Market Performance - The other power equipment sector increased by 2.8% compared to the previous trading day, with Haibo Sichuang leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Haibo Sichuang (688411) closed at 278.50, up 11.07% with a trading volume of 77,000 shares and a transaction value of 2.038 billion [1] - Maigemeite (002851) closed at 106.50, up 8.50% with a trading volume of 338,200 shares and a transaction value of 3.537 billion [1] - Yingjie Electric (300820) closed at 59.00, up 8.46% with a trading volume of 125,300 shares and a transaction value of 722 million [1] - Other notable stocks include Dongfang Electric (600875) up 5.91% and Xifeng Energy (300593) up 5.25% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The other power equipment sector saw a net inflow of 385 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 13.51 million [2] - The main stocks with significant capital inflow include Maigemeite with 254 million and Haibo Sichuang with 168 million [3] - Retail investors showed a net outflow in several stocks, including Maigemeite and Haibo Sichuang, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [3]

Group 1 - The A-share power equipment sector remained active in the afternoon on January 19, with Magpower hitting the daily limit up [2] - Newray Energy, Oulu Tong, Shenghong Shares, and Haibo Sichuang also experienced gains [2]

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance and trading activity of Magpowr Electric Co., Ltd. indicate a mixed outlook, with significant revenue growth but a notable decline in net profit. Group 1: Financial Performance - As of December 31, Magpowr reported a revenue of 6.79 billion yuan for the period from January to September 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.05% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 213 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 48.29% [2] Group 2: Shareholder and Trading Activity - As of January 16, Magpowr's stock price increased by 0.14%, with a trading volume of 1.979 billion yuan [1] - The financing buy-in amount on January 16 was 298 million yuan, while the financing repayment was 186 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy-in of 112 million yuan [1] - The total balance of margin trading for Magpowr reached 3.607 billion yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 6.69% of the circulating market value, indicating a high level compared to the past year [1] - The number of shareholders as of December 31 was 66,000, a decrease of 5.71% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 6.06% to 6,937 shares [2] Group 3: Dividend and Institutional Holdings - Since its A-share listing, Magpowr has distributed a total of 468 million yuan in dividends, with 161 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the fifth-largest circulating shareholder was Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 7.2803 million shares, a decrease of 7.112 million shares from the previous period [3]

Core Insights - The fundamental driver of AI power supply solutions is the continuous improvement in single-chip and single-cabinet power levels, with companies like NVIDIA leading the charge in upgrading their AI chips [1] - The power of AI data centers in North America is projected to reach 71GW by 2028, driven by advancements in multi-chip designs such as NVL72 from NVIDIA and Superpod from Google [1] Group 1: Power Supply Evolution - The main directions for AIDC power supply iteration are high power, high voltage, and direct current, with NVIDIA's white paper outlining a clear path from AC to 800V DC solutions [2] - The OCP organization has established ±400V power supply standards, aiming for MW-level cabinet power through direct current supply [2] Group 2: Technological Changes and Growth - The evolution of power supply solutions has led to the development of integrated devices like HVDC Sidecar and SST hosts, which can perform multiple functions such as voltage reduction and power quality improvement [3] - Key challenges in R&D include power conversion modules and high-frequency isolation transformers, with third-generation wide bandgap semiconductors like SiC and GaN being crucial for achieving high voltage and efficiency [3] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Four key areas for investment consideration include AIDC power hosts (PSU, HVDC, SST), with companies like Sungrow Power (300274.SZ) and Megmeet (002851.SZ) being notable mentions [4] - Energy storage solutions at the station level are highlighted, with companies such as Sungrow Power and Fluence Energy (FLNC.US) being potential investment targets [4] - Core incremental components like solid-state circuit breakers and electronic fuses are also identified, with companies like Liyang Technology (002706.SZ) and Vicor Corporation (VICR.US) being recommended [4] - Third-generation semiconductors like GaN and SiC are emphasized as critical components for future developments [4]

