Core Viewpoint - The surge in metal prices, particularly copper, is significantly impacting downstream manufacturing industries in China, leading to squeezed profit margins for manufacturers while upstream companies benefit from rising raw material prices [3][5][9]. Group 1: Price Surge in Raw Materials - In 2025, copper prices increased by 34.34%, and the upward trend continued into 2026 [2]. - The price of lithium carbonate, essential for electric vehicle batteries, skyrocketed from 75,700 yuan per ton in January 2025 to 175,250 yuan per ton by January 23, 2026, marking a 131.4% increase [7]. - Tungsten concentrate prices surged to 520,000 yuan per ton, while tungsten carbide prices rose from approximately 300,000 yuan per ton to 1,200,000 yuan per ton [7]. Group 2: Impact on Manufacturing Industries - The home appliance industry is heavily affected by rising copper prices, with copper accounting for over 20% of the total cost of air conditioners. The copper price reached 105,020 yuan per ton in February 2026, up 42.25% from early 2025, leading to an 8.45% increase in air conditioner costs [10]. - The electric vehicle industry faces significant cost inflation, with UBS reporting that the cost increase for pure electric vehicles (BEVs) due to metal prices alone is approximately 5,600 yuan per vehicle, primarily driven by lithium price increases [12]. - The automotive industry's single vehicle gross profit was only 13,000 yuan in 2025, making it challenging for manufacturers to pass on rising costs to consumers amid fierce competition [13]. Group 3: Upstream vs. Downstream Dynamics - Upstream mining companies are experiencing explosive profit growth due to rising raw material prices, with Zijin Mining forecasting a net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62% [8]. - In contrast, manufacturing companies are facing unprecedented cost pressures, leading to a decline in profit margins. The manufacturing sector's profit margin was only 4.7% in 2025, compared to 15.9% for the mining sector [21][19]. - The overall revenue of China's industrial enterprises has been increasing, but profit margins have been declining, indicating a challenging environment for manufacturers [19][21]. Group 4: Strategies for Survival and Growth - Many Chinese manufacturing companies are exploring ways to extend their business scope internationally, moving beyond low-end products to high-value items like electric vehicles and industrial robots [24]. - Some companies are actively integrating vertically by acquiring upstream resources, such as copper mines, to mitigate the impact of rising raw material prices [24]. - Technological advancements are also being pursued, with companies investing in alternatives to reduce dependency on expensive raw materials, such as the development of sodium-ion batteries [26].

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 2月5日，有色金属ETF基金（516650）开盘跌2.44%，报2.155元。有色金属ETF基金（516650）重仓股 方面，紫金矿业开盘跌2.63%，洛阳钼业跌2.66%，北方稀土跌1.61%，华友钴业跌1.40%，中国铝业跌 2.31%，赣锋锂业跌3.20%，山东黄金跌3.54%，云铝股份跌1.49%，中金黄金跌3.80%，天齐锂业跌 1.82%。 有色金属ETF基金（516650）业绩比较基准为中证细分有色金属产业主题指数收益率，管理人为华夏基 金管理有限公司，基金经理为单宽之，成立（2021-06-09）以来回报为120.95%，近一个月回报为 16.68%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...

有色金属概念股走低，洛阳钼业跌超7%，紫金矿业、中国铝业、山东黄金、天齐锂业跌超6%。 有券商分析认为，成因主要有三个：一是美联储降息周期美元呈走弱趋势，推动以美元计价的有色金属价格上涨；二是供需缺口的支撑，铜等工 业金属面临主要矿山品位下降、边际成本抬升以及前期矿业资本开支萎缩带来的供给压力，需求端有人工智能、新能源、数据中心等基础设施建 设的带动；三是国内"反内卷"政策发力，推动过剩产能的优化，有利于促进供需平衡。 | 代码 | ਤੇ ਵੀ ਸ | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 561330 | 主 | 矿业ETF | 2.140 | -0.143 | -6.26% | | 159690 | 主 | 有色矿业ETF招商 | 2.179 | -0.145 | -6.24% | | 159652 | 主 | 有色ETF汇添富 | 1.835 | -0.120 | -6.14% | | 159871 | 主 | 有色ETF银华 | 2.135 | -0.139 | -6.11% | | 516650 | 主 | 有色 ...

声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 融资方面，洛阳钼业当日融资买入4.24亿元。当前融资余额48.84亿元，占流通市值的1.18%，融资余额 超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 融券方面，洛阳钼业2月4日融券偿还11.62万股，融券卖出10.83万股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 256.35万元；融券余量194.18万股，融券余额4596.26万元，超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 资料显示，洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司位于河南省洛阳市栾川县城东新区画眉山路伊河以北，成立 日期1999年12月22日，上市日期2012年10月9日，公司主营业务涉及主要从事钼、钨及黄金等稀贵金属 的开采、选冶、深加工、贸易、科研等。生产所需原辅材料、机械设备、仪器仪表、零配件的进口(上 述进出口项目凭资格证书经营)。金属贸易。主营业务收入构成为：精炼金属产品贸易48.56%，精矿产 品贸易38.31%，铜27.14%，钴6.04%，钼3 ...

