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ABInBev(BUD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company experienced top-line growth of 0.9% and EBITDA growth of 3.3%, with margin expansion of 85 basis points [8][21] - Underlying EPS increased by 1% in U.S. dollars and 0.3% in constant currency, reaching $0.99 per share [21][22] - Revenue per hectoliter increased by 4.8%, driven by disciplined revenue management and a portfolio of premium brands [8][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The premium beer, non-alcohol beer, and beyond beer segments continued to outperform, with the quarterly GMV of the BIS marketplace reaching nearly $1 billion [5][8] - In the U.S., the portfolio saw a revenue increase in the mid-40s, led by Cutwater, which grew revenue in the triple digits [9] - Michelob Ultra became the number one brand in the industry by volume year to date, gaining market share in all 50 states [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased in 70% of the company's markets, with bottom-line growth in four of five operating regions [8][21] - In China, revenue declined by 15.2%, with volumes underperforming the industry due to a soft consumer environment [13] - In Brazil, revenue declined by 1.9% due to unseasonable weather and a softer consumer environment, but market share gains were achieved [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing its strategic priorities, including investments in brands and innovations to drive market share gains [4][5] - A $6 billion share buyback program was approved, alongside an interim dividend of €0.15 per share, reflecting confidence in long-term growth [7][22] - The partnership with Netflix aims to create co-marketing campaigns and enhance consumer experiences, integrating beer with entertainment [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged headwinds in China and unseasonable weather in the Americas but expressed confidence in the resilience of the strategy [4][5] - The outlook for the beer category remains positive, with expectations for industry volume growth as conditions normalize [12][40] - The company anticipates a significant opportunity in 2026 with the FIFA World Cup in North America, which is expected to enhance brand visibility and consumer engagement [25][41] Other Important Information - The company is actively managing its debt portfolio, announcing the redemption of $2 billion of outstanding bonds [7][22] - The growth of the non-alcohol beer segment is seen as a key opportunity, with the portfolio growing by 27% [15][81] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on the $6 billion buyback program and its implications for capital allocation - Management indicated that the buyback program reflects improved balance sheet flexibility and is part of a disciplined capital allocation strategy [27][29] Question: Outlook for global beer volume growth - Management noted that the medium-term outlook for global beer is around 1% growth, with potential for further growth through beyond beer propositions [28][30] Question: Volume growth expectations for 2026 - Management expressed optimism for volume growth in 2026, particularly with the FIFA World Cup and improving consumer sentiment [40][41] Question: Impact of input costs and FX on 2026 - Management stated that while they do not provide specific guidance on costs, they hedge 12 months ahead and expect a more normalized environment in 2026 [43][45] Question: Performance in Latin America, particularly Brazil and Colombia - Management highlighted that while Brazil faced challenges due to weather, Colombia continued to show strong performance and volume growth [52][53] Question: Insights on the Champions League sponsorship and ROI - Management emphasized the importance of integrating brands with major events and cultural moments to enhance long-term brand positioning [62][63] Question: Success of Cutwater and its sustainability - Management noted that Cutwater has become a top 10 spirits brand in the U.S., driven by consistent brand building and strategic investments [66][67]
