25 年初以来浆纸价格触底向上，我们预计公司盈利逐季修复；后续我们预 计内需复苏预期下各纸种价格及盈利弹性充足。 盈利预期改善，成长节奏稳健 25 年预计文化纸盈利改善、溶解浆成本优化、废纸系弹性充足 太阳纸业（002078） 证券研究报告 公司发布 2024 年年度报告 24Q4 收入 97.5 亿，同比-6%，归母净利润 6.4 亿，同比-32%，扣非归母净 利润 6.4 亿，同比-32%； 24 年收入 407.3 亿，同比+3%，归母净利润 31 亿，同比+1%，扣非归母净 利润 32.4 亿，同比+7%。 24 年公司毛利率 16.0%，同增 0.12pct；归母净利率 7.6%，同减 0.19pct。 公司报告 | 年报点评报告 2024 年，面对严峻复杂的市场环境，公司聚焦新质生产力培育，推动高质 量可持续发展；业绩增长主要得益于三大基地协同增效、精益管理降本、 创新驱动发展等。 文纸系：24 年文化纸收入 130 亿同比-2.33%，毛利率 13.35%，同减 3.28pct； 铜版纸收入 41.3 亿同比+17.86%，毛利率 14.84%，同增 1.97pct。当前外盘 浆价延续上涨趋势， ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月10日 投资建议：上调盈利预测，维持"优于大市"评级。 考虑到公司新增产能主要在 2025 年底陆续投产，看好 2026 年业绩弹性。上 调盈利预测，预计 2025-2027 年归母净利润 33.6/39.5/41.4 亿元（前值 32.9/39.2/-亿），同比增速 8.4%/17.5%/4.9%，当前股价对应 PE=11/10/9 倍。公司显现出周期底部蓄力向上的特性，维持"优于大市"评级。 太阳纸业（002078.SZ） 优于大市 2024 年年报点评： 四季度盈利短期承压，期待产能释放驱动增长 四季度收入略降，利润短期承压，符合业绩预告。2024 年公司实现收入 407.3 亿/+2.99%，归母净利润 31.0 亿/+0.50%，扣非归母净利润 32.3 亿/+6.88%； 其中 2024Q4 实现收入 97.5 亿/-5.71%，归母净利润 6.4 亿/-32.31%，扣非 归母净利润 6.4 亿/-31.62%。2024 年收入微增主要系产能释放带来的销量增 加，全年纸制品销量同比+12.8%；利润受木浆成本波动影响，同时广西六景 全年固定资产清理减少利润约 1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [19]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 40.727 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.99%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.101 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.50% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 3.235 billion yuan, up by 6.88% [3][5]. - The company demonstrated strong operational resilience with steady growth in core product categories, despite facing pressure in domestic demand for cultural and packaging paper in 2024 [4]. - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in profitability driven by domestic demand recovery, with net profits projected to reach 3.48 billion yuan in 2025, representing a 12% year-on-year increase [5]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 16% and a net margin of 7.6%, with respective year-on-year changes of +0.12 and -0.2 percentage points. The gross margins for key product categories varied, with dissolving pulp achieving a margin of 24.4% [5]. - The company’s total liabilities decreased by 2.85 percentage points to 45.41% in 2024, indicating improved financial stability [5]. - The report forecasts revenue growth rates of 7% for 2025, 6% for 2026, and 6% for 2027, with net profit growth rates of 12%, 14%, and 12% respectively [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady revenue growth for 2024, with total revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 40.73 billion and 3.10 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 3.0% and 0.5% [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue and net profit of 9.75 billion and 640 million yuan, showing year-on-year declines of 5.7% and 32.3% [2] - The company's paper business generated revenues of 13.00 billion, 4.13 billion, 2.02 billion, 0.994 billion, and 10.93 billion yuan from non-coated cultural paper, coated paper, household paper, laminated base paper, and corrugated box paper, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -2.3%, +17.9%, -1.3%, -21.3%, and +11.5% [3] - The pulp business revenues were 1.60 billion, 4.10 billion, and 1.42 billion yuan from mechanical pulp, dissolving pulp, and chemical pulp, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -13.1%, +11.8%, and -18.9% [3] Group 2: Profitability - The overall gross margin for 2024 was stable at 16.0%, with Q4 2024 gross margin at 14.9%, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.2 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.0 percentage points [4] - The gross margins for the paper business were 13.4%, 14.8%, 