2025.09.02 从行业分布来看，社保基金此次新进和增持的个股主要集中在生物医药、计算机、电子等热门赛道，也 恰恰是国家战略支持的重点方向，也是经济转型升级的关键领域。这一投资动向引起了市场广泛关注。 作为具备长期稳定盈利能力的社保基金，其每一步调仓都蕴含着深层的战略思考。那么，社保基金大幅 增持科技股背后，究竟有着怎样的逻辑？ 偏爱医药、计算机 社保基金素以"稳健"著称，其投资风格一向谨慎，注重价值投资和长期回报。近年来，这一稳健投资者 加大了对科技创新企业的布局力度。 截至二季度末，社保基金持有77家科创板上市公司股票，主要集中在电子、生物医药、机械设备、计算 机四大行业，分别有20家、13家、10家、11家公司。 持股数量方面，社保基金持股达到且超过1000万股的共有7只，持有传音控股（688036.SH）3826.4万 股，位居第一，其次为西部超导（688122.SH），为2058.1万股；持有珠海冠宇（688772.SH）、铁建重 工（688425.SH）、中科星图（688568.SH）、三一重能（688349.SH）、聚合材料（688503.SH）的股 份数量也超过1000万股。 从社保基金的 ...

Core Insights - The social security fund has newly invested in 19 stocks in the second quarter, focusing on high-performing sectors such as biomedicine, computers, and electronics, which are aligned with national strategic priorities and economic transformation [1][5] Investment Trends - As of the end of the second quarter, the social security fund held 77 stocks in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with a total holding of 337 million shares valued at 15.37 billion yuan, having newly entered 19 stocks and increased holdings in 28 stocks [1][2] - The fund's investment style is characterized by a cautious approach, emphasizing value investment and long-term returns, with a notable increase in allocations to technology innovation companies [1][2] Sector Focus - The fund's holdings are primarily concentrated in four sectors: electronics (20 companies), biomedicine (13 companies), machinery (10 companies), and computers (11 companies) [1] - In terms of stock count, the fund's top holdings include 7 stocks with over 10 million shares, with Transsion Holdings (382.64 million shares) leading, followed by Western Superconducting (205.81 million shares) [2] Performance Metrics - The newly added 19 stocks showed median year-on-year growth rates of 25.7% in revenue and 28.14% in net profit, significantly outperforming the overall market [6] - The fund's focus on biomedicine is evident, with 4 new investments in this sector, alongside 2 each in electronics, military, communications, and computers [6] Notable Stock Movements - The fund increased its holdings in several key stocks, including a significant increase of 6.37 million shares in Transsion Holdings, marking the largest single stock increase for the quarter [3][4] - Other notable increases include 5 stocks in the biomedicine sector and 4 in the computer sector, with specific increases exceeding 1 million shares [4][5] Reduction in Holdings - In the second quarter, 38 stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board were reduced in holdings by the social security fund, with 24 of these seeing reductions of over 1 million shares [8] - Some stocks that were reduced have since experienced significant price increases, indicating a potential misalignment in the fund's timing of trades [8]

Core Insights - On September 1, 2023, brokerage firms provided target prices for listed companies, with significant increases noted for Zhuhai Gree, Anhui Energy, and Fulian Precision, showing target price increases of 54.55%, 42.86%, and 40.28% respectively, all within the battery and power sectors [1]. Group 1: Target Price Increases - Zhuhai Gree (688772) received a target price of 34.00 yuan, reflecting a 54.55% increase [2]. - Anhui Energy (000543) has a target price of 10.30 yuan, indicating a 42.86% increase [2]. - Fulian Precision (300432) was assigned a target price of 21.00 yuan, showing a 40.28% increase [2]. Group 2: Additional Companies with Notable Increases - Double Star New Materials (002585) has a target price of 7.80 yuan, with a 39.78% increase [3]. - Zhonglun New Materials (301565) received a target price of 33.00 yuan, reflecting a 38.36% increase [3]. - Jack Shares (603337) has a target price of 66.00 yuan, indicating a 37.47% increase [3]. Group 3: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 39 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on September 1, 2023, with Double Star New Materials, China National Freight, and Postal Savings Bank each receiving one recommendation [3]. - Zhonglun New Materials was given a "Buy" rating in its first coverage by Citic Securities [3].

