Summary of Conference Call for Shunluo Electronics Industry Overview - The inductor market is experiencing price increases primarily driven by cost transmission rather than demand, differing from previous cycles driven by demand [2][4] - The MLCC (Multi-layer Ceramic Capacitor) market does not currently show clear signs of large-scale price increases [2][4] - Consumer electronics demand is impacted by rising storage prices, with weak demand in mid-to-low-end smartphones, while high-end smartphones are less affected [2][4] - AI-related demand is strong, displacing traditional demand, presenting opportunities for domestic companies to adapt to shifting demand structures [2][5] Company Performance and Financials - Overall operational capacity is normal, with some product series potentially facing shortages, requiring dynamic observation of demand fluctuations in 2026 [2][5] - Gross margin for Q4 2026 is expected to exceed that of Q4 2024, primarily due to one-time factors affecting 2024 [2][5] - The company has initiated price negotiations due to cost pressures from rising precious metal prices, but transmission to downstream customers will take time [2][5] Product and Market Insights - The AIoT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) segment is expected to grow, driven by applications in low-value products like toys and robots, positively impacting consumer electronics demand [2][7] - The inductor business is anticipated to accelerate in 2026, contingent on the rollout pace of module customers in CSP (Chip Scale Package) projects [2][8] - Demand for tantalum capacitors is increasing due to AI servers, GPUs, CPUs, and storage ESSD (Enterprise Solid State Drive) requirements, leading to a phase of supply shortages in the industry [2][8] Customer and Market Dynamics - The company has made progress with major North American consumer electronics clients, expecting to enter mass delivery in the second half of 2026 [3][8] - Domestic computing clients are projected to see significant demand growth, with one major server client expected to triple its demand [4][24] - The company is focusing on new product introductions and enhancing the value of supplied materials to mitigate demand fluctuations caused by rising storage prices [6][24] Competitive Landscape - TDK is a major competitor in the automotive sector, and recent customs scrutiny may create opportunities for domestic alternatives [4][10] - The automotive business is expected to maintain double-digit growth, driven by new customer acquisitions and product readiness [11][12] Challenges and Strategic Responses - The company has not engaged in hedging for precious metals due to unpredictable price fluctuations, focusing instead on cost transmission and internal measures to mitigate impacts on profit margins [13][21] - Inventory levels have risen due to proactive material procurement in response to cost trends and anticipated product line demands [22] Future Outlook - The tantalum capacitor market is expected to see accelerated adoption in 2026, with potential for better-than-expected growth due to industry shortages [9][21] - The company is cautious in its capacity expansion plans, aligning production with actual customer demand while ensuring readiness for future orders [20][21] - The overall growth outlook for AI server and data center businesses remains strong, with expectations at least matching industry growth rates [23]

Core Viewpoint - The MLCC (Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitor) market is experiencing a significant shift, driven by a surge in AI demand and supply chain restructuring, particularly due to restrictions on Japanese suppliers like TDK, which opens opportunities for Chinese manufacturers [2][6][12]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The passive component sector, particularly MLCC, has seen a price increase of nearly 20% due to rising demand from AI applications, with major players like Murata considering price hikes [2][3]. - AI servers require significantly more MLCCs compared to traditional servers, with demand for AI servers reaching approximately 20,000 MLCCs per unit, compared to 2,200 for general servers [3]. - The high-end MLCC market is characterized by a supply shortage, with major manufacturers operating at over 80% capacity, and Murata's production levels reaching 90-95% [4][5]. Group 2: Supply Chain Changes - TDK's inclusion on a watch list by the Chinese Ministry of Commerce indicates stricter controls on rare earth materials, potentially disrupting its production capabilities and creating a supply gap in the high-end MLCC market [2][6]. - The restrictions on TDK could lead to a "shortage crisis" in the automotive and industrial supply chains, especially as demand for high-end MLCCs continues to rise [6]. Group 3: Opportunities for Chinese Manufacturers - Chinese MLCC manufacturers are positioned to fill the market gap left by TDK, leveraging their access to local resources and established supply chains [8][9]. - Companies like Fenghua Advanced Technology and Sanhui Group have made significant technological advancements, enabling them to produce high-end MLCCs that meet international standards [9][10]. - The market for MLCCs is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting a global market size of 140.8 billion yuan by 2028, with Chinese market share exceeding 50% [12]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is shifting, with Chinese firms transitioning from being alternative suppliers to primary providers, driven by the need for supply chain stability among clients [11][12]. - Major Chinese manufacturers are expanding their production capacities and entering global supply chains, with Fenghua Advanced Technology and Micro Capacitor Technology achieving significant market penetration [12][13]. - The technological advancements and increased production capabilities of Chinese firms are expected to enhance their market share in the high-end MLCC sector, challenging the dominance of Japanese manufacturers [9][13].

