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工业有色ETF鹏华(159162)涨超1.2%,工业金属价格集体上涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 02:03
Group 1 - LME metal futures closed higher, with LME copper rising by $58 to $13,166 per ton, LME aluminum up by $10 to $3,103 per ton, LME zinc increasing by $12 to $3,406 per ton, LME lead gaining $18 to $1,993 per ton, LME nickel up by $390 to $17,880 per ton, and LME tin rising by $352 to $49,635 per ton [1] - Ping An Securities analysis indicates that the domestic aluminum ingot long-term market in 2026 will exhibit characteristics of "stable prices with adjustments, declining signing willingness, and a tight supply-demand pattern," with a positive long-term outlook for aluminum prices supported by macro sentiment recovery and fundamental strengthening [1] - As of February 12, 2026, the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) surged by 1.18%, with component stocks such as Tungsten High-tech up by 6.70%, Dongyangguang up by 3.97%, and Huayou Cobalt up by 3.75%, while other stocks like Western Mining and Tongling Nonferrous also saw gains [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Industrial Nonferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) include Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, China Aluminum, Xinyi Silver Tin, Yun Aluminum, Tongling Nonferrous, Jiangxi Copper, Xiamen Tungsten, Zhongjin Gold, and Western Mining, collectively accounting for 55.71% of the index [2]
有色ETF景顺(560290)开盘跌0.72%,重仓股紫金矿业涨0.23%,洛阳钼业跌0.04%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-12 01:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Invesco ETF (560290) in the context of the metal industry, showing a slight opening decline of 0.72% to 0.964 yuan [1] - The major holdings of the Invesco ETF include Zijin Mining, which opened up by 0.23%, and other companies like China Aluminum and Ganfeng Lithium showing mixed performance [1] - The performance benchmark for the Invesco ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, with a return of -2.69% since its establishment on January 26, 2026 [1]
贵金属与有色金属市场波动,矿业并购活跃,政策聚焦资源保障
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-02-11 23:18
Group 1 - Precious metals and non-ferrous metals markets have shown significant volatility, with silver and gold prices narrowing their year-to-date gains to 9.1% and 9.9% respectively as of February 6, following a peak at the end of January 2026 [1] - The LME copper price has increased by 2.5% year-to-date, while nickel and lead prices continue to decline, reflecting a divergence in the performance of non-ferrous metals [1] - The recent decline in commodity prices, particularly a 2.7% drop in non-ferrous metals and a 14.1% decrease in lithium carbonate prices, indicates pressure on resource-related stock valuations due to weak domestic demand [1] Group 2 - The mining sector is experiencing active mergers and collaborations, with Chinese mining companies accelerating resource integration driven by high non-ferrous metal prices [2] - Notable transactions include Luoyang Molybdenum's acquisition of a gold mine in Brazil and Zijin Mining's plan to acquire Canadian United Gold for 28 billion yuan, enhancing resource reserves in lead, zinc, and silver [2] - A strategic cooperation framework agreement was signed between China Nonferrous Metal Group and China Gold Group to deepen collaboration in mineral exploration and development [2] Group 3 - Policy focus is on resource security and ecological coordination, with Sichuan province's new exploration initiative attracting 314 million yuan in funding and discovering significant mineral resources [3] - The Ministry of Natural Resources has promoted a balanced approach to mining development and ecological protection through the release of typical cases of ecological product value realization [3] - Tax data indicates that the green industry sales revenue is growing at an annual rate of over 30% during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with clean energy generation accounting for 42.6% of the total, highlighting the long-term structural transformation in the resource sector [3]
亚洲大宗商品:新背景下的供应约束与资源价值-Asia Commodity Corporate Day_ Supply constraints and value of resources in a new context
2026-02-11 15:40
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Metals & Mining - **Event**: GS Asia Commodity Corporate Day held from February 2-4, featuring 13 companies involved in various commodities including copper, aluminum, lithium, tungsten, nickel, cobalt, rare earths, gold, silver, graphite, potash, coal, and battery materials [1][2] Core Insights - **Positive Sentiment**: There is a generally positive outlook among miners and producers for most commodities, supported by solid supply and demand fundamentals [2] - **Supply Constraints**: Current supply constraints differ from past cycles, influenced by factors such as government-imposed controls (e.g., production quotas in China and Indonesia) and increased trade barriers [2] - **Long-term Value Appreciation**: Miners and producers are increasingly recognizing the long-term value of resources, particularly in copper, gold, lithium, and tungsten, with expectations of output growth ranging from 20% to 100% over the next 3-5 years [3] Company-Specific Insights China