Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the textile and apparel industry, highlighting potential recovery opportunities due to evolving tariff policies and domestic demand [5][9]. Core Insights - The manufacturing sector is expected to see a valuation recovery as the peak of risk aversion related to tariff policies has passed, with major brands maintaining order volumes and shipment schedules [5][9]. - The brand sector is poised for a valuation recovery driven by improved consumer sentiment and policy support, particularly in discretionary spending categories like apparel [5][9]. Industry Data Tracking - The Cotlook A index and China cotton price index decreased by 1.3% and 4.2% respectively, while wool prices fell by 4.3% [27]. - In March 2025, Vietnam's textile and apparel exports increased by 14.77% year-on-year, with footwear exports rising by 15.77% [31][33]. - Retail sales in China showed a year-on-year growth of 4% in the first two months of 2025, with notable increases in categories such as clothing and home appliances [24][25]. Company Dynamics - Anta Sports reported a double-digit revenue growth in Q1 2025, with a significant increase in sales from its various brands [3]. - Huali Group's revenue for 2024 reached 24 billion yuan, reflecting a 19.35% year-on-year increase, driven by both returning and new customers [3]. - Taiping Bird's Q1 2025 revenue declined by 7% year-on-year, but the company is expected to benefit from strategic adjustments and improved gross margins [3]. Market Performance - The textile and apparel sector experienced a decline of 5.72% this week, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [6][14]. - The report highlights the performance of individual stocks, with notable gains from companies like Wan Shili and Tai Mu Shi, while companies like Kai Run and Mu Gao Di faced significant declines [21][22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the textile and apparel industry, highlighting the potential for recovery and growth in domestic demand in 2025 [5][12]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector has underperformed the market recently, with the SW textile and apparel index dropping by 5.7% from April 7 to April 11, lagging behind the SW All A index by 1.3 percentage points [6]. - Anta's acquisition of the German brand Jack Wolfskin is seen as a strategic move to enhance its outdoor segment, with the brand expected to complement Anta's existing portfolio [11]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand recovery as a key investment theme for 2025, particularly in light of changing international trade dynamics [12]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The textile and apparel sector has shown weakness, with significant declines in both the apparel and textile manufacturing indices [6][9]. - Recent data indicates a 3.3% year-on-year increase in retail sales for clothing and textiles, totaling 262.4 billion yuan in January and February [30]. Company Developments - Anta's Q1 performance exceeded expectations, with a notable increase in sales across its brands, including a 70% increase in other brands [11]. - The report highlights the strong financial performance of Huayi Group, which reported a 19.35% increase in revenue for 2024, reaching 24 billion yuan [11]. Industry Trends - The report discusses the impact of U.S. tariff policies on the textile supply chain, noting a significant imbalance in global tariff structures, particularly affecting Chinese exports [13][14]. - The cross-border e-commerce sector is adapting to tariff challenges, with companies focusing on diversifying supply chains and reducing costs [16]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in quality domestic brands that are poised for recovery, particularly in the sports and outdoor segments, as well as in home textiles and children's clothing [5][12]. - Specific companies highlighted for potential investment include Anta Sports, Bosideng, and Huayi Group, among others [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 14.63 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.14 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 1.4% [1] - Despite fluctuations in profit margins due to channel investments, the company demonstrated confidence in its growth by actively opening new stores [1][4] - The children's clothing segment showed strong growth, with a revenue increase of 9.6% year-on-year, highlighting the resilience of the leading brand [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.23 billion yuan, up 9.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 380 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 32.1% [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 43.8%, with a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points, while the sales expense ratio increased by 1.5 percentage points due to proactive marketing and store openings [3] Business Segments - The children's clothing and leisure segments generated revenues of 10.27 billion yuan and 4.19 billion yuan, respectively, with gross margins of 47.3% and 35.5% [2] - The company opened a net of 280 new children's clothing stores and 108 leisure stores, bringing the total to 5,514 and 2,811 stores, respectively [2] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 15.65 billion yuan, 16.56 billion yuan, and 17.42 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 7.0%, 5.8%, and 5.2% [4] - The company plans to maintain a high dividend payout ratio of 83% in 2024, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [4]

