Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a slight increase of 0.01% on January 21, with Xianglou New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4116.94, up by 0.08%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14255.12, up by 0.7% [1] Stock Performance - Xianglou New Materials (301160) closed at 70.15, with a rise of 3.16% and a trading volume of 39,100 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 271 million [1] - Other notable performers included: - Taigang Stainless Steel (000825) at 5.34, up 2.30% with a volume of 1,095,800 shares and a transaction value of 57.5 million [1] - Changbao Co. (002478) at 9.73, up 1.88% with a volume of 466,900 shares and a transaction value of 444 million [1] - Jiao Jin Co. (603995) at 19.32, up 1.15% with a volume of 68,200 shares and a transaction value of 131 million [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 23.46 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 3.14 million [2] - Conversely, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 26.60 million [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Taigang Stainless Steel (000825) had a net inflow of 58.08 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 35.39 million from retail investors [3] - Xianglou New Materials (301160) faced a net outflow of 6.33 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 8.84 million [3] - Changbao Co. (002478) had a net outflow of 8.52 million from institutional investors, with a net inflow of 12.83 million from speculative funds [3]

Market Overview - The special steel sector increased by 0.76% on January 20, with Jiuli Special Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4113.65, down 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14155.63, down 0.97% [1] Stock Performance - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 31.29, up 3.95% with a trading volume of 192,200 shares and a turnover of 592 million yuan [1] - CITIC Special Steel (000708) closed at 16.17, up 1.89% with a trading volume of 173,400 shares and a turnover of 277 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include Shengde Zhengtai (300881) up 1.44%, Fangda Special Steel (600507) up 1.34%, and Changbao Co. (002478) up 0.74% [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 226 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 176 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors are actively buying [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Jiuli Special Materials had a net inflow of 11.90 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 22.80 million yuan from retail investors [3] - CITIC Special Steel saw a net inflow of 6.90 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 12.14 million yuan [3] - Changbao Co. had a net outflow of 15.77 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net inflow of 15.09 million yuan from retail investors [3]

从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，国泰基金旗下1只基金重仓久立特材。国泰中证钢铁ETF（515210）三季度增持422.87万 股，持有股数683.3万股，占基金净值比例为4.55%，位居第四大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约 1059.11万元。 1月20日，久立特材涨5.15%，截至发稿，报31.65元/股，成交4.17亿元，换手率1.43%，总市值309.27亿 元。 资料显示，浙江久立特材科技股份有限公司位于浙江省湖州市吴兴区中兴大道1899号，成立日期2004年 1月8日，上市日期2009年12月11日，公司主营业务涉及工业用不锈钢管及特种合金的管材、管件、法 兰、棒材及管道预制件的研发、生产、销售。主营业务收入构成为：无缝管37.97%，复合管33.57%， 焊接管13.44%，合金材料6.25%，其他5.54%，管件3.23%。 截至发稿，吴中昊累计任职时间3年359天，现任基金资产总规模253.91亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 106.3%， 任职期间最差基金回报-18.04%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Jiu Li Special Materials has seen a stock price increase of 5.15%, reaching 31.65 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 416 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.43%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 30.93 billion CNY [1] - Jiu Li Special Materials, established on January 8, 2004, and listed on December 11, 2009, specializes in the research, production, and sales of industrial stainless steel pipes and special alloy materials [1] - The company's main business revenue composition includes seamless pipes (37.97%), composite pipes (33.57%), welded pipes (13.44%), alloy materials (6.25%), other products (5.54%), and pipe fittings (3.23%) [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, Penghua Fund has a fund that heavily invests in Jiu Li Special Materials, with the Penghua National Steel Industry Index (LOF) A (502023) increasing its holdings by 36,800 shares in the third quarter, totaling 1.3546 million shares, which represents 4.24% of the fund's net value [2] - The current scale of the Penghua National Steel Industry Index (LOF) A fund is 404 million CNY, with a year-to-date return of 1.24% and a one-year return of 34.07% [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [5]. Core Insights - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, while supply-side constraints are anticipated to continue, leading to a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals [3][4]. - The report highlights that despite a long period of micro-profitability in the industry, market-driven supply adjustments have begun, and if supply policies are implemented, the pace of supply contraction may accelerate [3][4]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - The apparent consumption of the five major steel products was 8.2612 million tons, a decrease of 1.77% week-on-week but an increase of 4.33% year-on-year [6]. - The total steel inventory was 12.47 million tons, down 0.55% week-on-week, maintaining a low level [6]. - The average profit margin for rebar was 199.4 CNY/ton, down 15.2 CNY/ton from the previous week [6]. Production and Capacity Utilization - The production of five major steel products was 8.192 million tons, a slight increase of 