Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) has shown strong stock performance with an 87.4% lead for 2024 and is on track for its fourth gain in the last five sessions [4] - The stock recently reached an all-time high of $214.70, supported by the 20-day moving average, indicating potential for further record peaks [4] - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is at 95 out of 100, suggesting it has consistently outperformed volatility expectations over the past year [1] Volatility and Price Movement - The stock's recent high coincides with historically low implied volatility (IV), which has historically generated positive momentum [2] - Data indicates that one month after similar signals, the stock was higher 80% of the time, averaging a 5.7% gain [3] - Currently priced at $208.70, a similar upward movement could push DECK to a new record high of $220.59 [3] Analyst Sentiment - Among analysts covering the stock, nine have rated it as a "hold," while the 12-month consensus target price is $202.15, representing a 3% discount to current levels [3]

Group 1 - The average brokerage recommendation (ABR) for Deckers (DECK) is 2.00, indicating a "Buy" on a scale from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) based on recommendations from 20 brokerage firms [10] - There are nine "Strong Buy" and two "Buy" recommendations, which account for 45% and 10% of all recommendations respectively [2] - Analysts are increasingly optimistic about Deckers' earnings prospects, as indicated by a consensus revision of EPS estimates higher, suggesting potential for stock price increase in the near term [8] Group 2 - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deckers has increased by 0.1% over the past month to $5.49, contributing to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the company [17][18] - The Zacks Rank is a quantitative model that reflects earnings estimate revisions and is considered more timely in predicting future stock prices compared to the ABR [15][16] - The ABR may not always be up-to-date, while the Zacks Rank quickly incorporates changes in earnings estimates, making it a more reliable indicator for investors [16]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) has demonstrated strong performance in the footwear market, significantly outperforming industry benchmarks and showing robust growth in both direct-to-consumer and wholesale channels [1][2][19]. Financial Performance - DECK shares are currently trading at $206.63, just 0.9% below its 52-week high of $208.45, with a 75.4% increase in stock value over the past year compared to the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry's 36% growth [1][4]. - In the second quarter of fiscal 2025, DECK's net sales rose 19.9% to $397.7 million, with comparable net sales increasing by 17% [9]. - Total revenues for fiscal 2025 are estimated at $4.8 billion, reflecting a 12% increase from the previous year, with HOKA expected to grow by 24% and UGG projected for mid-single-digit growth [14]. Brand Performance - HOKA achieved a remarkable 34.7% sales increase in the second quarter, while UGG grew by 13%, driven by a diversified product portfolio and optimized distribution strategies [8][7]. - The company's flagship brands, UGG and HOKA, are positioned for continued growth, with HOKA on track to become a multi-billion-dollar brand [7]. Market Position and Strategy - Deckers has strengthened its market position through innovation and a focus on direct-to-consumer operations, enhancing its digital capabilities and omnichannel presence [7][9]. - International sales surged 33% year over year in the fiscal second quarter, indicating strong performances from UGG and HOKA in global markets [10][11]. - Wholesale revenues increased by 20.2% year over year to $913.7 million, with HOKA and UGG contributing significantly to this growth [12][13]. Outlook and Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have positively revised their earnings estimates for DECK, with the consensus estimate for the current fiscal year pegged at $5.48 per share and $6.21 for the next fiscal year [16][17]. - The company has raised its gross margin outlook to 55-55.5% and increased its earnings per share guidance to $5.15-$5.25, indicating improved profitability [15].

Core Viewpoint - The article compares Gap (GAP) and Deckers (DECK) to determine which stock is more attractive to value investors, highlighting the importance of valuation metrics alongside earnings outlooks [1][3]. Valuation Metrics - GAP has a forward P/E ratio of 11.95, while DECK has a forward P/E of 37.20, indicating that GAP may be undervalued compared to DECK [5]. - The PEG ratio for GAP is 1.08, suggesting a more favorable valuation relative to its expected earnings growth, whereas DECK has a PEG ratio of 2.86, indicating a higher valuation relative to growth expectations [5]. - GAP's P/B ratio is 2.91, which is significantly lower than DECK's P/B of 13.92, further supporting the notion that GAP is undervalued [6]. Investment Grades - GAP has received a Value grade of A, while DECK has been assigned a Value grade of F, reflecting the disparity in their valuation metrics [6]. - Both companies have a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating positive earnings estimate revisions, but GAP is considered the superior value option based on its valuation figures [3][7].

Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) has recently reached a 52-week high, prompting a reassessment of its stock potential at elevated levels [1][2] - The stock has shown impressive year-to-date momentum, driven by strong demand for its brands HOKA and UGG, with shares advancing 84.3% year to date compared to the industry's rise of 35.5% [3][9] - The company is currently trading at a premium valuation, with a forward P/E ratio of 34.22, reflecting strong fundamentals and growth potential [18] Stock Performance - Deckers closed at $204.95, near its 52-week high of $207.29, with a slight pullback attributed to profit-taking [5] - Technical indicators show the stock trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating robust upward momentum and price stability [6] Brand Performance - HOKA has been a significant growth driver, with a 32% revenue increase in the first half of fiscal 2025, surpassing $2 billion in trailing 12-month revenues for the first time [10] - UGG also contributed to growth, with a 13% increase in the first half of fiscal 2025, supported by strategic initiatives to modernize its offerings [11] Revenue and Earnings Growth - Deckers reported a 20.1% year-over-year revenue surge, with a gross margin of 55.9%, up from 53.4% in the previous year, leading to a 39.5% increase in earnings per share to $1.59 [9] - Direct-to-consumer revenues increased by 22%, while wholesale revenues grew by 20%, showcasing strength across key markets [12] Future Outlook - Management projects a 12% increase in fiscal 2025 net sales to $4.8 billion, with HOKA expected to grow by around 24% and UGG by mid-single digits [14][15] - Wall Street analysts have raised earnings estimates, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current fiscal year increasing by 3.8% to $5.48 per share [16] Investment Considerations - Deckers' strong brand portfolio, financial strength, and strategic initiatives make it a compelling investment opportunity [20] - The company's robust growth and international expansion reflect a well-executed strategy that is expected to drive long-term value for investors [20]

