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供需边际好转,利润有望修复
Minsheng Securities· 2026-01-18 07:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the steel industry, recommending several key companies [2][3]. Core Insights - The supply-demand situation is improving, leading to a potential recovery in profits for the steel industry. The report highlights that production of major steel products has increased, while total inventory has decreased, indicating a positive shift in market dynamics [7][30]. - The report emphasizes that the profitability of steel manufacturers is expected to recover in the short term due to improved supply-demand conditions and stable cost support from raw materials [7][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Domestic Steel Market - As of January 16, steel prices have risen, with HRB400 rebar priced at 3,320 CNY/ton, up 40 CNY/ton from the previous week. Other products like high-line and hot-rolled steel also saw price increases [13][14]. 2. Production and Inventory - The total production of five major steel products reached 8.19 million tons, an increase of 0.62 million tons week-on-week. Total inventory decreased by 11,700 tons to 865,320 tons, indicating a positive trend in inventory management [7][30]. 3. Profitability - The report notes a decline in steel profits, with average margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel decreasing by 13 CNY/ton, 4 CNY/ton, and 18 CNY/ton respectively. However, the overall outlook for profit recovery remains optimistic [7][30]. 4. Key Company Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - General Steel Leaders: Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel - Special Steel Sector: Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel, Fangda Special Steel - Pipe Manufacturers: Jiuli Special Materials, Youfa Group, Changbao Co. - Raw Material Sector: Dazhong Mining (iron ore + lithium ore), Fangda Carbon [7][30].
证券研究报告行业周报:戒骄戒躁-20260118
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-18 06:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several steel companies, including Xining Special Steel, Nanjing Steel, Hualing Steel, and Baosteel [9]. Core Insights - The steel market is experiencing a recovery in valuation, with absolute valuations moving from undervalued to moderately low levels, indicating potential for absolute returns [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of structural reforms in the capital market, which are expected to facilitate a shift towards value investing in the steel industry [2]. - The report highlights that the demand for steel is improving, with significant increases in apparent consumption, particularly for rebar [6][41]. Supply Analysis - Daily molten iron production has decreased by 16,000 tons to 2.28 million tons, while steel production has slightly increased [15]. - The capacity utilization rate of 247 steel mills is at 85.5%, down 0.6 percentage points week-on-week but up 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [21]. Inventory Analysis - Total steel inventory has shifted from an increase to a decrease, with a week-on-week decline of 0.6% [27]. - The social inventory of five major steel products is 8.663 million tons, up 0.1% week-on-week and up 8.7% year-on-year [29]. Demand Analysis - Apparent consumption of five major steel products has improved significantly, with a week-on-week increase of 3.7% [51]. - Rebar apparent consumption reached 1.903 million tons, up 8.8% week-on-week and 2.8% year-on-year [51]. Raw Material Analysis - Iron ore prices have weakened, with a decrease in the shipping volume from Australia and Brazil, while port inventories have increased [50]. - The price index for imported iron ore is reported at 106.2 USD/ton, down 2.2% week-on-week [59]. Price and Profit Analysis - Steel prices are stable with slight increases, and the gross profit margins for steel products are improving [69]. - The comprehensive steel price index is at 122.7, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.2% [70].
特钢板块1月15日涨0.08%,甬金股份领涨,主力资金净流入3438.47万元
证券之星消息,1月15日特钢板块较上一交易日上涨0.08%,甬金股份领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4112.6,下跌0.33%。深证成指报收于14306.73,上涨0.41%。特钢板块个股涨跌见下表: 从资金流向上来看,当日特钢板块主力资金净流入3438.47万元,游资资金净流出6629.34万元,散户资金 净流入3190.87万元。特钢板块个股资金流向见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000825 太钢不锈 | | 4673.10万 | 4.36% | -4153.27万 | -3.88% | -519.82万 | -0.48% | | 600399 抚顺特钢 | | 2576.49万 | 2.19% | -2219.51万 | -1.89% | -356.98万 | -0.30% | | 002443 | 金洲管道 | 1684.73万 | 8.64% | -548.64万 | -2.81% ...
