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中信证券航空2026年投资策略:重视航司盈利拐点 重构繁荣周期兑现期或至
智通财经网· 2025-12-05 00:49
智通财经APP获悉,中信证券发布研报称,民航机队产能释放受新增飞机低引进、发动机检修、航材备 件等因素制约,旺季机队产能利用率愈发临近极限状态,近期公商务需求持续复苏,期待2026年政策端 进一步刺激因私出行,再次强调"重视航司盈利拐点"。三季度大航的国际线客公里收益媲美国内,改变 2015年以来国际线收益水平偏弱的局面,"向远处飞、向国际飞、向新兴市场飞"的策略在低油价、国内 需求弱复苏背景下进一步摊薄单位扣油成本。2025年大航有望实现疫后首次利润转正,成为利润释放周 期起点,继续看好未来两年航司业绩释放。 中信证券主要观点如下: 按图索骥:数观季报挖掘边际变化信号,短期公商务需求持续恢复有望与汇率温和升值共振。 特征之一,根据样本航司公告,国内航司国际线RRPK(客公里收益)媲美国内线,运力倾斜国际远程航 线,在低油价&国内需求弱复苏的背景下,通过运力增投国际远程航线的策略提升飞机利用率、摊薄单 位成本,同时通过提升中转旅客比例增厚座收对收益端贡献的策略或优于单纯囿于国内线客公里收益的 经营策略。 之二,航油成本压力的缓解仍为利润释放重要因素,发动机检修规模及阶段经营策略带来的机队利用率 差异推动单位扣 ...
中信证券:看好互联网板块顺周期属性叠加AI的向上趋势,巨头在AI趋势中攻防兼备
人民财讯12月5日电,中信证券表示,继续看好互联网板块顺周期属性叠加AI的向上趋势,巨头在AI趋 势中攻防兼备:若AI技术超预期,大概率由互联网巨头及合作方产生;若悲观情景AI泡沫破裂,扎实 资产负债表和现金流可作为避风港。选股维度,当前的模型能力差距尚未带来真正的基本面分化,股价 波动主导因素更多是AI叙事,而叙事则有随时变化的可能性,因此在真正颠覆式创新出现前,我们建 议推荐逆向思维、逢低配置。 ...
中信证券:近存计算高景气,看好投资机遇
Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities emphasizes that in the AI era, the upgrade of memory bandwidth and capacity is crucial, with integrated storage and computing being a trend, indicating a high level of activity in the sector and highlighting investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Storage Solutions Manufacturers - Focus on manufacturers that provide necessary CUBE support and customized design solutions to aid industrialization, aiming to penetrate the high-end market, particularly those with backing from original storage manufacturers and first-mover advantages [1] - Attention is also directed towards companies developing ultra-thin LPDDR stacking solutions [1] Group 2: Semiconductor Equipment - The industry is benefiting from the upgrade in advanced packaging and testing demands, alongside process optimization and yield improvement, which accelerates the localization of the supply chain [1] - Key areas of focus include etching, bonding, and thinning equipment due to the advancements in packaging and localization [1] Group 3: Advanced Packaging - Advanced packaging is identified as a critical breakthrough point for high-end storage, with high availability of equipment [1] - Chinese manufacturers are noted to have leading capabilities in advanced packaging and are expanding their production capacity [1] Group 4: Logic Chip Companies - The report also highlights the importance of logic chip companies in the context of the evolving semiconductor landscape [1]
中信证券保险2026年投资策略:迎接保险股重大机遇
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 00:22
中信证券研报称,保险行业已从资产负债表衰退叙事中率先走向良性扩张,周期向好正式确立,预计 2026年向上趋势进一步加强,体现为:净资产恢复并维持较快增长、分红险作为主力产品更加畅销、银 保渠道份额集中和总量增长仍然具有很大空间、险资作为耐心资本主力,目前资产结构正受益于债券利 率低位波动、股市慢牛的市场格局。从选股角度看,保险股阿尔法和贝塔兼具,2024和2025年牛市带来 的业绩弹性已较为充分体现,我们更加关注保单价值率高、新业务价值增速快、盈利和股息稳定增长的 头部公司。 ...
中信证券:近存计算高景气 看好投资机遇
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 00:22
Core Viewpoint - The upgrade of memory bandwidth and capacity is central in the AI era, with integrated storage and computing being a trend, leading to high demand in near-storage computing, presenting investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Investment Recommendations - Focus on four key areas within the domestic HBM and CUBE-related industrial chain: 1) Storage solution manufacturers are essential for CUBE support, with customized design solutions aiding industrialization and entry into high-end markets, particularly those with original storage manufacturer support and first-mover advantages [1] 2) Semiconductor equipment will benefit from the upgrade in advanced packaging and testing demands, alongside process optimization and yield improvement, accelerating the localization of the supply chain; focus on etching, bonding, and thinning equipment [1] 3) Advanced packaging is a critical breakthrough point for high-end storage, with high equipment availability, and mainland Chinese manufacturers leading in advanced packaging capabilities and expanding production capacity [1] 4) Logic chip companies are also highlighted as a focus area [1]
中信证券:亚洲股市更需聚焦基本面线索变化带来的结构性配置机会
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 00:22
中信证券研报称,在流动性改善、地缘扰动、AI泡沫短期无虞三重因素下,亚洲股市更需聚焦基本面 线索变化带来的结构性配置机会。美联储12月降息预期反转缓解亚洲市场宏观压力,而全球GPR指数高 位运行下中日对峙、俄乌冲突等构成阶段性扰动,AI领域现金流支撑与供应链瓶颈使极端泡沫叙事难 现。具体市场核心观点如下。1)A股:需基本面超预期突破,配置上建议聚焦资源/传统制造业定价权 重估与企业出海主线,关注低拥挤品种与红利标的。2)港股:受益内外部催化有望实现戴维斯双击, 建议侧重科技、医疗、资源品等五大方向。3)韩国股市:依托基本面、政策与流动性推动重估,建议 重点关注半导体/AI等行业。4)印度股市:具备补涨潜力,货币政策宽松背景下建议优先配置利率敏感 型企业与消费板块,逆向看多IT服务。5)日本股市:受益治理红利与外资增配,聚焦行业整合、资产 重估等四大方向。6)东南亚股市:呈现复苏态势,马来西亚建议关注AI与数据中心产业链;印尼建议 聚焦消费与新能源汽车;泰国建议首选消费和旅游板块,整体需密切跟踪宏观变量与政策动向。 ...