0.08% week-on-week [6]. - The operating rate of blast furnaces in 247 steel mills was 78.84%, down 0.47 percentage points from the previous week [6][29]. - The capacity utilization rate for these mills was 85.48%, down 0.56 percentage points week-on-week [6][29]. Raw Material Prices - Iron ore spot prices remained unchanged, while futures prices decreased by 0.31% to 812 CNY/ton [48]. - The port inventory of iron ore rose to 165.55 million tons, an increase of 1.72% [52]. - The total shipment volume from major iron ore producers decreased, with Brazil's shipments down 7.37% and Australia's down 2.29% [53][61]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel and Hesteel, as well as those with competitive advantages like CITIC Special Steel and Yongjin Materials [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the controllable nuclear fusion industry, indicating an expectation of significant growth in the sector over the next 3-6 months [3][49]. Core Insights - The 2026 Nuclear Fusion Energy Technology and Industry Conference held in Hefei is expected to accelerate the industrialization of nuclear fusion, with major procurement projects and collaborative laboratory projects being signed [1][8]. - Star Ring Fusion has completed a 1 billion yuan Series A financing round, which will expedite the commercialization of nuclear fusion technology, with plans to complete engineering validation by 2028 and establish a demonstration reactor by around 2032 [9][1]. - The report anticipates that the domestic nuclear fusion projects will see a total investment of approximately 146.5 billion yuan, with capital expenditures expected to enter an expansion phase from 2025 to 2028, leading to increased orders in the industry chain [8][1]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report highlights the significant participation of over 1,500 attendees from various sectors, including government, academia, and finance, at the 2026 Nuclear Fusion Energy Technology and Industry Conference [8]. - The conference aims to foster collaboration across innovation, industry, finance, and talent chains to build a synergistic nuclear fusion energy ecosystem [8]. Financing and Investment - Star Ring Fusion's 1 billion yuan financing round was led by Shanghai Guotou and other investment groups, focusing on developing a unique high-temperature superconducting spherical tokamak technology [9][1]. - The report notes that the nuclear fusion industry is entering a capital expenditure upcycle, with significant investments expected to drive order volumes in the supply chain [1][8]. Market Performance - The report provides a performance review of the nuclear fusion sector, noting that several companies have seen substantial stock price increases, with top performers including New Wind Power (+42%) and China Nuclear Construction (+27%) [22][26]. - The report also tracks bidding activities, indicating a total bidding amount of 1.28 billion yuan in early January 2026, with several high-value projects being awarded [12][15]. Recommended Companies - The report continues to recommend companies such as Hezhong Intelligent and Lianchuang Optoelectronics, while suggesting attention to Guoguang Electric [3][23]. - It emphasizes the importance of the magnet segment, recommending companies like Western Superconducting and Yongding Co., which have significant value contributions in the nuclear fusion supply chain [33][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [6]. Core Insights - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, while supply-side constraints are anticipated to continue, leading to a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals [3][4]. - The report highlights that despite a long period of micro-profitability in the industry, market-driven supply adjustments have begun, which could accelerate the industry's upward progress if supply policies are implemented [3][4]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - The apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.2612 million tons, a decrease of 1.77% week-on-week but an increase of 4.33% year-on-year [6][20]. - Total steel inventory was 12.47 million tons, down 0.55% week-on-week, maintaining a low level [6][12]. - The average profit margin for rebar was 199.4 CNY/ton, down 15.2 CNY/ton from the previous week [6][41]. Production and Capacity Utilization - The operating rate of blast furnaces in 247 steel mills was 78.84%, a decrease of 0.47 percentage points from the previous week [6][29]. - The capacity utilization rate for these mills was 85.48%, down 0.56 percentage points week-on-week [6][29]. - The total steel production was 8.1921 million tons, a slight increase of 0.08% week-on-week [6][40]. Raw Materials - Iron ore inventory at ports reached 165.55 million tons, an increase of 1.72% week-on-week, marking a historical high [6][52]. - The spot price of iron ore remained unchanged, while futures prices decreased slightly [6][48]. - The total shipment volume of the four major iron ore producers decreased, with Brazil's shipments down 7.37% and Australia's down 2.29% [6][53][61]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel and Hualing Steel, as well as low-cost firms like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [6]. - It also highlights the potential of upstream resource companies like Hebei Resources and Erdos, which may benefit from a recovery in demand [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key steel companies, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance in the coming months [10]. Core Insights - The steel industry has experienced a fluctuating demand pattern, with a peak in early 2025 followed by a decline, leading to an increase in the material-to-steel ratio, which