Market Overview - The special steel sector increased by 1.74% on January 19, with Jinzhou Pipeline leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Jinzhou Pipeline (002443) closed at 9.35, up 7.72% with a trading volume of 451,900 shares and a turnover of 417 million yuan [1] - Changbao Co. (002478) closed at 9.48, up 5.80% with a trading volume of 636,300 shares and a turnover of 601 million yuan [1] - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) closed at 38.27, up 5.17% with a trading volume of 45,000 shares and a turnover of 171 million yuan [1] - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 30.10, up 4.33% with a trading volume of 159,300 shares and a turnover of 476 million yuan [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 5.95, up 2.41% with a trading volume of 273,200 shares and a turnover of 161 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 128 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 78.89 million yuan [2] - The main capital flow for Fangda Special Steel (600507) showed a net inflow of 16.76 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Shengde Zhengtai (300881) had a net inflow of 14.64 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 16.98 million yuan from retail investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the steel industry, recommending several key companies [2][3]. Core Insights - The supply-demand situation is improving, leading to a potential recovery in profits for the steel industry. The report highlights that production of major steel products has increased, while total inventory has decreased, indicating a positive shift in market dynamics [7][30]. - The report emphasizes that the profitability of steel manufacturers is expected to recover in the short term due to improved supply-demand conditions and stable cost support from raw materials [7][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Domestic Steel Market - As of January 16, steel prices have risen, with HRB400 rebar priced at 3,320 CNY/ton, up 40 CNY/ton from the previous week. Other products like high-line and hot-rolled steel also saw price increases [13][14]. 2. Production and Inventory - The total production of five major steel products reached 8.19 million tons, an increase of 0.62 million tons week-on-week. Total inventory decreased by 11,700 tons to 865,320 tons, indicating a positive trend in inventory management [7][30]. 3. Profitability - The report notes a decline in steel profits, with average margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel decreasing by 13 CNY/ton, 4 CNY/ton, and 18 CNY/ton respectively. However, the overall outlook for profit recovery remains optimistic [7][30]. 4. Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - General Steel Leaders: Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel - Special Steel Sector: Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel, Fangda Special Steel - Pipe Manufacturers: Jiuli Special Materials, Youfa Group, Changbao Co. - Raw Material Sector: Dazhong Mining (iron ore + lithium ore), Fangda Carbon [7][30].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several steel companies, including Xining Special Steel, Nanjing Steel, Hualing Steel, and Baosteel [9]. Core Insights - The steel market is experiencing a recovery in valuation, with absolute valuations moving from undervalued to moderately low levels, indicating potential for absolute returns [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of structural reforms in the capital market, which are expected to facilitate a shift towards value investing in the steel industry [2]. - The report highlights that the demand for steel is improving, with significant increases in apparent consumption, particularly for rebar [6][41]. Supply Analysis - Daily molten iron production has decreased by 16,000 tons to 2.28 million tons, while steel production has slightly increased [15]. - The capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills is at 85.5%, down 0.6 percentage points week-on-week but up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [21]. Inventory Analysis - Total steel inventory has shifted from an increase to a decrease, with a week-on-week decline of 0.6% [27]. - The social inventory of five major steel products is 8.663 million tons, up 0.1% week-on-week and up 8.7% year-on-year [29]. Demand Analysis - Apparent consumption of five major steel products has improved significantly, with a week-on-week increase of 3.7% [51]. - Rebar apparent consumption reached 1.903 million tons, up 8.8% week-on-week and 2.8% year-on-year [51]. Raw Material Analysis - Iron ore prices have weakened, with a decrease in the shipping volume from Australia and Brazil, while port inventories have increased [50]. - The price index for imported iron ore is reported at 106.2 USD/ton, down 2.2% week-on-week [59]. Price and Profit Analysis - Steel prices are stable with slight increases, and the gross profit margins for steel products are improving [69]. - The comprehensive steel price index is at 122.7, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.2% [70].

证券之星消息，1月15日特钢板块较上一交易日上涨0.08%，甬金股份领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4112.6，下跌0.33%。深证成指报收于14306.73，上涨0.41%。特钢板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日特钢板块主力资金净流入3438.47万元，游资资金净流出6629.34万元，散户资金 净流入3190.87万元。特钢板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000825 太钢不锈 | | 4673.10万 | 4.36% | -4153.27万 | -3.88% | -519.82万 | -0.48% | | 600399 抚顺特钢 | | 2576.49万 | 2.19% | -2219.51万 | -1.89% | -356.98万 | -0.30% | | 002443 | 金洲管道 | 1684.73万 | 8.64% | -548.64万 | -2.81% ...

Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 0.31% on January 14, with Fushun Special Steel leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4126.09, down 0.31%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14248.6, up 0.56% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include: - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) rose by 9.99% to a closing price of 8.92, with a trading volume of 624,500 shares and a transaction value of 539 million [1] - Jinzhu Pipeline (002443) increased by 1.88% to 8.67, with a trading volume of 275,200 shares [1] - Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) saw a slight increase of 1.53% to 5.32, with a trading volume of 1,698,400 shares [1] - Other stocks like Xining Special Steel (600117) and CITIC Special Steel (000708) experienced minor declines of 0.34% and 0.44%, respectively [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 24.62 million from institutional investors and 48.36 million from retail investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 72.99 million [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks indicates: - Changbao Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 1.24 billion from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 74.27 million from retail investors [3] - Xining Special Steel had a net inflow of 10.68 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 11.70 million [3] - Taiyuan Iron & Steel faced a net outflow of 135.03 million from institutional investors, but retail investors had a net inflow of 220.43 million [3]

Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 1.05% on January 13, with Taiyuan Iron and Steel leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4138.76, down 0.64%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14169.4, down 1.37% [1] Stock Performance - Notable performers in the special steel sector included: - Shagang Co., Ltd. (002075) with a closing price of 5.94, up 2.41% and a trading volume of 1.3876 million shares, totaling 8.24 billion yuan [1] - Fushun Special Steel (668009) closed at 7.22, up 2.27% with a trading volume of 2.7285 million shares, totaling 19.92 billion yuan [1] - Taiyuan Iron and Steel (000825) closed at 5.24, down 5.92% with a trading volume of 1.8381 million shares, totaling 9.79 billion yuan [2] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 98.2152 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 112 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks included: - Shagang Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 60.3244 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Fushun Special Steel experienced a net inflow of 51.0475 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Taiyuan Iron and Steel had a significant net outflow of 21.4182 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Company Overview - Jiu Li Special Materials Co., Ltd. is located in Huzhou, Zhejiang Province, established on January 8, 2004, and listed on December 11, 2009. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of industrial stainless steel pipes and special alloy materials, including pipes, fittings, flanges, bars, and prefabricated components [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jiu Li Special Materials achieved a revenue of 9.747 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.45%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.262 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 20.73% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 3.468 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.802 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]. Stock Performance - As of January 13, the stock price of Jiu Li Special Materials decreased by 2.00%, trading at 29.33 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 28.66 billion yuan. The stock has seen a year-to-date increase of 1.31%, a 5-day increase of 1.17%, a 20-day increase of 13.42%, and a 60-day increase of 18.46% [1]. - The number of shareholders as of September 30 was 27,600, an increase of 34.16% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 25.46% to 34,604 shares [2]. Shareholding Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the second-largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 23.6468 million shares, a decrease of 20.9903 million shares from the previous period. New entrants among the top ten circulating shareholders include Southern CSI 500 ETF and Dachen Rui Xiang Mixed A [3]. Market Position - Jiu Li Special Materials operates within the steel industry, specifically in the special steel sector, and is involved in various concept sectors including special steel, oil and gas pipelines, pension concepts, nuclear fusion, and social security heavy positions [1].

证券之星消息，1月12日特钢板块较上一交易日上涨1.54%，金洲管道领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4165.29，上涨1.09%。深证成指报收于14366.91，上涨1.75%。特钢板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002443 | 金洲管道 | 8.86 | 10.06% | 45.05万 | | 3.82亿 | | 6682009 | 抚顺特钢 | 7.06 | 8.78% | 241.63万 | | 17.00亿 | | 002318 | 久立特材 | 29.93 | 3.28% | 21.92万 | | 6.48亿 | | 000825 | 太钢不锈 | 5.57 | 2.96% | 226.58万 | | 12.66亿 | | 600117 | 西宁特钢 | 3.01 | 2.38% | 48.74万 | | 1.46 Z | | 300881 | 盛德整泰 | 35.79 | 1.24% | 2.11万 | | 7527.67万 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a decline in China's welded steel pipe production in November 2025, indicating a potential downturn in the industry [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - In November 2025, China's welded steel pipe production was 5.02 million tons, representing a year-on-year decrease of 7.1% [1] - From January to November 2025, the cumulative production of welded steel pipes in China reached 55.213 million tons, showing a slight increase of 0.6% compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Companies Involved - Listed companies in the welded steel pipe sector include Baosteel Co., Ltd. (600019), Xinxing Cathay International Group (000778), Changbao Steel Pipe (002478), Jiuli Special Materials (002318), Honglu Steel Structure (002541), Youfa Group (601686), CITIC Special Steel (000708), Jinzhu Pipeline (002443), and Yulong Steel (601028) [1] Group 3: Research and Analysis - The report titled "Analysis of Development Models and Future Prospects of China's Welded Steel Pipe Industry from 2026 to 2032" was published by Zhiyan Consulting, a leading industry consulting firm in China [1] - Zhiyan Consulting has over a decade of experience in industry research, providing comprehensive industry solutions to support investment decisions [1]

Group 1 - The special steel sector saw a slight increase of 0.47% on January 8, with Fushun Special Steel leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4082.98, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13959.48, down 0.51% [1] - Fushun Special Steel's stock price rose by 4.10% to 6.35, with a trading volume of 1.22 million shares and a transaction value of 766 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 49.13 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 62.37 million yuan [2] - Among individual stocks, Fushun Special Steel had a main fund net inflow of 48.90 million yuan, but a net outflow of 66.85 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Changbao Co. had a main fund net inflow of 17.13 million yuan, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.29 million yuan [3]