有色金属概念股走强，北方稀土涨超5%，洛阳钼业、西部矿业涨超2%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 受盘面影响，工业有色相关ETF涨超2%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 涨跌幅 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 560860 | 工业有色ETF万家 | 1.912 | 0.053 2.85% | | 159162 | 工业有色ETE鹏华 | 0.984 | 0.027 2.82% | | 159157 | 有色金属ETF天弘 | 0.997 | 0.026 2.68% | 有券商表示，工业有色等周期资源类品种尽管面临短期市场波动，但长期收益前景依然可观，受益于工业结构优化 和持续的需求增长。此外，基于业绩趋势模型分析，工业有色板块当前估值合理，未来有望迎来反弹机会，建议重 点关注其在产业链中的潜在表现，把握超跌带来的投资窗口。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant capital inflows into various stocks, highlighting potential investment opportunities in specific sectors such as energy metals, rare metals, and technology [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Inflows - The top stock with capital inflow is Greeenmei, attracting 1.312 billion yuan with a price increase of 9.84% [2] - Northern Rare Earth follows closely with 1.305 billion yuan inflow and a 4.94% rise [2] - Zijin Mining received 0.809 billion yuan with a 1.6% increase [2] - Zaiseng Technology saw a capital inflow of 0.763 billion yuan, marking a 10% rise [2] - Wangsu Technology attracted 0.701 billion yuan with a notable increase of 10.22% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The energy metals sector is represented by Greeenmei and Huayou Cobalt, both showing strong capital inflows and positive price movements [2] - The rare metals sector includes Northern Rare Earth and Zhongtung High-tech, both experiencing significant inflows and price increases [2] - The technology sector is highlighted by Wangsu Technology and Zaiseng Technology, both of which have seen substantial capital inflows and notable price gains [2][3]

www.ccxi.com.cn www.ccxi.com.cn 行业展望 联络人 作者 企业评级部 | 陈田田 010-66428877 | | --- | | ttchen@ccxi.com.cn | | 刘紫萱 010-66428877 | | zxliu@ccxi.com.cn | 其他联络人 王梦莹 010-66428877 mywang01@ccxi.com.cn 中诚信国际 中国有色金属行业 中国有色金属行业展望，2026 年 2 月 在矿端供应偏紧、需求韧性较强的背景下，预计 2026 年有色金属行 业保持较高景气度，全球财政与货币政策调整、贸易摩擦、地缘政 治等因素将对行业发展形成扰动，基本金属价格中枢存在上行或高 位震荡预期；加工费低迷、行业竞争加剧令冶炼加工环节承压，行 业利润将进一步向资源自给率高、成本控制能力强的企业集中，整 体信用水平保持稳定。 中国有色金属行业展望为维持稳定，中诚信国际认为未来 12~18 个 月行业总体信用质量不会发生重大变化。 核心观点 1 2026 年 2 月 目录 核心观点 1 分析思路 2 行业基本面 2 行业财务表现 14 结论 22 附表 23 中诚信 ...