Group 1 - The global mining merger and acquisition activity is increasing, with Chinese mining companies notably expanding their presence through acquisitions of quality non-ferrous mineral resources [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum has made two significant acquisitions in gold assets within eight months, including the purchase of Lumina Gold and a 100% stake in three Brazilian gold mines from Equinox Gold Corp, adding a total of 501.3 million ounces of gold resources [1] - Zijin Mining announced a record acquisition of Canadian United Gold for CAD 5.5 billion, while Shengda Resources completed a cash acquisition of a 60% stake in Yichun Jinshi Mining for CNY 500 million [1] Group 2 - Non-ferrous mineral prices are at high levels, driving record profits for leading mining companies; Luoyang Molybdenum expects a net profit of CNY 20 billion to CNY 20.8 billion for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47.8% to 53.7% [2] - Zijin Mining anticipates a net profit of CNY 51 billion to CNY 52 billion for the same period, with a year-on-year growth of 59% to 62%, benefiting from rising prices and production volumes of core mineral products [2] - The global mining industry is consolidating, with Rio Tinto and Glencore in preliminary talks to create the largest mining company to expand copper production, and Anglo American and Teck Resources initiating a merger to rank among the top five copper mining companies [2]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the copper industry, but it highlights the strategic importance of copper in clean energy and its expected demand growth due to energy transition initiatives [3]. Core Insights - Copper is recognized as a strategic metal and is essential for achieving global net-zero targets outlined in the Paris Agreement. The share of copper in clean energy applications is projected to increase from 29% to 36% by mid-century [3]. - The supply of copper is highly concentrated globally, with significant declines in major copper discoveries and increasing costs associated with finding new copper deposits. This limited supply, combined with rising demand driven by global GDP cycles and energy transition policies, is expected to push copper prices higher [3]. - China, as the largest producer and consumer of refined copper, is experiencing a declining self-sufficiency rate. The government is implementing policies to enhance domestic resource reserves and improve the quality and efficiency of copper smelting [3]. Summary by Sections Chapter 1: Overview of Copper - Copper is widely used due to its excellent conductivity and versatility, making it a critical material in various applications [10]. - The report emphasizes the strong correlation between copper prices and global economic growth, as reflected in historical data [10]. Chapter 2: Supply of Copper - Global copper supply is highly concentrated, with major production coming from countries like Chile, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and Peru. The report notes that the average copper ore grade is declining, and the discovery of new copper mines is becoming increasingly difficult [30]. - The report indicates that the average time from discovery to production of a copper mine is approximately 16 years, highlighting the challenges in increasing supply [30]. Chapter 3: Demand for Copper - The demand for copper is expected to grow significantly, driven by investments in power grid infrastructure and the rapid development of the electric vehicle market. The average annual investment in China's power grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan was significantly lower than the projected investment for the 15th Five-Year Plan [3][67]. - The report projects that the demand for copper in the renewable energy sector will increase, with the copper consumption in electric vehicles being four times that of traditional vehicles [80]. Chapter 4: Copper Prices - Factors influencing copper prices include supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical issues, and climate-related events. The report notes that significant disruptions in supply from major mines have occurred due to natural disasters [97]. - The report highlights the expected increase in copper prices due to the tightening supply-demand balance in the coming years [3]. Chapter 5: Key ETFs - The report identifies key ETFs focused on the copper industry, such as the Huatai-PineBridge CSI Segmented Nonferrous Metals Industry Theme ETF and the China Asset Management CSI Segmented Nonferrous Metals Industry ETF, which are recommended for investors looking to gain exposure to the copper market [109].

