中证报中证网讯（记者 孟培嘉）常宝股份（002478）在12月15日披露的投资者关系活动记录表中表 示，公司锅炉管产品主要聚焦两大应用领域，包括燃煤发电机组用锅炉管与燃气轮机联合循环发电用 HRSG（余热锅炉）管。 "在燃气轮机联合循环发电用HRSG管领域，近几年国际市场燃气发电机组装机规模正稳步提升，HRSG 管市场需求稳健。"常宝股份相关负责人表示，目前综合行业政策导向、下游需求支撑及当前市场需 求，预计锅炉管市场整体将保持景气态势。公司将加大锅炉管产能潜力挖掘与产品结构升级优化力度。 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][3]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic player in the special seamless steel pipe industry, with a solid operational foundation. Its boiler pipe business is expected to grow rapidly, contributing significantly to revenue, particularly from HRSG boiler pipes used in gas turbine power generation [1][7]. - The company has a healthy financial position, with a low debt ratio and substantial cash reserves, which supports its operational stability and growth potential [23][32]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 6,661 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 7%. However, a decline of 14% is expected in 2024, followed by modest growth in subsequent years [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 783 million RMB in 2023, with a significant drop of 19% anticipated in 2024 [2]. - The company maintains a low debt ratio of 34% and has cash reserves exceeding 30 billion RMB, indicating strong liquidity [32][33]. Business Overview - The company has transitioned from a traditional steel pipe manufacturer to a provider of specialized pipe solutions for high-end manufacturing and emerging industries [12][15]. - The boiler pipe segment has become a core growth driver, with its revenue share increasing from 23% in 2022 to over 40% currently [1][7]. - The company has established itself in the international supply chain for electrical equipment, supplying HRSG boiler pipes to major global players like GEV and Mitsubishi [1][7]. Market Dynamics - The demand for gas turbines is expected to surge due to the development of overseas power systems and AI data centers, which will benefit the company's HRSG boiler pipe business [1][7]. - The North American gas turbine market is experiencing a supply-demand mismatch, presenting an opportunity for the company to expand its customer base [31]. Management and Ownership - The company's ownership structure is stable, with the chairman and his family holding a significant portion of shares, ensuring continuity in management [17][20]. - The management team consists of experienced individuals who have been with the company for a long time, contributing to its strategic direction and operational efficiency [21][22].

证券代码：002478 证券简称：常宝股份 江苏常宝钢管股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-009 | | 特定对象调研 | | □分析师会议 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资者关系 | □媒体采访 | | □业绩说明会 | | | 活动类别 | □新闻发布会 | | □路演活动 | | | | 现场参观 | | 电话会议 | | | 时间 | 2025 年 12 月 4 下午 | 日上午 | 9:30-11:30 | 14:00-15:00 | | 参与单位名称 | 人保资产 | 李一冉 | | | | 及人员姓名 | 东方红资管 | 袁钉 | | | | | 兴银基金 | 石亮 | | | | | 中银基金 | 程斐 | | | | | 紫金投资 | 周禹含 | | | | | 国联民生证券 | 范钧 | | | | | 长江证券 | 易轰 | | | | | 天弘基金 | 唐博 | | | | | 天弘基金 | 陈禹光 | | | | 地点 | 公司会议室 | | | | | 上市公司 接待人员姓名 | 董事会秘书刘志峰 | | | | ...

