metal prices [2][4]. - It identifies specific companies as key investment opportunities, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Nonferrous Mining, among others [2][4]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - The report notes that the SMM import copper concentrate index decreased by $3.47 per ton week-on-week, indicating stable demand with downstream purchases primarily driven by necessity [2]. - Aluminum production has slightly increased due to the commissioning of replacement capacity, and companies are beginning to stockpile for the upcoming peak season [2]. - Domestic electrolytic aluminum social inventory stands at 596,000 tons, with a weekly reduction of 11,000 tons [2]. Energy Metals - Cobalt supply continues to decrease, leading to expectations of a significant price increase, while lithium prices are expected to remain strong due to market dynamics [3]. - The report highlights that cobalt prices are likely to rise as domestic inventory continues to deplete [3]. - Nickel prices are also expected to increase due to low supply and rising demand from precursor manufacturers [3]. Precious Metals - The report indicates that the Federal Reserve's comments have bolstered expectations for interest rate cuts, which is likely to support gold prices [4]. - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for nine consecutive months, further supporting the bullish outlook for gold [4]. - The report suggests that if gold prices stabilize above $3,500 per ounce, it could present a significant investment opportunity [4]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts, Valuations, and Ratings - Zijin Mining: EPS forecast for 2024A is 1.21 CNY, with a PE ratio of 17, rated as "Buy" [4]. - Luoyang Molybdenum: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.63 CNY, with a PE ratio of 18, rated as "Buy" [4]. - China Nonferrous Mining: EPS forecast for 2024A is 0.77 CNY, with a PE ratio of 11, rated as "Buy" [4].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Industry (603993) reported a mixed performance in its 2025 interim financial results, with a decline in total revenue but a significant increase in net profit, indicating improved profitability despite revenue challenges [1]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 94.773 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.83% year-on-year [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 8.671 billion yuan, reflecting a substantial increase of 60.07% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 48.767 billion yuan, down 13.99% year-on-year, while net profit was 4.725 billion yuan, up 41.24% year-on-year [1]. - Gross margin improved to 21.15%, an increase of 15.1% year-on-year, and net margin rose to 10.39%, up 68.69% year-on-year [1]. Cost Management - Selling, general, and administrative expenses totaled 2.166 billion yuan, accounting for 2.29% of revenue, down 20.81% year-on-year [1]. - The company reported a significant reduction in interest-bearing debt, which decreased by 45.84% to 28.68 billion yuan [1]. Shareholder Metrics - Earnings per share (EPS) increased to 0.41 yuan, a rise of 64.0% year-on-year [1]. - The book value per share was reported at 3.39 yuan, up 19.9% year-on-year [1]. - Operating cash flow per share was 0.56 yuan, reflecting an increase of 11.92% year-on-year [1]. Investment Insights - The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) for the previous year was 14.69%, indicating strong capital returns [3]. - The average ROIC over the past decade was 6.07%, suggesting a generally weak investment return history [3]. - The company maintains a healthy cash position, with cash assets being robust [3]. Market Position - The largest fund holding Luoyang Molybdenum is the Southern CSI Shenwan Nonferrous Metals ETF, with a scale of 4.695 billion yuan and a recent net value increase of 1.27% [5].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum's 2025 mid-year report shows a decline in total revenue but a significant increase in net profit, indicating improved profitability despite lower sales [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 94.773 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.83% year-on-year - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 8.671 billion yuan, an increase of 60.07% year-on-year - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 48.767 billion yuan, down 13.99% year-on-year, while net profit was 4.725 billion yuan, up 41.24% year-on-year [1] - Gross margin improved to 21.15%, up 15.1% year-on-year, and net margin increased to 10.39%, up 68.69% year-on-year [1] - Total expenses (selling, administrative, and financial) amounted to 2.166 billion yuan, accounting for 2.29% of revenue, a decrease of 20.81% year-on-year [1] Key Financial Ratios - Earnings per share (EPS) rose to 0.41 yuan, a 64.0% increase year-on-year - Cash flow per share was 0.56 yuan, up 11.92% year-on-year - Net asset value per share increased to 3.39 yuan, a rise of 19.9% year-on-year [1] Investment Insights - The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) was 14.69%, indicating strong capital returns, although historical ROIC averages around 6.07%, suggesting generally weak investment returns [4] - The company's cash assets are reported to be very healthy, indicating good liquidity [4] Fund Holdings - The largest fund holding Luoyang Molybdenum is the Southern CSI Shenwan Nonferrous Metals ETF, with 27.4225 million shares held, showing a reduction in holdings [5] - Other funds have newly entered or increased their positions in Luoyang Molybdenum, indicating growing interest from institutional investors [5]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Views - The dovish remarks from Powell have increased expectations for a rate cut in September, benefiting the prices of precious and base metals [3][41] - The market is beginning to price in the likelihood of a rate cut, with a significant increase in the probability of a September cut to 91.1% following Powell's comments [3][41] - Long-term concerns regarding global monetary policy and debt are expected to support gold prices, with the passage of the "Big and Beautiful" act projected to increase the US fiscal deficit by $3.4 trillion [3][15] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold prices increased by 1.05% to $3,417.20 per ounce, while silver rose by 2.26% to $38.88 per ounce [1][24] - SPDR Gold ETF holdings decreased by 276,237.73 troy ounces, while SLV Silver ETF holdings increased by 6,992,897.80 ounces [24] - The gold-silver ratio fell by 1.19% to 87.89, indicating a potential recovery in silver prices due to increased industrial demand [1][43] Base Metals - Copper prices rose by 0.37% to $9,796.50 per ton on the LME, while aluminum increased by 0.73% to $2,622.00 per ton [6][48] - Supply disruptions from overseas mines continue to tighten raw material availability, with Peru's copper production increasing by 7.1% year-on-year [7][68] - The market anticipates a cautious improvement in consumption as the traditional peak season approaches [7][70] Small Metals - Magnesium prices remain stable at 18,920 yuan per ton, with tight inventory levels among producers [81] - Molybdenum prices have shown positive trends, with molybdenum iron prices rising by 3.60% to 287,500 yuan per ton [14][82] - The demand for molybdenum is expected to remain strong, supported by tight supply conditions [14][82]

