截至发稿，沈若雨累计任职时间5年12天，现任基金资产总规模85.48亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 115.76%， 任职期间最差基金回报-2.57%。 夏正安累计任职时间3年99天，现任基金资产总规模17.89亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报46.8%， 任职期 间最差基金回报30.42%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 数据显示，汇添富基金旗下1只基金重仓信科移动。汇添富创新活力混合A（002419）三季度持有股数 55.22万股，与上期相比持股数量不变，占基金净值比例为1.83%，位居第十大重仓股。根据测算，今日 浮盈赚取约48.59万元。 汇添富创新活力混合A（002419）成立日期2016年4月19日，最新规模1.31亿。今年以来收益7.9%，同 类排名2563/8843；近一年收益39.92%，同类排名2961/8096；成立以来收益140.97%。 汇添富创新活力混合A（002419）基金经理为沈若雨、夏正安。 1月22日，信科移动涨5.01%，截至 ...

Investment Rating - The communication industry is rated as "Cautiously Optimistic" with a focus on operators with sustained profit growth and enhanced network value, as well as companies benefiting from traffic growth and continuous technological innovation [5][37]. Core Insights - The communication sector showed a 0.77% increase from January 12 to January 16, 2026, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.34 percentage points, ranking 7th among 30 sectors [2][12]. - The report highlights the strategic significance of industrial internet platforms in reshaping the manufacturing system and enhancing supply chain resilience and security [3][33]. - The goal for industrial internet platforms by 2028 includes establishing over 450 high-quality platforms, connecting 120 million devices, and achieving a penetration rate exceeding 55% [4][34]. Summary by Sections Communication Industry Market Review - The communication sector's cumulative increase for 2026 is 2.39%, ranking 16th among the primary sectors [2][12]. - The sector includes 119 listed companies, with 54 experiencing price increases and 64 seeing declines during the review period [13]. - The TTM PE ratio for the communication sector is 26.95, positioned at the 37.25 percentile [14]. Industry News - A new satellite constellation plan has been submitted to the ITU, proposing nearly 200,000 satellites, significantly surpassing existing projects [17][18]. - The industrial internet platform development action plan aims to enhance the quality and application of platforms, marking a shift from merely building platforms to strengthening and utilizing them [3][34]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining a cautiously optimistic stance, focusing on operators with ongoing profit growth, companies benefiting from traffic and computing network growth, and those with strong core competitiveness through continuous innovation [5][37].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the commercial aerospace industry [1] Core Insights - The aerospace sector is transitioning from being viewed as a "cost center" driven by national will to a "growth engine" driven by commercial demand, with significant investments and strategic planning from both the US and China [6][9] - The global aerospace economy is projected to reach $613 billion in 2024, with commercial aerospace contributing 78%, and is expected to exceed $1 trillion by 2032 [6][9] - The value chain of commercial aerospace is divided into five core levels: "space, ground, terminal, rocket, and application," each presenting unique market opportunities and technical challenges from 2026 to 2030 [10][29] Summary by Sections 1. Space: Satellite Manufacturing - The satellite manufacturing market in China is expected to grow from approximately 7.1 billion yuan in 2025 to about 39.4 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a shift from sporadic research models to continuous, batch engineering deliveries [16][18] 2. Ground: Ground Systems - The ground systems market is projected to increase from around 1.2 billion yuan in 2025 to approximately 39.1 billion yuan by 2030, evolving from a supporting role to a core infrastructure essential for stable satellite constellation operations [21][22] 3. Terminal: Key Variable for Commercial Aerospace - The terminal market is anticipated to grow from 500 million yuan in 2025 to about 141.9 billion yuan by 2030, driven by multiple vertical industries and potential consumer scenarios [23][24] 4. Rocket: Core Constraint - The cost of rocket launches is a critical constraint, with reusable technology expected to reduce costs by 80%-90% compared to traditional expendable rockets. The market for rocket launch services is projected to grow from approximately 10.7 billion yuan in 2025 to about 34.3 billion yuan by 2030 [25][26] 5. Application: Final Value Realization - The application market is expected to expand from 200 million yuan in 2025 to 525 billion yuan by 2030, with the revenue share from applications projected to rise from single digits to over 67% by around 2030 [27][28] 6. Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities in commercial aerospace can be categorized into three main tracks: 1. Launch and manufacturing segments, which are expected to benefit directly from increased orders and visibility 2. Core components and systems, characterized by high technical barriers and critical for long-term competitiveness 3. Downstream applications and operational services, which, while currently limited in scale, hold the greatest long-term potential for value realization [29][30]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that 信科移动 (China Communications Technology Co., Ltd.) has seen a stock price increase of 5.61%, reaching 18.45 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 63.076 billion CNY as of January 21 [1] - The company, established on December 29, 1998, and listed on September 26, 2022, is a state-owned high-tech enterprise engaged in mobile communication international standard formulation, core technology research and development, and industrialization [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes: integrated mobile communication services (35.01%), system equipment (21.44%), industry-specific network equipment and others (16.24%), antenna feeder equipment (14.09%), indoor distribution equipment (6.58%), mobile communication network operation and maintenance services (5.84%), and other supplementary services (0.80%) [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, one fund under 广发基金 (Guotai Junan Fund) has 信科移动 as its top holding, with 49,100 shares representing 0.88% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund, 广发智选启航混合A (023761), has a total scale of 22.3787 million CNY and has achieved a year-to-date return of 7.77%, ranking 1834 out of 8844 in its category [2] - The fund manager, 李育鑫 (Li Yuxin), has been in position for 2 years and 92 days, with the fund's total asset scale at 3.793 billion CNY, achieving a best return of 127.94% and a worst return of 11.59% during his tenure [3]

