Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the defense and military industry but highlights a positive outlook for long-term growth potential [4]. Core Insights - The defense and military industry is expected to experience a recovery in demand as the "14th Five-Year Plan" approaches its final year, with a clear directive for modernization by 2035 and a world-class military by 2050 [4]. - The report emphasizes the significant impact of AI technology on military equipment and decision-making, showcasing its transformative value in modern warfare, particularly highlighted by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict [2][39]. - The report identifies specific investment opportunities in the military sector, particularly in AI applications, low-altitude economy developments, and the upcoming commissioning of the Fujian aircraft carrier [3][38]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The defense and military index rose by 0.08% last week, ranking 6th among 31 primary industries, while the overall market indices declined [2][13]. - The current PE (TTM) for the defense and military sector is 84.92, with sub-sectors showing varied valuations, such as aerospace equipment at 146.02 and ground armaments at 189.72 [2][21]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in downstream manufacturing, military technology, underwater equipment, missile supply chains, titanium materials, electronic components, and laser weapons [4]. - Specific companies highlighted include Hongdu Aviation, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, and Reicoh Laser among others [4]. Industry Dynamics - The report discusses the emergence of low-altitude economy opportunities, driven by recent policy initiatives and technological advancements in drone logistics and infrastructure [3][32][37]. - The military AI sector is identified as a core growth driver, with expectations for a surge in orders for AI-enabled equipment by 2025 [40].

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military industry sector is experiencing fluctuations, with the ETF (512810) showing signs of strong buying interest despite recent volatility [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On August 1, the defense and military ETF (512810) initially dropped by 2% but later rebounded, currently down by 1.31% [1]. - The ETF has seen a continuous net subscription of 99.35 million yuan over the past four trading days, indicating strong buying momentum [1]. - The ETF is currently trading at a price of 0.678, with a trading volume of 759 [2]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The defense and military sector is believed to be in a state with significant upward potential and limited downside risk, according to Zhonghang Securities [3]. - The sector is expected to benefit from several catalysts, including the military's "14th Five-Year Plan" entering a critical delivery phase, potential breakthroughs in military trade, and a rebound in net profits for some military stocks [5]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The ETF (512810) covers a wide range of themes, including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion [6]. - The investment threshold for the ETF has been halved due to a share split in June, making it more accessible for investors [7].

证券之星消息，7月31日地面兵装板块较上一交易日上涨3.1%，北方长龙领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3573.21，下跌1.18%。深证成指报收于11009.77，下跌1.73%。地面兵装板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301357 | 北方长龙 | 102.95 | 17.22% | 15.74万 | | 14.82亿 | | 601606 | 长城军工 | 34.68 | 9.99% | 148.93万 | | 49.65 Z | | 600184 | 光电股份 | 20.95 | 6.56% | 50.88万 | | 10.60亿 | | 300875 | 捷强装备 | 46.01 | 5.05% | 14.82万 | | 6.67亿 | | 600967 | 内蒙一机 | 21.29 | 3.00% | 117.46万 | | 24.65 Z | | 600435 | 北方导航 | 17.88 | 2.82% | 147.27万 | | ...

Group 1 - The company's stock price on July 30 was 21.92 yuan, down 0.50 yuan or 2.23% from the previous trading day [1] - The opening price for the day was 22.43 yuan, with a high of 22.98 yuan and a low of 21.50 yuan, and the trading volume reached 959,900 hands with a total transaction amount of 2.137 billion yuan [1] - The company expects a net loss attributable to shareholders of 30 million to 58 million yuan for the first half of the year, primarily due to a sluggish market in the superhard materials segment and impacts from product delivery changes and pricing policies in the special equipment segment [1] Group 2 - The company plans to improve its operational situation through optimizing its industrial layout and increasing R&D investment [1] - On July 30, there was a net outflow of 190 million yuan in main funds [1] - The company engaged in discussions with multiple institutions regarding its operational status and future development plans [1]