作者：智投君 融券方面，当日融券卖出1.17万股，净买入4.66万股。 本文源自：金融界 8月22日，沪深两融数据显示，洛阳钼业获融资买入额2.00亿元，居两市第139位，当日融资偿还额1.97 亿元，净买入282.43万元。 最近三个交易日，20日-22日，洛阳钼业分别获融资买入1.86亿元、1.59亿元、2.00亿元。 ...

Core Insights - As of August 22, 2025, 1526 A-share listed companies have disclosed their semi-annual reports, with 921 companies reporting a year-on-year net profit growth, accounting for approximately 60.35% [1][3] Group 1: Company Performance - Among the 1526 companies, 761 reported a net profit growth exceeding 10%, 501 exceeded 30%, 359 exceeded 50%, 210 exceeded 100%, and 66 exceeded 300% [3] - Notable companies with significant net profit growth include Shumai Video, Xinda Co., Zhimingda, Rongzhi Rixin, Shijia Photon, and Suotong Development [3] - Shumai Video achieved approximately 267 million yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 24.7%, and a net profit of approximately 16.7 million yuan, a staggering increase of 2747.64% [3] - 567 companies reported net profits exceeding 100 million yuan, 180 exceeded 500 million yuan, 88 exceeded 1 billion yuan, 19 exceeded 5 billion yuan, and 8 exceeded 10 billion yuan [3] - Leading companies by net profit include China Mobile, Kweichow Moutai, CATL, China Telecom, Sinopec, Industrial Fulian, Muyuan Foods, Huaneng International, and Luoyang Molybdenum [3][4] Group 2: Industry Performance - Industries showing strong performance include electronics, transportation, agriculture, automotive, machinery, non-ferrous metals, home appliances, and social services [5] - Within the electronics sector, companies in consumer electronics and semiconductors performed exceptionally well [5] - In the agriculture sector, companies involved in breeding and animal health showed significant performance improvements [5] - Muyuan Foods reported revenue of 764.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.46%, and a net profit of 10.79 billion yuan, a remarkable increase of 952.92% [5] Group 3: Dividend Announcements - As of August 22, 2025, 265 A-share listed companies have announced their mid-term dividend plans [2][6] - Among these, 188 companies plan to distribute cash dividends exceeding 1 yuan per 10 shares (including tax), 77 companies exceeding 3 yuan, 38 exceeding 5 yuan, and 15 exceeding 10 yuan [6][7] - Notable companies with high cash dividends include Jibite, Ninebot, Shuoshi Biology, China Mobile, Dongpeng Beverage, Siwei Liekong, Dong'a Ejiao, and Aimeike [6] - Jibite reported revenue of 2.518 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.49%, and a net profit of 645 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.50%, proposing a cash dividend of 66 yuan per 10 shares (including tax) [6] - Among the 265 companies, 111 plan to distribute dividends exceeding 100 million yuan, 77 exceeding 200 million yuan, and 37 exceeding 500 million yuan [7]

主要产品量价齐升 洛阳钼业上半年业绩再攀新高 ◎记者 王乔琪 业绩高增长源自矿山板块的强劲表现。报告期内，公司矿山端收入实现历史新高，达到394.02亿元，占 比整体营业收入约42%，比2024年同期和2023年同期分别提高11个和28个百分点。 矿业收入中，含"铜"量创下历史新高。公司上半年产铜35.36万吨，同比增长12.68%，按产量指引中值 计算（下同），完成度约56.1%；叠加铜价上涨，公司铜矿山端营业收入为257.18亿元，占比矿山端整 体约65%。 钴、钨、钼等金属产品也呈现回暖向好态势。上半年，公司产钴6.11万吨，钴矿山端营业收入为57.28亿 元，同比增长31.94%；产钼6989吨，完成度为51.8%；产钨3948吨，完成度为56.4%，钨矿山端营业收 入同比增长26.19%，为11.09亿元；产铌5231吨，创近年来新高，完成度为52.3%；磷肥产量为58.26万 吨，完成度50.7%。此外，公司全资子公司埃珂森（IXM）金属贸易平台提质控量，经营效益再创同期 新高。 公司降本增效成果显著，营业成本同比下降10.96%。分矿区看，TFM和KFM优化工艺流程，开展数智 化微创新等；中国区 ...