Truist Securities将开市客的目标价从1042美元下调至1033美元，维持"持有"评级。(格隆汇) ...

Core Insights - American Express is successfully attracting new customers despite raising annual fees on its popular cards, indicating strong demand for its services [1][4] - The company has seen significant growth in net card fee revenue, which increased by 39.2% from 2022 to 2024, compared to a 14.5% increase in merchant fee revenue, suggesting a robust increase in card sign-ups [2] - American Express's business model relies on charging higher merchant fees to offset the costs of generous cardholder rewards, which amounted to $16.6 billion in 2024, nearly double the card fees collected [3][9] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, card fees generated $8.45 billion, accounting for 16.8% of total revenue, while discount revenue from merchant fees made up 69.8% of total revenue [2][3] - The increase in annual fees for the Platinum Card and Gold Card reflects a strategy to cater to affluent consumers and small businesses [7] Customer Demographics - The fastest-growing demographics for American Express are millennials and Gen Z, with the company adding 13 million new proprietary cards in 2024 [4] - Customer loyalty is a significant competitive advantage for American Express, especially during economic uncertainty [10] Comparison with Competitors - Both American Express and Costco have successfully built loyal customer bases despite charging annual fees for services that have free alternatives [5][6] - American Express's stock has outperformed the S&P 500 over various time frames, indicating strong long-term investment potential [6] Financial Performance - American Express has maintained a low net write-off rate of around 2%, showcasing effective risk management [8] - The company's forward earnings valuation is more attractive at 22.3 times compared to Costco's 47 times, making it a potentially better investment choice [19] Dividend Strategy - American Express has a history of rapidly increasing its dividends, currently yielding 1%, while Costco yields 0.6% but occasionally pays special dividends [20]

Market Overview - The stock market experienced volatility with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq reaching record highs before a three-session losing streak, ultimately closing the week with losses of nearly 1% and just over 1% respectively [1] - Economic data, including a significant drop in weekly jobless claims and an upward revision in GDP for Q2, influenced investor sentiment, leading to concerns about potential interest rate adjustments by the Federal Reserve [1] Nvidia and OpenAI Partnership - Nvidia announced a $100 billion investment in OpenAI to develop AI data centers, prompting analysts to revise earnings outlooks for Nvidia for 2026 [1] - The partnership is seen as an indication of the early stages of the AI trade, with significant growth potential in AI infrastructure [1] Boeing Developments - Boeing's stock rose significantly due to reports of finalizing a large order of jets with China and the FAA easing restrictions on aircraft deliveries [1] - The stock has increased by 25% year-to-date, with expectations for further growth driven by favorable trade policies and international orders [1] Costco's Earnings Report - Costco's stock declined nearly 3% on Friday and almost 4% for the week despite beating earnings and revenue expectations, primarily due to lower same-store sales growth and membership renewal rates [1] - Analysts remain optimistic about Costco's long-term prospects, citing improvements in gross margins and supply chain efficiency [1] Apple Performance - Apple stock was the best performer of the week, rising 4% as positive signs emerged regarding the successful rollout of the new iPhone 17 and Air models, with T-Mobile reporting record iPhone sales [2] - Analysts have raised their price targets for Apple, reflecting confidence in the company's market position and product offerings [2] Nike's Investment Potential - The company initiated a position in Nike, citing a promising turnaround plan under CEO Elliott Hill and potential sales boosts from the upcoming FIFA World Cup [2] - A price target of $80 per share was set, indicating about 16% upside from the recent close [2]

Group 1 - The core PCE price index data supports expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, influencing market movements positively [1][4] - Major stock indexes, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, experienced gains, with the Dow rising by 0.6% and the S&P 500 increasing by 0.4% [1] - Apple and Costco Wholesale were noted as early losers in the stock market despite the overall positive trend [1] Group 2 - Boeing secured significant orders, including an $8 billion deal, which positively impacted its stock performance [4] - The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is expected to lift production restrictions, further benefiting Boeing's operations [4] - The stock market saw fluctuations with Nvidia and Amazon weighing on the Dow, while other tech stocks like Palantir approached buy points [4]