ABInBev(BUD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-30 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company achieved top-line growth of 0.9% and EBITDA growth of 3.3%, with margin expansion of 85 basis points [7][21][25] - Underlying EPS increased by 1% in U.S. dollars and 0.3% in constant currency, reaching $0.99 per share [21][25] - Revenue per hectoliter increased by 4.8%, driven by disciplined revenue management and a portfolio of mega brands [7][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The premium beer, non-alcohol beer, and beyond beer segments continued to outperform, with the quarterly GMV of the BIS marketplace reaching nearly $1 billion [5][6] - In the U.S., revenue growth in the mid-40s was led by Cutwater, which grew revenue in the triple digits [9] - Michelob Ultra became the number one brand in the industry by volume year to date, gaining market share in all 50 states [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased in 70% of the company's markets, with bottom-line growth in four of five operating regions [8][21] - In China, revenue declined by 15.2% due to a soft consumer environment, with the company focusing on enhancing execution and route to market [13][14] - In Brazil, revenue declined by 1.9% driven by unseasonable weather, but market share gains and disciplined management offset the decline [11][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on consistent execution of its strategy, investing in brand power and innovation to drive market share gains [5][6] - A $6 billion share buyback program was approved, alongside an interim dividend of €0.15 per share, reflecting confidence in long-term growth [6][24] - The company aims to leverage partnerships, such as with Netflix, to enhance brand visibility and consumer engagement [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged headwinds in China and unseasonable weather in the Americas but expressed confidence in the resilience of the strategy [4][5] - The outlook for the beer category remains positive, with expectations for industry volume growth as conditions normalize [12][41] - The company anticipates a strong performance in 2026, driven by events like the FIFA World Cup in North America [27][41] Other Important Information - The company is actively managing its debt portfolio, announcing the redemption of $2 billion of outstanding bonds [6][24] - The non-alcohol beer segment is seen as a key growth opportunity, with net revenue growing by 27% [16][86] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on the $6 billion buyback program - Management indicated that the buyback program reflects improved balance sheet flexibility and is part of a disciplined capital allocation strategy [30][32] Question: Outlook for global beer volume growth - Management noted that the long-term potential for the beer category is around 1% growth, with opportunities for further growth through beyond beer propositions [34][35] Question: Volume growth expectations for 2026 - Management expressed optimism for volume growth in 2026, citing reduced consumer pressure from lower inflation and the impact of the FIFA World Cup [41][42] Question: Impact of input costs in 2026 - Management did not provide specific guidance on input costs but indicated that hedging policies are in place to manage FX risks [45][47] Question: Consumer improvement in Brazil and Colombia - Management noted that while Brazil faced challenges due to weather, Colombia continued to show strong volume growth and market share gains [56][57] Question: Performance of Cutwater brand - Management highlighted Cutwater's significant growth, becoming one of the top 10 spirits brands in the U.S., and emphasized the brand's potential for further expansion [70][71]
ABInBev(BUD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-30 13:00
Financial Performance - The company's EBITDA increased by 3.3% in 3Q25[12] - The company's revenue per hl grew by 4.8% in 3Q25[13] - The company announced a share buyback program of $6 billion[12] - The company announced a debt redemption of $2 billion[12] - The company announced an interim dividend of €0.15 per share[12] - The company's underlying EPS (USD) increased by 1.0%[13] Regional Performance - North America's revenue decreased by 0.7%[17] - Middle Americas' revenue increased by 4.2%[17] - South America's revenue increased by 2.0%[17] - EMEA's revenue increased by 3.0%[17] - APAC's revenue decreased by 9.0%[17] Brand Performance - No-alcohol beer revenue increased by 27%[12] - Beyond Beer revenue increased by 27%[12] - BEES Marketplace quarterly GMV increased by 66%, approaching $1 billion[12]