会议助理: 大家好，欢迎大家参加 AI 加通胀系列 MLCC 专家交，线上会议。目前所有参会人员均处 于经营状态，下面有请主讲老师开始发言，谢谢。 王心怡 华泰证券电子分析师: 那各位线上投资人，大家晚上好。欢迎大家来参加我们这个 AI 加通胀系列的 MACC 专场 的专家交流。我是华泰电子研究员王欣怡。那在会议开始前，其实我们也再重申一下对于 整个 MLC C 最新看到的一些变化吧。就确实是在春节期间，观测到包含村田和三星电机 在内的一些日韩大厂对于涨价的这个事情的口风，确实是发生了一些扭转然后另外就是渠 道现货价也在春节期间迎来了一些继续的上涨。那这个从海外的这些催化来看的话，其实 是进一步加深了大家对于台系，包括大陆的公司后续跟涨的一个预期的。 然后另外一个层面就是从这个 AI 相关，包含 AI 在内的吧，这些高端需求来看，确实是今 年全年还是非常的旺盛。那这个对于非 AI 的高容，以及说一些中低端产能的挤占，可能 也是短期大家比较关心的事情。所以我们今天也是特别邀请到了台系的被动元件大厂的资 深专家，然后来给我们做这样一个专场分享。专家您好，请问能听到吗？ 台系被动元件大厂资深专家: 能听到，很清楚。 ...

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Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The discussion centers around the impact of AI on various industries, particularly in the electronics sector, highlighting how traditional capacities are being squeezed by AI demands [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Resource Competition Due to AI** - AI is causing a direct squeeze on traditional capacities across several industries, leading to resource competition [1]. 2. **Storage Industry** - High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) is occupying DRAM capacity, with HBM consuming wafer capacity at a multiple of standard DRAM [1]. 3. **Electronic Fabric** - Low-dielectric constant (low-dk) and low Coefficient of Thermal Expansion (low-cte) materials are taking over the production capacity of 7628, thin, and ultra-thin electronic fabrics due to challenges in crucible methods and long ordering cycles for weaving machines [1]. 4. **Fiber Optics** - AI data centers are consuming fiber optic cable capacity, particularly G.652D loose fiber, due to a shortage of optical preform rods [1]. 5. **CTE Electronic Fabric and Substrates** - ABF substrates are taking over BT substrates, influenced by shared production lines and strict supply chain requirements from companies like Apple [2]. 6. **Copper Clad Laminate (CCL)** - M7, M8, and M9 products are occupying mid to low-end copper clad laminate capacity, with switching costs affecting production efficiency [2]. 7. **CPU Production** - AI servers are taking up consumer-grade CPU capacity, while HBM is squeezing logic chip capacity due to insufficient wafer manufacturing and advanced packaging capacity [2]. 8. **Copper Foil** - High Voltage Low Profile (HVLP) copper foil is taking over standard foil capacity, as production resources are prioritized for high-end products [2]. 9. **Testing and Packaging** - Advanced packaging technologies like CoWoS are occupying traditional testing and packaging capacities, with long expansion times and high costs for packaging facilities [2]. 10. **Electricity Demand** - AI data centers are increasing the load on industrial and residential electricity, leading to power shortages [3]. 11. **Passive Components** - AI servers are consuming high-capacitance, low-loss capacitor materials, impacting the availability of conventional components [3]. 12. **Power Supply** - Titanium-grade AI server power supplies are taking over general server and PC power supply capacity, constrained by high-power components and aging test setups [3]. 13. **PCB Production** - Ultra-high layer boards (UBB/OAM) are occupying the capacity of standard, automotive, and industrial control boards due to bottlenecks in pressing processes [3]. 14. **Automated Test Equipment (ATE)** - High-performance GPUs and HBM testing are taking over testing machines for high-end mobile SoCs and analog chips, with overlaps in equipment and skilled labor [3]. Additional Insights - The result of AI's capacity squeeze is a rapid increase in traditional prices, described as "urgent and fast" [3]. - The phenomenon of stockpiling has emerged as a response to the "squeezed capacity," accelerating the interconnected effects across the electronic materials supply chain [3].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the passive components industry, specifically focusing on MLCC (Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitors) in South Korea and China. The industry is experiencing significant price increases and demand due to various technological advancements and market dynamics [1]. Key Points - **Price Increase**: MLCC spot prices have risen by 20% in both China and South Korea, indicating a strong demand in the market [1]. - **High Production Capacity**: Leading manufacturers in Japan and South Korea are maintaining production capacities above 90%, which is crucial for meeting the growing demand from downstream AI server orders [1]. - **Supply Chain Constraints**: The industry faces supply limitations on critical raw materials such as rare earth elements, which may hinder expansion efforts and lead to order overflow, benefiting domestic manufacturers significantly [1]. - **New Normal of Price Fluctuations**: The alternating price increases in domestic and overseas markets may become a new norm, suggesting a potential for substantial earnings elasticity for companies in this sector [1]. - **Growing Demand from AI and Robotics**: The demand for MLCC is driven by the burgeoning needs of AI servers, humanoid robots, AI smart terminals, autonomous vehicles, low-altitude economy, and commercial aerospace satellites, indicating a robust growth trajectory for the sector [1]. - **Long-term Growth Potential**: MLCC is expected to have a longer and more sustainable growth cycle compared to memory chips, positioning related companies for a super growth phase in the near future [1].

Group 1 - The rapid development of AI technology has a profound impact on the passive component industry, driving the growth of high-end MLCC, chip inductors, tantalum capacitors, and packaging materials [1] - The upstream raw materials such as nickel powder, carbonyl iron powder, metal soft magnetic powder (core), and thermal materials are also experiencing rapid development [1] - Material performance determines device performance, giving advantages to upstream raw material sectors and supporting enterprises in the upstream and downstream industries [1]

Core Viewpoint - The demand for MLCCs is surging due to the AI boom, leading to significant price increases and a positive market response, particularly for high-end products [1][2][5] Group 1: Price Trends and Market Response - Korean MLCC spot prices have risen nearly 20%, with expectations for continued increases in the short term [1][2] - Major MLCC manufacturers like Samsung Electro-Mechanics have seen stock prices rise significantly, with increases of over 11% this year [2] - The revenue of Samsung Electro-Mechanics reached a record high in Q4 2025, with a 22% year-on-year growth in its components division, which includes high-voltage and high-capacity MLCCs [3] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The explosive growth in AI server demand is driving the need for high-end MLCCs, which are essential for stabilizing power supply and filtering interference signals in electronic devices [2][6] - High-end MLCCs are in short supply, with manufacturers like Murata Manufacturing and Samsung Electro-Mechanics operating at over 80% capacity [2] - AI servers require 3 times more MLCCs than standard servers, leading to a significant increase in demand [2][6] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The top five global MLCC manufacturers, including Murata, Samsung Electro-Mechanics, and Taiyo Yuden, hold over 80% of the market share [4] - Chinese manufacturers have established a relative advantage in the mid-to-low-end MLCC market but are lagging in high-end product development [4] - Domestic companies like Sanhua Group and Fenghua Advanced Technology are accelerating their entry into the high-end market, focusing on sectors such as 5G, AI servers, and automotive electronics [4] Group 4: Industry Outlook and Segmentation - The MLCC industry is currently in an upward cycle, with a historical cycle lasting about 4 to 5 years [5] - The demand for high-end MLCCs is expected to explode due to AI applications, while traditional consumer electronics are facing a downturn [6] - The market for AI servers is projected to grow at an annual rate of 30%, with the MLCC market for AI servers expected to reach 3.3 times its 2025 size by 2030 [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The price surge in the component supply chain, particularly for Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitors (MLCC), is driven by the explosive growth in AI server demand, with expectations for continued price increases in the short term [1][2]. Group 1: Price Trends and Market Response - MLCC prices in South Korea have risen nearly 20%, with expectations for further increases [1]. - Capital markets have reacted positively, with significant stock price increases for leading MLCC companies such as Samsung Electro-Mechanics, which has risen over 11% this year, and other A-share companies like Fenghua Advanced Technology and Sanhua Group [1][2]. - The MLCC industry is expected to experience a bifurcation by 2026, with high-end product demand likely to surge due to the AI boom, while mid-to-low-end products face challenges from weak demand and rising costs [1][4]. Group 2: Demand Drivers and Production Capacity - The demand for high-end MLCCs is driven by AI servers, which require three times more MLCCs than standard servers, leading to supply constraints [2]. - Major manufacturers like Murata Manufacturing, Samsung Electro-Mechanics, and Taiyo Yuden are operating at over 80% capacity, with Murata