Group 1 - Deckers (DECK) is currently outperforming its peers in the Retail-Wholesale group, with a year-to-date return of approximately 75.9%, compared to the sector average of 29% [4] - The Zacks Rank for Deckers is 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong analyst sentiment and a positive earnings outlook, with the consensus estimate for full-year earnings increasing by 4.1% over the past quarter [3] - Deckers belongs to the Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which has an average gain of 34.3% this year, further highlighting its strong performance within this specific sector [5] Group 2 - The Retail-Wholesale group consists of 210 companies and is currently ranked 9 within the Zacks Sector Rank, which includes 16 different groups [2] - Another notable stock in the Retail-Wholesale sector is Sprouts Farmers (SFM), which has achieved a year-to-date return of 221.1% and also holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) [4][5] - The Food - Natural Foods Products industry, to which Sprouts Farmers belongs, has seen a year-to-date increase of 84.1% [6]

Core Viewpoint - The analysis compares Gap (GAP) and Deckers (DECK) to determine which stock is more attractive to value investors, highlighting that GAP is currently the superior value option based on various valuation metrics [1][7]. Valuation Metrics - Both GAP and DECK hold a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive earnings outlook due to favorable analyst estimate revisions [3]. - GAP has a forward P/E ratio of 12.07, while DECK has a significantly higher forward P/E of 35.53 [5]. - The PEG ratio for GAP is 1.09, suggesting it is more reasonably priced relative to its expected earnings growth compared to DECK's PEG ratio of 2.74 [5]. - GAP's P/B ratio is 2.90, indicating a lower market value compared to its book value, while DECK's P/B ratio is much higher at 13.28 [6]. - These valuation metrics contribute to GAP earning a Value grade of A, whereas DECK has a Value grade of F [6].

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) is experiencing strong upward momentum in its stock performance, trading above key moving averages, indicating positive market sentiment and investor confidence in its financial health and growth prospects [1][2]. Financial Performance - DECK's stock closed at $176.36, above its 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages of $154.65 and $162.56, respectively, reflecting a continued uptrend [2]. - The stock has increased by 66.1% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry's growth of 16.8% [4]. - The company expects total revenues to rise by approximately 12% to reach $4.8 billion in fiscal 2025, an increase from the previous forecast of $4.7 billion [14]. - Analysts have raised the consensus estimate for earnings per share to $5.47 for the current fiscal year, reflecting a positive outlook [16]. Brand Performance - HOKA and UGG brands have shown impressive sales growth, with HOKA increasing by 34.7% and UGG by 13% in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 [9]. - The direct-to-consumer (DTC) segment achieved a 19.9% increase in net sales to $397.7 million, with comparable net sales growing by 17% [10]. - International sales surged by 33% year over year in the second quarter, highlighting the success of both brands in global markets [11]. Wholesale Channel - The wholesale segment contributed significantly to overall revenues, with a 20.2% year-over-year increase to $913.7 million [12]. - HOKA's wholesale revenues grew by 33%, while UGG's increased by 14%, indicating strong brand performance in this channel [13]. Strategic Initiatives - Deckers is focusing on product innovation and international market expansion, which have been critical to its growth strategy [5][7]. - The company is enhancing its digital capabilities and omnichannel presence to improve customer experiences and brand accessibility [10].

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) has demonstrated significant stock performance, with a 69% increase over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry, which grew by 25.3% [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - DECK's stock closed at $177.08, approaching its 52-week high of $184.48 reached on June 3, 2024 [2]. - The company anticipates total revenues to rise approximately 12% to $4.8 billion in fiscal 2025, with HOKA expected to grow around 24% and UGG projected to see mid-single-digit growth [10]. - The gross margin is forecasted to be in the range of 55-55.5%, an increase from the previous estimate of 54% [11]. - Management projects earnings to be in the range of $5.15-$5.25 per share, up from $4.86 reported last year [11]. Group 2: Sales Growth - HOKA and UGG brands achieved sales increases of 34.7% and 13%, respectively, in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 [5]. - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) net sales increased by 19.9% to $397.7 million, with DTC comparable net sales growing 17% in the second quarter [6]. - Wholesale revenues grew 20.2% year over year to $913.7 million in the second quarter [8]. - International sales surged 33% year over year in the second quarter, highlighting the success of UGG and HOKA in global markets [9]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Deckers is focusing on expanding its brand presence and strengthening DTC channels, which has contributed to its impressive growth [1][5]. - The company is actively working to elevate HOKA into a multibillion-dollar brand while reinforcing UGG as a global lifestyle brand [5]. - Investments in digital capabilities and enhancing omnichannel presence are creating seamless customer experiences and expanding brand accessibility [6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment - DECK is currently trading above both its 200-day and 50-day simple moving averages, indicating price stability and long-term bullish trends [3][14]. - Analysts have positively revised earnings estimates for DECK, with the consensus estimate for the current fiscal year pegged at $5.45 per share, reflecting optimism about the company's prospects [12][15].

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