Core Viewpoint - Lepu Medical achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 980 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.4% [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 290 million yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.8%, indicating stable performance with potential for continued operational improvement [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from cardiovascular interventional products was 550 million yuan in Q3 2025, down 10.5% quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the company's proactive inventory management in anticipation of centralized procurement for certain products [1] - Long-term benefits are expected from centralized procurement as the company is positioned as a leading player in the market [1] Business Outlook - The impact of policies is expected to stabilize, with the in-vitro diagnostics business reaching a bottom and the surgical anesthesia business likely to see a recovery in growth [1] - The debut of the "Youthful Needle" product is promising, with significant growth anticipated in the medical aesthetics sector [1] - Progress in the development of brain-computer interfaces is ongoing, with substantial market potential in the field of neurological diseases [1] Valuation - The company maintains a target price of 20.52 yuan based on a 38x PE ratio for 2025, sustaining a "Buy" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 20.52 CNY, based on a 38x PE ratio for 2025 [3][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 49.4 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.2%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 9.8 billion CNY, up 22.4% year-on-year [10]. - The company is expected to benefit from the upcoming release of new products in the medical aesthetics sector, with significant revenue potential from its "童颜针" and "美光针" products [10]. - The report highlights the successful progress in the development of brain-machine interface technology, indicating a substantial market opportunity in the field of neurological diseases [10]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6,683 million CNY, 7,424 million CNY, and 8,272 million CNY, respectively, with a year-on-year growth of 9.5%, 11.1%, and 11.4% [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,009 million CNY in 2025, 1,297 million CNY in 2026, and 1,594 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 308.6%, 28.6%, and 22.9% respectively [5]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 62.3% in 2025, with net margins projected at 15.1% [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index in the next 6 to 12 months [2][17]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.938 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.20%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 982 million yuan, up 22.35% year-on-year [4]. - In Q3 2025 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 1.569 billion yuan, marking an 11.97% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 291 million yuan, which is a significant growth of 176.18% year-on-year [4]. - The cardiovascular business remains solid, with innovative products expected to offset the impact of centralized procurement [4]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profitability: - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected at 7.98 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 25%. However, a recovery is expected with a projected revenue of 6.61 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting an 8% growth [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rebound significantly to 1.053 billion yuan in 2025, a 327% increase from 2024 [2]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 64.21%, an increase of 1.41 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin reached 20.17%, up 3.80 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - Segment Performance: - The medical device segment generated 2.572 billion yuan in revenue in the first three quarters of 2025, a slight increase of 0.33% year-on-year, with the cardiovascular intervention business contributing 1.793 billion yuan, up 7.45% [4]. - The pharmaceutical segment saw a revenue of 1.570 billion yuan, growing by 6.37% year-on-year, with the formulation business alone achieving a 14.32% increase [4]. - New Growth Areas: - The medical aesthetics and brain-machine interface businesses are emerging as new growth drivers, with the medical services and health management segment achieving a revenue of 321 million yuan, up 28.27% year-on-year [4]. - Innovative products such as the "童颜针" and "水光针" have been launched, contributing to the company's revenue growth [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to maintain a stable operational base, with projected revenues of 6.610 billion yuan, 7.558 billion yuan, and 8.636 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 8%, 14%, and 14% [4]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.053 billion yuan, with further increases to 1.302 billion yuan in 2026 and 1.606 billion yuan in 2027, indicating a strong recovery trajectory [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 32 for 2025, 26 for 2026, and 21 for 2027, supporting the "Buy" rating [4].

