Market Overview - The special steel sector increased by 0.24% on December 30, with Xianglou New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3965.12, showing no change, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.49% to 13604.07 [1] Stock Performance - Xianglou New Materials (301160) closed at 68.81, up 4.10% with a trading volume of 60,800 shares and a transaction value of 414 million yuan [1] - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) rose by 2.38% to 27.96, with a trading volume of 150,000 shares [1] - Other notable performances include: - CITIC Special Steel (000708) up 0.56% to 16.16 - Shagang Group (002075) remained unchanged at 5.69 - Fangda Special Steel (600507) down 0.17% to 5.95 [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 99.69 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 112 million yuan [2] - The detailed capital flow for specific stocks includes: - Xianglou New Materials had a net inflow of 4.96 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Jiuli Special Materials saw a significant net outflow of 10.06 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Retail investors contributed positively to several stocks, including Jiuli Special Materials with a net inflow of 10.04 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report rates the steel industry as "Overweight," indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the Chinese government is committed to controlling crude steel production, which is expected to improve the supply-demand dynamics in the steel industry. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has emphasized the need to curb low-quality competition and regulate production capacity [2]. - In the first eleven months of 2025, China's crude steel production was 892 million tons, a decrease of 4.0% year-on-year, while steel product output increased by 4.0% to 1.333 billion tons. This suggests a shift in production focus and an anticipated improvement in the supply side of the market [2]. - The report notes that the commissioning of the Simandou iron ore mine is expected to contribute significantly to iron ore supply, which may lead to a decline in iron ore prices and reduce cost pressures on steel companies [2]. - Demand is expected to show structural differentiation, with resilient demand in the manufacturing sector supporting the profitability of plate and special steel segments, while the construction sector remains weak [2]. - The report suggests that as the steel consumption structure shifts from construction to manufacturing, investors should focus on undervalued, high-dividend stocks in the plate sector, such as Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and Hualing Steel, as well as high-end stainless steel and special steel companies like Jiuli Special Materials and CITIC Special Steel [2]. Summary by Sections Production Control - The government has announced ongoing measures to control crude steel production and prevent the addition of new capacity, which is expected to optimize the supply side of the steel market [2]. Raw Material Supply - The Simandou iron ore mine has commenced production, with an expected annual capacity of 12 million tons, contributing to a more favorable pricing environment for iron ore [2]. Demand Dynamics - The report anticipates a divergence in demand, with manufacturing-related sectors showing resilience, while construction demand remains weak [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on low-valuation, high-dividend stocks in the manufacturing-oriented steel sector and highlights the importance of special steel in emerging sectors like energy and defense [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Jiuli Special Materials (SZ 002318) has announced a research meeting with CITIC Securities and Southern Fund, where key executives participated in addressing investor inquiries [1] - For the first half of 2025, Jiuli Special Materials reported that its revenue composition was as follows: 61.36% from oil, chemical, and natural gas, 15.18% from power equipment manufacturing, 13.5% from other machinery manufacturing, and 9.96% from other non-divisible industries [1] - As of the report date, Jiuli Special Materials has a market capitalization of 27.3 billion yuan [1]

Group 1: Market Development - The company has a diverse range of nuclear power products, covering various equipment and core products, and is positioned as a key supplier of high-value products like evaporator tubes [2] - The company aims to enhance its research and development efforts in nuclear-grade products and explore new application scenarios in the nuclear power sector [2] - The composite pipe business is focused on resource integration and optimizing synergies, with significant contract deliveries completed this year [2][3] Group 2: Alloy Materials Business - The alloy subsidiary emphasizes material research and technological innovation, ensuring stable product quality through a comprehensive production control system [3] - The company plans to support the alloy subsidiary's capacity ramp-up and market expansion, aiming for business transformation and high-quality development [3] Group 3: Oil Well Pipe Business - Continuous efforts in new customer development and application exploration have led to improved production line utilization and product sales [3] - The company intends to focus on international markets and enhance sales channel expansion to increase global market share for oil well pipes [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company maintains confidence in its short-term goals and long-term strategic vision for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [3] - Plans include deepening core business, advancing smart manufacturing and digital transformation, and overcoming technological innovation bottlenecks [3] - The company aims to strengthen industry chain collaboration and prioritize high-value-added business segments, particularly in high-performance alloy materials [3]