Market Overview - The communication equipment sector experienced a decline of 3.62% on January 20, with Tongyu Communication leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers included: - Dingxin Communication (603421) with a closing price of 7.92, up 10.00% on a trading volume of 367,100 shares and a turnover of 287 million [1] - Weisheng Information (688100) closed at 46.16, up 7.15% with a trading volume of 128,400 shares and a turnover of 598 million [1] - Major decliners included: - Tongyu Communication (002792) closed at 46.14, down 10.01% with a trading volume of 656,100 shares and a turnover of 3.158 billion [2] - Datang Telecom (600198) closed at 10.64, down 9.98% with a trading volume of 898,800 shares and a turnover of 971 million [2] Capital Flow - The communication equipment sector saw a net outflow of 12.802 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net inflow of 8.096 billion [2] - The sector's overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors pulling back while retail investors increased their positions [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Hengtong Optic (600487) had a net inflow of 338 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 304 million [3] - Longfly Fiber (601869) experienced a net inflow of 132 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 161 million from retail investors [3] - Dingxin Communication (603421) had a significant net inflow of 106 million from institutional investors, while retail investors faced a net outflow of 568 million [3]

中金公司研究部 信科移动 688387.SH 自主通信体系领军者，天地一体布局再启 征程 刘中玉 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080521060003 SFC CE Ref：BSP722 zhongyu.liu@cicc.com.cn 刘婧 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080523070005 jing7.liu@cicc.com.cn 李舜尧 分析员 SAC 执证编号：S0080525090005 shunyao.li@cicc.com.cn 2026-01-12 0 投资亮点 1 ✓ 深耕通信行业二十八载，天地一体布局推动成长。 ✓ 信科移动是中国信息通信科技集团有限公司下属核心企业，由大唐移动通信设备有限公司和武汉虹信通信技 术有限责任公司联合重组而成，是以5G为代表的全球移动通信领域自主创新领军企业，是5G技术、标准、 产业引领发展的重要贡献者，也是全球5G无线移动通信产业的核心推动力量。 | 肩负使命 | 蓬勃发展 | 跨越升级 | 全新启航 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1998~2008 | 2009~2014 | 2015~2020 | 2021至今 | | ...