Macro and Strategy - The report discusses the internal tension between investment and consumption in China's economy, highlighting that the concentration of capital income among high-income groups leads to a low marginal propensity to consume, which is a primary source of investment [10][11] - It emphasizes that the imbalance between capital income and consumption demand has resulted in a continuous rise in China's capital-output ratio and a decline in capital return rates, making investment-driven growth unsustainable [10][11] Industry and Company - The automotive industry saw a 12% year-on-year increase in wholesale sales of passenger vehicles from August 1 to 24, 2025, with the collaboration between Huawei and SAIC for the H5 model opening for pre-orders [14][15] - The media and internet sector reported a 2.99% increase in industry performance, with OpenAI launching the GPT-Realtime voice model and the summer box office surpassing 11.8 billion yuan [18][21] - The public utility and environmental protection sector is focusing on the ongoing construction of a national carbon market, which is expected to drive urban green and low-carbon transformation [22][23] - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing a price increase in mainstream refrigerants, with R32 and R134a expected to see stable price growth due to limited supply and strong demand [25][29] - Yili Group reported a 5.9% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q2 2025, with improvements in profitability driven by a decrease in raw milk prices and better cost management [31][33] - Huadian International's revenue decreased by 8.98% in H1 2025 due to lower electricity prices and generation, but net profit increased by 13.15% due to reduced fuel costs [34]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [4][2]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in its performance, particularly in the consumer battery segment, with laptop battery sales increasing by 6.93% year-on-year and mobile phone battery sales rising by 43.28% due to market share gains and client strategy adjustments [1]. - The company's subsidiary, Zhejiang Guanyu, reported a total revenue of 973 million yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 139.8%, with automotive low-voltage lithium batteries and industry drone batteries accounting for 85.76% of the revenue [1]. - The company is actively engaging in the humanoid robot sector, collaborating on multiple projects and providing samples to leading manufacturers, with some already having deep cooperation in low-voltage lithium batteries [1]. Financial Summary - The company's projected net profit for 2025 has been revised down to 570 million yuan from a previous estimate of 800 million yuan due to underestimated R&D expenses [2]. - Revenue forecasts for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 13.85 billion yuan, 16.07 billion yuan, and 18.31 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 20%, 16%, and 14% [3]. - The projected net profit for 2026 and 2027 is 1.0 billion yuan and 1.42 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 82.4% and 36.5% [3]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company's total revenue for 2023 is estimated at 11.45 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 4.29% [3]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.50 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 43.70 [3]. - The company's total assets are projected to reach 23.02 billion yuan by 2025, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 66.56% [9].

财报季，社保基金持股动向曝光！二季度末社保基金共现身79只个股前十大流通股东榜，新进20只，增持21 只。 证券时报•数据宝统计显示，社保基金最新出现在79只科创板股前十大流通股东名单中，合计持股量3.40亿股， 期末持股市值合计154.70亿元。持股变动显示，新进20只，增持21只，减持20只，18只股持股量保持不变。新进股 中，益方生物、金盘科技、新致软件等持股量居前。 社保基金持有科创板股中，从前十大流通股东名单中社保基金家数来看，社保基金家数最多的是合合信息，共 有4家社保基金出现在前十大流通股东名单中，即汇添富基金管理股份有限公司-社保基金17022组合、全国社保基 金一一一组合、全国社保基金四一一组合、全国社保基金一一零组合，分别位列公司第二大、第五大、第八大、第 十大流通股东，持股量合计为195.87万股，占流通股比例为7.00%。 从持股比例看，社保基金持有比例最多的是安达智能，持股量占流通股比例为11.90%，其次是合合信息，社保 基金持股比例为7.00%，持股比例居前的还有聚和材料、三一重能、南微医学等。持股数量方面，社保基金持股数 量在1000万股以上的共有7只，社保基金持股量最多的是传 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the target price increases for certain listed companies, with significant growth percentages noted for Zhuhai Guanyu, Anhui Energy, and Fulian Precision, which are in the battery and power sectors [1] - On September 1, a total of 37 target price adjustments were made by brokerages, with the highest target price increases being 54.55% for Zhuhai Guanyu, 42.86% for Anhui Energy, and 40.28% for Fulian Precision [1] - A total of 39 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on September 1, with notable mentions including Shuangxing New Materials, China National Foreign Trade, and Postal Savings Bank, each receiving one recommendation [1] Group 2 - On September 1, there was one instance of initial coverage by brokerages, where Zhonglun New Materials received a "Buy" rating from CITIC Securities [1]