Group 1: Company Overview - The company showcases its overall scale, factory layout, entrepreneurial history, industry positioning, and core application areas of its products [2] - The exhibition includes a display of production equipment, testing devices, research outcomes, management systems, and humanistic care [2] Group 2: Market Development Progress - The product system includes seamless pipes, welded pipes, composite pipes, fittings, and flanges, focusing on high-performance materials for key energy sectors like oil and gas, nuclear power, and aviation [2] - The nuclear power business covers various equipment and piping products, with the company positioned as a major supplier of high-value products like evaporator tubes [3] Group 3: Composite Pipe Business - The company is enhancing resource integration with EBK, achieving high-quality and efficient contract fulfillment, positively impacting the composite pipe business [3] - Ongoing internal projects in high-performance pipe materials align with long-term strategic planning and customer needs, supporting future growth [3] Group 4: Alloy Materials Business - The subsidiary focuses on material research and technology innovation, ensuring product quality through a comprehensive production control system [3] - The company aims to support the alloy subsidiary's capacity ramp-up and market expansion, enhancing core customer relationships [3] Group 5: Oil Well Pipe Business - Continuous efforts in new customer development and application exploration have led to improved production line utilization and sales [4] - The company plans to enhance its global market share for oil well pipes through expanded sales channels [4] Group 6: Future Outlook - The company maintains confidence in its short-term goals and long-term strategic vision for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [4] - Focus areas include technological innovation, especially in high-temperature and corrosion-resistant materials, and strengthening the supply chain [5] - The company aims to maximize the synergy of its business segments and solidify its long-term development foundation [5]

Core Viewpoint - The steel industry is experiencing a tightening supply trend, with a projected decrease in crude steel production and an increase in exports, indicating a shift towards quality and structural improvements in production policies [1][2]. Supply Side - As of November 2025, the cumulative crude steel production in China reached 890 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 4.04%, with a reduction of 3.8 million tons compared to the same period in 2025 [1]. - The current round of regulatory policies emphasizes innovative capacity governance, focusing on quality and structure rather than merely eliminating ineffective capacity or controlling production levels [1]. Demand Side - By October 2025, China's cumulative steel exports amounted to approximately 110 million tons, an increase of 13.29 million tons year-on-year, with net steel exports accounting for about 13% of crude steel production, nearing the pre-reform high of 15% in 2015 [2]. - Although the demand for construction steel is still declining, the rate of decline is narrowing, indicating that demand is approaching its bottom [2]. - Manufacturing steel demand is expected to remain stable, driven by sectors such as automotive, home appliances, and shipbuilding, along with increased demand from new infrastructure projects like wind power and photovoltaics [2]. Cost Side - Global iron ore demand is expected to decline, with China's industrial structure upgrades leading to reduced steel demand, while growth in other emerging markets is insufficient to offset this decline [3]. - In the first half of 2025, supply looseness has put downward pressure on coking coal prices, with price movements primarily driven by supply adjustments rather than strong demand growth [3]. - The price of scrap steel is expected to remain stable with limited fluctuations, continuing to exert pressure on upstream and downstream profits [3]. Investment Recommendations - The combination of supply-side production controls and more proactive fiscal policies is likely to enhance sector valuations [4]. - Demand for construction steel is stabilizing, while manufacturing steel demand is showing positive trends, with exports shifting towards higher quality and indirect models [4]. - The elimination of outdated capacity is expected to increase the concentration of leading enterprises, with a necessary trend towards high-quality product development [4]. - Recommended companies include industry leaders with product structure advantages such as Baosteel (600019.SH), Nanjing Steel (600282.SH), and Hualing Steel (000932.SZ), as well as special steel companies with high barriers and added value like CITIC Special Steel (000708.SZ), Jiuli Special Materials (002318.SZ), and Yongjin Co., Ltd. (603995.SH) [4].