Qinfa Group (中国秦发) - **Key Commodities**: Focus on coal production, particularly in Indonesia [11] - **Government Regulations**: Increased supply discipline due to government regulations, including production quotas and potential export taxes [11] - **Production Capacity**: Anticipated production output of over 10 million tons of raw coal by 2026, with significant growth expected from underground mining operations [12][13] - **Cost Structure**: Current total unit cost is Rmb310 per ton, with expectations to reduce costs to Rmb200 per ton as operations ramp up [15] - **CAPEX Plans**: Future capital expenditures will focus on expanding mining operations, with an average cost of Rmb2.0-3.0 billion per pit [17] Additional Important Points - **Geographic Focus**: Preferred mining assets are primarily located in Africa, Central Asia, and domestic China [3] - **Market Dynamics**: The appreciation of resource values is occurring despite a broad macroeconomic downturn and trends toward de-dollarization [3] - **Production Growth Drivers**: The company is implementing strategies to improve production efficiency and reduce costs, including the use of advanced mining techniques and partnerships for coal chemical production [18] Conclusion The conference highlighted a robust outlook for the metals and mining industry, driven by strong demand fundamentals and strategic adaptations to supply constraints. Companies like China Qinfa Group are positioning themselves for significant growth through regulatory compliance and operational efficiencies.
2026年钴行业策略:地缘格局引机遇,供减需增价格望新高
Orient Securities· 2026-02-11 13:15
Core Insights - The cobalt industry is expected to experience a significant price increase due to geopolitical factors and supply constraints, with prices likely reaching new highs by 2026 [2][4][10] - The Congo (DRC) quota system is driving the global cobalt market's pricing power, with supply constraints becoming more influential than simple supply-demand dynamics [4][6][10] Group 1: Overall Industry Outlook - The year 2025 marks a critical turning point for the cobalt industry, transitioning from a supply surplus to a structural shortage, which is expected to continue into 2026 [10][11] - The global cobalt supply is highly concentrated, with the DRC accounting for approximately 76% of global production, making the market sensitive to geopolitical and policy changes [41][50] Group 2: Supply Dynamics - The DRC's export quota for cobalt is set at 96,600 metric tons annually for 2026-2027, a 55% reduction from 2024 levels, leading to a structural supply gap of 91,000 and 112,000 metric tons in 2026 and 2027, respectively [6][10] - The supply of cobalt from artisanal mining is expected to remain limited due to government control and quota restrictions, impacting overall market supply [61] Group 3: Demand Projections - Battery applications dominate cobalt demand, accounting for 73% of total consumption, with electric vehicle batteries being the primary growth driver [4][19] - The demand for cobalt in the consumer electronics sector is also expected to recover, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5% over the next three years [4][19] Group 4: Price Outlook - The pricing mechanism for cobalt is shifting from a cost-based model to one driven by supply shortages and geopolitical risks, suggesting that cobalt prices will remain elevated in the long term [11][10] - Cobalt prices are projected to maintain high levels due to the structural supply-demand imbalance, with significant price increases observed following policy changes in the DRC [15][38] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Key investment targets include Huayou Cobalt, Luoyang Molybdenum, Tengyuan Cobalt, and Greeenme, all of which are positioned to benefit from the anticipated price increases and supply constraints in the cobalt market [4][6]
沪市公司2025年业绩预告“透视”:资源品量价齐升 电子行业“AI拉动”效应明显
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2026-02-11 12:33
Group 1: Overall Market Performance - As of February 9, 2026, 271 companies on the Shanghai Stock Exchange have issued positive performance forecasts for 2025, with 168 expecting profit increases and 85 companies turning losses into profits [1] - In the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, 391 companies have disclosed their expected performance for 2025, with nearly 60% of these companies anticipating year-on-year net profit growth, including 39 companies expecting over 100% profit growth [1] - The year 2025 is seen as a pivotal year for the "14th Five-Year Plan," showcasing resilience and structural highlights in the operations of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] Group 2: Nonferrous Metals Industry - The nonferrous metals industry is projected to see an industrial added value growth of 6.9% in 2025, surpassing the national average by 1.0 percentage points, with production of ten major nonferrous metals exceeding 80 million tons for the first time [2] - The total profit of large-scale enterprises in the nonferrous metals sector is expected to reach 528.