随着2025年度A股上市公司业绩预告披露正式收官，中国经济新旧动能加速转换的图景也愈发清晰。巨灵财经数据显示，截 至2026年1月30日，A股5352家上市公司中（剔除上市未满一年公司），共有2963家发布了2025年年报、快报或业绩预告， 披露率达55.36%。其中，1069家公司实现预喜（含预增、略增、扭亏、续盈），预喜率为36.08%，较2024年的33.38%实现 小幅回升，盈利态势逐步回暖。 从整体数据来看，2025年A股行业分化态势尤为突出。非银金融、有色金属等行业表现亮眼，盈利增速显著；房地产、光伏 等传统行业则深陷调整期，持续承受业绩压力；而以半导体、通信设备为代表的新质生产力相关板块，更是迎来业绩爆发 期。这种行业增减的鲜明对比，不仅直观反映了各行业景气度的差异，更清晰展现出中国经济正逐步摆脱传统要素依赖模 式，向创新驱动的高质量发展稳步迈进。 非银金融、有色金属领衔，优势赛道表现亮眼 从各行业具体表现来看，2025年预喜率排名前五的行业分别是非银金融、有色金属、美容护理、汽车和公用事业。这些行业 凭借自身核心优势或行业周期红利，跻身业绩预喜的核心阵营，其中非银金融板块的集体预增表现最为突出 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights a paradox in the non-ferrous metals sector where despite a significant bull market, very few public funds have captured the top-performing stocks [1][2] - The analysis indicates that institutional investors are generally avoiding stocks with historical governance issues or high uncertainty, even if market expectations are strong [2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Fund Holdings - Some non-ferrous metal stocks have seen remarkable price increases, with Zhaojin Gold rising over 540% and Xiaocheng Technology increasing over 362% since 2025 [2] - As of the end of 2025, Zhaojin Gold was held by only 15 funds, Xiaocheng Technology by 3 funds, and Hunan Silver by just 1 fund, indicating a lack of institutional interest in these high-performing stocks [2][4] Group 2: Institutional Investment Behavior - Public funds are constrained by strict compliance frameworks and risk management systems, leading to cautious investment decisions regarding companies with historical flaws or high operational uncertainty [3][4] - The preference for larger, more stable companies is evident, as only 17 non-ferrous stocks are held by over 100 funds, primarily those with market capitalizations exceeding 50 billion [4][5] Group 3: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The current non-ferrous metal market is supported by a multi-dimensional logic, including global liquidity easing and anticipated continued monetary and fiscal stimulus [6][8] - Supply constraints and new demand from sectors like AI and energy transition are focal points for institutional investors, with copper, gold, and aluminum identified as key investment directions [8][9]