证券代码：002563 证券简称：森马服饰 公告编号：2025-13 浙江森马服饰股份有限公司 关于举行网上业绩说明会的通知 出席本次网上业绩说明会的人员有：公司董事长、总经理邱坚强先生，董事、副总经 理兼财务总监陈新生先生，独立董事刘海波先生，董事会秘书宗惠春先生。 现就公司 2024 年度网上业绩说明会向投资者公开征集问题，听取投资者的意见和建议。 投资者可于 2025 年 4 月 17 日（周四）17:00 前将所关注问题发送至公司电子信箱 ir@semir.com。公司将在 2024 年度网上业绩说明会上回复投资者普遍关注的问题。 欢迎广大投资者积极参与。 浙江森马服饰股份有限公司 董事会 二〇二五年四月十一日 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误 导性陈述或重大遗漏。 浙江森马服饰股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")已于 2025 年 4 月 1 日发布了《浙江 森马服饰股份有限公司 2024 年年度报告》。为便于广大投资者更深入全面地了解公司情 况，现定于 2025 年 4 月 18 日（周五）15:00-16:00 在全景网举办 2024 年度网上业绩说明 会， ...

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨森马服饰（002563.SZ） [Table_Title] 森马服饰 2024 年年报点评：零售改革叠加净拓 店下收入韧性显著好于同业，业绩符合预期 报告要点 于旭辉 魏杏梓 SAC：S0490518020002 SAC：S0490524020003 SFC：BUU942 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Summary] 展望未来，公司夯实基础，全域化、控折扣、降库存均取得成效。预计短期内受益于生育补贴 政策情绪催化，巴拉终端零售有望受到提振，增益业绩表现，叠加后续新零售改革逐步取得成 效，公司逆势开店有望带来一定的收入和业绩弹性增量。预计公司 2025-2027 年归母净利润为 12.8、14.2、15.4 亿元，对应 PE 为 15、13、12X，维持"买入"评级。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 森马服饰（002563.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 森马服饰 2024 2] 年年报点评：零售改革叠加净拓 店下收入韧性显著好于同业，业绩符合预期 [T ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [8] Core Insights - The brand sector shows steady recovery in Q1 under consumer promotion policies, with most companies achieving positive growth, outperforming expectations. The performance varies across sub-sectors, with mid-to-high-end menswear showing strong growth, sports retail maintaining steady growth, and mass brands also experiencing a rebound. Profitability varies due to differentiated cost control and operational leverage [2][4][16] - The manufacturing sector faces short-term pressure as downstream inventory has reached healthy levels, but demand from major export countries is weakening. In Q1, demand from the US and Japan shows marginal weakening. Most brands and retailers have returned to healthy inventory levels, but weak overseas demand is expected to limit replenishment momentum, affecting order elasticity in the related supply chain [2][4][17] Summary by Relevant Sections Brand Sector - Q1 retail sales of clothing and textiles increased by 3.3% year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 3.6 percentage points [20] - Mid-to-high-end menswear brands are leading in retail growth, while the sports sector continues to show steady growth. Mass apparel brands are also experiencing a recovery [20][27] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing sector is under short-term pressure due to weak demand from major export markets and healthy inventory levels. The overall order placement is cautious, with expectations of further pressure from tariff forecasts [4][28] Key Company Performance - **Wanjian Medical**: Expected Q1 revenue growth of 30%-40%, driven by non-woven products and strong brand power in sanitary napkins [5][40] - **Zhejiang Natural**: Anticipated Q1 revenue growth of 25%-35%, with net profit expected to increase by 50%-100% [5][40] - **Weixing Co.**: Expected Q1 revenue growth of 10%-15% and double-digit net profit growth [5][40] - **Anta Sports**: Expected Q1 revenue growth in the high single digits, with FILA brand showing mid-to-low single-digit growth [6][20] - **361 Degrees**: Anticipated Q1 revenue growth of 10%-15% for adult apparel and around 15% for children's clothing, with e-commerce growth of about 20% [6][20] Inventory and Demand Trends - The inventory levels of most brands and retailers have returned to a healthy state, with the wholesale inventory destocking nearing completion. However, weak overseas demand is expected to limit replenishment momentum [4][28]