中信证券:继续看好未来两年航司业绩释放
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 00:22
Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the capacity release of the civil aviation fleet is constrained by factors such as low introduction of new aircraft, engine maintenance, and spare parts availability, with the capacity utilization rate nearing its limit during peak season [1] Group 1: Capacity and Demand - The recent recovery in business and leisure travel demand is noted, with expectations for further policy stimulation for private travel by 2026 [1] - The capacity utilization rate of airlines is approaching its maximum limit, indicating a potential strain on operational efficiency [1] Group 2: Revenue and Profitability - In the third quarter, major airlines' revenue per passenger kilometer on international routes has matched that of domestic routes, marking a shift from the weak performance of international routes since 2015 [1] - The strategy of "flying further, flying internationally, and flying to emerging markets" is effectively reducing unit fuel costs against a backdrop of low oil prices and a weak recovery in domestic demand [1] - Major airlines are expected to achieve their first profit since the pandemic in 2025, marking the beginning of a profit release cycle, with positive performance anticipated over the next two years [1]
中信证券:关注保单价值率高、新业务价值增速快、盈利和股息稳定增长的头部公司
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 00:21
(文章来源:第一财经) 中信证券研报表示,保险行业已从资产负债表衰退叙事中率先走向良性扩张,周期向好正式确立,预计 2026年向上趋势进一步加强,体现为:净资产恢复并维持较快增长、分红险作为主力产品更加畅销、银 保渠道份额集中和总量增长仍然具有很大空间、险资作为耐心资本主力,目前资产结构正受益于债券利 率低位波动、股市慢牛的市场格局。从选股角度看,保险股阿尔法和贝塔兼具,2024和2025年牛市带来 的业绩弹性已较为充分体现,我们更加关注保单价值率高、新业务价值增速快、盈利和股息稳定增长的 头部公司。 ...
中信证券:HBM有望成为云端训推的标准化主流显存方案
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 00:19
Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities emphasizes that in the AI era, the upgrade of memory bandwidth and capacity is crucial, with integrated storage and computing being a trend, and a positive outlook on investment opportunities in this sector [1] Group 1: Memory Technology - HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) is expected to become the standardized mainstream memory solution for cloud training and inference [1] - Domestic memory manufacturers are accelerating breakthroughs in response to increased U.S. sanctions against China, presenting significant investment opportunities within the related industrial chain [1] Group 2: CUBE Technology - CUBE is anticipated to become a key path for "breaking the AI storage wall" in inference and edge computing, achieving breakthrough bandwidth through customization and advanced packaging [1] - The packaging technology is seen as a way to compensate for process shortcomings, making CUBE the preferred solution for meeting AI storage demands domestically [1] - CUBE is identified as a critical observation direction for achieving a leapfrog development in integrated storage and computing, laying the foundation for true integration in the future [1]
中信证券子公司涉东旭光电案,回应来了
东旭光电案有了最新进展。12月4日,中信证券公告称,子公司中信证券华南股份有限公司(下称"华南 公司")为东旭光电证券虚假陈述责任纠纷案37名被告之一,涉诉金额182.82万元。该案确定适用普通 代表人诉讼程序审理。 中信证券子公司事涉收购前"旧案" 公告显示,12月3日,华南公司收到河北省高级人民法院(下称"河北高院")送达的《民事裁定书》 [(2025)冀民终690号],裁定维持石家庄中院作出的《民事裁定书》[(2025)冀01民初150号],确定 该案适用普通代表人诉讼程序审理。 从诉讼基本情况看,该案原告为吴彩泉等11名投资者,被告为东旭光电、东旭集团、华南公司等37名相 关法人主体或自然人。 诉讼理由是东旭光电2015年至2022年年度报告存在虚假记载和重大遗漏、2017年非公开发行股票存在欺 诈发行、未在法定期限内披露2023年年度报告等行为。 原告的诉讼请求包括:依法判决东旭光电赔偿11名原告因虚假陈述引起的各项经济损失合计1828167.34 元;依法判决除东旭光电以外的其他被告对原告的上述损失承担连带赔偿责任;依法判决案件受理费、 公告费等诉讼费用由37名被告承担。 从诉讼进展看,2025年 ...