Summary of Magmi's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Magmi - **Industry**: Server Power Supply and HVDC Technology Key Points Business Outlook - Magmi expects to start fulfilling orders in the first half of 2026, with business performance potentially reflecting this in the second half [2] - The company anticipates a significant increase in order volume for 2026 compared to 2025, with market share projected to reach 10% to 20%, exceeding foreign reports' expectations [2][3] Product Development - Significant progress has been made in the server power supply sector, with new generation PSUs (GB200, GB300) developed and planned for mass production in the second half of the year [2][5] - Participation in the RUBIN first-generation cabinet power supply scheme, featuring an 18.3 kW single PSU, is also set for mass production [2][5] - The transition to HVDC technology is underway, with multiple upgrades planned for server power supplies, including the development of third-generation technology that reduces voltage from 800V to 54V and then to 12V [2][5] Financial Performance - Current net profit distortion is attributed to substantial investments in AI-related projects, which have not yet scaled significantly [6] - As business scales, net profit margins are expected to recover to levels between 6% and 9%. If 2026 revenue reaches 11 billion yuan, net profit could contribute 700 to 800 million yuan [6] - The current market capitalization of over 50 billion yuan includes approximately 35 billion yuan related to AI business, which requires significant revenue to justify its valuation [6][8] Market Position and Competition - Magmi aims to surpass Lite-On to become the second-largest server power supply player globally, with a target to achieve this by 2026 [4][11] - The company is actively working on various initiatives, with expected milestones starting in February 2026 and more information potentially disclosed at the GTC conference in March [4][11] - In the HVDC sector, Magmi is positioned among a few companies globally that supply HVDC products, having already released relevant products and conducted customer testing [10] Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Recent stock price declines are primarily due to external reports, but the company's market share and R&D progress remain strong [12] - The stock price reflects expectations of a 10% market share, with significant potential for order acquisition from overseas CSPs and owners seeking secondary and tertiary suppliers [8][12] Future Development Goals - Magmi's goal is to become a leading player in the server power supply market, with ongoing efforts to enhance product offerings and market presence [11] HVDC Development - The company is focusing on HVDC advancements, with the RUBIN ULTRA cabinet confirmed to use HVDC, potentially increasing product value by 2 to 3 times [4][9] - The cost of a 1 MW HVDC system is estimated between 3 million to 4 million yuan, with a selling price of 4 million to 5 million yuan per MW [9] Conclusion - Magmi is positioned for significant growth in the server power supply and HVDC markets, with a strong focus on product development and market share expansion. The company's strategic investments in AI and HVDC technology are expected to yield positive results in the coming years, despite current financial distortions.

Core Insights - The AI industry is experiencing historic development opportunities, with the energy storage sector transforming from a marginal support role to a core engine for stable power supply in the AI era [1] - By 2026, the energy storage industry is expected to enter a historic opportunity period characterized by large-scale and high profitability, driven by policy marketization, technological breakthroughs, and global demand [1] Policy Restructuring - The profound changes in China's energy storage industry by 2025 stem from a systematic upgrade of the policy framework, shifting from "administrative intervention" to "market empowerment" [4] - The introduction of the "Document No. 136" in February 2025 marks the transition of China's energy storage from a "policy task" to a "market profit" model, providing a valuable reference for global energy storage development [5] - Following the policy implementation, domestic energy storage bidding volumes surged to 19.2 GWh from March to May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 210% [4] Market Growth and Demand - The energy storage market is expected to experience explosive demand growth in 2026, driven by multiple scenarios including renewable energy, grid upgrades, and AI data centers, with a market space projected to exceed trillions [6] - In the first nine months of 2025, domestic installed capacity of wind and solar energy reached 102 GW, a year-on-year increase of 45% [6] - The global energy storage installed capacity is predicted to reach 1,200 GW by 2030, a 380% increase from approximately 250 GW in 2025 [7] Diverse Growth Dynamics - The domestic market is characterized by a diversified growth pattern, with energy storage for renewable energy accounting for 31.7% of total new installations in the first nine months of 2025 [9] - User-side energy storage is rapidly growing, with a year-on-year increase of 230% in new installations, driven by cost reduction and peak-valley price differences [9] - The overseas market is becoming a significant growth curve for domestic companies, with new installations reaching 45 GW in the first nine months of 2025, a 112% year-on-year increase [9] Capital Market Performance - The energy storage sector has shown strong performance in the capital market, with the National Renewable Battery Index rising by 55.15% in 2025, significantly outperforming many industries [10] - The energy storage battery ETF (159566) achieved a strong increase of 57.96% in 2025, reflecting the robust growth potential of core companies in the sector [10] Industry Chain Value Release - The value center of the energy storage industry chain is increasingly shifting towards technology-intensive segments, with leading companies benefiting from cost control and profitability [13] - In the system integration sector, the domestic market's CR5 has reached 65%, with leading companies holding a combined market share of 52% [14] - Major companies like Sungrow and CATL have reported significant revenue growth in their energy storage businesses, with CATL's revenue exceeding 20 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 110% [15] Investment Opportunities - The energy storage battery ETF (159566) is an effective tool for investors to share in industry dividends and participate in the green transition, focusing on core segments of the energy storage industry [17] - The ETF's top holdings include leading companies such as CATL and Sungrow, which dominate the market and are well-positioned to capture industry growth [18] - The ETF has shown a 12% annualized return over the past decade, outperforming the China Securities New Energy Index [19]