21世纪经济报道记者朱艺艺杭州报道 在公布2024年成绩单之后，森马服饰（002563.SZ）4月1日收获涨停，4月1日-4月3日累计上涨12.16%。 从营收结构看，以"巴拉巴拉"品牌为代表的儿童服饰营收增长9.55%至102.68亿元，再次突破百亿元大 关，占总营收的70.21%，成为公司业绩增长的主要驱动力；休闲服饰营收增长0.44%至41.90亿元，占总 营收的28.65%。 除了继续发力童装板块，森马服饰也在加码线上和出海布局，寻求业绩新增量。 童装成为增长密码 作为老牌步行街巨头，森马服饰以主打休闲服饰定位的主品牌森马为人熟知。不过，公司最赚钱的业 务，却是以"童装一哥"巴拉巴拉品牌为代表的儿童服饰。 2024年，森马的儿童服饰营收为102.68亿元，占总营收比重的70.21%，且获得9.55%的增速。 拉长时间线来看，童装板块的收入占比几乎稳步提升。 2017年，森马的儿童服饰贡献营收63.22亿元，占公司总收入的52.56%，首次超过休闲服饰的营收占比 （46.85%），开始成为公司业绩增长的核心驱动力。 在此基础上，2018年-2023年，森马服饰的童装板块营收分别为88.25亿元、126. ...

重回净开店周期，加大直营开店。分渠道看，2024 年线上/直营/加盟收入分别同比 +7.14%/+12.64%/+5.12%，收入占比分别为46%/11%/42%。 公司公布2024 年年报：2024 年营收146.26 亿元/yoy+7.06%，归母净利润11.37 亿元/yoy+1.42%，扣非归 母净利润10.84 亿元/yoy+6.16%。单Q4 营收52.27 亿元/yoy+9.76%，归母净利润3.82 亿元/yoy+32.07%， 归母净利润增长快于营收主因资产减值同比减少。年末分红0.35 元/股，全年分红比例82.9%，较2023 年显著提升（2023 年分红比例72.1%）。 童装产品迭代、翻新门店，贡献主要增长，休闲服焕新"新森马"形象。 分产品看，2024 年休闲服/童装收入分别同比+0.4%/+9.6%，收入占比分别为29%/70%。24 年巴拉品牌 对产品线迭代更新，确立日常生活、城市户外和高光时刻三大核心场景产品线，并逐步构建心智商品 群，目前已打造 Bala T、轻羽绒、冲锋衣、防晒服等百万级销量的商品集群，24年翻新扩改门店超500 家。森马品牌聚焦8 大心智产品，爆款产品规 ...

公司发布 2024 年年报，实现营业收入146.3 亿，同比增长7.1%，实现归母净利润11.4 亿，同比增长 1.4%，其中24Q4 收入和归母净利润分别同比增长9.8%和-32.1%，分红率预计为82.9%，维持高分红。 截至2024 年底，公司存货周转天数为173 天，去年同期为190 天。经营活动现金流净额为12.6 亿，去年 同期为19.4 亿。 积极开拓中国香港地区市场及海外市场。2024 年公司在新加坡、马来西亚、越南、蒙古、约旦等多个 市场新开 30 多家门店。截至期末，森马和巴拉巴拉品牌成功进驻全球 15 个国家和地区，中国香港地区 及海外门店数量突破 100 家。 根据年报，我们调整盈利预测并引入2027 年的盈利预测，预计2025-2027 年每股收益分别为0.46、0.53 和0.61 元（原25-26 年0.56 和0.62 元），参考可比公司，给予2025 年17 倍PE 估值，对应目标价7.82 元，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、终端消费复苏不及预期等 24 年两品牌均实现净开店，新森马门店逐步推广。分品类来看，1）休闲服饰： 2024 年收入同比增长0.4%，毛利 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 7.82 CNY for 2025, based on a 17x PE valuation [2][9]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 14.63 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.1%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.14 billion CNY, with a slight increase of 1.4% [8]. - The company plans to continue its high dividend payout, with an expected dividend rate of 82.9% for 2024 [8]. - The company successfully opened new stores under both of its brands, with a net increase of 108 stores in casual wear and 280 stores in children's wear [8]. - The online sales channel saw a gross margin increase, with online sales revenue growing by 7.1% [8]. - The company is actively expanding into international markets, having opened over 30 new stores in countries such as Singapore, Malaysia, and Vietnam [8]. Financial Summary - The company's projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.46 CNY, 0.53 CNY, and 0.61 CNY, respectively [2][9]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 15.78 billion CNY in 2025 to 18.71 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding profit growth [6]. - The gross margin is projected to remain stable, with slight improvements expected over the forecast period [6]. - The company’s net profit margin is expected to increase from 7.9% in 2025 to 8.7% in 2027 [6].