证券代码:002318 证券简称:久立特材 公告编号:2025-047 浙江久立特材科技股份有限公司 关于2025年第一期员工持股计划完成非交易过户的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 浙江久立特材科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）分别于 2025 年 11 月 17 日、2025 年 12 月 5 日召开第七届董事会第十六次会议、2025 年第二次临 时股东会，审议通过了《关于<2025 年第一期员工持股计划（草案）>及其摘要 的议案》等相关议案，同意公司实施 2025 年第一期员工持股计划（以下简称"本 员工持股计划"）。具体内容详见公司于 2025 年 11 月 19 日、2025 年 12 月 6 日在巨潮资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn）披露的相关公告。 根据《关于上市公司实施员工持股计划试点的指导意见》和《深圳证券交易 所上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号——主板上市公司规范运作》等相关规定，现将 本员工持股计划实施进展情况公告如下： 一、本员工持股计划的股票来源及数量 本员工持股计划的股票来源为公司回购专用证券账户回购的 ...

Core Insights - The steel industry is expected to recover in 2025 after three years of decline, driven by improvements in cost and supply sides [4][7][16] - The majority of profits in the black industrial chain are captured by iron ore, with profit shares of 72% for iron ore, 6% for coking coal, and 22% for steel [4][7] - The West Manganese project is seen as a potential solution to redirect profits back to the domestic steel industry [4][7] Profitability - In Q4 2025, prices for rebar, hot-rolled, iron ore, and coking coal decreased by 7.1%, 6.0%, 1.0%, and 12.5% year-on-year, respectively, with coking coal showing a significant price drop [7][18] - The decline in coking coal prices has alleviated cost pressures for steel companies, leading to a rebound in profitability [18][21] - The overall profit for the steel industry is expected to improve as demand stabilizes and costs decrease [7][21] Supply - The actual crude steel production in 2025 is expected to remain flat year-on-year, despite improved profitability encouraging production [20][21] - The supply side has not yet contracted as expected, with administrative production limits still pending implementation [16][20] - The discrepancy in production statistics indicates that crude steel output may be underestimated due to reporting practices [21][23] Demand - Steel inventory has been successfully reduced to low levels, indicating a stabilization in apparent consumption [26][27] - The demand structure shows a decline in rebar consumption by 5.4%, while hot-rolled and cold-rolled products saw increases of 1.2% and 1.5%, respectively [30][31] - Strong external demand, particularly in machinery and equipment exports, is expected to support steel demand [31][40] Outlook for 2026 - Steel demand is anticipated to remain stable, supported by infrastructure and manufacturing investments as outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan [42][46] - The decline in new housing starts is expected to moderate, reducing the negative impact on steel demand from the real estate sector [46][48] - Global monetary and fiscal policies are expected to become more accommodative, further supporting steel demand through improved economic conditions [48][49] Policy and Regulation - The introduction of export license management for certain steel products aims to curb low-end exports and improve market stability [51][52] - The focus on "graded management" policies is expected to lead to a reduction in outdated production capacity, benefiting compliant and high-quality steel producers [52]

Company Performance - Jiu Li Special Materials' stock price reached a historical high, increasing by 2.52% to 28.09 yuan, with a trading volume of 7.6239 million shares and a transaction value of 211 million yuan [2] - The company reported a total revenue of 9.747 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.45%, and a net profit of 1.262 billion yuan, up 20.73% year-on-year [2] - The basic earnings per share were 1.3300 yuan, with a weighted average return on equity of 15.95% [2] Industry Overview - The steel industry, to which Jiu Li Special Materials belongs, experienced an overall increase of 0.07%, with 25 stocks rising, including notable gains from Fushun Special Steel and Changbao Co., Ltd. [2] - Among the stocks that declined, major losses were seen in Da Zhong Mining, Hainan Mining, and Shougang Co., Ltd. [2] Financing Data - As of December 24, the margin trading balance for Jiu Li Special Materials was 343 million yuan, with a financing balance of 335 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 13.566 million yuan over the past 10 days, a decline of 3.89% [2]

Group 1 - The special steel sector increased by 1.1% on December 24, with Fushun Special Steel leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3940.95, up 0.53%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13486.42, up 0.88% [1] - Key stocks in the special steel sector showed various increases, with Fushun Special Steel at 5.49 (up 2.43%) and Taiyuan Iron & Steel at 5.08 (up 2.01%) [1] Group 2 - The special steel sector saw a net inflow of 84.90 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 85.13 million yuan [2] - The trading volume for Taiyuan Iron & Steel was 1.57 million shares, with a transaction value of 793 million yuan [2] - Fushun Special Steel had a main fund net inflow of 40.57 million yuan, representing 10.32% of its trading volume [3]