Market Performance - U.S. stocks experienced a rise on Friday, with the S&P 500 increasing by 0.6%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 299 points (0.7%), and the Nasdaq composite adding 0.4%, helping to reduce weekly losses [1][2] - The S&P 500 closed at 6,643.70, the Dow at 46,247.29, and the Nasdaq at 22,484.07 [8] Inflation and Economic Indicators - Inflation in the U.S. accelerated to 2.7% in August from 2.6% in July, which, while above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, aligned with economists' forecasts [2][3] - Consumer sentiment showed weakness, with a University of Michigan survey indicating frustration with high prices, although inflation expectations for the next 12 months slightly decreased to 4.7% from 4.8% [10][11] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve's potential for continued interest rate cuts is critical for Wall Street, as expectations for these cuts have driven U.S. stocks to record highs since April [3][4] - The Fed recently implemented its first rate cut of the year, but further cuts are uncertain due to concerns about worsening inflation [4] Tariffs and Market Reactions - President Trump's announcement of new tariffs on imports, including pharmaceutical drugs and heavy trucks, has created uncertainty among analysts regarding their ultimate effects on the market [5][6] - Companies like Paccar, Eli Lilly, and Pfizer saw stock increases following the tariff announcement, while home furnishing companies experienced volatility in their stock prices [6][7] International Market Trends - European stock indexes rose after declines in Asia, with France's CAC 40 climbing 1% and South Korea's Kospi dropping 2.5% [9] Upcoming Events - A potential U.S. government shutdown is on the horizon, with a deadline set for next week, but historical data suggests limited impact on the market from such political events [12]

Group 1: Electronic Arts - Electronic Arts shares surged nearly 15% following reports of a potential $50 billion deal to take the company private, which could be the largest leveraged buyout in history [3][7] - The group of investors involved includes Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund and private equity firm Silver Lake [3] Group 2: Costco - Costco's stock fell nearly 3% after reporting fiscal fourth-quarter results, where U.S. same-store sales growth fell short of expectations despite sales and profits exceeding analyst forecasts [9] - The company cited consumer caution regarding discretionary purchases and increasing competition as factors affecting performance [9] Group 3: General Market Trends - Major U.S. equity indexes ended a three-day losing streak, with the S&P 500 up 0.6%, Dow up 0.7%, and Nasdaq up 0.4%, driven by inflation data aligning with expectations [2] - The Federal Reserve may be on track to cut interest rates further due to the inflation gauge meeting expectations [2]

Core Viewpoint - Costco Wholesale Corp. shares declined by 2.5% on Friday, making it one of the worst performers in the S&P 500 for the day, following quarterly results that were weaker than expected [1] Financial Performance - The quarterly results released a day earlier indicated performance that did not meet market expectations [1]

Core Insights - Costco Wholesale reported earnings and revenue for the fiscal fourth quarter that exceeded expectations, yet the stock price declined due to lower-than-expected growth in same-store sales [2]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue - The earnings and revenue figures for Costco in the fiscal fourth quarter surpassed market expectations [2]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Despite strong earnings and revenue, Costco's stock experienced a drop, attributed to disappointing same-store sales growth [2].

Core Insights - Costco revealed its real-estate strategy alongside its fourth-quarter earnings, celebrating significant anniversaries for its hot-dog combo and Kirkland Signature brand [1] - The company continues to expand, opening 10 new warehouses in the fourth quarter and a total of 27 for the year, bringing its global total to 914 [1][2] - Costco plans to open 35 new warehouses in 2026, indicating strong domestic and international growth opportunities [2] Real Estate Ownership - Unlike many retailers, Costco owns the majority of its warehouses, with a real-estate portfolio valued at $31.9 billion [2] - Approximately 80% of Costco's sites are owned, each valued conservatively between $25 million and $35 million [3] - The company’s strategy emphasizes ownership over leasing, allowing it to operate independently of landlords [3] Sales Performance - Costco's "everyday value items" are crucial for customer retention, especially during economic uncertainty, with significant sales figures reported [4] - In 2025, Costco sold over 245 million hot-dog combos and over 157 million rotisserie chickens, showcasing the popularity of its low-priced offerings [4] - The $1.50 hot-dog and soda combo symbolizes Costco's commitment to low prices, with sales growing by over 23% in just over a year [4]

Group 1 - The analyst from D.A. Davidson set a price target of $1,000 for Costco, indicating a potential upside of about 6% from its current stock price of $943.31 [1][5] - Costco concluded its fiscal year 2025 with earnings of $5.87 per share, an 11% increase from the previous year, and revenue of $86.2 billion, reflecting an 8% growth [2][5] - The stock is considered expensive, trading at over 52 times forward earnings, which supports a Hold rating due to its high valuation [3][5] Group 2 - Costco's stock price is currently approximately $918.10, a decrease of about 2.67% from the previous session, with a market capitalization around $407.15 billion [4] - The stock has traded between $905.05 and $933.12 during the day, and over the past year, it reached a high of $1,078.23 and a low of $867.16 [4] - The company is experiencing strong membership growth, increasing digital sales, and global expansion, but faces competitive pressures from Aldi and Walmart [3]