Budweiser Brewer AB InBev Profit Falls Amid Prolonged Beer Sales Decline
WSJ· 2025-10-30 07:02
Core Insights - The decline in volumes is attributed to poor performance in China and unseasonable weather conditions in Brazil [1] Group 1 - The company experienced a fall in volumes [1]
AB InBev Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results
Businesswire· 2025-10-30 06:05
Core Insights - Anheuser-Busch InBev reported continued growth in both top and bottom lines, driven by the strength of its megabrands and innovations in balanced choices and Beyond Beer [1] Financial Performance - The company has made significant progress in deleveraging and has announced a new share buyback program worth 6 billion USD [1]
揭秘一个有趣的经济晴雨表:“啤酒指数”
3 6 Ke· 2025-10-29 10:50
Group 1: Beer Index and Economic Indicators - China accounts for nearly one-fourth of global beer consumption with an annual drinking volume of 40 million kiloliters, leading to the emergence of the "beer index" phenomenon, where low-end beer sales are negatively correlated with economic conditions, while high-end beer serves as a leading indicator of economic recovery [1] - During the decade following Japan's economic bubble burst, beer sales in Tokyo convenience stores dropped by 37%, highlighting the link between the decline of after-work drinking and rising unemployment [1] - In 2016, when China's manufacturing PMI fell below the neutral line, domestic low-end beer sales decreased by 12.3%, while high-end beer market share grew by 5.8% [1] Group 2: Changing Consumer Scenarios - The traditional "canteen beer" scene for blue-collar workers is being replaced by the "event socializing" scene created by Generation Z, with 61% of young consumers preferring to watch games in bars and willing to pay a 30% premium for craft beer [2] - The rise of female consumers has led to the emergence of the "low-calorie beer" segment, with the zero-sugar series of Harbin Beer growing by 122% in 2024, targeting women's demand for "light socializing" [2] - Qingdao Beer reported a 27% increase in high-end product line sales, with the "IPA craft" series achieving a 43% repurchase rate in esports viewing scenarios [2] Group 3: Beer Economy and Macro Trends - The beer index resonates with macroeconomic cycles, as seen in the 1980s when the Los Angeles Olympics boosted high-end beer consumption, leading to a 58% increase in high-end beer prices over ten years [3] - In the first half of 2025, high-end beer market share reached 26%, up 9 percentage points from 2019, aligning with a manufacturing investment growth rate of 11.3% [3] - Hebei province hosted 5,552 events in the first half of 2025, resulting in a 23% increase in local beer consumption, while equipment manufacturing electricity consumption grew by 19% [3] Group 4: Innovations in the Beer Industry - The consumption upgrade is driving the beer industry into a "flavor revolution," with 90s consumers prioritizing original wort concentration over price sensitivity, leading to cross-border products like "IPA + sparkling water" [4] - The global non-alcoholic beer market is expected to exceed $20 billion by 2025, with China's market growing at 34% [4] - Qingdao Beer developed a "probiotic beer" that adjusts gut flora, successfully entering the fitness market with protein content as a new selling point [4] Group 5: Virtual and Physical Integration in Beer Economy - Under the influence of the metaverse, the beer economy is presenting a new form of virtual-physical integration, with Budweiser's virtual beer "NFT airdrop" generating over ten million in transactions on blockchain platforms [5] Group 6: Cultural Narratives in Beer Economy - The collective emotions of an era are reflected in beer consumption, from Japan's economic bubble to modern social interactions, illustrating the enduring human pursuit of pleasurable experiences in a material-rich age [6]
AB InBev Q3 Earnings Preview: Will Pricing Offset Volume Pressures?
