Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. experienced a 5.1% decline in stock price, closing at 16.36 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 5.068 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 1.71%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 350.011 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and went public on October 9, 2012. The company is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, deep processing, trading, and research of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold [1] - The revenue composition of the company's main business includes: refined metal product trading (48.56%), concentrate product trading (38.31%), copper (27.14%), cobalt (6.04%), molybdenum (3.12%), phosphorus (2.23%), niobium (1.88%), tungsten (1.17%), and others (0.11%) [1] Fund Holdings - According to data from major funds, one fund under Shenwan Hongyuan holds a significant position in Luoyang Molybdenum. The Shenwan Hongyuan Carbon Neutrality Selected Mixed Fund A (016101) reduced its holdings by 1,300 shares in the second quarter, now holding 34,900 shares, which accounts for 3.53% of the fund's net value, ranking as the fifth-largest holding [2] - The Shenwan Hongyuan Carbon Neutrality Selected Mixed Fund A (016101) was established on August 2, 2022, with a latest scale of 6.6552 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 3.79%, ranking 1 out of 2 in its category; the one-year return is 13.05%, also ranking 1 out of 2; however, since inception, it has incurred a loss of 41.68% [2]

资料显示，洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司位于河南省洛阳市栾川县城东新区画眉山路伊河以北，成立 日期1999年12月22日，上市日期2012年10月9日，公司主营业务涉及主要从事钼、钨及黄金等稀贵金属 的开采、选冶、深加工、贸易、科研等。生产所需原辅材料、机械设备、仪器仪表、零配件的进口(上 述进出口项目凭资格证书经营)。金属贸易。主营业务收入构成为：精炼金属产品贸易48.56%，精矿产 品贸易38.31%，铜27.14%，钴6.04%，钼3.12%，磷2.23%，铌1.88%，钨1.17%，其他(补充)0.11%。 来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 10月13日，洛阳钼业涨3.11%，成交额68.11亿元。两融数据显示，当日洛阳钼业获融资买入额7.11亿 元，融资偿还6.37亿元，融资净买入7356.61万元。截至10月13日，洛阳钼业融资融券余额合计29.84亿 元。 融资方面，洛阳钼业当日融资买入7.11亿元。当前融资余额29.56亿元，占流通市值的0.98%，融资余额 超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 融券方面，洛阳钼业10月13日融券偿还4.09万股，融券卖出14.29万股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 2 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the resurgence of tariffs between China and the U.S., suggesting an increased allocation towards gold as a safe-haven asset [1][2] - Precious metals continue to show strength, with silver spot prices reflecting insufficient upward momentum, indicating potential risks of a pullback amid trade disputes [1][2] - The long-term trend of de-dollarization is expected to persist, coupled with inflows into ETFs due to short-term interest rate cuts, supporting a positive outlook for the precious metals sector [1][2] Group 2 - Copper prices are anticipated to rise due to supply disruptions, with recent production guidance cuts from Freeport and Teck Resources enhancing the likelihood of a reversal in the global electrolytic copper balance by 2026 [2] - The aluminum market is also waiting for a buying opportunity following recent price increases, with inventory levels showing expected increases without exceeding forecasts [2] - Cobalt prices have surged significantly, with expectations for continued price increases in 2026-2027 due to a projected supply-demand gap of 20,000 to 30,000 tons next year [3][4] Group 3 - Recent export controls on rare earth materials by Chinese authorities are expected to exacerbate supply-demand imbalances, potentially leading to a new upward trend in rare earth prices [4] - The report suggests monitoring specific companies such as Northern Rare Earth, Baotou Steel, and Huayou Cobalt, among others, for investment opportunities in the precious metals and rare earth sectors [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the non-ferrous metals sector, with the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals (399395) rising by 2.50% as of October 14, 2025, driven by significant gains in individual stocks such as Silver Holdings (601212) up 10.02% and China Rare Earth (000831) up 8.00% [1] - The increase in spot gold prices, reaching a record high of $4,148.93 per ounce, is attributed to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and tariff impacts, which have heightened risk aversion among investors [1] - Dongwu Securities indicates that the downward trend in real interest rates, combined with overseas fiscal and tariff pressures, is boosting safe-haven demand for precious metals, with expectations of further interest rate cuts in October [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals (399395) include Zijin Mining (601899) and Northern Rare Earth (600111), collectively accounting for 53.12% of the index [2] - The Non-Ferrous ETF Fund (159880) closely tracks the National Index for Non-Ferrous Metals, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the non-ferrous metals sector on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges [1][2]