Core Viewpoint - Lepu Medical (300003) is advancing its product pipeline with new medical aesthetic products, which are expected to enhance its business growth and market position [1] Product Development - The preclinical animal experiments for the sodium hyaluronate injection solution have been completed, and data is currently being organized for submission [1] - The cross-linked sodium hyaluronate gel containing poly-L-lactic acid is in the clinical trial phase [1] - The Thermage equipment and consumables have been submitted for market approval [1] Market Impact - The launch of these new products will improve the company's medical aesthetic product matrix and inject new momentum into business development [1] - Actual sales performance will be influenced by multiple factors, including macroeconomic conditions, market competition, and regulatory policies [1] - Future financial performance will be disclosed in subsequent financial reports from the company [1]

Summary of Lepu's 3Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Lepu (300003.SZ) - **Industry**: Medical devices and pharmaceuticals in China Key Financial Results - **Revenue**: Rmb1,569 million, up 12% year-over-year, but missed Goldman Sachs estimates (GSe) of Rmb1,937 million due to softer pharmaceutical sales growth of 53% year-over-year compared to GSe's expectation of 70% [1][9] - **Net Profit**: Rmb291 million, up 176% year-over-year, in line with GSe's estimate of Rmb277 million [1][9] - **Selling Expense Ratio**: 17.3%, lower than GSe's estimate of 21.6% [1][9] Business Segments - **Medical Aesthetics**: Generated Rmb86 million in revenue from just two months of sales since August, with management reaffirming a full-year guidance of Rmb300 million for this segment [1][9] - **Future Projections**: Expected revenue from medical aesthetics to reach Rmb1 billion by 2026 [1][9] Product Development and Pipeline - **PDRN Product and Thermage**: Anticipated approval in Q1/Q2 of the following year [1][9] - **Innovative Drug Pipeline**: Two new assets added, with existing assets progressing as planned [1][9] Forecast Revisions - **Short-term Revenue Forecast**: Slightly lowered to reflect 3Q25 results [1][9] - **Long-term Revenue and Net Profit Forecast**: Increased due to optimistic R&D progress in innovative drugs [1][9] - **Updated Price Target**: Raised to Rmb19 from Rmb18, maintaining a Buy rating [1][9] Investment Thesis - **Market Position**: Lepu is positioned as a cardiovascular disease treatment and diagnostics solution provider, expanding into consumer medical products [1][9] - **Concerns**: Investors are wary due to the impact of the volume-based procurement (VBP) policy and anti-corruption campaigns affecting revenue growth [1][9] - **Long-term Growth Potential**: Innovative products and the medical aesthetic business are expected to offset revenue losses from VBP, providing long-term growth momentum [1][9] Key Catalysts 1. Successful launch of innovative products in 2025 2. Rapid ramp-up of pulsed sonic balloons and degradable PFO occluders, and TAVR [1][9] Risks - **Price Cuts**: Potential price reductions for innovative medical devices due to VBP [1][10] - **R&D Progress**: Risks associated with slower-than-expected R&D progress [1][10] - **Goodwill Impairment**: Possible losses from lower-than-expected earnings from subsidiaries [1][10]