ZACKS· 2025-10-27 18:36
Core Insights - Anheuser-Busch InBev is expected to report third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, with anticipated year-over-year revenue growth [1][10] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AB InBev's quarterly revenues is $15.4 billion, reflecting a 2% increase from the previous year [2] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is 97 cents, indicating a 1% decline from the prior year [2] - The earnings estimate has decreased by 4% over the past 30 days [2] Recent Performance - In the last reported quarter, AB InBev's earnings per share exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.3%, with an average earnings surprise of 10.1% over the last four quarters [3] Factors Influencing Q3 Results - The company's results are expected to benefit from strategic measures such as pricing actions, premiumization, and revenue management initiatives [4] - Strong consumer demand for AB InBev's brand portfolio is likely to have contributed positively to sales performance [4] - The focus on premium beer offerings aligns with consumer preferences, and the expansion of the Beyond Beer portfolio is expected to support performance [5] Challenges Facing the Company - AB InBev faces significant pressure from soft volumes in key markets like China and Brazil, indicating that revenue growth is primarily driven by price/mix rather than consumption [6] - The company is experiencing volume pressures due to shifting consumer preferences and competition from non-alcoholic alternatives [6] - Elevated costs from commodity inflation and supply chain issues, along with a challenging macroeconomic environment, are anticipated to negatively impact quarterly performance [7] Valuation and Stock Performance - The stock has a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 15.05X, compared to a five-year high of 23.71X and the industry average of 14.02X [9] - Year-to-date, AB InBev shares have increased by 22.4%, contrasting with a 4.6% decline in the industry [12]
AB InBev relaunches Bud in Germany
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-23 13:48
Core Insights - Anheuser-Busch InBev is reintroducing the Bud beer brand to the German market to celebrate its 150th anniversary next year, coinciding with the growth of international lager beers in Germany [1][4] - The beer will initially be sold exclusively in Rewe stores, with plans to expand to other retail outlets and bars throughout Germany [2] - The brewing of Anheuser-Busch Bud will take place within the European Union, although specific breweries have not been disclosed [3] Market Context - Germany's beer sales declined last year, with approximately 8.3 billion liters sold, marking a 1.4% decrease from 2023, and domestic consumption fell by 2% to 6.8 billion liters [5] - AB InBev reported a slight decline of 0.1% in beer volumes in Europe for the first half of the year, which was considered an outperformance compared to the industry in five out of six key markets [6] - The company noted that industry volumes were estimated to be flat in the second quarter of 2025, indicating a potential stabilization in the market [6]
百威集团邓明潇:与上海共同擦亮“夜经济”的金色名片
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-10-16 11:20
Core Insights - China is a crucial market for the company, and it remains committed to long-term investments in the region, particularly in Shanghai, which is viewed as an attractive tourist destination with efficient city management and robust infrastructure [1][3] Group 1: Company Strategy and Market Potential - The company plans to introduce global events like the Tomorrowland electronic music festival to Shanghai, aiming to enhance the city's appeal as a tourist destination [3][5] - The CEO emphasizes the importance of a vibrant nightlife economy, noting that nearly 60% of global consumer activities occur after 6 PM, which correlates with a GDP growth rate of approximately 4% in cities with active night economies [5][6] - Shanghai's night economy is projected to see 4.03 million active night trips in 2024, with a comprehensive night economy index ranking first in the country [5][6] Group 2: Economic Impact and Cultural Significance - The night economy in Shanghai is expected to generate over 88 billion yuan in total consumption by mid-2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.3% [5][6] - The company aims to support the night economy by investing in cultural and entertainment events, which will enhance Shanghai's international image and cultural soft power [6][7] - The company has established nearly 30 breweries in China since 1984, showcasing its confidence in the Chinese market and contributing to the high-quality development of the local economy [7]
百威集团CEO邓明潇:为上海夜间经济发展建言献策
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-10-16 07:47
Core Insights - Budweiser Group's CEO Michel Doukeris participated in the 37th Shanghai International Business Leaders Advisory Council (IBLAC), emphasizing the company's commitment to contributing to Shanghai's international urban development and the night economy [1][2] Group 1: Company Strategy - Budweiser Group has introduced the "Tomorrowland" electronic music festival to Shanghai, marking its first indoor version in Asia, scheduled for November 2025 [2] - The company has established nearly 30 breweries across China since entering the market in 1984, with over 50 brands including Budweiser, Harbin, and Corona, laying a solid market foundation [2] - Budweiser Group aims to deepen its premium strategy and leverage the growth of the night economy to seize broader opportunities in the Chinese market [2] Group 2: Night Economy Development - The active development of the night economy is a key indicator of a city's modernization and vitality, with Shanghai leading in this area [1] - Doukeris highlighted the alignment of goals between Shanghai and Budweiser Group in promoting the night economy, proposing a systematic plan that combines global perspectives with local practices [1] - Budweiser Group plans to enhance its contributions to Shanghai's night economy by introducing iconic IPs and sharing international experiences [1]