国信证券近日发布金属行业Q4投资策略：出口管制再升级，北稀25Q4精矿采购价环比 +37%。商务部对含有中国成分的部分境外稀土相关物项和稀土相关技术实施出口管制。供 给方面，由于关税原因，MP资源于今年4月宣布不再向中国出口稀土精矿；价格方面， 25Q3氧化镨钕均价为54.01万元/吨，环比+25%；北方稀土上调四季度稀土精矿交易均价为 不含税2.62万元/吨，环比+37.13%。 以下为研究报告摘要： 工业金属：布局有色金属行业格局改善、价格上涨的机会 钴：刚果(金)配额制落地，钴价有望迎来长牛。刚果(金)出口配额低于市场预期，或造 成全球钴原料市场在未来2年内出现明显缺口，长期价格中枢抬升。 小金属：战略属性增强，小金属多头逻辑强化 稀土：出口管制再升级，北稀25Q4精矿采购价环比+37%。商务部对含有中国成分的部 分境外稀土相关物项和稀土相关技术实施出口管制。供给方面，由于关税原因，MP资源于 今年4月宣布不再向中国出口稀土精矿；价格方面，25Q3氧化镨钕均价为54.01万元/吨，环 比+25%；北方稀土上调四季度稀土精矿交易均价为不含税2.62万元/吨，环比+37.13%。 铜：大型铜矿减产，铜价重心 ...

Group 1: Overall Industry Outlook - The non-ferrous metal market remains strong, with significant price increases and robust performance in various sectors such as rare earths, precious metals, and cobalt [1] - The China Securities Index for non-ferrous metals has risen by 85% since the beginning of the year, with individual stocks like Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt seeing increases of 114%, 169%, and 145% respectively [1] Group 2: Precious Metals - On October 13, both gold and silver prices reached historical highs, with gold hitting $4085.04 per ounce and silver reaching $51.714 per ounce [2] - Companies in the precious metals sector are optimistic about future price trends, citing factors such as the interest rate cycle and geopolitical uncertainties as supportive for gold prices [2] - Silver is expected to follow gold's upward trend, although it typically exhibits greater price volatility [2] Group 3: Industrial Metals - The copper sector showed resilience with a rebound in A-shares, while aluminum prices are expected to strengthen due to seasonal supply increases [3][4] - The relationship between copper prices and U.S. Federal Reserve interest rates is highlighted, with historical data indicating that low interest rates often correlate with rising copper prices [3] - The International Copper Study Group predicts a shift from surplus to shortage in the copper market by 2026, indicating potential price increases [3] Group 4: Cobalt and Other Metals - Cobalt prices have surged due to supply constraints from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with prices rising by 133% since the announcement of export bans [6] - Demand for cobalt remains strong, particularly in high-end electric vehicles that utilize ternary batteries [6] - Other minor metals like antimony and bismuth are experiencing price corrections, with antimony facing supply and demand challenges [6][7]