Content: --------- <doc id='1'>融资融券月报 13307 主要指数全部上涨，两融余额继续上升 ――融资融券 2 月月报</doc> <doc id='2'>| 分析师：王雪莹 | SAC NO：S1150525020001 2026 年 2 月 4 日 | | --- | --- | | 证券分析师 | 核心观点： | | 王[Table_IndInvest] 雪莹 | | | | 市场概况 | |  022-23839121 | | | wangxy4430@bhzq.com  | 本月（1 月 1 日-1 月 30 日）A 股市场主要指数全部上涨，其中科创 50 | | | 涨幅最大，上涨了 12.29%；上证 50 涨幅最小，上涨了 1.17%。此外， | | | 上证综指上涨 3.76 %，深证成指上涨 5.03%，创业板指上涨 4.47%， | | | 沪深 上涨 上涨 300 1.65 %，中证 500 12.12%。 | |  | 截至 1 月 30 日，沪深两市两融余额为 27,064.74 亿元，较上月末增加 | | | 1,737.60亿元。其中融资余额为 26,898.76 亿元，较上月末增加 1,736.88 | | | 亿元；融券余额为 165.99 亿元，较上月末增加 0.72 亿元。市场 ETF | | | 融资余额为 亿元，较上月末增加 亿元；融券余额为 1128.80 33.06 73.71 | | | 亿元，较上月末增加 亿元。户均融资融券余额为 元，较 0.94 1,414,996 | | | 上月末增加 35,599 元；有融资融券负债的投资者数量占全体融资融券 | | | 投资者数量的占比为 23.97%，较上月末增加 0.73 个百分点。1 月 1 日 | | | -1 月 30 日每日平均参与融资融券交易的投资者数量为 600,192 名，较 | | | 上月增长 42.73%。 | |  | 板块方面，主板和科创板融资余额占沪深两市 A 股融资余额比例下降， | | | 创业板占沪深两市 A 股融资余额比例上升。融券方面，主板和科创板融 | | | 券余额占沪深两市 A 股融券余额比例上升，创业板占沪深两市 A 股融券 | | | 余额比例下降。 | |  | 标的券情况 | |  | 行业方面，本月有色金属、电子和非银金融行业融资净买入额较多，建 | | | 筑材料、轻工制造和美容护理行业融资净买入额较少；本月融资买入额 | | | 占成交额比例较高的行业为非银金融、通信和电子，较低的行业为纺织 | | | 服饰、轻工制造和建筑材料；本月有色金属、食品饮料和家用电器行业 | | | 融券净卖出额较多，电力设备、电子和医药生物行业融券净卖出额较少。 | |  | 个股方面，本月个股融资净买入额前五名为中国平安（601318）、紫金 | | | 矿业（601899）、天孚通信（300394）、招商银行（600036）、长江电 | | | 力（600900）。本月个股融券净卖出额前五名为贵州茅台（600519）、 | | | 赤峰黄金（600988）、兴业银锡（000426）、美的集团（000333）、洛 | | | 阳钼业（603993）。 | |  | 风险提示：两融业务成本超预期变动风险；两融监管政策超预期变动风 | | | 险。 | | 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 | 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 20 |</doc> <doc id='3'>金 融 工 程 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 融 资 融 券 月 报</doc> <doc id='5'>| 1. 市场数据概览 | | 4 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2. 行业融资融券特征 | | 9 | | 3. ETF 标的券 | | 13 | | 4. 个股标的券及重大事项 | | 15 | | 5. 结论 | | 17 |</doc> <doc id='6'>| | |</doc> <doc id='7'>| 图 1：近一年沪深 300 收盘价与融资买入额占成交额比例 4 | | --- | | 图 2：本月融资业务情况 5 | | 图 3：本月融券业务情况 5 | | 图 4：近五年两融余额情况 6 | | 图 5：各板块融资余额情况（亿元） 6 | | 图 6：各板块融券余额情况（亿元） 6 | | 图 7：各指数融资余额情况（亿元） 7 | | 图 8：各指数融券余额情况（亿元） 7 | | 图 9：近一年融资融券机构投资者及个人投资者数量 8 | | 图 10：近一年参与融资融券交易的投资者数量与有融资融券负债的投资者数量 8 | | 图 11：本月申万一级行业涨跌幅及融资买入额占成交额比例（%） 9 | | 图 12：本月行业融资净买入额情况（万元） 9 | | 图 13：本月行业融券净卖出额情况（万元） 10 | | 图 14：近一年 ETF 融资融券余额情况 13 | </doc> <doc id='8'>| 表 1：A | 股市场主要指数本月表现 4 | | --- | --- | | 表 2：本月标的券所属行业融资情况 10 | | | 表 3：本月标的券所属行业融券情况 11 | | | 表 4：本月 ETF 融资净买入前 20 | 名 13 | | 表 5：本月个股融资净买入前 20 | 名 15 | | 表 6：本月融资买入额占成交额比例前 | 20 名 15 | | 表 7：本月个股融券净卖出前 20 | 名 16 |</doc> <doc id='9'>1. 市场数据概览 本月（1 月 1 日-1 月 30 日）A 股市场主要指数全部上涨，其中科创 50 涨幅最大， 上涨了 12.29%；上证 50 涨幅最小，上涨了 1.17%。此外，上证综指上涨 3.76 %， 深证成指上涨 5.03%，创业板指上涨 4.47%，沪深 300 上涨 1.65 %，中证 500 上涨 12.12%。</doc> <doc id='10'>表 1：A 股市场主要指数本月表现 | 指数名称 | 12 月 31 日收盘价 | 1 月 30 日收盘价 | 月涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证综指 | 3968.84 | 4117.95 | 3.76 | | 深证成指 | 13525.02 | 14205.89 | 5.03 | | 创业板指 | 3203.17 | 3346.36 | 4.47 | | 科创 50 | 1344.20 | 1509.40 | 12.29 | | 沪深 300 | 4629.94 | 4706.34 | 1.65 | | 上证 50 | 3031.13 | 3066.50 | 1.17 | | 中证 500 | 7465.57 | 8370.52 | 12.12 | 资料来源：同花顺，渤海证券研究所 图 1：近一年沪深 300 收盘价与融资买入额占成交额比例</doc> <doc id='12'>资料来源：同花顺，渤海证券研究所 1 月 30 日，沪深两市两融余额为 27,064.74 亿元，较上月末增加 1,737.

行 行业周报 资金情绪回落，多品种价格回调 分析师： 张珂 SAC NO： S1150523120001 2026 年 2 月 4 日 钢铁 有色金属 证券分析师 张珂 022-23839062 zhangke@bhzq.com 研究助理 重点品种推荐 洛阳钼业 增持 中金黄金 增持 华友钴业 增持 紫金矿业 增持 中国铝业 增持 近三月行业指数走势图 投资要点： 行业情况及产品价格走势初判 钢铁：后续随着春节前需求季节性走弱，钢材库存或进一步累积，需关注宏观 情绪对钢价影响。 铜：临近春节假期下游需求将减弱，资金情绪回落，短期铜价或调整后震荡运 行。 铝：资金情绪回落，春节前需求预计将走弱，短期铝价或迎来调整后震荡运 行。 黄金：我们认为金价回调后，后续地缘政治风险以及美国国内政治不确定性 （如政府停摆风险）仍有望为金价提供底部支撑，需警惕风险事件缓和对金 价的压力。另外，我们认为美国总统特朗普提名的新美联储主席未来偏鸽派 的可能性更大，后续美联储政策或超出市场预期，有望支撑金价。 锂：抢出口需求叠加供应偏紧预期，容量电价政策也有望改善需求预期，锂价 调整过后有望获得支撑。 稀土：春节前需求或走弱，但现货供 ...