Report Summary 1. Reported Industry Investment Rating - No information provided on the industry investment rating [1][2] 2. Core Viewpoints - The company's net profit attributable to the parent in the first half of the year is expected to be a loss of 30 million - 58 million yuan due to the low - point market of the super - hard materials sector and the impact on the special equipment sector [22] - The price of industrial diamonds in 2025 is on a downward trend with stability in the second half, while the market demand for cultivated diamonds is on the rise [23] - The gross profit margin of industrial diamonds is expected to continue to decline, and that of cultivated diamonds will fluctuate slightly [23] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Research Basic Situation - Research object: Zhongbing Red Arrow, belonging to the special equipment industry [17] - Reception time: July 30, 2025 - Company reception personnel: Zhao Deliang (CFO and Secretary of the Board), Zhou Ying (Deputy Minister of the Securities Affairs Department), Zhang Yi (Securities Affairs Department) [17] 3.2 Detailed Research Institutions | Reception Object | Reception Object Type | Institution - related Personnel | | --- | --- | --- | | Changjiang Securities | Securities company | Zhang Chenchen | | GF Securities | Securities company | Qiu Jingbo | | Xinyuan Fund | Fund management company | Fei Fan, Liu Yitao | [18] 3.3 Main Content Data - **Half - year report situation**: The company's net profit attributable to the parent in the first half of the year is expected to be a loss of 30 million - 58 million yuan, mainly due to the low - point market of the super - hard materials sector and the impact on the special equipment sector [22] - **Measures to achieve business goals**: The company and its subsidiaries will optimize the industrial layout, increase R & D investment, expand the market, and reduce costs and increase efficiency [22] - **Gross profit margin of special business**: The overall gross profit margin of special business has increased in recent years [22] - **Military trade business**: The company conducts military trade through third - parties and will improve the management system, actively cooperate with third - parties, and increase export efforts [23] - **Price and demand of industrial diamonds and cultivated diamonds in 2025**: The price of industrial diamonds is on a downward trend with stability in the second half, and the demand is weakening; the market demand for cultivated diamonds is on the rise [23] - **Future gross profit margin of industrial diamonds and cultivated diamonds**: The current gross profit margin is between 10% - 20%. The gross profit margin of industrial diamonds is expected to decline, and that of cultivated diamonds will fluctuate slightly [23]

Group 1: Financial Performance - The company expects a net profit loss of 30 million to 58 million yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to a prolonged low market state in the superhard materials sector and decreased profits in the special equipment sector [1] - The main reasons for the profit decline include intense industry competition and insufficient demand in downstream product sectors [1] Group 2: Strategic Measures - The company plans to improve its operational status through various strategies, including optimizing industrial layout, increasing R&D investment, expanding market reach, and enhancing cost efficiency [2] - The company aims to enhance its military trade management system and increase export efforts in the international market [2] Group 3: Market Outlook - The price trend for industrial diamonds is expected to decline in 2025 due to weakened downstream demand and increased supply, with the first half of the year already reaching a low point [2] - The cultivated diamond market is showing signs of steady recovery in demand [2] Group 4: Profitability Indicators - The gross profit margin for industrial diamonds and cultivated diamonds currently ranges between 10% and 20% [2] - Although production costs are decreasing, the gross profit margin for industrial diamonds is expected to continue declining, while the margin for cultivated diamonds may fluctuate slightly [2]

Group 1 - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) showed a slight increase of 0.25% with a trading volume exceeding 520 million yuan, indicating active market interest in the military industry sector [1] - The ETF has seen a net subscription of 10 million shares in real-time, with a net inflow of over 4.7 million yuan yesterday, reflecting strong investor confidence [1] - The current circulating scale of the aerospace ETF is 415 million yuan, with a total of 351 million shares, and a year-to-date share growth rate of 84.61%, the highest among similar products [1] Group 2 - The China Public Bidding Service Platform announced a tender for rocket launch services for 2025, with a total of 7 launches and 94 satellites, amounting to 1.336 billion yuan [2] - The tender is part of the second round of bidding for Shanghai Yuanxin Satellite Technology Co., indicating a significant acceleration in the construction of the Qianfan constellation [2] - Analysts suggest that the participation of multiple private rocket companies in the bidding could enhance network capacity and expedite satellite constellation development [2]

