Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the aluminum industry [1] Core Views - The macroeconomic environment is favorable, with the Federal Reserve continuing to lower interest rates and tariff pressures easing [6][10] - The demand season is gradually coming to an end, leading to potential downward pressure on aluminum water conversion rates and inventory performance [10] - Long-term supply growth in the aluminum industry is limited, while demand continues to have growth points, suggesting sustained high industry prosperity [10] Summary by Sections 1. Prices - As of October 31, the LME three-month aluminum closing price was $2888.0 per ton, up $31.5 from the previous week, a 1.1% increase week-on-week and a 10.4% increase year-on-year [22] - The Shanghai aluminum active contract closing price was 21300.0 yuan per ton, up 75.0 yuan from the previous week, a 0.4% increase week-on-week and a 2.1% increase year-on-year [22] - The average price of A00 aluminum in Changjiang was 21300.0 yuan per ton, up 170.0 yuan from the previous week, a 0.8% increase week-on-week and a 2.0% increase year-on-year [22] 2. Production - In September 2025, the electrolytic aluminum production was 361.5 million tons, a decrease of 11.8 million tons month-on-month and a decrease of 7.4 million tons year-on-year [54] - The alumina production in September 2025 was 760.4 million tons, a decrease of 13.5 million tons month-on-month and an increase of 38.3 million tons year-on-year [54] 3. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - China Hongqiao (1378.HK): Price 26.93, EPS forecast for 2024/2025/2026: 2.35/2.65/2.89, PE: 11.5/10.2/9.3, Investment Rating: Buy [5] - Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ): Price 13.37, EPS forecast: 0.96/1.00/1.27, PE: 14.0/13.3/10.5, Investment Rating: Buy [5] - Shenhuo Co. (000933.SZ): Price 24.73, EPS forecast: 1.91/2.13/2.56, PE: 12.9/11.6/9.7, Investment Rating: Buy [5] - China Aluminum (601600.SH): Price 9.99, EPS forecast: 0.72/0.84/0.92, PE: 13.8/11.8/10.9, Investment Rating: Buy [5] - Yun Aluminum (000807.SZ): Price 22.99, EPS forecast: 1.27/1.88/2.07, PE: 18.1/12.2/11.1, Investment Rating: Buy [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the coal mining industry [2] Core Views - The coal mining industry is expected to perform well during the winter peak season, despite low production levels [2] - The supply of thermal coal has slightly increased, with port prices remaining stable at 770 RMB/ton as of October 31 [4][14] - The overall coal supply-demand situation remains favorable, with expectations of strong support for coal prices due to seasonal demand [7][72] Summary by Sections Thermal Coal - Supply has slightly rebounded, with port coal prices stable at 770 RMB/ton [14][15] - Production capacity utilization in the Sanxi region increased by 0.37 percentage points, mainly due to the resumption of previously halted mines [14][19] - Daily coal consumption at coastal and inland power plants decreased by 0.2 and 19.2 thousand tons respectively [14][22] - Power plant inventories are lower than last year, which may lead to increased replenishment demand if a cold winter materializes [14][31] Coking Coal - Coking coal production capacity utilization decreased by 0.27 percentage points to 84.2% due to inspections and underground issues in some mines [5][39] - The average daily crossing volume at Ganqimaodu port has recovered to over 1,000 trucks, indicating improved logistics [5][43] - Coking coal prices at ports remained stable at 1,760 RMB/ton as of October 31 [5][40] Coke - The supply of coke is stable, with the implementation of price increases, although profit margins for coke producers remain limited due to high coking coal prices [6][52] - The average daily pig iron production decreased by 3.54 thousand tons to 236.31 thousand tons, impacting demand for coke [6][58] - Coke prices at the Rizhao port increased to 1,580 RMB/ton, reflecting a positive trend in the market [6][53] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights several key companies for investment, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal, which are expected to perform well due to their strong cash flow and market positioning [7][9] - The report emphasizes the value attributes of the coal sector, particularly in light of recent government support and market conditions [7][74]

Group 1 - The report highlights a mixed economic outlook for the US, with expectations of a government shutdown resolution and a potential interest rate cut in December, impacting market liquidity and stock performance [4][15][19] - The A-share market is expected to remain in a consolidation phase, with a focus on three main investment themes: dividend recovery, economic recovery, and technology themes benefiting from the 14th Five-Year Plan [4][21] - The report identifies ten key stocks for November, including companies in the new energy, automotive, power equipment, fixed income, and pharmaceutical sectors, with no specific ranking [3][12][19] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the importance of the 14th Five-Year Plan in guiding future development directions, particularly in technology self-reliance, domestic consumption, and new energy [17][18] - The performance of the A-share market has shown volatility, with a significant portion of public fund holdings in the TMT sector, leading to potential profit-taking pressures [21][19] - The report provides detailed financial forecasts for selected companies, indicating expected revenue and profit growth across various sectors, including new energy and automotive [22][39][45]