Economic Information - Several smartphone manufacturers, including Xiaomi, OPPO, vivo, and Transsion, have lowered their annual shipment forecasts, with Xiaomi and OPPO reducing by over 20%, vivo by nearly 15%, and Transsion to below 70 million units [2] - Silver prices have surged over 50% in one month and over 150% in six months, impacting the photovoltaic industry, which consumes a significant amount of silver. The cost of raw materials for solar cells has increased by nearly 20% due to rising silver prices [2] - The company Xibei is expected to incur cumulative losses exceeding 600 million yuan from September 2025 to March 2026, leading to the closure of 102 stores, accounting for 30% of its total outlets [2] Company Alerts - Shenghong Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 260%-295% year-on-year for 2025, although Q4 performance fell short of expectations [4] - Cambridge Technology expects a net profit increase of 51%-67% year-on-year for 2025, with Q4 results also below expectations [4] - Multiple companies, including Weimait and Youyan Silicon, have announced plans to reduce their shareholdings by up to 4.98% and 3% respectively [4][11] Overseas Alerts - The three major U.S. stock indices collectively declined last Friday, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index dropping by 1.15%. Notable declines were seen in Chinese stocks such as Alibaba and JD.com [5] - The European Union is considering imposing tariffs on U.S. goods worth 93 billion euros in response to U.S. tariffs on eight European countries, which could take effect on February 6 if no agreement is reached [5]

证券之星消息，1月16日通信设备板块较上一交易日上涨0.03%，信科移动领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4101.91，下跌0.26%。深证成指报收于14281.08，下跌0.18%。通信设备板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 688387 | 信科移动 | 19.81 | 11.54% | 212.61万 | | 41.20亿 | | 002796 | 世嘉科技 | 43.45 | 10.00% | 24.03万 | | 10.17亿 | | 600198 | 大唐电信 | 12.13 | 9.97% | 122.19万 | | 13.96 Z | | 301307 | 美利信 | 37.49 | 9.75% | 17.52万 | | 6.30亿 | | 300555 | ST路通 | 16.02 | 7.30% | 6.02万 | | 9365.40万 | | 301205 | 联特科技 | 209.44 | 6.31% | 13.49万 | | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a strong rebound in AI computing hardware, with significant gains in related stocks and a forecasted explosive growth in AI server shipments by 2026 [1] - Goldman Sachs' analyst team predicts that the penetration rate of ASIC chips will rise to 40%, leading to a more than double year-on-year increase in shipments of 800G/1.6T optical modules [1] - The acceleration of ASIC chip penetration is expected to drive the AI server and optical communication industries towards a trillion-dollar market [1] Group 2 - In the consumer electronics sector, Apple's upcoming foldable iPhone is anticipated to be a strong catalyst for the smartphone market, while the PC market continues to face significant challenges [1] - Goldman Sachs emphasizes that demand for AI-related technologies and high-end hardware will continue to drive revenue growth in China's semiconductor, optical communication, and PCB industries [1] - Emerging sectors such as smart driving, AI software, and low-orbit satellites are accelerating their implementation due to policy and technological breakthroughs, providing diversified investment opportunities [1] Group 3 - The communication ETF Huaxia (515050) tracks the CSI 5G communication theme index, focusing on electronic (chips, PCBs, consumer electronics) and communication (optical modules, servers) computing hardware [1] - The top five holdings in the ETF include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Luxshare Precision, Industrial Fulian, and Zhaoyi Innovation [1]

Group 1 - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a resurgence, with the satellite industry ETF (159218) rising by 3.31% as of January 16, indicating strong market interest [1] - Key component stocks such as Xinke Mobile-U, Zhenlei Technology, Xunwei Communication, and Zhongke Star Map have shown significant gains, contributing to the overall performance of the ETF [1] - The trading volume for the ETF reached approximately 730 million, with average trading volumes over the past 20, 10, and 5 days being 810 million, 1.27 billion, and 1.72 billion respectively, indicating increasing trading momentum [1] Group 2 - According to Kaiyuan Securities, low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite constellations have become a new battleground for major countries in space competition, with the satellite industry market potentially reaching trillions in scale [2] - The low Earth orbit satellite market is expected to exhibit significant growth potential over the next decade, driven by competition for frequency resources [2] - The pressure from the competition for low Earth orbit satellite resources is likely to accelerate the entire satellite industry's transition from an "investment incubation period" to a "profit realization period" [2]