Group 1: Company Overview and Performance - Jiangsu Changbao Steel Pipe Co., Ltd. specializes in the R&D, manufacturing, and service of special seamless pipes, established in 1958 and listed in 2010 [2][3] - The company has three production bases in Changzhou, Jintan, and Oman, with an annual production capacity of 1 million tons of special pipes [3] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of CNY 4.284 billion, net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 392 million, and net cash flow from operations of CNY 249 million, indicating stable operational performance [3] Group 2: Product Development and Market Strategy - The company focuses on high-end, brand-oriented, and segmented development strategies, aiming to enhance the proportion of specialty and value-added products [3][11] - HRSG products have become a key feature, with production capabilities for ultra-long, ultra-thin, and high-strength products, maintaining a leading market share [4] - The company plans to increase production capacity and optimize product structure for boiler pipes, particularly in high-temperature alloy and stainless steel segments [5][11] Group 3: Raw Material Management and Profit Stability - The main raw material, special steel pipe blanks, is subject to price fluctuations influenced by macroeconomic factors and supply-demand dynamics [6] - The company has established long-term strategic partnerships with several domestic steel manufacturers to mitigate raw material price volatility [6] Group 4: Future Capacity and Dividend Plans - The company aims to maintain stable overall production capacity while optimizing product and market structures to enhance profitability [7][9] - Since its listing, the company has consistently returned profits to shareholders, with a commitment to balance business growth and shareholder returns [9] Group 5: International Operations and Market Expansion - The overseas factory in Oman has been operational since 2017, focusing on deep processing of oil well pipe products and serving major local oil and gas companies [10] - The company will continue to assess external market conditions to seize opportunities for expansion in overseas markets [10] Group 6: Profit Margin Improvement Measures - The company is actively adjusting product and market structures to enhance profitability, focusing on unconventional oil and gas markets and high-end product development [11][12] - Efforts will be made to develop new materials and improve operational quality through digitalization and lean management practices [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 10.40 CNY based on a PE valuation of 16X for 2025 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company has seen improvements in its non-recurring performance, with a year-on-year increase in non-recurring net profit of 0.8% for the first three quarters of 2025, despite facing short-term pressure from the oil and gas industry's weak demand [10]. - The company is actively pursuing a high-end product transformation strategy, with a focus on specialty products such as 13Cr, HRSG, and oil cylinder pipes, which are expected to enhance profitability [10]. - The demand for the company's main products, including oil casing and boiler pipes, is anticipated to remain strong due to ongoing investments in the oil and gas extraction and thermal power construction sectors [10]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's projected revenue for 2025 is 6,085 million CNY, reflecting a 6.8% year-on-year growth, following a decline of 14.5% in 2024 [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 589 million CNY in 2025, down 7.1% from the previous year, with an estimated EPS of 0.65 CNY [4]. - The gross margin is projected to improve to 17.4% in 2025, with a net margin of 9.7% [4].

Core Viewpoint - Changbao Co., Ltd. has announced that its boiler pipes are key products with strong market demand and are leading in production volume, brand quality, and customer recognition in both domestic and international markets [2] Company Overview - The company’s boiler pipe production capacity is currently operating at full capacity, indicating robust market demand [2] - The HRSG (Heat Recovery Steam Generator) product, which is primarily used in gas turbine waste heat boiler power generation, holds a significant market share within the industry [2] - Changbao maintains stable supply relationships with leading domestic and international enterprises [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to enhance internal capacity utilization and structural upgrades for its boiler pipes [2] - There is a focus on strengthening collaborations with leading enterprises to further improve the market competitiveness of its key products [2] - The company is also advancing the market development of new products, including high-end stainless steel boiler pipes [2]

Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.284 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1.40% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 392 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 4.60% [2] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 353 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 0.80% [2] - The net operating cash flow was 249 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 22.60% [2] - In Q3 2025, the revenue was 1.472 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 3.66% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q3 was 138 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 61.15% [3] Product Development and Market Strategy - The company focuses on value and brand management, enhancing the development of key, specialty, and new products [3] - In the oil and gas sector, the company is increasing efforts in non-API products and unconventional oil and gas extraction [4] - The boiler pipe market remains strong, with the company maintaining full capacity and a leading market share in HRSG products [5][6] - The variety pipe business covers multiple segments, with ongoing new product development and market expansion [7] Project Progress and Capital Expenditure - As of Q3 2025, the precision pipe and specialty material projects are progressing well, with several new products receiving orders [8] - The company has a cash balance of 3.059 billion CNY, indicating strong financial health and risk resistance [9] - Future capital expenditures will focus on production line upgrades and automation to respond flexibly to market demands [9] International Expansion and Strategic Planning - The company is committed to a global strategy, enhancing international market presence and brand recognition [11] - A production base has been established in Oman to improve service capabilities in the Middle East [11] - The company aims to adapt to external changes and seize overseas market opportunities [11] Corporate Philosophy and Transformation - The company adheres to long-termism and value management, focusing on building core competencies through niche branding [12] - The ongoing transformation emphasizes high-end, branded, and segmented product strategies to meet market demands [12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of RMB 8.91 [1][9]. Core Insights - The company reported Q3 revenue of RMB 1.472 billion, a year-over-year increase of 3.66% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 8.04%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 138 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 61.15% [6]. - The company is actively upgrading its product lines and expanding into emerging markets, which supports the maintained "Buy" rating [6][8]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 improved to 17.7%, a year-over-year increase of 0.6 percentage points, aided by a slight decrease in operating expense ratio [7]. Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 5,696 million in 2024, RMB 6,120 million in 2025, RMB 6,460 million in 2026, and RMB 6,827 million in 2027, with respective growth rates of -14.48%, 7.44%, 5.55%, and 5.68% [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be RMB 634.22 million in 2024, RMB 596.25 million in 2025, RMB 711.67 million in 2026, and RMB 751.49 million in 2027, with growth rates of -19.00%, -5.99%, 19.36%, and 5.60% respectively [5]. - The company’s EPS is projected to be RMB 0.70 in 2024, RMB 0.66 in 2025, RMB 0.79 in 2026, and RMB 0.83 in 2027 [5][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on high-end product transformation, particularly in the oil pipe and boiler pipe sectors, with a shift towards nickel-based alloy pipes and stainless steel products [8]. - The company is also enhancing its brand in specialty materials and expanding its market for precision automotive pipes [8].