Group 1: Company Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 1.40 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 62.36%[1] - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 640 million yuan, with a growth rate of 127% compared to 2024[1] - The EPS for 2025 is expected to be 0.2, up from 0.1 in 2024[1] Group 2: Market Trends - The AI-enabled revenue has become a core driver of performance, with significant contributions from products like AI-MDT reports and lung cancer screening[1] - The company is expanding its product matrix with new AI-driven health management products, indicating a strong focus on innovation[1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing an "All in AI" strategy, which has shown significant operational improvements and efficiency gains[1] - Collaborations with major tech firms like Alibaba for developing innovative screening products highlight the company's commitment to leveraging AI technology[1] Group 4: Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include ongoing industry policy impacts, declining customer prices, and the possibility of AI application not meeting expectations[1] - The company faces competition in the AI healthcare space, which may affect its market position and growth trajectory[1]

Core Viewpoint - Shenhuo Co., Ltd. is a major player in the aluminum and coal production industry in China, with a complete industrial chain from coal to electricity, alumina, electrolytic aluminum, and deep processing of aluminum [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Shenhuo's revenue reached 31.005 billion yuan, ranking 4th in the industry, significantly above the industry average of 16.562 billion yuan and median of 5.83 billion yuan [2] - The main business composition includes electrolytic aluminum revenue of 14.177 billion yuan, accounting for 69.40%, and coal revenue of 2.882 billion yuan, accounting for 14.11% [2] - The net profit for the same period was 4.226 billion yuan, also ranking 4th in the industry, exceeding the industry average of 1.346 billion yuan and median of 0.147 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Shenhuo's debt-to-asset ratio was 51.06%, down from 53.38% year-on-year but still above the industry average of 46.20% [3] - The gross profit margin for the same period was 23.18%, slightly down from 24.54% year-on-year, but significantly higher than the industry average of 10.69% [3] Group 3: Management and Shareholder Structure - The chairman, Li Hongwei, has not changed his salary and has extensive experience in financial roles within the company [4] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 2.23% to 69,500, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per account increased by 2.28% to 32,300 [5] Group 4: Future Outlook and Analyst Ratings - Analysts from Kaiyuan Securities expect strong profitability in the electrolytic aluminum business and a recovery in coal profitability, maintaining a "buy" rating and adjusting profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [5] - Guotou Securities projects revenues of 41.34 billion, 42.98 billion, and 43.73 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits of 5.11 billion, 6.05 billion, and 6.37 billion yuan, maintaining a "buy - A" rating [6]

Core Viewpoint - Shenhuo Co., Ltd. has shown significant stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 56.56%, driven by strong market interest and financial results [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shenhuo Co., Ltd. achieved a revenue of 31.005 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.50% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 3.49 billion yuan, which reflects a slight decrease of 1.38% year-on-year [2]. Stock Market Activity - As of October 30, the stock price of Shenhuo Co., Ltd. was 25.68 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 561 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.99% [1]. - The company experienced a net inflow of main funds amounting to 49.16 million yuan, with significant buying activity from large orders [1]. Shareholder Information - As of October 20, the number of shareholders for Shenhuo Co., Ltd. increased to 72,800, marking a rise of 4.72% from the previous period [2]. - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 4.51% to 30,874 shares [2]. Dividend Distribution - Since its A-share listing, Shenhuo Co., Ltd. has distributed a total of 9.422 billion yuan in dividends, with 5.843 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Major Shareholders - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited was the fourth largest circulating shareholder, holding 77.6616 million shares, an increase of 38.6067 million shares from the previous period [3]. - Southern CSI 500 ETF was the seventh largest circulating shareholder, holding 22.9263 million shares, which is a decrease of 448,000 shares from the previous period [3].