Core Insights - The superhard materials industry is crucial for modern manufacturing, involving the research, production, and application of synthetic diamonds and cubic boron nitride (CBN) [1][3] - China's superhard materials industry has evolved from breaking technological barriers to dominating the mid-to-low-end market, with industrial diamond production accounting for over 95% of global output in 2023 [1][4] - The industry is strategically important for national high-end manufacturing and technology independence, with goals set for 2025 to maintain a 95% global production share of basic materials and achieve over 30% localization of high-end products [3][4] Industry Development - The superhard materials industry in China has formed a closed-loop ecosystem from upstream domestic substitution to midstream monopoly and downstream application explosion [4] - Upstream: High-purity graphite and catalyst agents are supplied at scale, with 100% localization of six-sided press machines, while semiconductor-grade CVD equipment remains reliant on imports [4] - Midstream: China has achieved a global monopoly in industrial diamonds, cultivated diamonds, and cutting tools, with cultivated diamonds expected to penetrate new markets worth hundreds of billions by 2025 [4] - Downstream: Applications have expanded from traditional machining to high-end fields like semiconductor wafer cutting and quantum computing [4] Government Support and Market Dynamics - Local governments are prioritizing the superhard materials industry for investment attraction, offering incentives, land resources, and establishing industrial parks [5] - Collaboration with universities and research institutions is emphasized to promote integrated development and provide technical support [5] - The industry has seen the emergence of competitive leading enterprises, supported by favorable policies and market dynamics [5] Key Enterprises - Notable companies in the superhard materials sector include: - Zhongbing Hongjian Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of 139,255.89 million RMB, focusing on smart ammunition and superhard materials technology [9][11] - Henan Huanghe Whirlwind Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of 144,218.45 million RMB, recognized for its technological innovation [5] - Henan Sifangda Superhard Materials Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of 48,590.883 million RMB, known for its industry standards [5] Challenges and Future Outlook - Despite its global dominance, the industry faces structural challenges, including a low capacity utilization rate of 60% and a talent gap exceeding 30,000 in high-end fields [13][15] - The reliance on imports for core equipment, particularly in semiconductor-grade CVD technology, is a critical issue that needs addressing [15] - Initiatives are underway to establish talent training bases and enhance domestic production capabilities, aiming for a 30% localization rate in high-end CVD equipment by 2025 [15]

Core Viewpoint - The military industry has shown a downward trend since the second half of 2024, primarily driven by valuation factors. The defense and military index rose by 37.24% from September 24, 2024, to July 21, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which increased by 27.17% during the same period [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The military sector has experienced heightened activity in themes such as low-altitude economy, large aircraft, and military intelligence, driven by ongoing geopolitical conflicts [1]. - The performance of military-related funds has also improved, with the Fangzheng Fubon Core Advantage Mixed Fund heavily investing in core enterprises within the military industry chain [1]. Group 2: Fund Holdings - The top ten holdings of the Fangzheng Fubon Core Advantage Mixed Fund include companies like Zhong无人机 (8.95%), 中航沈飞 (7.97%), and 中航成飞 (7.94%), all within the aerospace sector, reflecting a focus on the military supply chain [2]. - New additions to the fund's holdings include 中兵红箭 (7.34%) and 北方导航 (7.26%), with significant year-to-date price increases of 51.49% and 60.01%, respectively [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The fund manager believes that the military sector holds explosive growth opportunities, especially with the upcoming military parade on September 3 potentially boosting military stocks [3]. - The military industry is expected to see a recovery in demand as the "14th Five-Year Plan" approaches its final year, with a clear long-term development goal set for 2035 and 2050 [3].

Group 1 - The National Space Administration of China announced a notification on enhancing quality supervision and management of commercial space projects, aiming to improve quality levels and promote standardized management in the commercial space sector [1] - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a phase of infrastructure construction and application demand exploration, with significant changes occurring in policy, funding, and industry dimensions [1] - The CN5082 Aerospace Industry Index component stocks showed mixed performance, with Changcheng Military Industry leading with a 10.01% increase, while Inner Mongolia First Machinery Group led the decline [1] Group 2 - The Aerospace ETF (159227) tracks the CN5082 Aerospace Index and has a high concentration in defense and military sectors, with a 98.2% weight in the industry [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CN5082 Aerospace Industry Index account for 49.42% of the index, with companies like Guangqi Technology and AVIC Shenyang Aircraft leading the list [2] - The ETF focuses on aerospace capabilities, with a significant weight of 66.5% in the "Aerospace + Aerospace Equipment" category within the secondary industry [2]