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market, with companies like Zhongtung High-tech, Xiamen Tungsten, and Northern Rare Earth seeing significant stock price increases of 7.98%, 6.72%, and 6.34% respectively, contributing to a nearly 3% rise in the Tianhong Non-ferrous Metal ETF (159157) [1] - The Tianhong Non-ferrous Metal ETF has attracted substantial capital inflow, with a total of 890 million shares purchased in a single day and a cumulative net inflow of 614 million yuan over three days, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The ETF covers a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, and rare earths, allowing it to capture various market cycles effectively [1] Group 2 - On February 10, prices for mainstream rare earth products such as praseodymium and neodymium oxides have risen due to tight supply conditions and strong demand from downstream buyers [2] - The non-ferrous sector is expected to perform well in 2025, with companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum projected to see net profit increases of over 60% and 50% respectively, while Shenghe Resources and Huayu Mining are expected to see even higher profit growth [2] - Following price adjustments by tungsten companies, Zhangyuan Tungsten has also raised its long-term procurement prices for black and white tungsten concentrates by 28.1% [2] - The U.S. has initiated a $12 billion strategic metal reserve plan, and the Non-ferrous Metals Industry Association has suggested commercial interest subsidies for copper and copper concentrates to enhance resource value [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the non-ferrous metals sector is experiencing short-term pressure due to pre-holiday sentiment, but there are structural opportunities in specific sub-sectors [2] - The global non-ferrous metals industry is expected to enter a "recovery cycle with supply constraints" from 2026 to 2027, with copper and aluminum prices shifting from supply constraints and loose liquidity in 2026 to demand recovery in 2027 [2] - The supply growth of electrolytic aluminum is projected to be only 1.7% in 2026, with a supply gap of over 800,000 tons; electrolytic copper supply growth is 2.4% while demand growth is 3.3%, indicating a shift from surplus to shortage [2] Group 2 - Tungsten is expected to see a continued supply-demand shortage due to China's mining control policies, leading to sustained price increases from 2026 to 2027 [3] - Rare earth permanent magnets are experiencing tightening supply-side integration, with improving demand expectations for exports, indicating a fundamental improvement [3] - Cobalt is projected to face a global shortage due to supply reduction policies in the Democratic Republic of Congo, with strong upward momentum in the short term [3] Group 3 - Lithium is benefiting from the rising demand for energy storage batteries and domestic supply disruptions, potentially at the bottom of its cycle [3] - Nickel is expected to clear supply issues from the second half of 2026 to 2027 due to Indonesia's quota policies, with prices likely to rise if economic recovery boosts stainless steel demand [3] - Magnesium is gaining traction in the lightweighting sector of new energy vehicles due to its higher cost-effectiveness compared to aluminum, indicating improved industry sentiment [3] Group 4 - The non-ferrous metals ETF (512400) closely tracks the CSI Shenyin Wanguo Non-Ferrous Metals Index, which selects 50 listed companies to reflect the overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, China Aluminum, and Huayou Cobalt, among others [3]

| | i称 | 预告净利润上限 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (亿元) | | | 601899. SH | 紫金矿业 | 520 | 62 | | 603993. SH | 洛阳铝业 | 208 | 54 | | 603799. SH | 华友钻业 | 65 | 55 | | 600489. SH | 中金黄金 | 54 | 59 | | 600547. SH | 山东黄金 | 49 | 66 | | 600988. SH | 赤峰黄金 | 32 | 81 | | 600111. SH | 北方稀土 | 24 | 135 | | 002460. SZ | 赣锋锂业 | 17 | 180 | | 002155. SZ | 湖南黄金 | 16 | 90 | | 600392. SH | 盛和资源 | 9 | 339 | | 601020. SH | 华钰矿业 | 9 | 255 | | 002466. SZ | 天齐锂业 | 6 | 107 | | 601069. SH | 西部黄金 | 5 | 93 | | 002716. SZ | 湖南白银 | 4 | 127 | ...

Group 1 - Luoyang Molybdenum (603993) (03993) saw a rise of over 3%, currently up 3.65% at HKD 23.28, with a trading volume of HKD 312 million [1] - Citigroup released a report indicating that Luoyang Molybdenum will announce the acquisition of Brazilian gold assets in December 2025, with the transaction expected to be completed in January 2026 [1] - Based on Citigroup's forecast of a gold benchmark price of USD 4,600 per ounce in 2026, the acquired asset is expected to contribute 7.1 tons to gold production, generating approximately RMB 2.4 billion in net profit, accounting for about 7% of total net profit [1] Group 2 - Shenwan Hongyuan noted significant short-term disruptions in copper production, with tight non-US inventories leading to a bullish outlook for copper prices, supported by solid fundamentals [1] - Long-term growth in electric vehicle investments and AI data centers, combined with relatively inelastic copper supply, suggests that the price center for copper is likely to continue rising [1] - Huayuan Securities indicated that insufficient capital expenditure in copper mining and frequent supply-side disruptions may shift the copper supply-demand balance from tight equilibrium to shortage, with copper smelting profits expected to bottom out amid a "de-involution" backdrop, and prices likely to break upward as the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle [1]