expected to see a 20% to 25% increase in high-end MLCC orders in the first quarter [2][3]. - Samsung Electro-Mechanics reported record revenue in Q4 2025, with a 22% year-on-year increase in revenue from high-voltage and high-capacity MLCCs [2]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Domestic Market Position - The global MLCC market is dominated by major players, with the top five manufacturers, including Murata, Samsung, and Taiyo Yuden, holding over 80% market share [3]. - Chinese manufacturers have established a relative advantage in the mid-to-low-end MLCC market but are accelerating efforts to penetrate the high-end market [3]. - Companies like Sanhua Group and Fenghua Advanced Technology are focusing on high-end applications such as 5G communication, AI servers, and automotive electronics, with successful integration into supply chains of major manufacturers like BYD [3]. Group 4: Industry Outlook and Cyclical Trends - The MLCC industry is currently in an upward cycle, with a typical cycle lasting about 4 to 5 years, supported by demand from automotive electronics and AI servers [3][4]. - The industry is expected to experience significant differentiation, with high-end MLCC demand surging due to AI applications, while traditional consumer electronics face declining demand [4]. - The market for AI servers is projected to grow at an annual rate of 30%, with the MLCC market for AI servers expected to reach 3.3 times its 2025 size by 2030 [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The recent price hikes in passive components, led by major players like Yageo and Walsin, indicate a significant shift in the market driven by supply-demand imbalances and rising raw material costs, particularly in high-end sectors like AI and electric vehicles [1][4][19]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - Yageo announced a price increase of 15%-20% for certain resistor products starting February 1, marking its third price adjustment in a short period [1]. - Walsin and Panasonic also announced price hikes of around 20% and 15%-30% respectively for various passive components, reflecting a broader trend among major manufacturers [1][2]. - Smaller manufacturers in China, such as Fenghua Advanced Technology and Shunluo Electronics, have also followed suit with price adjustments ranging from 5%-30% across multiple product categories [2][3]. Group 2: Supply Chain Dynamics - The passive component market is experiencing supply tightness, with lead times extending and some distributors pausing quotes due to uncertainty in price adjustments [3][4]. - Rising costs of raw materials, particularly precious metals like silver and palladium, have significantly increased production costs for passive components, with estimates suggesting a 20%-30% rise in production costs [5][6]. - Capacity constraints are exacerbated by major manufacturers shifting focus to high-end products, leading to a structural shortage in the mid-range market [7][8]. Group 3: Demand Drivers - The demand for passive components is being driven by the rapid growth of AI and electric vehicles, with AI servers requiring significantly more MLCCs than traditional servers [10][11]. - The automotive sector is also a major growth area, with electric vehicles using up to three times more passive components compared to traditional vehicles, creating a favorable environment for price increases [11][12]. - The overall market for passive components in China is projected to grow from 1237.65 billion yuan in 2023 to 2583.59 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 11.09% [13]. Group 4: Market Structure Changes - The current price hikes reflect a structural change in the passive components market, with high-end products experiencing significant demand while traditional consumer electronics face challenges [15][19]. - Domestic manufacturers in China are beginning to capture more market share, particularly in high-end segments, as they improve their technology and production capabilities [19][20]. - The geopolitical landscape and supply chain diversification are providing opportunities for Chinese manufacturers to enter high-end markets, as global players face capacity and delivery challenges [19][24]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The passive components market is expected to continue evolving, with AI and automotive electronics driving demand for high-value products [25][26]. - Companies need to focus on high-capacity, miniaturized, and reliable products to meet the changing market demands and maintain competitiveness [25][26]. - Collaboration across the supply chain will be crucial for manufacturers to overcome technical challenges and align with market needs [25][26].