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, marking a historical high [2] - Leading companies in the nonferrous metals sector are exhibiting a "volume-price resonance" characteristic, with significant increases in production and prices of key minerals like gold, copper, cobalt, and lithium contributing to profit growth [2] Group 3: Key Companies in Nonferrous Metals - Zijin Mining is expected to achieve a net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62%, driven by rising prices of gold, silver, and copper [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum, the largest cobalt producer globally, anticipates a net profit of 20 to 20.8 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 47.80% to 53.71% [3] - Huayou Cobalt expects a net profit of 5.85 to 6.45 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 40.80% to 55.24%, benefiting from upstream resource production and recovering downstream material business [3] Group 4: Electronics Industry - The electronics industry is experiencing significant growth driven by AI, with smart hardware becoming a primary growth engine [4] - Huaqin Technology forecasts a revenue of 170 to 171.5 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.7% to 56.1%, and a net profit of 4 to 4.05 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 36.7% to 38.4% [4] - Shengyi Technology anticipates a net profit of 3.25 to 3.45 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 87% to 98%, driven by strong demand in automotive electronics and AI servers [4] - Rockchip is expected to achieve a revenue of 4.387 to 4.427 billion yuan in 2025, with a net profit of 1.023 to 1.103 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 71.97% to 85.42% [4]
小金属板块集体异动,章源钨业、翔鹭钨业股价创新高
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-11 10:34
Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on February 11, with small metals sector leading the gains, particularly companies like Dongfang Molybdenum and Zhongtung High-tech hitting the daily limit, while Zhangyuan Tungsten and Xianglu Tungsten reached new highs [1] - The rapid development of high-demand sectors such as new energy and photovoltaics has significantly increased the demand value for tungsten and other small metals, which are essential functional materials [1] - According to data released by Zhongtung Online on February 11, the domestic price for 65% black tungsten concentrate rose to 697,000 yuan per ton, an increase of 7,000 yuan per ton compared to the previous trading day; similarly, the price for 65% white tungsten concentrate also increased by 7,000 yuan per ton to 696,000 yuan per ton [1] Group 2 - Huaxi Securities indicated that expectations for post-Spring Festival inventory replenishment are rising as the market approaches 2026, leading some holders to replenish their positions at lower prices, which has improved short-term transaction volume marginally [1] - The current situation of tight supply for tungsten raw materials has not yet eased [1]
从老式灯泡钨丝到大国重器核心材料,钨价年内暴涨近五成,供给收紧叠加高端制造需求爆发,战略小金属迎来全面价值重估
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 10:16
Core Viewpoint - The articles highlight the strong performance and growth potential of various companies in the tungsten industry, driven by rising tungsten prices and increasing demand across multiple sectors such as aerospace, military, and renewable energy. Company Summaries - **China Tungsten High-Tech (000657)**: A leading player in the tungsten industry with a complete value chain from mining to manufacturing, benefiting from high self-sufficiency and significant profit elasticity due to rising tungsten prices. The company is positioned well in high-end manufacturing and military applications [1]. - **Xiamen Tungsten (600549)**: A comprehensive new materials leader with a strong presence in tungsten, rare earths, and lithium battery materials. The company is a major APT producer and benefits from dual market demand in tungsten and rare earths, with a clear long-term growth trajectory [2]. - **Zhangyuan Tungsten (002378)**: A private sector leader in the tungsten industry with a complete production system and high resource self-sufficiency. The company is well-positioned in high-end tungsten markets and is expected to see steady profit growth due to rising demand and supply constraints [3]. - **Xianglu Tungsten (002842)**: Focused on deep processing of tungsten, the company has a strong customer base and benefits from rising processing fees alongside tungsten prices. Future growth is expected through technological upgrades and high utilization rates [4]. - **Luoyang Molybdenum (603993)**: A global mining leader with significant tungsten operations, benefiting from high-quality overseas resources and a diversified metal portfolio. The company is expected to see profit growth as tungsten supply-demand dynamics improve [5]. - **Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals (600259)**: A state-owned enterprise with a focus on tungsten and rare earths, benefiting from dual price increases and strong resource integration capabilities. Future growth is anticipated through expanding resource reserves and high-end applications [6][7]. - **Hunan Gold (002155)**: A key mining platform in Hunan with a stable tungsten production and high resource self-sufficiency. The company benefits from rising prices across multiple metals, providing a unique advantage in the small metals sector [8]. - **Antai Technology (000969)**: A leader in high-end refractory metals, focusing on high-value