Summary of Megmeet (002851.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Megmeet Electric Co., Ltd. - **Founded**: 2003 - **Listed**: 2017 - **Market Share**: 3% in global embedded power supply market as of 2024 - **Key Competitors**: Delta Electronics, Lite-On - **Recent Performance**: Share price increased by 260% since October 2024 due to recognition as an NVIDIA MGX ecosystem partner [21][30] Key Industry Insights - **Transition**: Megmeet is shifting from automation and control to becoming a global player in AI server power supply [1] - **Market Potential**: Expected to capture 5% of the global AI server power supply market by 2030, with 8% in custom ASIC supply chains and 3% within the NVIDIA ecosystem [22][39] - **Growth Forecast**: Anticipated total sales CAGR of 28% from 2025 to 2030, primarily driven by server power supply breakthroughs [10][29] Core Investment Debates 1. Market Share Potential - **Forecast**: 5% global market share by 2030, with a focus on custom ASICs [22][39] - **NVIDIA Ecosystem**: Positioned as a secondary supplier to mitigate risks associated with single suppliers [22][39] - **800V DC Architecture**: Transition starting in 2027 may favor established players due to reliability and trust [22][39] 2. Valuation Check - **Current Valuation**: Trading at 79x 12-month forward P/E, higher than the average of 72x since October 2024 [2][23] - **Earnings Forecast**: Projected earnings CAGR of 58% from 2025 to 2030, but 6-19% below consensus for 2025-2027 due to manufacturing challenges [2][26] 3. R&D and Product Cycle - **Product Gaps**: Significant gap in high-efficiency product portfolio compared to tier-1 peers [3][24] - **Competition**: Increasing entrants in the market may intensify competition for next-gen products [3][24] - **Monitoring**: Close observation of product iterations and customer validation is essential [3][24] Financials & Valuation - **Target Price**: Set at Rmb 86.8, implying a 14% downside from current levels [4][26] - **Long-Term Growth**: Expected 27% LT earnings CAGR from 2028 to 2030 [4][26] - **Risk-Reward Profile**: Balanced, with upside potential contingent on faster order wins and production [4][26] Additional Insights - **R&D Focus**: Higher percentage of sales allocated to R&D compared to global peers, though absolute expenditure remains small [30][36] - **Capital Expansion**: Plans to raise Rmb 2.7 billion for production upgrades, particularly in Thailand [48][49] - **Management Team**: Experienced leadership with backgrounds in major companies like Huawei and Emerson [30][35] Conclusion - **Investment Outlook**: While Megmeet shows potential for growth in the AI server power supply market, challenges in execution and competition must be closely monitored. The current valuation reflects optimistic market share expectations that may not align with projected growth rates.