11.9%, and 15.2% for non-coated cultural paper, coated paper, household paper, and corrugated box paper, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -3.3, +2.0, -2.5, and +0.5 percentage points [4] - The gross margins for the pulp business were 22.7%, 24.4%, and 19.8% for mechanical pulp, dissolving pulp, and chemical pulp, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +0.6, +8.3, and +2.3 percentage points [4] Group 3: Cost Management - The company’s expense ratio for 2024 was 6.5%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 0.4%, 2.4%, 1.9%, and 1.8%, respectively [5] - In Q4 2024, the expense ratio was 6.7%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 0.5%, 2.6%, 1.5%, and 2.1%, respectively [6] Group 4: Future Outlook - In 2025, the company plans to launch several projects, including a 37,000-ton specialty paper base material project and a dissolving pulp production line relocation project, which will enhance the synergy among its three major bases [7] - By the end of 2025, the company aims to complete the first and second phases of the integrated "forest-pulp-paper" project in the Nanning area, facilitating resource integration and optimization of product structure and logistics [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The company reported a steady performance in 2024, with revenue and net profit reaching CNY 40.73 billion and CNY 3.11 billion, respectively, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.0% and 0.5% [5][10]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a decline in revenue and net profit, with figures of CNY 9.75 billion and CNY 640 million, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 5.7% and 32.3% [5]. - The company is expected to benefit from the synergistic effects of its three major bases, with several new production lines set to commence trial production and operation in 2025 [9][10]. Revenue Performance - The company's revenue from various segments in 2024 includes non-coated cultural paper (CNY 13.0 billion, -2.3%), coated paper (CNY 4.13 billion, +17.9%), household paper (CNY 2.02 billion, -1.3%), laminated base paper (CNY 994 million, -21.3%), and corrugated box paper (CNY 10.93 billion, +11.5%) [6]. - The pulp business generated revenue of CNY 1.6 billion from chemical pulp, CNY 4.1 billion from dissolving pulp, and CNY 1.42 billion from chemical pulp, with year-on-year changes of -13.1%, +11.8%, and -18.9%, respectively [6]. Profitability and Margins - The overall gross margin for 2024 was stable at 16.0%, with a fourth-quarter gross margin of 14.9%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 2.2 percentage points [6][7]. - The gross margins for specific products in 2024 were 13.4% for non-coated cultural paper, 14.8% for coated paper, 11.9% for household paper, and 15.2% for corrugated box paper, with notable changes in margins due to market pressures and cost efficiencies [7]. Expense Ratios - The company's expense ratio for 2024 was 6.5%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, with specific rates for sales, management, R&D, and financial expenses being 0.4%, 2.4%, 1.9%, and 1.8%, respectively [8]. Future Outlook - The company plans to enhance its production capabilities with new projects in 2025, including a special paper base material project and several production lines across its three major bases, which are expected to improve operational efficiency and product offerings [9][10]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been slightly adjusted downwards to CNY 44.87 billion and CNY 51.28 billion, respectively, with net profit estimates of CNY 3.50 billion and CNY 4.12 billion [10].