tungsten products for semiconductor and aerospace applications. The company is expected to grow through increased domestic demand and technological advancements [9]. - **Jinmo Co., Ltd. (601958)**: A leading player in the molybdenum industry with significant tungsten operations, benefiting from low-cost resources and a complete production chain. The company is expected to see profit elasticity as tungsten prices rise [10]. - **Dongfang Tantalum (000962)**: A leader in rare metals with a strong tungsten processing capability, benefiting from stable demand in military and aerospace sectors. Future growth is expected from increasing domestic production of high-end tungsten products [11]. - **Xingye Mining (000426)**: A multi-metal mining company with significant tungsten resources, benefiting from price increases and a diversified portfolio that mitigates risks [12]. - **Zhuye Group (600961)**: A veteran in non-ferrous metal smelting with advantages in tungsten recycling and processing. The company is expected to see profit improvements through expanded processing capacity and technological upgrades [13]. - **Zhongkuang Resources (002738)**: A leader in lithium and rare metals with stable tungsten production, benefiting from price increases and a diversified business model [14]. - **Shengxin Lithium Energy (002240)**: A lithium leader with significant tungsten resources, providing stable profits and enhancing resilience against market fluctuations [15]. - **Huayou Cobalt (603799)**: A global leader in cobalt and lithium materials, with a strong tungsten business that supports overall profitability through market synergies [16]. - **Hanrui Cobalt (300618)**: Focused on cobalt and tungsten processing, benefiting from rising demand in high-end manufacturing and renewable energy sectors [17]. - **Xiamen Xinda (000701)**: Engaged in tungsten product trading and supply chain services, benefiting from price increases and a mature supply chain system [18]. - **Aluminum Corporation of China (601600)**: A leader in the non-ferrous sector with a focus on tungsten resource development, benefiting from market dynamics and resource value reassessment [19]. - **Tin Industry Co., Ltd. (000960)**: A global leader in tin with a strong tungsten portfolio, benefiting from price increases and a comprehensive multi-metal strategy [20]. - **Nanshan Aluminum (600219)**: A leading aluminum processor with a focus on tungsten-related materials, expected to grow through high-end manufacturing demand [21].
洛阳钼业涨2.93%,成交额57.45亿元,人气排名10位!后市是否有机会?附走势预测
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 07:44
Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is experiencing a positive market response, with a stock price increase of 2.93% and a trading volume of 5.745 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest and market activity [1]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is primarily engaged in the mining and processing of non-ferrous metals, including molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, and copper, and is recognized as one of the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer [3][4]. - The company has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain and is also the second-largest producer of cobalt and niobium globally, as well as a leading copper producer [3][4]. Production and Revenue Insights - The company holds an 80% stake in the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with gold production guidance for 2023 set to increase by 56% to 69% compared to 2022, projecting an output of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces [3]. - In 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum plans to complete the acquisition of the Odin Mining project in Ecuador, aiming for production by 2029 [3]. - The company reported a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, a decrease of 5.99% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [9]. Market Position and Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the company had 304,200 shareholders, reflecting an increase of 28.08% from the previous period [9]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holding 695 million shares, an increase of 47.472 million shares [9]. Financial Performance - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [9].
主力资金流入前20:北方稀土流入14.99亿元、格林美流入14.26亿元
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-11 07:17
Group 1 - The top 20 stocks with significant capital inflow as of February 11 include Northern Rare Earth (1.499 billion), Greeenmei (1.426 billion), and Zijin Mining (0.910 billion) [1] - Northern Rare Earth experienced a price increase of 5.02%, while Greeenmei saw a rise of 9.95% [2] - Other notable stocks with substantial inflows include Zai Sheng Technology (0.816 billion) and Zhongtung High-tech (0.736 billion), both showing a price increase of 10% [2][3] Group 2 - The sectors represented among the top inflow stocks include small metals, energy metals, and glass fiber [2] - Companies like Huayou Cobalt and Lianhua Holdings also reported significant inflows of 0.531 billion and 0.513 billion respectively, with price increases of 5.45% and 9.95% [2] - International Composite Materials led with a remarkable price increase of 20.04% alongside an inflow of 0.428 billion [3]