Core Views - The multi-metal strategic attributes continue to strengthen, driving value reassessment in the non-ferrous metal industry [1] - The investment rating remains "outperform" [2] Tin Market Analysis - Global exchange visible inventory has significantly decreased, with a peak of 22,763 tons in May 2024, followed by a reduction to below 9,000 tons by the end of 2022 [5][73] - The price of tin is expected to rise due to the limited number of new global tin mining projects, with most expected to come online after 2027 [51] Precious Metals - Gold prices have reached new highs, driven by signals from the Federal Reserve regarding potential interest rate cuts, with expectations for further increases in gold prices through 2025 [5] Energy Metals - The implementation of a quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo is expected to lead to a long-term bull market for cobalt prices [6] - Lithium prices are rebounding, supported by strong demand in the global energy storage market, with supply disruptions still present [6] Minor Metals - The strategic attributes of minor metals are strengthening, with rare earth export controls tightening and significant price increases observed [6] - Tungsten prices are expected to rise due to increased demand and supply constraints [8] Industrial Metals - Copper prices are expected to rise due to large copper mine production cuts, with a focus on monitoring inventory changes [7][9] - Aluminum production in China is nearing its peak, with a fragile balance in the market that could shift to shortages if demand increases [7][32] Recommended Investment Targets - The report recommends a diversified portfolio including companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Northern Rare Earth [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2][9]. Core Insights - The report highlights the increasing geopolitical tensions between China and the U.S., which may elevate demand for safe-haven assets like gold and strategic metals such as rare earths and tungsten [5][9]. - The copper market is experiencing supply disruptions, with prices trending upward due to tight supply conditions [5]. - Aluminum demand is expected to continue, with potential opportunities for investment following market corrections [5]. - The strategic importance of rare earths and tungsten is emphasized due to recent export controls and geopolitical developments [5][9]. Summary by Sections Copper Sector - Supply disruptions are ongoing, with LME copper prices at $10,735 per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.9% [5]. - The processing fee for imported copper concentrate is negative, indicating tight supply [5]. - Companies with rich copper reserves are recommended for investment [9]. Aluminum Sector - LME aluminum prices reached $2,800 per ton, up 3.6% week-on-week [5]. - The operating rate for aluminum processing enterprises has slightly decreased, but demand is expected to remain stable [5]. - Investment opportunities are suggested for companies in the aluminum sector following market corrections [9]. Gold Sector - Gold prices are rising, with SHFE gold at 901.6 RMB per gram, up 3.1% week-on-week [5]. - The report suggests that geopolitical tensions may enhance gold's strategic position as a safe-haven asset [5]. - Investment in gold-related companies is recommended due to their undervalued resource potential [9]. Rare Metals Sector - Rare earth prices remain stable, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide at 683,000 RMB per ton [5]. - Recent export controls on rare earths have heightened their strategic importance amid U.S.-China tensions [5][9]. - Investment opportunities are highlighted in companies involved in rare earth production [9]. Steel Sector - Steel prices are stable, with SHFE rebar at 3,103 RMB per ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.0% [6]. - The report notes frequent disruptions in iron ore supply negotiations, which may impact future prices [6]. - Companies with high self-sufficiency in iron ore are recommended for investment [9].

New Stock Issuance - Marco Polo (Stock Code: 001386) issued at a price of 13.75 on October 13, 2025[1] - New material company (Stock Code: 688585) has a tender offer period from September 29 to October 28, 2025[1] - Zitian (Stock Code: 300280) entered the delisting arrangement period with the last trading day on October 13, 2025[1] Market Alerts - Significant abnormal fluctuations reported for Pinming Technology (Stock Code: 688109) on October 10, 2025[1] - Multiple companies including Kesheng Technology (Stock Code: 688788) and Borui Pharmaceutical (Stock Code: 688166) have recent announcements regarding their stock activities[1] - A total of 30 companies have been flagged for abnormal trading activities, indicating potential market volatility[2]

10月13日，洛阳钼业涨3.11%，成交额68.11亿元，换手率2.37%，总市值3688.38亿元。 洛阳钼业目前在新浪财经客户端A股市场人气排名第49名。 异动分析 金属铜+金属镍+金属钴+小金属概念+黄金概念 1、本公司属于有色金属采矿业，主要从事铜、钼、钨、钴、铌、磷等矿业的采选、冶炼、深加工等业 务，拥有较为完整的一体化产业链条，是全球前五大钼生产商及最大钨生产商、全球第二大钴、铌生产 商和全球领先的铜生产商，同时也是巴西境内第二大磷肥生产商。 2、2025年半年报，本集团全资子公司洛钼控股与NewstrideLimited 签订股权转让协议，约定以 1,125.87 美元的对价受让沃源控股有限公司 ( 沃源控股 )100% 股份，从而间接取得沃源控股持有的华越镍钴 21% 股份。 2020 年 7 月 25 日，洛钼控股通过沃源控股认购华越镍钴新增注册资本的方式将对 华越镍 钴持有的股权增持至 30% 。沃源控股向华越镍钴派驻一名董事及一名监事，因具有重大影响，故作为 联营企业核算。 来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 (免责声明：分析内容来源于互联网，不构成投资建议，请投资者根据不同行情独立判断) 资金 ...