Group 1 - Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) shares increased by 3.65%, reaching HKD 23.28, with a trading volume of HKD 312 million [1] - Citigroup's report indicates that Luoyang Molybdenum will announce the acquisition of Brazilian gold assets in December 2025, completing the transaction in January 2026 [1] - Based on Citigroup's forecast of a gold price of USD 4,600 per ounce in 2026, the acquired asset is expected to contribute 7.1 tons of attributable gold production, generating approximately RMB 2.4 billion in net profit, accounting for about 7% of total net profit [1] Group 2 - Sunward Hongyuan predicts that short-term copper production will be significantly disrupted, with tight non-US inventories leading to a bullish outlook for copper prices, supported by solid fundamentals [1] - Long-term growth in electric investment and AI data centers, combined with relatively inelastic copper supply, suggests that the price center for copper is likely to continue rising [1] - Huayuan Securities notes that insufficient capital expenditure in copper mining and frequent supply-side disruptions may shift the copper supply-demand balance from tight equilibrium to shortage, with copper smelting profits expected to bottom out amid a "de-involution" backdrop, and prices likely to break upward as the Federal Reserve enters a rate-cutting cycle [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced fluctuations on February 11, with the non-ferrous sector showing resilience, particularly the ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652), which rose by 1.84% [1]. Non-Ferrous Sector Performance - The ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) saw most of its constituent stocks rise, with Huayou Cobalt increasing over 3%, Luoyang Molybdenum up over 2%, and Zijin Mining and Northern Rare Earth both rising over 1% [2][3]. - The top ten constituent stocks of the ETF include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, with respective weightings of 15.07%, 7.81%, and 4.38% [4]. International Precious Metals Market - On February 11, international precious metal prices increased, with spot gold reaching $5,050 per ounce and silver rising over 1% [5]. - The unexpected stagnation in U.S. retail sales data has fueled bets on potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, leading to a decline in U.S. Treasury yields [5]. Company Developments - Xiamen Tungsten announced plans to acquire a 39% stake in Jiujiang Dadi Mining, aiming to enhance its tungsten and molybdenum resource security [5]. - Luoyang Molybdenum completed the acquisition of a Brazilian gold mine for $1.015 billion, with plans to increase gold production significantly by 2030 [6]. Long-term Trends in Precious Metals - The trend of central banks purchasing gold is strengthening, with gold surpassing U.S. Treasuries as the largest reserve asset globally for the first time in 30 years [8]. - The expansion of fiscal policies and sovereign debt is injecting new momentum into the precious metals market, with gold's monetary properties expected to strengthen further [9]. Copper Market Outlook - The long-term outlook for copper prices remains optimistic due to supply constraints and increasing demand from AI data centers and energy storage [10][11]. - The anticipated supply disruptions in global copper mines could support a long-term upward trend in copper prices [11]. Investment Opportunities - The non-ferrous sector is highlighted as having significant investment value, driven by monetary easing, supply rigidity, and new demand dynamics [11]. - The ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) is positioned to benefit from the super cycle in non-ferrous metals, with a high gold and copper content of 49% [13].

证券代码：603993 证券简称：洛阳钼业公告编号：2026-011 洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司关于对下属子公司及合营公司提供担保的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ● 担保对象及基本情况 （一）担保的基本情况 为公司及其子公司开展正常生产经营所需，洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）直接或 通过全资子公司（含直接及间接全资子公司，下同）为下属全资子公司合计提供总额预计不超过91亿元 的担保，为合营公司洛阳富川矿业有限公司（以下简称"富川矿业"）提供预计不超过2亿元的担保，富 川矿业以其持有的上房沟钼矿采矿权(证号：C1000002011073120115610)为公司前述担保提供反担保。 （二）内部决策程序 2025年5月30日，公司2024年年度股东大会审议通过《关于本公司2025年度对外担保额度预计的议 案》，同意授权董事会或董事会授权人士（及该等授权人士的转授权人士）批准公司直接或通过全资子 公司（含直接及间接全资子公司，下同）或控股子公司（含直接及间接控股子公司，下同 ...