证券研究报告|行业动态报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 14 日 本周伴随美联储降息与 H200 解禁，短期宏观及政策对 AI 影响 减弱，伴随博通、甲骨文业绩披露，美股对 AI 算力估值存在 分歧。当前时点，面临全球地缘政治冲突、中美科技博弈、海 外对 AI 投资的疑问，预计市场仍将保持震荡，板块建议相对 谨慎，中性配置。中长期仍坚定看好 AI 国产算力及光模块等 相关设备商、6G 产业趋势、国产替代、自主可控以及军工等 产业趋势及行业成长，从而催化包括国产算力、光网升级、算 力租赁、卫星通信、通信军工以及 6G 等市场机会。 [Table_Title] 星网批量化组网加速，看好 AI+卫星长线成长 [Table_Title2] 通信行业 [Table_Summary] 1、星网批量化组网加速 北京时间 12 月 9 日和 12 月 12 日，卫星互联网低轨 15 组和 16 组卫星分别成功发射，自 2024 年 12 月 01 组卫星发射以来，截 止到目前在轨卫星数达到 127 颗。卫星发射频次显著加快。 我们认为，星网星座连续发射标志批量化组网进入高效阶段，伴 随国内星座加速发射， ...

通信 2025 年 12 月 14 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% 0% 24% 48% 72% 96% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 通信 沪深300 相关研究报告 《国内 AIDC 需求或加速回暖—行业 点评报告》-2025.12.9 《"H200 芯片或放开"下的投资机会 梳理—行业点评报告》-2025.12.9 《"AI+卫星"的共振—行业周报》- 2025.12.7 GPT5.2 发布， "AI+卫星"为核心主线 ——行业周报 | 蒋颖（分析师） | 陈光毅（联系人） | 雷星宇（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | jiangying@kysec.cn | chenguangyi@kysec.cn | leixingyu@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790523120003 | 证书编号：S0790124020006 | 证书编号：S0790124040002 | OpenAI 发布最新模型 GPT-5.2，赶超人类专家 12 月 11 日，GPT5.2 在 ChatGPT 上线并推出 Instant、Thinki ...

Core Viewpoint - The satellite ETF (159206) has seen significant growth, with a 2.53% increase and notable performance from constituent stocks, indicating a strong interest in the commercial space and satellite communication sectors [3][6]. Fund Performance - The satellite ETF has experienced continuous net inflows over the past week, with a peak single-day net inflow of 72.09 million yuan, totaling 175 million yuan in net inflows, averaging 25.01 million yuan per day [3]. Stock Performance - Key stocks within the satellite ETF include: - Aerospace Hongtu (688066) up 10.81% at 27.79 yuan - Zhenlei Technology (688270) up 8.56% at 67.22 yuan - Aerospace Electronics (600879) up 7.57% at 11.79 yuan - Other notable stocks include Zhongke Xingtou, Guoguang Electric, and China Satellite, all showing positive growth [4]. Industry Developments - On November 2, NVIDIA launched the first H100 GPU into space, establishing the first orbital data center, which utilizes solar energy and reduces carbon emissions by 90%, addressing resource shortages on Earth [5]. - Elon Musk stated that the advent of the Starship opens pathways for large-scale deployment of solar-powered AI satellites, aiming for an annual deployment of 1 terawatt of AI computing power [5]. - By May 2025, China plans to initiate the networking phase of its first space computing satellite constellation, with a goal of launching at least 100 satellites by 2026 and a total of no less than 1,000 satellites by 2030 [5]. Market Outlook - Huaxi Securities believes that the low-cost, resource-rich, and expansive nature of space computing presents a stable long-term profit model for commercial aerospace, transitioning from "ground-based computing" to "space-based computing" [5]. - The satellite ETF focuses on commercial aerospace and satellite communication, particularly favoring satellite manufacturing, which is expected to thrive under the "strong aerospace nation" backdrop [6][7].

Industry Insights - The "Three-body Computing Constellation" is a large-scale space computing infrastructure consisting of 2800 satellites and over 100 ground computing centers, aiming to create an integrated space-ground computing network by 2025 [2] - The total computing power of the constellation is expected to reach 1000 POPS (one quintillion operations per second), significantly enhancing data processing efficiency in space [1] - The current global AI + satellite industry is experiencing rapid development, with strategic significance in overcoming traditional data processing limitations [2] Company Developments - Kaipu Cloud is collaborating with Guoxing Aerospace on the "Star Computing Plan" to jointly develop key technologies in the space computing field [3] - Putian Technology is accelerating the development of low-orbit satellite communication products and launching proprietary products aimed at satellite terminals [3]