Core Insights - The internet healthcare sector experienced a slight increase of 0.43% on October 27, with Haixia Innovation leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3996.94, up 1.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13489.4, up 1.51% [1] Stock Performance Summary - Haixia Innovation (300300) saw a significant rise of 20.06%, closing at 7.66 with a trading volume of 1.7959 million shares and a transaction value of 1.292 billion [1] - Other notable gainers included: - Furuide (300049) up 5.05% to 70.77 with a transaction value of 766 million [1] - Xingqi Eye Medicine (300573) up 4.78% to 77.83 with a transaction value of 1.493 billion [1] - Conversely, several stocks in the sector experienced declines, such as: - Wandong Medical (600055) down 3.66% to 16.33 with a transaction value of 232 million [2] - Yuyue Medical (002223) down 3.53% to 35.80 with a transaction value of 1.218 billion [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The internet healthcare sector saw a net outflow of 47.5781 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 252 million [2][3] - Specific stock capital flows included: - Haixia Innovation had a net inflow of 16.6 million from institutional investors but a net outflow of 10.3 million from speculative funds [3] - Furuide experienced a net inflow of 14.7 million from institutional investors but a significant outflow from retail investors totaling 108 million [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for several pharmaceutical companies including Jiangsu Heng Rui Medicine, Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group, 3SBio, and Jiangsu Nhwa Pharmaceutical, with related targets such as CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical [6][28]. Core Insights - The innovative drug sector is experiencing high prosperity, and the report continues to recommend innovative drugs and their industry chain. It highlights the recent global strategic collaboration between Innovent Biologics and Takeda, which is expected to catalyze the innovative drug market [6][29]. - The report notes that the A-Shares pharmaceutical sector underperformed the market in the fourth week of October 2025, with the SW Pharmaceutical and Biological index rising only 0.6% compared to a 2.9% increase in the SHCOMP [8][30]. - In the same period, the Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector also underperformed, while the U.S. pharmaceutical sector performed in line with the market [31][19]. Summary by Sections Continuous Recommendation of Innovative Drugs and Industry Chain - The report emphasizes the ongoing recommendation of innovative drugs and the industry chain, maintaining "Overweight" ratings for various companies including Heng Rui Medicine, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, 3SBio, and Nhwa Pharmaceutical. It also recommends Biopharma/Biotech companies with innovative pipelines and increasing performance, maintaining "Overweight" ratings for Innovent Biologics, Xiamen Amoytop Biotech, and others [6][28]. Performance of A-Shares Pharmaceutical Sector - In the fourth week of October 2025, the A-Shares pharmaceutical sector's performance was weaker than the overall market, with a 0.6% increase compared to the SHCOMP's 2.9% rise. The medical service, pharmaceutical commerce, and medical equipment sub-sectors showed relatively better performance [8][30]. Performance of Hong Kong and U.S. Pharmaceutical Sectors - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector underperformed the market with a decline of 0.8%, while the U.S. pharmaceutical sector matched the market performance with a 1.9% increase. Notable stock movements included significant gains for companies like WuXi AppTec and declines for Alphamab Oncology in Hong Kong [31][19].

Core Viewpoint - Lepu Medical's aesthetic medicine business is rapidly developing, with significant revenue generation from its "童颜针" product since its launch in early August [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The "童颜针" product has generated approximately 100 million yuan in revenue since its launch, exceeding the company's expectations [1] - The product is now available in over 80% of large chain aesthetic medical institutions and around 1,500 to 2,000 small and medium-sized aesthetic medical institutions [1] Group 2: Product Features - The 220mg "童颜针" is well-received among consumers due to its excellent biocompatibility and low adverse reaction rate [1] Group 3: Future Plans - The company plans to promote the product through partnerships with platforms like Meituan and intends to launch a shareholder discount program for light aesthetic services [1] - The revenue target for the aesthetic medicine segment is set at 1 billion yuan by 2026 [1]

Core Insights - The company has reported rapid growth in its medical aesthetics business, with revenue from its "童颜针" product reaching approximately 1 billion yuan since its launch in early August, exceeding expectations [1] - The product has been adopted by over 80% of large chain medical aesthetic institutions and around 1,500 to 2,000 small to medium-sized medical aesthetic institutions [1] - The company aims to achieve a revenue target of 1 billion yuan for its medical aesthetics segment by 2026 [1] Business Development - The "童颜针" product is noted for its excellent biocompatibility and low adverse reaction rate, receiving positive feedback from consumers [1] - Future promotional efforts will include partnerships with platforms like Meituan and the introduction of shareholder discounts for light medical aesthetic services [1]

截至发稿，陈柯含累计任职时间96天，现任基金资产总规模11.32亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报3.64%， 任职期间最差基金回报-9.05%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 数据显示，华泰柏瑞基金旗下1只基金重仓乐普医疗。保健ETF（516790）二季度持有股数19.37万股， 占基金净值比例为2.38%，位居第八大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约21.11万元。 保健ETF（516790）成立日期2021年8月12日，最新规模1.12亿。今年以来收益10.2%，同类排名 3593/4218；近一年收益5.16%，同类排名3632/3876；成立以来亏损37.67%。 保健ETF（516790）基金经理为陈柯含。 10月27日，乐普医疗涨6.37%，截至发稿，报18.21元/股，成交1.36亿元，换手率0.47%，总市值342.46 亿元。 资料显示，乐普(北京)医疗器械股份有限公司位于北京市昌平区超前路37号，成立日期1999年6月11 日，上市日期200 ...