Group 1: Company Performance Overview - In the first half of 2025, the company maintained stable production and sales despite a challenging domestic and international environment, showing resilience in operations [2] - Although the company's performance declined year-on-year due to intensified competition and changes in the foreign trade market, there was a significant improvement in the second quarter compared to the first quarter [2] Group 2: Business Strategy and Development - The company focuses on optimizing product and market structures, emphasizing collaboration with brand clients and industry leaders to enhance core competitiveness [3] - Continuous upgrades and adjustments to production lines are implemented to ensure product quality and production efficiency, adapting to market demands [4] Group 3: Product and Market Expansion - The company aims to advance high-end transformation in its oil pipe business, targeting niche markets and key clients, with a focus on promoting nickel-based alloy pipes and 13Cr products [5] - In the boiler pipe sector, the company has upgraded its product range from carbon and alloy steel to stainless steel, enhancing its competitiveness and customer recognition [5] Group 4: New Projects and Future Plans - New projects are progressing as scheduled, with successful deliveries and approvals from major domestic and international clients in the specialty materials sector [6] - The company is committed to a shareholder return plan for 2024-2026, balancing investor returns with growth potential [6] Group 5: Capital Expenditure and Global Strategy - The company has established a production base in Oman and plans to seize overseas market opportunities while monitoring external uncertainties [6] - Ongoing efforts include optimizing product structures and upgrading production lines to enhance core competitiveness [6]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Changbao Steel Tube Co., Ltd. is focusing on restructuring its competitiveness and high-end transformation in 2025, despite facing challenges in the oil and gas industry and a decline in overseas market demand [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company experienced a decline in oil casing sales due to weak market demand, while the boiler pipe sector saw revenue growth due to internal resource optimization [1]. - The company reported a year-on-year increase in sales of specialty products, driven by new customer development and certifications from leading enterprises [1]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company is committed to enhancing internal capabilities and operational efficiency through systematic upgrades in employee awareness, work methods, management tools, and information technology [2]. - Product structure adjustments are being made to focus on specialized operations and value-driven management, with flexible resource integration to meet market demands [2]. Group 3: Collaboration and Innovation - The company has established partnerships with several brand special steel enterprises and is collaborating with organizations like Westmark to create joint research and development centers [2]. - Continuous investment in automation, information technology, and digitalization is aimed at building a visual control system and integrating artificial intelligence into specific projects [2]. Group 4: Talent Development and Long-term Planning - The company employs a dual strategy of external recruitment and internal training to build its talent pool, establishing a multi-channel promotion mechanism [2]. - Long-term development plans are guided by annual objectives, with flexibility to adjust strategies while advancing medium to long-term plans like the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2]. Group 5: Financial Strategy - The company has outlined a shareholder return plan for the next three years (2024-2026), balancing shareholder returns with company growth [2]. - Future capital expenditures will focus on optimizing product structure, upgrading production lines, and investing in automation and intelligent construction [2].