Group 1 - The main stocks with significant capital outflows include Haige Communication (-1.197 billion), TBEA (-1.048 billion), and Goldwind Technology (-0.998 billion) [1][2] - Haige Communication experienced a price increase of 10%, while TBEA and Goldwind Technology saw increases of 7.34% and 2.65% respectively [2][3] - Other notable stocks with capital outflows include China Satellite (-0.827 billion), Oriental Communication (-0.710 billion), and Zhongji Xuchuang (-0.673 billion) [1][2] Group 2 - The sectors represented by the stocks with the largest capital outflows include communication equipment, power grid equipment, and wind power equipment [2][3] - Stocks like Tianlong Group and Yidian Tianxia saw significant price increases of 16.52% and 17.47% respectively, despite experiencing capital outflows of -0.549 billion and -0.521 billion [2][3] - The data indicates a mixed performance across various sectors, with some stocks showing positive price movements while still facing substantial capital outflows [1][2]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Magmi Tech's stock price dropped by 5.25% to 92.02 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.325 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 3.06%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 50.618 billion CNY [1] - Magmi Tech, established on July 29, 2003, and listed on March 6, 2017, is based in Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, and specializes in the research, production, and sales of smart home appliance control products, industrial power supplies, and industrial automation products [1] - The revenue composition of Magmi Tech includes: smart home appliance control products (45.92%), power products (24.77%), new energy and rail transit components (10.87%), industrial automation (8.32%), smart equipment (5.09%), precision connections (4.37%), and others (0.66%) [1] Group 2 - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under GF Fund has a significant position in Magmi Tech, with the GF CSI Home Appliance ETF (560880) increasing its holdings by 138,200 shares to a total of 376,000 shares, representing 4.05% of the fund's net value, making it the seventh-largest holding [2] - The GF CSI Home Appliance ETF (560880) was established on March 30, 2022, with a current scale of 719 million CNY, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 2.88%, ranking 3890 out of 5520 in its category; over the past year, it has returned 23.5%, ranking 3361 out of 4203; and since inception, it has returned 67.72% [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the power equipment sector [6][17]. Core Viewpoints - The domestic data center industry is entering a new cycle of expansion and upgrades, with direct current (DC) power supply equipment expected to benefit first. The market size of China's data center industry is projected to exceed 318 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 14.7%. By 2030, it may reach 1.2 trillion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 25%-28% [5][15]. - The load scale of data centers is expected to be around 7.05 GW in 2025, increasing to 9.37 GW by 2030, with a CAGR of approximately 5.85%. The demand for AI computing power is driving significant capital expenditure from leading internet companies, with ByteDance planning to invest about 160 billion yuan in AI infrastructure in 2026, and Alibaba expecting to invest over 380 billion yuan in cloud and AI hardware from 2025 to 2027 [5][15]. - The industry is experiencing an unexpected expansion, with infrastructure technology upgrades creating investment opportunities in IDC-compatible DC power supply equipment [5][15]. Summary by Sections Investment Viewpoints - The report suggests focusing on the IDC sector, recommending companies such as Kehua Data and Jinpan Technology, as well as Sifang Co. and Liangxin Co. for their potential in the HVDC/SST industry. It also highlights the importance of high-voltage circuit breakers and suggests monitoring companies like Zhongheng Electric, Magmeter, and Oulu Tong in the power supply sector [6][16]. Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - The report includes profit forecasts for several companies, with notable mentions: - Kehua Data (002335.SZ): EPS forecast of 1.86 yuan for 2026, currently unrated [18]. - Liangxin Co. (002706.SZ): Rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 0.44 yuan for 2026 [19]. - Magmeter (002851.SZ): Rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 2.07 yuan for 2026 [19]. - Sunshine Power (300274.SZ): Rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 7.74 yuan for 2026 [19]. - Jinpan Technology (688676.SH): Rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 2.20 yuan for 2026 [19]. Market Performance - The power equipment sector saw a 5.02% increase last week, ranking 12th among 28 sub-industries, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.21 percentage points [46].