对于社保基金，本期较上一期持股增加的社保基金共1个，即全国社保基金一零九组合，持股增加占比 达0.31%。。本期新披露持有太阳纸业的社保基金共计1个，即全国社保基金一一五组合。。本期较上 一季未再披露的社保基金共计1个，即嘉实基金管理有限公司-社保基金16041组合。 外资态度来看，本期较上一季度持股减少的外资基金共计1个，即香港中央结算有限公司，持股减少占 比达0.44%。 2025年4月10日，太阳纸业(002078.SZ)发布2024年年度报告。截至2025年4月09日，共有617个机构投资 者披露持有太阳纸业A股股份，合计持股量达20.15亿股，占太阳纸业总股本的72.10%。其中，前十大 机构投资者包括山东太阳控股集团有限公司、香港中央结算有限公司、全国社保基金一零三组合、宁波 银行股份有限公司-中泰星元价值优选灵活配置混合型证券投资基金、嘉实基金管理有限公司-社保基金 16042组合、全国社保基金一零九组合、全国社保基金一一五组合、中国银行股份有限公司-嘉实价值精 选股票型证券投资基金、招商银行股份有限公司-嘉实价值长青混合型证券投资基金、中国农业银行股 份有限公司-中证500交易型开放式指数证券 ...

Group 1 - The paper industry is under pressure in 2024, but leading companies like Sun Paper have achieved revenue growth through lean management [1] - Sun Paper reported a revenue of 40.727 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.99%, and a net profit of 3.101 billion yuan, up 0.50% [1] - Sun Paper is a significant supplier of paper and pulp products in China, with high market shares in various product categories [1] Group 2 - In 2024, China's production of mechanical paper and paperboard reached 158.469 million tons, a historical high with a year-on-year growth of 8.6% [2] - The revenue of large-scale paper and paper products enterprises in 2024 was 1,456.62 billion yuan, an increase of 3.9%, while total profits reached 51.97 billion yuan, up 5.2% [2] - Sun Paper plans to focus on innovation-driven development strategies in 2025, emphasizing lean operations and high-efficiency collaboration [2] Group 3 - 2025 is expected to be a significant investment year for Sun Paper, with multiple new projects scheduled for trial production and launch [3] - The company aims to enhance its core competitiveness and cost control through integrated operations and high-quality collaboration across its three major bases [3] - Sun Paper is committed to adjusting its product structure to drive raw material structure adjustments, ensuring the production of high-quality, market-appropriate products [3]

证券代码：002078 证券简称：太阳纸业 公告编号：2025-012 山东太阳纸业股份有限公司 关于举行2024年度业绩说明会的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要内容提示： 山东太阳纸业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于2025年4月10日在巨 潮资讯网（http://www.cninfo.com.cn）披露了公司2024年年度报告，为了更好地 与广大投资者进行交流，使投资者能够进一步了解公司的生产经营情况，公司 定于2025年4月30日15:00-17:00召开2024年度业绩说明会（以下简称"业绩说明 会"），就投资者普遍关注的问题进行回答。 一、业绩说明会类型 业绩说明会通过网络互动、文字问答方式召开，公司将针对2024年年度业绩 和公司的生产经营情况与投资者进行交流。 二、业绩说明会召开的时间、地点 1、会议召开时间：2025年4月30日（星期三）15:00-17:00 三、参会人员 四、投资者参加方式 1、投资者可于2025年4月30日15:00-17:00登陆全景网"投资者关系互动平台" （http://ir.p5w.n ...

证券代码：002078 证券简称：太阳纸业 公告编号：2025-009 山东太阳纸业股份有限公司 关于会计政策变更的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 山东太阳纸业股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）根据中华人民共和国财政部 （以下简称"财政部"）颁布的《 企业会计准则解释第17号》（财会〔2023〕21号） 的要求变更相应的会计政策。本次会计政策变更符合相关法律法规的规定，不会对公 司的财务状况、经营成果和现金流量产生重大影响，也不存在损害公司及中小股东利 益的情况 。 公司于2025年4月8日召开第九届董事会第三次会议，审议通过了《关于会计政策 变更的议案》。根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》《公司章程》《公司董事会议 事规则》的相关规定，公司本次会计政策变更事项无需提交股东大会审议。具体情况 如下： 一、本次会计政策变更概述 1、变更原因 2023年11月09日，财政部发布《关于印发 <企业会计准则解释第17号>的通知》 （财会【 2023】21号），对"关于流动负债与非流动负债的划分"、"关于供应商融 资安排的披露"及"关于售 ...

2024 年度内部控制自我评价报告 山东太阳纸业股份有限公司 2024 年度内部控制自我评价报告 证券代码：002078 证券简称：太阳纸业 1 为进一步加强和规范公司内部控制、提高公司管理水平和风险控制能力，促 进公司长期可持续发展，公司依照《公司法》、《证券法》、《深圳证券交易所 股票上市规则》、《企业内部控制基本规范》及其配套指引、《深圳证券交易所 上市公司内部控制指引》等相关法律、法规和规章制度及其他内部控制监管的要 求，我们不断完善公司治理，健全内部控制体系，保障了上市公司内部控制管理 的有效执行，确保了公司的稳定经营。结合本公司内部控制制度和评价办法，在 内部控制日常监督和专项监督的基础上，我们对公司 2024 年 12 月 31 日（内部 控制评价报告基准日）的内部控制有效性进行了评价。 2024 年度内部控制自我评价报告 山东太阳纸业股份有限公司 2024年度内部控制自我评价报告 山东太阳纸业股份有限公司全体股东： 一、重要声明 按照企业内部控制规范体系的规定，建立健全和有效实施内部控制，评价其 有效性，并如实披露内部控制评价报告是公司董事会的责任。监事会对董事会建 立和实施内部控制进行监督。 ...