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China International Aluminum Week aims to strengthen the global layout of bauxite resources, construct a green low-carbon development system, and lead the transformation of the global aluminum industry governance system, providing a long-term cooperation platform for the aluminum industry [1]. Group 1: Industry Development and Trends - The Chinese nonferrous metals industry is showing stable and positive economic indicators, with enhanced global competitiveness and strategic significance [3]. - The industry is focusing on high-quality development through supply-side structural reforms, innovation-driven initiatives, and green and intelligent transformation [3][4]. - The aluminum industry is expected to enhance resource security, optimize industrial structure, and promote green low-carbon development [3][5]. Group 2: Key Strategies for Development - Strengthening resource security by increasing domestic bauxite exploration and improving recycling efficiency of aluminum raw materials [3][4]. - Promoting innovation through collaboration between enterprises, academia, and research institutions, and encouraging management innovation [4]. - Expanding aluminum applications by tapping into urban aluminum potential and leveraging new media for promotion [4][5]. Group 3: Global Cooperation and Market Dynamics - China is a major trading partner for aluminum products with over 200 countries, contributing to the resilience and stability of the global aluminum supply chain [5]. - The industry faces complex global challenges, necessitating confidence, cooperation, and the enhancement of supply chain risk resilience [5][6]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is committed to optimizing top-level design and promoting high-quality development in the aluminum sector [6]. Group 4: Technological and Environmental Initiatives - The focus is on green development, with initiatives to promote the use of renewable energy and the recycling of red mud [4][7]. - The industry is encouraged to adopt intelligent manufacturing and enhance the integration of technology in production processes [7][8]. - The establishment of a carbon footprint database for the aluminum industry reflects the commitment to sustainability and environmental responsibility [11].

Core Insights - The article highlights the top-performing stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index, showcasing significant daily and year-to-date gains along with dividend yields [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Nanshan Aluminum (600219.SH) leads with a daily increase of 10.12% and a year-to-date gain of 21.05%, with a dividend yield of 3.71% [1]. - Chuanheng Co., Ltd. (002895.SZ) follows closely with a daily rise of 10.00% and an impressive year-to-date increase of 44.31%, offering a dividend yield of 4.14% [1]. - Shenhuo Co., Ltd. (000933.SZ) shows a daily increase of 7.38% and a year-to-date performance of 53.35%, with a dividend yield of 3.16% [1]. - Yuntianhua Co., Ltd. (600096.SH) has a daily gain of 7.04% and a year-to-date increase of 42.93%, with a dividend yield of 5.37% [1]. - Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ) reports a daily rise of 6.81% and a remarkable year-to-date gain of 79.73%, with a dividend yield of 2.87% [1]. Group 2: Additional Notable Stocks - Mercury Home Textiles (603365.SH) shows a daily increase of 6.43% and a year-to-date performance of 30.72%, with a dividend yield of 4.39% [1]. - Deyue Co., Ltd. (605117.SH) has a daily rise of 4.50% and a year-to-date increase of 37.54%, with a dividend yield of 3.35% [1]. - Yiyi Co., Ltd. (001206.SZ) reports a daily gain of 4.32% and an impressive year-to-date increase of 101.18%, with a dividend yield of 2.59% [1]. - China Foreign Trade (601598.SH) shows a daily increase of 3.32% and a year-to-date performance of 22.11%, with a dividend yield of 4.60% [1]. - COSCO Shipping Energy (600026.SH) has a daily rise of 2.56% and a year-to-date increase of 9.48%, with a dividend yield of 3.02% [1].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has seen a significant rise in non-ferrous metal stocks, indicating strong investor interest and market momentum [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Zhongfu Industrial and Zhongtung High-tech reached the daily limit increase [1] - Nanshan Aluminum is close to reaching the daily limit increase [1] - Shenhuo Co., China Aluminum, and Shengxin Lithium Energy all increased by over 7% [1] - Tianshan Aluminum, Hongchuang Holdings, and Huaxi Nonferrous all rose by over 6% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Shenhuo Co., Ltd. experienced a 5.08% decline in stock price, closing at 23.34 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 988 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.83%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 52.5 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Shenhuo Co., Ltd. is located in Yongcheng, Henan Province, and was established on August 31, 1998, with its listing date on August 31, 1999. The company primarily engages in the production, processing, and sales of aluminum products and coal, as well as power generation and supply [1] - The revenue composition of Shenhuo Co., Ltd. is as follows: electrolytic aluminum 69.40%, coal 14.11%, aluminum foil 6.41%, aluminum foil raw materials 4.44%, trading 3.82%, other businesses 1.73%, transportation 0.05%, anode carbon blocks 0.03%, and type coke 0.03% [1] Fund Holdings - According to data, one fund under China Europe Fund has a significant holding in Shenhuo Co., Ltd. The fund, China Europe Kangyu Mixed A (004442), held 28,500 shares in the second quarter, unchanged from the previous period, accounting for 0.96% of the fund's net value, making it the fourth-largest holding [2] - The estimated floating loss for the fund today is approximately 35,600 CNY [2] Fund Manager Information - The fund manager of China Europe Kangyu Mixed A (004442) is Huang Hua and Li Bo. As of the report, Huang Hua has a cumulative tenure of 8 years and 221 days, with the fund's total asset size at 7.318 billion CNY and a best return of 48.07% during his tenure [3] - Li Bo has a cumulative tenure of 1 year and 354 days, with the fund's total asset size at 9.883 billion CNY and a best return of 42.22% during his tenure [3]