Group 1 - The company Zhuhai Guanyu (688772.SH) announced a share buyback program, having repurchased a total of 3,634,391 shares, which represents 0.32% of its total share capital [1] - The highest price paid for the repurchased shares was 12.89 CNY per share, while the lowest price was 11.92 CNY per share [1] - The total amount spent on the share buyback was 44,885,154.07 CNY, excluding transaction fees [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zhuhai Guanyu (688772.SH) is "Outperform the Market" [6][19]. Core Views - The company is experiencing accelerated performance release, with a new technology cycle positioning it as a leading consumer battery enterprise. In H1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 117 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%, and revenue of 6.098 billion yuan, also up 14% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company's consumer battery sales are steadily growing, maintaining its industry-leading position. In H1 2025, the estimated sales volume of consumer batteries reached approximately 200 million units, a year-on-year increase of over 17% [2][15]. - The company is focusing on high-rate scenarios in its dynamic storage battery segment, with revenue from its subsidiary Zhejiang Guanyu reaching 973 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 140% [3][17]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 6.098 billion yuan, a 14% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 117 million yuan, also up 15% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue reached 3.599 billion yuan, a 29% year-on-year increase and a 44% quarter-on-quarter increase, with a net profit of 141 million yuan, marking a 53% year-on-year increase [1][9]. - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 24.65%, up 3.27 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, while the net margin was 3.47%, up 5.73 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1][9]. Sales and Market Position - The company estimates that in H1 2025, consumer battery sales reached approximately 200 million units, with year-on-year growth rates of 7% for laptop batteries, 43% for mobile phone batteries, and 80% for other consumer batteries [2][15]. - The self-supply ratio of consumer battery cells reached 44.43%, an increase of 3.68 percentage points year-on-year [2][15]. Technological Advancements - The company is set to launch steel-shell battery products in H2 2025, which are expected to double in price compared to traditional soft-pack batteries, potentially driving revenue and profit growth [2][16]. - The company has established a solid-state lithium battery experimental line, providing a core platform for future technological breakthroughs [2][16]. Dynamic Storage Battery Segment - The dynamic storage battery segment is focusing on high-rate applications, with revenue from Zhejiang Guanyu reaching 973 million yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 140% [3][17]. - The company has secured significant partnerships with major automotive manufacturers for low-voltage batteries and has seen over 200% year-on-year growth in drone battery revenue [3][17]. Profit Forecast Adjustments - The profit forecast has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 610 million yuan, 1.401 billion yuan, and 1.808 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 42%, 130%, and 29% [4][19].

| 证券代码：688772 | 证券简称：珠海冠宇 | 公告编号：2025-079 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：118024 | 转债简称：冠宇转债 | | 珠海冠宇电池股份有限公司 关于第二期以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份的进展 公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 二、回购股份的进展情况 根据《上市公司股份回购规则》《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 7 号——回购股份》等相关规定，现将公司回购股份的进展情况公告如下： 截至 2025 年 8 月 31 日，公司通过上海证券交易所交易系统以集中竞价交易 方式累计回购公司股份 3,634,391 股，占公司总股本的 0.32%，回购成交的最高价 为 12.89 元/股，最低价为 11.92 元/股，支付的资金总额为人民币 44,885,154.07 元 （不含交易费用）。 上述回购股份事项符合法律法规的规定及公司的回购股份方案。 三、其他事项 公司将严格按照《上市公司股份回购规则》《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监 ...