reached 1.69 in December [2]. - China's apparent steel consumption grew by 2.9% year-on-year in 2025, although December saw a 5.0% decline compared to the previous year [2]. - The net export of steel in 2025 reached 11.296 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%, driven by strong exports in the automotive and home appliance sectors [3]. - The report highlights a shift in economic drivers from investment to consumption, with fixed asset investment declining by 3.8% year-on-year, while retail sales increased by 3.7% [2]. Summary by Sections Steel Production and Consumption - In December 2025, crude steel production was 68.18 million tons, a 10.3% year-on-year decrease, with an annual total of 960.81 million tons, down 4.4% [6]. - Steel production in December was 115.31 million tons, a 3.8% year-on-year decrease, while the annual total was 1,446.12 million tons, up 3.1% [6]. Export and Import Dynamics - December steel exports were 11.30 million tons, up 16.2% year-on-year, with total exports for the year at 11.902 million tons, a 7.5% increase [6]. - Steel imports in December were 520,000 tons, down 16.3% year-on-year, with total imports for the year at 6.06 million tons, down 11.1% [6]. Economic Context and Policy Implications - The report notes that the Chinese economy is transitioning to a more stable phase, with GDP growth projected at 5% for 2025, reflecting a pattern of high demand followed by a decline [2]. - Recent structural interest rate cuts by the central bank are expected to support credit flow to specific industries, indicating a potential for economic stabilization [8]. - The valuation of the steel sector has improved, moving from absolute undervaluation to a moderately low position, suggesting room for further gains [8]. Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several stocks, including: - Hualing Steel (华菱钢铁) [10] - Nanjing Steel (南钢股份) [10] - Baosteel (宝钢股份) [10] - New Steel (新钢股份) [10] - Jiuli Special Materials (久立特材) [10] - Yongjin Co., Ltd. (甬金股份) [10] - Changbao Steel (常宝股份) [10]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for several steel companies, including Xining Steel, Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel, and Baosteel, indicating a positive outlook for their stock performance in the coming months [10]. Core Insights - The steel industry has experienced a fluctuating demand pattern, with a peak in early 2025 followed by a decline. The material-to-steel ratio has reached a new high of 1.69 in December, with an annual average of 1.51, suggesting a shift in consumption patterns [2]. - China's apparent steel consumption increased by 2.9% year-on-year in 2025, although December saw a decline of 5.0% compared to the previous year. The economic growth rate is projected to be 5% for 2025, with a quarterly breakdown showing a decreasing trend [2]. - The net export of steel reached 11.296 million tons in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%, driven by strong demand in the automotive and home appliance sectors. Exports to ASEAN countries have significantly increased, despite a decline in exports to the U.S. [3]. Summary by Sections Production and Consumption - In December 2025, crude steel production was 68.18 million tons, a decrease of 10.3% year-on-year, while the total for the year was 960.81 million tons, down 4.4%. Steel production in December was 115.31 million tons, down 3.8% year-on-year, with an annual total of 1,446.12 million tons, up 3.1% [6]. - The apparent consumption of steel in China is expected to be more accurately estimated by using steel production growth rates instead of crude steel production growth rates [2]. Economic Indicators - Fixed asset investment in 2025 is projected to be 48.5186 trillion yuan, a decrease of 3.8% from the previous year, while retail sales of consumer goods are expected to grow by 3.7% [2]. - The report highlights a transition from investment-driven growth to consumption-driven growth as China's economy matures [2]. Market Outlook - The recent structural interest rate cuts by the central bank are expected to support credit growth in specific sectors, indicating a potential for economic stabilization. The steel sector's valuation has improved, moving from absolute undervaluation to a moderately low position, suggesting room for further gains [8]. - Recommended stocks include Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel, Baosteel, and others, which are expected to benefit from various economic cycles and trends [8].

Market Overview - The special steel sector increased by 1.74% on January 19, with Jinzhou Pipeline leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Jinzhou Pipeline (002443) closed at 9.35, up 7.72% with a trading volume of 451,900 shares and a turnover of 417 million yuan [1] - Changbao Co. (002478) closed at 9.48, up 5.80% with a trading volume of 636,300 shares and a turnover of 601 million yuan [1] - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) closed at 38.27, up 5.17% with a trading volume of 45,000 shares and a turnover of 171 million yuan [1] - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 30.10, up 4.33% with a trading volume of 159,300 shares and a turnover of 476 million yuan [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 5.95, up 2.41% with a trading volume of 273,200 shares and a turnover of 161 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 128 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 78.89 million yuan [2] - The main capital flow for Fangda Special Steel (600507) showed a net inflow of 16.76 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) had a net inflow of 14.64 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 16.98 million yuan from retail investors [3]