小红日报|常宝股份收涨停板,标普A股红利ETF华宝(562060)标的指数收跌0.36%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-15 01:19
Group 1 - The article highlights the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index (CSPSADRP) based on their daily and year-to-date performance as of January 14, 2026 [1][5] - The top performer, 常宝股份 (Changbao Co., Ltd.), recorded a daily increase of 9.99% and a year-to-date increase of 5.31% with a dividend yield of 2.69% [1][5] - Other notable stocks include 岱美股份 (Daimay Co., Ltd.) with a daily increase of 5.56% and 南山铝业 (Nanshan Aluminum) with a year-to-date increase of 9.85% and a dividend yield of 6.74% [1][5] Group 2 - The overall dividend yield for the index is reported at 4.76%, with a historical price-to-earnings ratio of 11.75 times and an expected price-to-earnings ratio of 11.07 times [2] - The data indicates a positive trend in stock performance, with several companies showing significant year-to-date gains, such as 中远海能 (COSCO Shipping Energy) at 19.86% [1][5] - The article also notes the formation of a MACD golden cross signal, suggesting a bullish trend for the stocks mentioned [4][8]
特钢板块1月14日跌0.31%,抚顺特钢领跌,主力资金净流出2462.36万元
Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 0.31% on January 14, with Fushun Special Steel leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4126.09, down 0.31%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14248.6, up 0.56% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include: - Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478) rose by 9.99% to a closing price of 8.92, with a trading volume of 624,500 shares and a transaction value of 539 million [1] - Jinzhu Pipeline (002443) increased by 1.88% to 8.67, with a trading volume of 275,200 shares [1] - Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) saw a slight increase of 1.53% to 5.32, with a trading volume of 1,698,400 shares [1] - Other stocks like Xining Special Steel (600117) and CITIC Special Steel (000708) experienced minor declines of 0.34% and 0.44%, respectively [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 24.62 million from institutional investors and 48.36 million from retail investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 72.99 million [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks indicates: - Changbao Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 1.24 billion from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 74.27 million from retail investors [3] - Xining Special Steel had a net inflow of 10.68 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 11.70 million [3] - Taiyuan Iron & Steel faced a net outflow of 135.03 million from institutional investors, but retail investors had a net inflow of 220.43 million [3]
常宝股份:目前公司HRSG订单充足,产线保持满负荷运行
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2026-01-13 13:42
Core Viewpoint - The company, Changbao Co., Ltd. (002478), emphasizes its HRSG products as a key value offering in the gas turbine waste heat boiler power generation sector, maintaining strong partnerships with leading domestic and international brands [1] Group 1: Product and Market Position - HRSG products are highlighted as a specialty value product for the company, primarily used in the gas turbine waste heat boiler power generation field [1] - The company reports a sufficient order backlog for HRSG products, with production lines operating at full capacity [1] Group 2: Production and Strategy - The company plans to optimize production organization and increase HRSG product capacity through market-driven approaches to adapt to growing and changing market demands [1] - Continuous efforts will be made to enhance product competitiveness and value rate [1]
常宝股份:目前在委内瑞拉没有业务
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-13 07:10
格隆汇1月13日丨常宝股份(002478.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示,公司目前在委内瑞拉没有业务。 ...
常宝股份(002478.SZ):目前在委内瑞拉没有业务
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-13 07:05
格隆汇1月13日丨常宝股份(002478.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示,公司目前在委内瑞拉没有业务。 ...
常宝股份(002478.SZ):HRSG订单充足,产线保持满负荷运行
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-13 07:05
格隆汇1月13日丨常宝股份(002478.SZ)在投资者互动平台表示, HRSG产品为公司特色价值产品,主要 应用于燃气轮机余热锅炉发电领域,公司长期与国内外头部品牌客户保持合作关系。目前,公司 HRSG 订单充足,产线保持满负荷运行。公司将根据市场需求情况,进一步优化生产组织安排,加大HRSG 产 品的产能挖潜和结构升级,以市场化的方式灵活应对市场需求的增长和变化,持续提升产品的竞争力和 价值率。 ...
特钢板块1月12日涨1.54%,金洲管道领涨,主力资金净流入9510.8万元
证券之星消息,1月12日特钢板块较上一交易日上涨1.54%,金洲管道领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4165.29,上涨1.09%。深证成指报收于14366.91,上涨1.75%。特钢板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002443 | 金洲管道 | 8.86 | 10.06% | 45.05万 | | 3.82亿 | | 6682009 | 抚顺特钢 | 7.06 | 8.78% | 241.63万 | | 17.00亿 | | 002318 | 久立特材 | 29.93 | 3.28% | 21.92万 | | 6.48亿 | | 000825 | 太钢不锈 | 5.57 | 2.96% | 226.58万 | | 12.66亿 | | 600117 | 西宁特钢 | 3.01 | 2.38% | 48.74万 | | 1.46 Z | | 300881 | 盛德整泰 | 35.79 | 1.24% | 2.11万 | | 7527.67万 | | ...